메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 21, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 406-413

Spatial conservation planning under climate change: Using species distribution modeling to assess priority for adaptive management of Fagus crenata in Japan

Author keywords

Active management; Protected area; Sustainable habitats; Uncertainty; Vulnerability

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CONSERVATION PLANNING; HABITAT CONSERVATION; HABITAT MANAGEMENT; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; PROTECTED AREA; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84888016067     PISSN: 16171381     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2013.06.003     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (31)

References (42)
  • 4
    • 41249092227 scopus 로고
    • Tree-based models
    • Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole Advanced Books & Software, Pacific Grove, CA, US, J.M. Chambers, T.J. Hastie (Eds.)
    • Clark L.A., Pregibon D. Tree-based models. Statistical models in S 1992, 377-419. Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole Advanced Books & Software, Pacific Grove, CA, US. J.M. Chambers, T.J. Hastie (Eds.).
    • (1992) Statistical models in S , pp. 377-419
    • Clark, L.A.1    Pregibon, D.2
  • 5
    • 53749094032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics
    • Colwell R.K., Brehm G., Cardelús C.L., Gilman A.C., Longino J.T. Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics. Science 2008, 322:258-261.
    • (2008) Science , vol.322 , pp. 258-261
    • Colwell, R.K.1    Brehm, G.2    Cardelús, C.L.3    Gilman, A.C.4    Longino, J.T.5
  • 6
    • 73949141293 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Species distribution models: Ecological explanation and prediction across space and time
    • Elith J., Leathwick J.R. Species distribution models: Ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics 2009, 40:677-697.
    • (2009) Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics , vol.40 , pp. 677-697
    • Elith, J.1    Leathwick, J.R.2
  • 7
    • 84870351748 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Defining spatial conservation priorities in the face of land-use and climate change
    • Faleiro F., Machado R.B., Loyola R.D. Defining spatial conservation priorities in the face of land-use and climate change. Biological Conservation 2013, 158:248-257.
    • (2013) Biological Conservation , vol.158 , pp. 248-257
    • Faleiro, F.1    Machado, R.B.2    Loyola, R.D.3
  • 9
    • 1942496156 scopus 로고
    • Geographical Survey Institute, Japan Map Center, Tokyo, [in Japanese]
    • User's guide to the digital map 1992, Geographical Survey Institute, Japan Map Center, Tokyo, [in Japanese].
    • (1992) User's guide to the digital map
  • 10
    • 18444385410 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conserving biodiversity under climate change: The rear edge matters
    • Hampe A., Petit R. Conserving biodiversity under climate change: The rear edge matters. Ecological Letters 2005, 8:461-467.
    • (2005) Ecological Letters , vol.8 , pp. 461-467
    • Hampe, A.1    Petit, R.2
  • 12
    • 84887997347 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Life history of Fagus crenata (Buna no Issyou)
    • Heibonsha, Tokyo, JP, [in Japanese], M. Hara (Ed.)
    • Hara M. Life history of Fagus crenata (Buna no Issyou). Natural history of beech forest (Buna-Rin no Sizen-Si), 76-96 1996, Heibonsha, Tokyo, JP, [in Japanese]. M. Hara (Ed.).
    • (1996) Natural history of beech forest (Buna-Rin no Sizen-Si), 76-96
    • Hara, M.1
  • 13
    • 76949106108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climatic and historical factors controlling horizontal and vertical distribution patterns of two sympatric beech species, Fagus crenata Blume and Fagus japonica Maxim, in eastern Japan
    • Hara M. Climatic and historical factors controlling horizontal and vertical distribution patterns of two sympatric beech species, Fagus crenata Blume and Fagus japonica Maxim, in eastern Japan. Flora 2011, 205(3):161-170.
    • (2011) Flora , vol.205 , Issue.3 , pp. 161-170
    • Hara, M.1
  • 14
    • 57049117901 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Biodiversity management in the face of climate change: A review of 22 years of recommendations
    • Heller N.E., Zavaleta E.S. Biodiversity management in the face of climate change: A review of 22 years of recommendations. Biological Conservation 2009, 142:14-32.
    • (2009) Biological Conservation , vol.142 , pp. 14-32
    • Heller, N.E.1    Zavaleta, E.S.2
  • 15
    • 58349103098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting potential habitat of Japanese stone pine (Pinus pumila) and impact of global warming
    • Horikawa M., Tsuyama I., Matsui T., Kominami T., Tanaka N. Predicting potential habitat of Japanese stone pine (Pinus pumila) and impact of global warming. Landscape Ecology 2009, 24:115-128.
    • (2009) Landscape Ecology , vol.24 , pp. 115-128
    • Horikawa, M.1    Tsuyama, I.2    Matsui, T.3    Kominami, T.4    Tanaka, N.5
  • 16
    • 34247370602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • IPCC, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller (Eds.)
    • Climate change 2007: The physical science basis, Chap 10. 2007, IPCC, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller (Eds.).
    • (2007) Climate change 2007: The physical science basis, Chap 10.
  • 17
    • 84888001946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Japan Forestry Investigation Committee, [in Japanese]
    • Silvics of Japan, Tokyo, Japan: J-FIC 2009, Japan Forestry Investigation Committee, [in Japanese].
    • (2009) Silvics of Japan, Tokyo, Japan: J-FIC
  • 18
    • 1942431836 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, [in Japanese]
    • Climate normals for Japan 1996, Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, [in Japanese].
    • (1996) Climate normals for Japan
  • 19
    • 77957958891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monitoring and managing responses to climate change at the retreating range edge of forest trees
    • Jump A.S., Cavin L., Hunter D. Monitoring and managing responses to climate change at the retreating range edge of forest trees. Journal of Environmental Monitoring 2010, 12:1791-1798.
    • (2010) Journal of Environmental Monitoring , vol.12 , pp. 1791-1798
    • Jump, A.S.1    Cavin, L.2    Hunter, D.3
  • 20
    • 1642465927 scopus 로고
    • The effect of different cutting cycle on component woody species in beech-oak coppice forests
    • Kamitani T. The effect of different cutting cycle on component woody species in beech-oak coppice forests. Journal of Japanese Forest Science 1987, 69(1):29-32.
    • (1987) Journal of Japanese Forest Science , vol.69 , Issue.1 , pp. 29-32
    • Kamitani, T.1
  • 21
    • 0002528466 scopus 로고
    • A climatological interpretation of Japanese vegetation zones
    • Maruzen, Tokyo, Japan, A. Miyawaki, R. Tuxen (Eds.)
    • Kira T. A climatological interpretation of Japanese vegetation zones. Vegetation science and environmental protection 1977, 21-30. Maruzen, Tokyo, Japan. A. Miyawaki, R. Tuxen (Eds.).
    • (1977) Vegetation science and environmental protection , pp. 21-30
    • Kira, T.1
  • 22
    • 6344294947 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability distributions, vulnerability and sensitivity in Fagus crenata forests following predicted climate change in Japan
    • Matsui T., Yagihasi T., Nakaya T., Taoda H., Yoshinaga S., Daimaru H., et al. Probability distributions, vulnerability and sensitivity in Fagus crenata forests following predicted climate change in Japan. Journal of Vegetation Science 2004, 15:605-614.
    • (2004) Journal of Vegetation Science , vol.15 , pp. 605-614
    • Matsui, T.1    Yagihasi, T.2    Nakaya, T.3    Taoda, H.4    Yoshinaga, S.5    Daimaru, H.6
  • 23
    • 70249124176 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of habitat sustainability and vulnerability for beech (Fagus crenata) forests under 110 hypothetical climate change scenarios in Japan
    • Matsui T., Takahashi K., Tanaka N., Hijioka Y., Horikawa M., Yagihashi T., et al. Evaluation of habitat sustainability and vulnerability for beech (Fagus crenata) forests under 110 hypothetical climate change scenarios in Japan. Applied Vegetation Science 2009, 12:328-339.
    • (2009) Applied Vegetation Science , vol.12 , pp. 328-339
    • Matsui, T.1    Takahashi, K.2    Tanaka, N.3    Hijioka, Y.4    Horikawa, M.5    Yagihashi, T.6
  • 24
    • 84871441402 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prediction and impact assessment of the changes in suitable habitats for beech (Fagus crenata) forests under climate change scenarios
    • Matsui T., Tanaka N., Yagihashi T., Kominami Y., Tsuyama Y., Takahashi K. Prediction and impact assessment of the changes in suitable habitats for beech (Fagus crenata) forests under climate change scenarios. Applied Vegetation Science 2009, 12:165-174.
    • (2009) Applied Vegetation Science , vol.12 , pp. 165-174
    • Matsui, T.1    Tanaka, N.2    Yagihashi, T.3    Kominami, Y.4    Tsuyama, Y.5    Takahashi, K.6
  • 25
    • 84887990981 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ministry of the Environment, Sound Material-Cycle Society and the Biodiversity in Japan, Japan
    • Annual report on the environment 2012, Ministry of the Environment, Sound Material-Cycle Society and the Biodiversity in Japan, Japan.
    • (2012) Annual report on the environment
  • 26
    • 29544441685 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Factors affecting the dynamics of the population of Fagus crenata in the Takakuma Mountains, the southern limit of its distribution area
    • Mizunaga H., Sako S., Nakao Y., Shimono Y. Factors affecting the dynamics of the population of Fagus crenata in the Takakuma Mountains, the southern limit of its distribution area. Journal of Forest Research 2005, 10:481-486.
    • (2005) Journal of Forest Research , vol.10 , pp. 481-486
    • Mizunaga, H.1    Sako, S.2    Nakao, Y.3    Shimono, Y.4
  • 29
    • 79951726062 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the impact of land use and climate change on the EBL species of Quercus acuta in Japan
    • Nakao K., Matsui T., Horikawa M., Tsuyama I., Tanaka T. Assessing the impact of land use and climate change on the EBL species of Quercus acuta in Japan. Plant Ecology 2011, 212:229-243.
    • (2011) Plant Ecology , vol.212 , pp. 229-243
    • Nakao, K.1    Matsui, T.2    Horikawa, M.3    Tsuyama, I.4    Tanaka, T.5
  • 30
    • 70249090881 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The mechanism of the compositional differentiation of the beech forests in the Kyushu District
    • [in Japanese with an English abstract]
    • Nishio T., Hukusima T. The mechanism of the compositional differentiation of the beech forests in the Kyushu District. Vegetation Science 1996, 13:73-86. [in Japanese with an English abstract].
    • (1996) Vegetation Science , vol.13 , pp. 73-86
    • Nishio, T.1    Hukusima, T.2
  • 31
    • 33747783544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying components of risk for European woody species under climate change
    • Ohlemüller R., Gritti E., Sykes M., Thomas C. Quantifying components of risk for European woody species under climate change. Global Change Biology 2006, 12:1788-1799.
    • (2006) Global Change Biology , vol.12 , pp. 1788-1799
    • Ohlemüller, R.1    Gritti, E.2    Sykes, M.3    Thomas, C.4
  • 32
    • 0037413628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems
    • Parmesan C., Yohe G. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 2003, 421:37-42.
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 37-42
    • Parmesan, C.1    Yohe, G.2
  • 33
    • 33644642526 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and the migration capacity of species
    • Pearson R.G. Climate change and the migration capacity of species. Trends Ecology & Evolution 2006, 21:111-113.
    • (2006) Trends Ecology & Evolution , vol.21 , pp. 111-113
    • Pearson, R.G.1
  • 34
    • 3042532648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling species distributions in Britain: A hierarchical integration of climate and land-cover data
    • Pearson R.G., Dawson T.E., Liu C. Modeling species distributions in Britain: A hierarchical integration of climate and land-cover data. Ecography 2004, 27:285-298.
    • (2004) Ecography , vol.27 , pp. 285-298
    • Pearson, R.G.1    Dawson, T.E.2    Liu, C.3
  • 35
    • 84863304598 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R Development Core Team, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, [ISBN 3-900051-07-0
    • R: A language and environment for statistical computing 2012, R Development Core Team, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, [ISBN 3-900051-07-0, URL http://www.R-project.org/].
    • (2012) R: A language and environment for statistical computing
  • 36
    • 11144355406 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effectiveness of the global protected area network in representing species diversity
    • Rodrigues A.S.L., Andelman S.J., Bakarr M.I., et al. Effectiveness of the global protected area network in representing species diversity. Nature 2004, 428:640-643.
    • (2004) Nature , vol.428 , pp. 640-643
    • Rodrigues, A.S.L.1    Andelman, S.J.2    Bakarr, M.I.3
  • 37
    • 1942496151 scopus 로고
    • Freezing resistance of evergreen and deciduous broad-leaf trees in Japan with special reference to their distribution
    • [in Japanese]
    • Sakai A. Freezing resistance of evergreen and deciduous broad-leaf trees in Japan with special reference to their distribution. Japanese Journal of Ecology 1975, 25:101-111. [in Japanese].
    • (1975) Japanese Journal of Ecology , vol.25 , pp. 101-111
    • Sakai, A.1
  • 40
    • 84867048591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of Sika deer(Cervus nippon) on Japanese vegetation surveyed by questionnaire in 2009-2010
    • The Society of Vegetation Science, Japan, [in Japanese]
    • Impacts of Sika deer(Cervus nippon) on Japanese vegetation surveyed by questionnaire in 2009-2010. Vegetation Science News 2011, 15:9-30. The Society of Vegetation Science, Japan, [in Japanese].
    • (2011) Vegetation Science News , vol.15 , pp. 9-30
  • 41
    • 0032229632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intraspecific variation and phylogeographic patterns of Fagus crenata (Fagaceae) mitochondrial DNA
    • Tomaru N., Takahashi M., Tsumura Y., Takahashi M., Ohba K. Intraspecific variation and phylogeographic patterns of Fagus crenata (Fagaceae) mitochondrial DNA. American Journal of Botany 1998, 85:629-636.
    • (1998) American Journal of Botany , vol.85 , pp. 629-636
    • Tomaru, N.1    Takahashi, M.2    Tsumura, Y.3    Takahashi, M.4    Ohba, K.5
  • 42
    • 0027457620 scopus 로고
    • Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) plots: A fundamental evaluation tool in clinical medicine
    • Zweig M.H., Campbell G. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) plots: A fundamental evaluation tool in clinical medicine. Clinical Chemistry 1993, 39:561-577.
    • (1993) Clinical Chemistry , vol.39 , pp. 561-577
    • Zweig, M.H.1    Campbell, G.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.