메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 152, Issue 4, 2013, Pages 459-470

Situating mortality: Quantifying crisis points and periods of stability

Author keywords

crisis; epidemics; harvesting effect; mortality

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; BIRTH RATE; CHOLERA; CLIMATE; CRISIS INTERVENTION; EPIDEMIC; GIBRALTAR; HUMAN; INFANT MORTALITY; INFLUENZA; MALTA; METHODOLOGY; MORTALITY; POPULATION SIZE; SCORING SYSTEM; SUMMER; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; WAR; YELLOW FEVER;

EID: 84887452627     PISSN: 00029483     EISSN: 10968644     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/ajpa.22380     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (71)
  • 1
    • 0032158646 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Where is the postcolonial history of medicine?
    • Anderson W,. 1998. Where is the postcolonial history of medicine? Bull Hist Med 72: 522-530.
    • (1998) Bull Hist Med , vol.72 , pp. 522-530
    • Anderson, W.1
  • 2
    • 77953085801 scopus 로고
    • Crises of mortality: Periodicity, intensity, chronology and geographical extent
    • Charbonneau H. Larose A. editors. Liege: International Union for the Scientific Study of Population. p.
    • Appleby AB,. 1979. Crises of mortality: periodicity, intensity, chronology and geographical extent. In:, Charbonneau H, Larose A, editors. The great mortalities: methodological studies of demographic crises in the past. Liege: International Union for the Scientific Study of Population. p 283-294.
    • (1979) The Great Mortalities: Methodological Studies of Demographic Crises in the Past , pp. 283-294
    • Appleby, A.B.1
  • 3
    • 33748801960 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is the 1918 influenza pandemic over? Long-term effects of in utero influenza exposure in the post-1940 U.S. Population
    • DOI 10.1086/507154
    • Almond D,. 2006. Is the 1918 influenza pandemic over? Long-term effects of in utero influenza exposure in the post-1940 United States. Popul J Polit Econ 114: 672-712. (Pubitemid 44404672)
    • (2006) Journal of Political Economy , vol.114 , Issue.4 , pp. 672-712
    • Almond, D.1
  • 5
    • 84945709924 scopus 로고
    • On the approximation of curves by line segments using dynamic programming
    • Bellman R,. 1961. On the approximation of curves by line segments using dynamic programming. Commun ACM 4: 284.
    • (1961) Commun ACM , vol.4 , pp. 284
    • Bellman, R.1
  • 6
    • 84857340686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Revisiting mortality crises of the past: Introduction
    • Bengtsson T, Gagnon A,. 2011. Revisiting mortality crises of the past: introduction. Genus 67: 1-7.
    • (2011) Genus , vol.67 , pp. 1-7
    • Bengtsson, T.1    Gagnon, A.2
  • 8
    • 0010050822 scopus 로고
    • Crisis mortality: Extinction and near extinction of human populations
    • Ruzicka L. Winsch G. Lane P. editors. Oxford: Clarendon Press. p.
    • Bouckaert A,. 1989. Crisis mortality: extinction and near extinction of human populations. In:, Ruzicka L, Winsch G, Lane P, editors. Differential mortality. Oxford: Clarendon Press. p 217-230.
    • (1989) Differential Mortality , pp. 217-230
    • Bouckaert, A.1
  • 9
    • 0037153738 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Admissions for myocardial infarction and World Cup football: Database survey
    • Carroll D, Ebrahim S, Tilling K, MacLeod J, Smith GD,. 2002. Admissions for myocardial infarction and World Cup football: database survey. Br Med J 325: 1430-1442.
    • (2002) Br Med J , vol.325 , pp. 1430-1442
    • Carroll, D.1    Ebrahim, S.2    Tilling, K.3    Macleod, J.4    Smith, G.D.5
  • 11
    • 0001692662 scopus 로고
    • The Holt-Winters forecasting procedure
    • Chatfield C,. 1978. The Holt-Winters forecasting procedure. J R Stat Soc Series C 27: 264-279
    • (1978) J R Stat Soc Series C , vol.27 , pp. 264-279
    • Chatfield, C.1
  • 12
    • 77955058994 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • No consistent effects of prenatal or neonatal exposure to Spanish flu on late-life mortality in 24 developed countries
    • Cohen AA, Tillinghast J, Canudas-Romo V,. 2010. No consistent effects of prenatal or neonatal exposure to Spanish flu on late-life mortality in 24 developed countries. Demogr Res 22: 579-634.
    • (2010) Demogr Res , vol.22 , pp. 579-634
    • Cohen, A.A.1    Tillinghast, J.2    Canudas-Romo, V.3
  • 15
    • 0038654136 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response to Dr. Smith: Timescale-dependent mortality effects of air pollution
    • Dominici F, McDermott A, Zeger SL, Samet JM,. 2003. Response to Dr. Smith: timescale-dependent mortality effects of air pollution. Am J Epidemiol 157: 1071-1073.
    • (2003) Am J Epidemiol , vol.157 , pp. 1071-1073
    • Dominici, F.1    McDermott, A.2    Zeger, S.L.3    Samet, J.M.4
  • 16
    • 0039675123 scopus 로고
    • Demographic crises and subsistence crises in France, 1650-1725
    • Roger J.W. Schofield R.S. editors. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. p.
    • Dupaquier J,. 1989. Demographic crises and subsistence crises in France, 1650-1725. In:, Roger JW, Schofield RS, editors. Famine, disease, and the social order in early modern society. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. p 189-200.
    • (1989) Famine, Disease, and the Social Order in Early Modern Society , pp. 189-200
    • Dupaquier, J.1
  • 18
    • 30344476995 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mortality due to influenza in the United States - An annualized regression approach using multiple-cause mortality data
    • DOI 10.1093/aje/kwj024
    • Dushoff J, Plotkin JB, Viboud C, Earn DJD, Simonsen L,. 2005. Mortality due to influenza in the United States: an annualized regression approach using multiple cases mortality data. Am J Epidemiol 163: 181-187. (Pubitemid 43068987)
    • (2006) American Journal of Epidemiology , vol.163 , Issue.2 , pp. 181-187
    • Dushoff, J.1    Plotkin, J.B.2    Viboud, C.3    Earn, D.J.D.4    Simonsen, L.5
  • 19
    • 0042364321 scopus 로고
    • Some algorithms for linear spline and piecewise multiple linear regression
    • Ertel JE, Fowlkes EB,. 1976. Some algorithms for linear spline and piecewise multiple linear regression. J Am Stat Assoc 71: 640-648.
    • (1976) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.71 , pp. 640-648
    • Ertel, J.E.1    Fowlkes, E.B.2
  • 21
    • 0024361965 scopus 로고
    • The history of responses to epidemic disease in the United States since the 18th century
    • Fox DM,. 1989. The history of responses to epidemic disease in the United States since the 18th century. Mt Sinai J Med 56: 223-229. (Pubitemid 19150556)
    • (1989) Mount Sinai Journal of Medicine , vol.56 , Issue.3 , pp. 223-229
    • Fox, D.M.1
  • 22
    • 65249118278 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does exposure to infectious diseases in infancy affect old-age mortality? Evidence from a pre-industrial population
    • Gagnon A, Mazan R,. 2009. Does exposure to infectious diseases in infancy affect old-age mortality? Evidence from a pre-industrial population. Soc Sci Med 68: 1609-1616.
    • (2009) Soc Sci Med , vol.68 , pp. 1609-1616
    • Gagnon, A.1    Mazan, R.2
  • 25
    • 84887476951 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Chapter 3: Colonies of sickness
    • Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. p.
    • Grob GN,. 2002. Chapter 3: Colonies of sickness. In: The deadly truth: a history of disease in America. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. p 48-69.
    • (2002) The Deadly Truth: A History of Disease in America , pp. 48-69
    • Grob, G.N.1
  • 26
    • 68949104964 scopus 로고
    • Partition regression
    • Guthery SB,. 1974. Partition regression. J Am Stat Assoc 69: 945-947.
    • (1974) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.69 , pp. 945-947
    • Guthery, S.B.1
  • 27
    • 24144442811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mortality displacement of heat-related deaths: A comparison of Delhi, São Paulo, and London
    • DOI 10.1097/01.ede.0000164559.41092.2a
    • Hajat S, Armstrong BG, Gouveia N, Wilkinson P,. 2005. Mortality displacement of health-related death: a comparison of Delhi, Sao Paulo, and London. Epidemiology 16: 613-620. (Pubitemid 41233614)
    • (2005) Epidemiology , vol.16 , Issue.5 , pp. 613-620
    • Hajat, S.1    Armstrong, B.G.2    Gouveia, N.3    Wilkinson, P.4
  • 30
    • 84887467864 scopus 로고
    • Background paper to first theme: An introduction to population crises
    • Charbonneau H. Larose A. editors. Liege: International Union for the Scientific Study of Population. p.
    • Hollingsworth TH,. 1979. Background paper to first theme: an introduction to population crises. In:, Charbonneau H, Larose A, editors. The great mortalities: methodological studies of demographic crises in the past. Liege: International Union for the Scientific Study of Population. p 17-28.
    • (1979) The Great Mortalities: Methodological Studies of Demographic Crises in the Past , pp. 17-28
    • Hollingsworth, T.H.1
  • 31
    • 10944251611 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Famine intensity and magnitude scales: A proposal for an instrumental definition of famine
    • Howe P, Devereux S,. 2004. Famine intensity and magnitude scales: a proposal for an instrumental definition of famine. Disasters 28: 353-372. (Pubitemid 40015123)
    • (2004) Disasters , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 353-372
    • Howe, P.1    Devereux, S.2
  • 32
    • 0037836100 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A matter of life and death: Population mortality and football results
    • DOI 10.1136/jech.57.6.429
    • Kirkup W, Merrick DW,. 2003. A matter of life death: population mortality and football results. J Epidemiol Commun Health 57: 429-432. (Pubitemid 36713005)
    • (2003) Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health , vol.57 , Issue.6 , pp. 429-432
    • Kirkup, W.1    Merrick, D.W.2
  • 33
    • 0027480938 scopus 로고
    • Outdoor air temperature and mortality in the Netherlands: A time-series analysis
    • Kunst AE, Looman CWN, Mackenbach JP,. 1993. Outdoor air temperature and mortality in the Netherlands: a time-series analysis. Am J Epidemiol 137: 331-341. (Pubitemid 23090467)
    • (1993) American Journal of Epidemiology , vol.137 , Issue.3 , pp. 331-341
    • Kunst, A.E.1    Looman, C.W.N.2    Mackenbach, J.P.3
  • 34
    • 0028490006 scopus 로고
    • The epidemiological transition theory (Editorials)
    • Mackenbach JP,. 1994. The epidemiological transition theory (Editorials). J Epidemiol Commun Health 48: 329-332.
    • (1994) J Epidemiol Commun Health , vol.48 , pp. 329-332
    • Mackenbach, J.P.1
  • 38
    • 84887433448 scopus 로고
    • The intensity of the mortality crises in Spain: An outline of their regional differences over time
    • Charbonneau H. Larose A. editors. Liege: International Union for the Scientific Study of Population. p.
    • Moreda VP,. 1979. The intensity of the mortality crises in Spain: an outline of their regional differences over time. In:, Charbonneau H, Larose A, editors. The great mortalities: methodological studies of demographic crises in the past. Liege: International Union for the Scientific Study of Population. p 179-227.
    • (1979) The Great Mortalities: Methodological Studies of Demographic Crises in the Past , pp. 179-227
    • Moreda, V.P.1
  • 39
    • 33845641295 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918-20 pandemic: A quantitative analysis
    • DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(06)69895-4, PII S0140673606698954
    • Murray CJL, Lopez AD, Chin B, Feehan D, Hill KH,. 2006. Estimation of potential global pandemic influenza mortality on the basis of vital registry data from the 1918-20 pandemic: a quantitative analysis. Lancet 368: 2211-2218. (Pubitemid 44959013)
    • (2006) Lancet , vol.368 , Issue.9554 , pp. 2211-2218
    • Murray, C.J.1    Lopez, A.D.2    Chin, B.3    Feehan, D.4    Hill, K.H.5
  • 41
    • 0000209313 scopus 로고
    • Experience with forecasting univariate time-series and the combination of forecasts
    • Newbold P, Granger CWJ,. 1974. Experience with forecasting univariate time-series and the combination of forecasts. J R Stat Soc Series A 137: 131-165
    • (1974) J R Stat Soc Series A , vol.137 , pp. 131-165
    • Newbold, P.1    Granger, C.W.J.2
  • 42
    • 0000264028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized additive distributed lag models: Quantifying mortality displacement
    • DOI 10.1093/biostatistics/1.3.279
    • Nobetti A, Ward MP, Schwartz J, Ryan LM,. 2000. Generalized addictive distribution lag models: quantifying mortality displacement. Biostatistics 1: 279-292. (Pubitemid 33213536)
    • (2000) Biostatistics Oxford , vol.1 , Issue.3 , pp. 279-292
    • Zanobetti, A.1    Wand, M.P.2    Schwartz, J.3    Ryan, L.M.4
  • 43
    • 0033677804 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 1918 influenza epidemic's effects on sex differentials in mortality in the United States
    • Noymer A, Garenne M,. 2000. The 1918 influenza epidemic's effects on sex differentials in mortality in the United States. Popul Dev Rev 26: 565-581.
    • (2000) Popul Dev Rev , vol.26 , pp. 565-581
    • Noymer, A.1    Garenne, M.2
  • 44
    • 0022884404 scopus 로고
    • The fourth stage of the epidemiologic transition: The age of delayed degenerative diseases
    • DOI 10.2307/3350025
    • Olshansky SJ, Ault B,. 1989. The fourth stage of the epidemiologic transition: the age of delayed degenerative diseases. Milbank Q 64: 355-391. (Pubitemid 17033055)
    • (1986) Milbank Quarterly , vol.64 , Issue.3 , pp. 355-391
    • Olshansky, S.J.1    Ault, A.B.2
  • 45
    • 0025910904 scopus 로고
    • Schizophrenia after prenatal exposure to 1957 A2 influenza epidemic
    • O'Callaghan E, Sham P, Take, N, Murray RM, Glover G,. 1991 Schizophrenia after prenatal exposure to 1957 A2 influenza epidemic. Lancet 337: 1248-1250.
    • (1991) Lancet , vol.337 , pp. 1248-1250
    • O'Callaghan, E.1    Sham, P.2    Take, N.3    Murray, R.M.4    Glover, G.5
  • 46
    • 0015133028 scopus 로고
    • The epidemiological transition: A theory of the epidemiology of population change
    • Omran AR,. 1971. The epidemiological transition: a theory of the epidemiology of population change. Milbank Memorial Fund Q 49: 509-538.
    • (1971) Milbank Memorial Fund Q , vol.49 , pp. 509-538
    • Omran, A.R.1
  • 47
    • 0017613199 scopus 로고
    • A century of epidemiologic transition in the United States
    • Omran AR,. 1977. A century of epidemiological transition in the United States. Prev Hygiene 6: 30-51. (Pubitemid 8082368)
    • (1977) Preventive Medicine , vol.6 , Issue.1 , pp. 30-51
    • Omran, A.R.1
  • 48
    • 0032223762 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The epidemiological transition theory revisited thirty years later
    • Omran AR,. 1998. The epidemiological transition theory revisited thirty years later. World Health Stat Q 51: 99-118.
    • (1998) World Health Stat Q , vol.51 , pp. 99-118
    • Omran, A.R.1
  • 49
    • 49649092218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transgenerational effects of prenatal exposure to the Dutch famine on neonatal adiposity and health in later life
    • Painter RC, Osmond C, Gluckman P, Hanson M, Phillips DIW, Roseboom TJ,. 2008 Transgenerational effects of prenatal exposure to the Dutch famine on neonatal adiposity and health in later life. BJOG 115: 1243-1249.
    • (2008) BJOG , vol.115 , pp. 1243-1249
    • Painter, R.C.1    Osmond, C.2    Gluckman, P.3    Hanson, M.4    Phillips, D.I.W.5    Roseboom, T.J.6
  • 50
    • 0025592241 scopus 로고
    • Assessing the levels and impact of mortality in crisis situations
    • Vallin J. D'Souza S. Palloni A. editors. Oxford: Clarendon Press. p.
    • Palloni A,. 1990. Assessing the levels and impact of mortality in crisis situations. In:, Vallin J, D'Souza S, Palloni A, editors. Measurement and analysis of mortality. Oxford: Clarendon Press. p 194-228.
    • (1990) Measurement and Analysis of Mortality , pp. 194-228
    • Palloni, A.1
  • 53
    • 0031694437 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Childhood conditions that predict survival to advanced ages among African-Americans
    • Preston SH, Hill ME, Drevenstedt GL,. 1998. Childhood conditions that predict survival to advanced ages among African-Americans. Soc Sci Med 47: 1234-1246.
    • (1998) Soc Sci Med , vol.47 , pp. 1234-1246
    • Preston, S.H.1    Hill, M.E.2    Drevenstedt, G.L.3
  • 54
    • 0035118785 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The 1918 Spanish influenza: Integrating history and biology
    • DOI 10.1016/S1286-4579(00)01351-4
    • Reid AH, Taubenberger JK, Fanning TG,. 2001. The 1918 Spanish influenza: integrating history and biology. Microbes Infect 3: 81-87. (Pubitemid 32172043)
    • (2001) Microbes and Infection , vol.3 , Issue.1 , pp. 81-87
    • Reid, A.H.1    Taubenberger, J.K.2    Fanning, T.G.3
  • 55
    • 0038394075 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rainfall, patio living, and crisis mortality in a small-scale society: The benefits of a tradition of scarcity?
    • Sawchuk LA,. 1996. Rainfall, patio living and crisis mortality in a small scale society: the benefits of a tradition of scarcity. Curr Anthropol 37: 863-867. (Pubitemid 126774819)
    • (1996) Current Anthropology , vol.37 , Issue.5 , pp. 863-867
    • Sawchuk, L.A.1
  • 57
    • 67650552861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rethinking the impact of the 1918 influenza pandemic on sex differentials in mortality
    • Sawchuk LA,. 2009. Rethinking the impact of the 1918 influenza pandemic on sex differentials in mortality. Am J Phys Anthropol 139: 584-590.
    • (2009) Am J Phys Anthropol , vol.139 , pp. 584-590
    • Sawchuk, L.A.1
  • 58
    • 84992606103 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Deconstructing an epidemic cholera in Gibraltar
    • Herring D.A. Swedlund A.C. editors. Oxford: Berg.
    • Sawchuk LA,. 2010. Deconstructing an epidemic cholera in Gibraltar. In:, Herring DA, Swedlund AC, editors. Plagues and epidemics. Oxford: Berg.
    • (2010) Plagues and Epidemics
    • Sawchuk, L.A.1
  • 60
    • 84887491270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Voluntariness of Exposure: Life in a convict station
    • Sawchuk LA, Tripp L, Mohan MM,. 2010. "Voluntariness of Exposure": life in a convict station. Prison J 20: 1-7.
    • (2010) Prison J , vol.20 , pp. 1-7
    • Sawchuk, L.A.1    Tripp, L.2    Mohan, M.M.3
  • 61
    • 0038654136 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Invited commentary: Timescale-dependent mortality effects of air pollutions
    • Smith RL,. 2003. Invited commentary: timescale-dependent mortality effects of air pollutions. Am J Epidemiol 157: 1066-1070.
    • (2003) Am J Epidemiol , vol.157 , pp. 1066-1070
    • Smith, R.L.1
  • 66
    • 39449123336 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The mortality impact of the August 2003 heat wave in France: Investigating the "harvesting" effect and other long-term consequences
    • Toulemon L, Barbieri M,. 2008. The mortality impact of the August 2003 heat wave in France: investigating the "harvesting" effect and other long-term consequences. Popul Stud 62: 39-53.
    • (2008) Popul Stud , vol.62 , pp. 39-53
    • Toulemon, L.1    Barbieri, M.2
  • 68
    • 4344561499 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Convergences and divergences in mortality. A new approach to health transition
    • Vallin J, Meslé F,. 2004. Convergences and divergences in mortality. A new approach to health transition. Demogr Res Special Collection 2: 11-44. (Pubitemid 39122525)
    • (2004) Demographic Research , vol.10 , Issue.SUPPL. 2 , pp. 11-44
    • Vallin, J.1    Mesle, F.2
  • 70
    • 10444261982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mortality in England during the 1783-4 Laki Craters eruption
    • DOI 10.1007/s00445-004-0357-7
    • Witham CS, Oppenheimer C,. 2005. Mortality in England during the 1783-4 Laki Crater eruption. Bull Volcanol 67: 15-26. (Pubitemid 39644914)
    • (2004) Bulletin of Volcanology , vol.67 , Issue.1 , pp. 15-26
    • Witham, C.S.1    Oppenheimer, C.2
  • 71
    • 33847135668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Was there a bacteriological revolution in late nineteenth-century medicine?
    • Worboys M,. 2007. Was there a bacteriological revolution in late nineteenth-century medicine? Stud His Phil Biol Biomed Sci 38: 20-42.
    • (2007) Stud His Phil Biol Biomed Sci , vol.38 , pp. 20-42
    • Worboys, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.