Climate change: An amplifier of existing health risks in developing countries

Environment, Development and Sustainability

Volumn 15, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 1425-1442

  Huynen, Maud M T E ^a   Martens, Pim ^a   Akin, Su Mia ^a  

^a MAASTRICHT UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Climate change; Developing countries; Food security; Health; Malaria; Malnutrition; Vulnerability

Indexed keywords

ADAPTATION; AGRICULTURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; DEVELOPING WORLD; DISEASE; FOOD SECURITY; GLOBAL WARMING; HEALTH RISK; MALARIA; MALNUTRITION; RISK FACTOR; VULNERABILITY;

EID: 84887199456     PISSN: 1387585X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10668-013-9450-4     Document Type: Review

References (113)

1. Abeku, T., De Vlas, S., Boorsboom, G., Tadege, A., Gebreyesus, Y., Gebreyohannes, H., et al. (2004). Effects of meteorological factors on epidemic malaria in Ethiopia: A statistical modelling approach based on theoretical reasoning. Parasitology, 128, 585-593.
2. Adger, W., & Winkels, A. (2007). Vulnerability, poverty and sustaining well-being. In G. Atkinson, S. Diets, & E. Neumayer (Eds.), Handbook of sustainable development. Cheltenham: Elgar.
3. Ainsworth, E., & Ort, D. (2010). How do we improve crop production in a warming world? Plant Physiology, 154, 526-530.
4. Albrecht, G., Freeman, S., & Higginbothman, N. (1998). Complexity and human health: The case for a transdisciplinary paradigm. Culture, Medicine and Psychiatry, 22, 55-92.
5. Artzy-Randrup, Y., Alonso, D., & Pascual, M. (2010). Transmission intensity and drug resistance in malaria population dynamics: Implications for climate change. PLoS One, 5, e13588.
6. Arya, N., Howard, J., Isaacs, S., McAllister, M., Murphy, S., Rapport, D., et al. (2009). Time for an ecosystem approach to public health? Lessons from two infectious disease outbreaks in Canada. Global Public Health, 4, 31-49.
7. Berrang-Ford, L., Maclean, J., Gyorkos, T., Ford, J., & Ogden, N. (2009). Climate change and malaria in Canada: A systems approach. Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases, 2009. Article ID 385487, 385413 pages.
8. Brown, M., & Funk, C. (2008). Food security under climate change. Science, 319, 580-581.
9. Canfalonieri, U., & McMichael, A. J. (Eds.). (2006). Global environmental change and human health: Science plan and implementation strategy: Earth System Science Partnership (ESSP report no. 4).
10. Chaves, L., & Koenraadt, C. (2010). Climate change and highland malaria: Fresh air for a hot debate. Quarterly Review of Biology, 85, 27-55.
11. Ciais, P., Reichstein, M., Viovy, N., Granier, A., Ogee, J., Allard, V., et al. (2005). Europe-wide reduction in primary productivity caused by the heat and drought in 2003. Nature, 437, 529-534.
12. Cohen, M. (2000). Changing patterns of infectious disease. Nature, 406(6797), 762-767.
13. Cohen, J., Smith, D., Cotter, C., Ward, A., Yamey, G., Sabot, O., et al. (2012). Malaria resurgence: A systematic review and assessment of its causes. Malaria Journal, 11, 122.
14. Colwell, R. R. (2004). Biocomplexity and a new public health domain. EcoHealth, 1, 6-7.
15. Comrie, A. (2007). Climate change and human health. Geography Compass, 1, 323-339.
16. Costello, A., Abbas, M., Allen, A., Ball, S., Bell, S., Bellamy, R., et al. (2009). Managing the health effects of climate change. Lancet, 373, 1693-1733.
17. Ebi, K. (2009). Managing the changing health risks of climate change. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 1, 107-110.
18. Ebi, K. (2011). Climate change and health risks: Assessing and responding to them through' adaptive management'. Health Affairs, 30, 924-930.
19. Ebi, K., Berry, P., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Corvalan, C., & Guillemot, J. (2011). Protecting health from climate change: Vulnerability and adaptation assessment. World Health Organization and Pan-American Health Organization.
20. Ermert, V., Fink, A., Morse, A., & Paeth, H. (2012). The impacts of regional climate change on malaria risk due to greenhouse gas forcing and land-use changes in tropical Africa. Environmental Health Perspectives, 120, 77-84.
21. FAO. (1996a). Food and international trade. Rome: Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations.
22. FAO. (1996b). Rome declaration on world food security. Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization.
23. FAO. (2003a). The state of food insecurity in the world 2003. Rome: Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations.
24. FAO. (2003b). Trade reforms and food security: Conceptualizing the linkages. Rome: Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations.
25. FAO. (2008). Soaring food prices: Facts, perspectives, impacts and actions required. The Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations. High-level conference on world food security: The challenges of climate change and bioenergy. Rome June 3-5, 2008.
26. FAO. (2009a). How to feed the world in 2050? Issues brief. High-level expert forum, Rome, 12-13 October 2009. Available at http://www. fao. org/fileadmin/templates/wsfs/docs/expert_paper/How_to_Feed_the_World_in_2050. pdf. Accessed 22 August, 2012.
27. FAO. (2009b). The state of agricultural commodity markets: High food prices and the food crisis- experiences and lessons learned. Rome: Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations.
28. FAO. (2010). The state of food insecurity in the world 2010. Rome: Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations.
29. FAO. (2011a). Climate change and food security in the context of the Cancun agreements. Submission by the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United nations to the 14th session of the UNFCCC's Ad Hoc Working Group on Long-Term Cooperative Action Under the Convention, in accordance with paragraph 1 of the Bali Action Plan.
30. FAO. (2011b). The state of food insecurity in the world 2011. Rome: Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations.
31. Gething, P., Smith, D., Patil, A., Tatem, A., Snow, R., & Hay, S. (2010). Climate change and the global malaria recession. Nature, 465, 342-345.
32. Gezondheidsraad. (2009). Mondiale milieu-invloed op onze gezondheid. Den Haag: Gezondheidsraad; publicatienr: 2009/15.
33. Hales, S., & Woodward, A. (2003). Climate change will increase demands on malaria control in Africa. The Lancet, 362, 1775-1776.
34. Hammond, R., & Dubé, L. (2012). A systems science perspective and transdisciplinary models for food and nutrition security. PNAS,. doi: 10. 1073/pnas. 0913003109.
35. Hay, S., Rogers, D., Randolph, S. E., Stern, D., Cox, J., Shanks, G., et al. (2002). Hot topic or hot air? Climate change an malaria resurgence in East African highlands. Trends in Parasitology, 18, 530-534.
36. Heady, D., & Fan, S. (2008). Anatomy of a crisis: The causes and consequences of surging food prices. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute.
37. Himeidan, Y., & Kweka, E. (2012). Malaria in East African highlands during the past 30 years: Impact of environmental changes. Frontiers in Physiology, 3, Article 315.
38. HLPE. (2012). Food security and climate change. Rome: A report by the High Level Panel of Expertise on Food Security and Nutrition of the Committee on World Food Security.
39. Howden, S., Soussana, J., Tubiello, F., Chhetri, N., Dunlop, M., & Meinke, H. (2007). Adapting agriculture to climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 104, 19691-19696.
40. Huynen, M. M. T. E. (2008). Future health in a globalising world. Maastricht: Universitaire Pers Maastricht.
41. Huynen, M. M. T. E., Martens, P., & Hilderink, H. B. M. (2005a). The health impacts of globalisation: A conceptual framework. Globalization and Health, 1, article number 14 (12 pages).
42. Huynen, M. M. T. E., Martens, P., & Hilderink, H. B. M. (2005b). The health impacts of globalisation: A conceptual framework. Bilthoven: Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP-RIVM).
43. Iglesias, A., Quiroga, S., & Diz, A. (2011). Looking into the future of agriculture in a changing climate. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 38, 427-447.
44. IPCC. (2000). Special report on emission scenarios. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
45. IPCC. (2001). Climate change 2001: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
46. IPCC. (2007a). Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
47. IPCC. (2007b). Climate change 2007: The scientific basis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
48. Kebede, A., McCann, J., & Ye-Ebiyo, Y. (2005). New evidence of the effects of agro-ecological change on malaria transmission. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 73, 676-680.
49. Kreft, S., Harmeling, S., Bals, C., Zachher, W., & van de Sand, L. (2010). The Millennium Development Goals and climate change: Taking stock and looking ahead. Bonn: Germanwatch.
50. Ladd, B. D., & Soskolne, C. L. (2008). A toolkit for ecoepidemiological enquiry under global ecological change. In C. L. Soskolne, L. Westra, L. J. Kotze, B. Mackey, W. E. Rees, & R. Westra (Eds.), Sustaining life on earth: Environmental and human health through global governance. Lanham: Lexington Books.
51. Lang, T. (1996). Food security: Does it conflict with globalisation? Development, 4, 45-50.
52. Linacre, E. (1992). Climate data and resources: A reference and guide. London: Routeledge.
53. Lindsay, S., & Martens, W. (1998). Malaria in the African highlands: Past, present and future. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 76, 33-45.
54. Lobell, D., & Field, C. (2007). Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impact of recent warming. Environmental Research Letters, 2, 014002.
55. Loevinsohn, M. (1994). Climatic warming and increased malaria incidence in Rwanda. The Lancet, 434, 714-718.
56. 2 concentrations. Science, 312, 1918-1921.
57. Martens, W. (1998). Health impacts of climate change and ozone depletion: An ecoepidemiologic modeling approach. Environmental Health Perspectives, 106(Suppl 1), 241-251.
58. Martens, P., Kovats, R., Nijhof, S., de Vries, P., Livermore, M., & Bradley, D. (1999). Climate change and future populations at risk of malaria. Global Environmental Change, S89-S107.
59. Martens, W., Niessen, L., Rotmans, J., Jetten, T., & McMichael, A. (1995). Potential impact of global climate change on malaria risk. Environmental Health Perspectives, 458-464.
60. Martens, P., & Thomas, C. (2005). Climate change and malaria risk: Complexity and scaling. In W. Takken, P. Martens, & R. Bogers (Eds.), Environmental change and malaria risk: global and local implications. Dordrecht: Springer.
61. Matola, Y., White, G., & Magayuka, S. (1987). The changed pattern of malaria endemicity and transmission at Amani in the eastern Usambara mountains, north-eastern Tanzania. Journal of Tropical Medicine Hygiene, 90, 127-134.
62. McLaren, L., & Hawe, P. (2005). Ecological perspectives in health research. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 59, 6-14.
63. McMichael, A. J. (1995). The health of persons, populations and planets: Epidemiology comes full circle. Epidemiology, 6, 633-636.
64. McMichael, A. J. (1999). Prisoners of the proximate: Loosening the constraints on epidemiology in an age of change. American Journal of Epidemiology, 10, 887-897.
65. McMichael, A. J. (2003). Global climate change: Will it affect vector-borne infectious disease. Internal Medicine Journal, 33, 554-555.
66. McMichael, A. J. (2004). Environmental and social influences on emerging infections: Past, present, and future. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 359(1447), 1049-1058.
67. McMichael, A. J. (2005). Detecting the health effects of environmental change: Scientific and political challenge. EcoHealth, 2, 1-3.
68. McMichael, C., Barnett, J., & McMichael, A. (2012). An ill wind? Climate change, migration and health. Environmental Health Perspectives, 120, 646-654.
69. McMichael, A., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Corvalan, C., Ebi, K., Githeki, A., Scheraga, J., et al. (Eds.). (2003). Climate change and human health: Risks and responses. Geneva: World Health Organization.
70. McMichael, A. J., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Kovats, R. S., Edwards, S., Wilkonson, P., Wilson, T., et al. (2004). Global climate change. In M. Ezzati, A. D. Lopez, A. Rodgers, & C. J. L. Murray (Eds.), Comparative quantification of health risks. Geneva: World Health Organization.
71. McMichael, A. J., & Woodruff, R. (2005). Detecting the health effects of environmental change: Scientific and political challenge. EcoHealth, 2, 1-3.
72. McMichael, A. J., Woodruff, R., & Hales, S. (2006). Climate change and human health: Present and future risks. The Lancet, 367, 859-869.
73. Mertz, O., Halsnaes, K., Olesen, J., & Rasmussen, K. (2009). Adaptation to climate change in developing countries. Environmental Management, 43, 743-752.
74. Morris, G. (2010). Ecological public health and climate change policy. Perspectives in Public Health, 130, 34-40.
75. Morse, S. (1995). Factors in the emergence of infectious diseases. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 1(1), 7-15.
76. Murray, C., Rosenfeld, L., Lim, S., Andrews, K., Foreman, K., Haring, D., et al. (2012). Global malaria mortality between 1980 and 2010: A systematic analysis. Lancet, 379, 413-431.
77. Nellemann, C., MacDevette, M., Manders, T., Eickhout, B., Svihus, B., Prins, A., et al. (2009). The environmental food crisis: The environment's role in adverting future food crises- a UNEP rapid response assessment. United Nations Environmental Programme.
78. Nzeadibe, T., Egbule, C., Chukwuone, N., Agwu, A., & Agu, V. (2012). Indigenous innovations for climate change adaptation in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 14, 901-914.
79. Padma, T., Bafana, B., & Nordling, L. (2011). Climate deal leaves questions on green fund and tech transfer. Nature News Comment. Publication date December 13, 2011. http://www. nature. com/news/climate-deal-leaves-questions-on-green-fund-and-tech-transfer-1. 9638. Last accessed November 12, 2012.
80. Parkes, M. W., Bienen, L., Breilh, J., Hsu, L., McDonald, M., Patz, J. A., et al. (2005). All hands on deck: transdisciplinary approaches to emerging infectious disease. EcoHealth, 2, 258-272.
81. Pascual, M., Ahumada, J., Chaves, L., Rodo, X., & Bouma, M. (2006). Malaria resurgence in the east African highlands: Temperature trends revisited. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 103, 5829-5834.
82. Pearce, N. (2004). The globalization of epidemiology: Introductory remarks. International Journal of Epidemiology, 33, 1-5.
83. Pearce, N., & Merletti, F. (2006). Complexity, simplicity, and epidemiology. International Journal of Epidemiology, 35, 515-519.
84. Pigott, D., Atun, R., Moyes, C., Hay, S., & Gething, P. (2012). Funding for malaria control 2006-2010: A comprehensive global assessment. Malaria Journal, 11, 246.
85. RBM Partnership (2008). The global malaria action plan: For a malaria-free world. Geneva: Roll Back Malaria Partnership, World Health Organization.
86. Ricci, F. (2012). Social implications of malaria and their relationships with poverty. Mediterranean Journal of Hematology and Infectious Diseases, 4, e2012048.
87. Rogers, D. J., & Randolph, S. E. (2000). The global spread of malaria in a future, warmer world. Science, 289, 1763-1765.
88. Schmidhuber, J., & Tubiello, F. (2007). Global food security under climate change. PNAS, 104, 19703-19708.
89. Soskolne, C., & Broemling, N. (2002). Eco-epidemiology: On the need to measure health effects from global change. Global Change & Human Health, 3(1), 58-66.
90. Soskolne, C., Butler, C., Ijsselmuiden, C., London, L., & von Schirnding, Y. (2007). Toward a global agenda for research in environmental epidemiology. Epidemiology and Society, 18(1), 162-166.
91. Stern, D., Gething, P., Kabaria, C., Temperly, W., Noor, A., Okiro, E., et al. (2011). Temperature and malaria trends in Highland East Africa. PLoS ONE, 6, e24524.
92. Susser, M., & Susser, E. (1996). Choosing a future for epidemiology: II. From black box to Chinese boxes and eco-epidemiology. American Journal of Public Health, 86, 674-677.
93. Sutherst, R. (2004). Global change and human vulnerability to vector-borne diseases. Clinical Microbiology Reviews, 17(1), 136-173.
94. Teklehaimanot, H., Lipsitch, M., Kteklehaimanot, A., & Schwartz, J. (2004). Weather-based prediction of Plasmodium falciparum malaria in epidemic-prone regions in Ethiopia. I. Patterns of lagged weather effects reflect biological mechanisms. Malaria Journal, 3, 41.
95. Tesi, M. (2011). Global warming and health: The issue of malaria in Eastern Africa's highlands. Africa initiative Discussion papers no. 2- August 2011. Africa Initiative and the Centre for International Governance Innovation.
96. Tubiello, F., & Fischer, G. (2006). Reducing climate change impacts on agriculture: Global and regional effects of mitigation, 2000-2080. Technological Forecasting and Social Change,. doi: 10. 1016/j. techfore. 2006. 1005. 1027.
97. UN. (1992). United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. http://unfccc. int/resource/docs/convkp/conveng. pdf. Last accessed November 12, 2012.
98. UN. (2009). UN general assembly panel discussion. Food production must double by 2050 to meet demand from world's growing population. United Nations.
99. UN. (2012a). Green Climate Fund. http://unfccc. int/cooperation_and_support/financial_mechanism/green_climate_fund/items/5869. php. Last accessed November 12, 2012.
100. UN. (2012b). The Millennium Development Goals report 2012. New York: Unite Nations.
101. UNDP, & UNEP. (2011). Mainstreaming climate change adaptation into development planning: A guide for practitioners. UNDP-UNEP poverty-environment initiative.
102. UNFCCC. (2012). Database on local coping strategies. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. http://maindb. unfccc. int/public/adaptation/. Last accessed November 12, 2012.
103. UNFCCC. (2013). Report of the Conference of the Parties on its eighteenth session, held in Doha from 26 November to 8 December 2012- Decision 6/CP. 18. Report of the Green Climate Fund to the Conference of the Parties and guidance to the Green Climate Fund United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
104. USGCRP. (2008). Analyses of the effects of global change on human health and welfare and human systems (SAP 4. 6). Washington, DC: Environmental Protection Agency.
105. van Lieshout, M., Kovats, R., Livermore, M., & Martens, P. (2004). Climate change and malaria: Analysis of the SRES climate and socio-economic scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 14, 87-99.
106. WB. (2010). The economics of adaptation to climate change: Synthesis report. Washington, DC: The World Bank.
107. WHO. (2002). The world health report 2002: Reducing risks, promoting healthy life. Geneva: World Health Organization.
108. WHO. (2009). Systems thinking for health systems strengthening. Geneva: World Health Organization.
109. WHO. (2011). World malaria report 2011. Geneva: World Health Organization.
110. Wilcox, B., & Colwell, R. (2005). Emerging and reemerging infectious diseases: Biocomplexity as an interdisciplinary paradigm. EcoHealth, 2, 244-257.
111. World Bank. (2009). World development report 2010: Development and climate change. Washington, DC: World Bank.
112. Ye-Ebiyo, Y., Pollcak, R., & Spielman, A. (2000). Enhanced development in nature of larval Anopheles arabiensis mosquitoes feeding on maize pollen. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 63, 90-93.
113. Zhou, G., Minakawa, N., Githeko, A., & Yan, G. (2004). Association between climate variability and malaria epidemics in the East African highlands. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 101, 2375-2380.