Allowing a wildfire to burn: Estimating the effect on future fire suppression costs

International Journal of Wildland Fire

Volumn 22, Issue 7, 2013, Pages 871-882

  Houtman, Rachel M ^a   Montgomery, Claire A ^a   Gagnon, Aaron R ^a   Calkin, David E ^b   Dietterich, Thomas G ^c   McGregor, Sean ^c   Crowley, Mark ^c  

^a OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b USDA Forest Service Forestry Science Lab   (United States)

^c Oregon State University   (United States)

Author keywords

bio economic modelling; forest economics; forest fire policy; wildland fire management

Indexed keywords

EID: 84886610571     PISSN: 10498001     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1071/WF12157     Document Type: Article

References (58)

1. Abt KL, Prestemon JP, Gebert KM (2009) Wildfire suppression cost forecasts for the US Forest Service. Journal of Forestry 107(4), 173-178
2. Agee JK, Skinner CN (2005) Basic principles of forest fuels reduction treatments. Forest Ecology and Management 211, 83-96. doi:10.1016/ J.FORECO.2005.01.034
3. Ager AA, Vaillant NM, FinneyMA (2010) A comparison of landscape fuel treatment strategies to mitigate wildland fire risk in the urban interface and preserve old forest structure. Forest Ecology and Management 259, 1556-1570. doi:10.1016/J.FORECO.2010.01.032
4. Althaus IA, Mills TJ (1982) Resource values in analyzing fire management programs for economic efficiency. USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Forest and Range Experiment Station, General Technical Report PSW-57. (Berkeley, CA
5. Anderson HE (1982) Aids to determining fuel models for estimating fire behavior. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, General Technical Report INT-122. (Ogden, UT
6. Andrews PL, Bevins CD, Seli RC (2005) BehavePlus fire modeling system, version 4.0: User's guide. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, General Technical Report RMRS-106WWW. (Ogden, UT
7. Barrett S, Havlina D, Jones J, Hann W, Frame C, Hamilton D, Schon K, Demeo T, Hutter L, Menakis J (2010) Interagency Fire Regime Condition Class guidebook. Version 3.0 (USDA Forest Service, USDI, and The Nature Conservancy) Available at http://www.frames.gov/partnersites/ frcc/frcc-guidebook-And-forms/ [Verified 14 March 2013]
8. Baumgartner DC, Simard AJ (1982) Wildland fire management economics: A state-of-The-Art review and bibliography. USDA Forest Service, North Central Forest Experiment Station, General Technical Report NC-72. (St Paul, MN
9. Bennett M (2002) 'Douglas-fir and Ponderosa Pine Yield Tables.' (Southern Oregon Research and Extension Center, Oregon State University: Corvallis, OR
10. Bork JL (1984) Fire history in three vegetation types on the eastern side of the Oregon Cascades. PhD dissertation, Oregon State University, Corvallis, O.R.
11. Bradshaw LS, Deeming JE, Burgan RE, Cohen JD (Eds) (1984) The 1978 National Fire-Danger Rating System: Technical documentation. USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station General Technical ReportINT-169. (Ogden, UT
12. Brown TJ, Hall BH, Westerling AL (2004) The impact of twenty-first century climate change on wildland fire danger in the western United States: An applications perspective. Climatic Change 62, 365-388. doi:10.1023/B:CLIM. 0000013680.07783.DE
13. Bunton DR (2000) Wildland fire and weather information data warehouse. In 'Proceedings of the Seventh Symposium on Systems Analysis in Forest Resources', 28-31 May 1997, Traverse City, MI. (Eds JM Vasievich, JS Fried, LA Leefers) pp. 1-7. Available at http://www.nrs. fs.fed.us/pubs/gtr/other/gtr-nc205/pdffiles/ p69.pdf [Verified 14 March 2013]
14. Calkin DE, Gebert KM (2006) Modeling fuel treatment costs on Forest Service lands in the western United States. Western Journal of Applied Forestry 21(4), 217-221
15. Calkin DE, Gebert KM, Jones JG, Neilson RP (2005) Forest service large fire area burned and suppression expenditure trends, 1970-2002. Journal of Forestry 104, 179-183
16. Calkin DE, Finney MA, Ager AA, Thompson MP, Gebert KG (2011) Progress towards and barriers to implementation of a risk framework for federal wildland fire policy and decision making in the United States. Forest Policy and Economics 13, 378-389. doi:10.1016/J.FORPOL. 2011.02.007
17. Carle D (2002) 'Burning Questions: America's Fight with Nature's Fire.' (Praeger Publishers: Westport, CN
18. COFMS (2009) Central Oregon fire management plan. USDA Forest Service, Central Oregon Fire Management Service, Deschutes National Forest. (Bend, OR
19. Dixon GE (Ed.) (2002) Essential FVS: A user's guide to the Forest Vegetation Simulator. USDA Forest Service, Forest Management Service Center, Internal Report. (Fort Collins, CO
20. Doane D, O'Laughlin J, Morgan P, MillerC (2006) Barriers to wildland fire use: A preliminary problem analysis. International Journal of Wilderness 12, 36-38
21. Donovan GH, Brown TC (2005) An alternative incentive structure for wildfire management on National Forest land. Forest Science 51, 387-395
22. Donovan GH, Brown TC (2007) Be careful what you wish for: The legacy of Smokey Bear. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 5(2), 73-79. doi:10.1890/1540-9295(2007)5[73:BCWYWF]2.0.CO;2
23. Emmingham WH, Oester PT, Fitzgerald SA, Filip GM, Edge WD (2005) 'Ecology and Management of Eastern Oregon Forests: A Comprehensive Manual for Forest Managers', Extension Services Manual 12. (Oregon State University: Corvallis, OR
24. ESRI (2011) 'ArcGIS Desktop: Release 10.0.' (Environmental Systems Research Institute: Redlands, CA
25. Everett RL, Schellhaas R, Keenum D, Spurbeck D, Ohlson P (2000) Fire history in the ponderosa pine/Douglas-fir forests on the east slope of the Washington Cascades. Forest Ecology and Management 129, 207-225. doi:10.1016/S0378-1127(99)00168-1
26. Finney MA (1998) FARSITE: Fire area simulator-model development and evaluation. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Research Paper RMRS-4. (Missoula, MT
27. Finney MA (2007) A computational method for optimizing fuel treatment locations. International Journal of Wildland Fire 16, 702-711. doi:10.1071/WF06063
28. Finney MA, McHugh CW, Grenfell IC (2005) Stand-And landscape-level effects of prescribed burning on two Arizona wildfires. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35, 1714-1722. doi:10.1139/X05-090
29. Finney MA, Grenfell IC, McHugh CW (2009) Modeling containment of large wildfires using generalized linear mixed-model analysis. Forest Science 55, 249-255
30. FinneyMA, Grenfell IC, McHughCW, Seli RC, TretheweyD, Stratton RD, Brittain S (2011) A method for ensemble wildland fire simulation. Environmental Modeling and Assessment 16, 153-167. doi:10.1007/ S10666-010-9241-3
31. Fontaine JB, Donato DC, Robinson WD, Law BE, Kauffman JB (2009) Bird communities following high-severity fire: Response to single and repeat fires in a mixed-evergreen forest, Oregon, USA. Forest Ecology and Management 257, 1496-1504. doi:10.1016/J.FORECO.2008. 12.030
32. Gebert KM, Calkin DE, Yoder J (2007) Estimating suppression expenditures for individual large wildland fires. Western Journal of Applied Forestry 22, 188-196
33. Givens GH, Hoeting JA (2005) 'Computational Statistics.' (Wiley: Hoboken, NJ
34. Hartsough BR, Abrams S, Barbour RJ, Drews ES, McIver JD, Moghaddes JJ, Schwilk DW, Stephens SL (2008) The economics of alternative fuel reduction treatments in western United States dry forests: Financial and policy implications from the National Fire and Fire Surrogate Study. Forest Policy and Economics 10, 344-354. doi:10.1016/J.FORPOL. 2008.02.001
35. Houtman RM (2011) Letting wildfires burn: Modeling the change in future suppression costs as the result of a suppress versus a let-burn management choice. MSc thesis, Oregon State University, Corvallis, O.R.
36. Hudak AT, Rickert I, Morgan P, Strand E, Lewis SA, Robichaud PR, Hoffman C, Holden ZA (2011) Review of fuel treatment effectiveness in forests and rangelands and a case study from the 2007 megafires in central Idaho, USA. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, General Technical Report RMRS-GTR-252. (Fort Collins, CO
37. Huggett RJ Jr, Abt KL, Shepperd W (2008) Efficacy of mechanical fuel treatments for reducing wildfire hazard. Forest Policy and Economics 10, 408-414. doi:10.1016/J.FORPOL.2008.03.003
38. Kalos MH, WhitlockPA (2008) 'Monte Carlo Methods.' (Wiley: New York
39. Kauffman JB (2004) Death rides the forest: Perceptions of fire, land use, and ecological restoration of western forests. Conservation Biology 18(4), 878-882. doi:10.1111/J.1523-1739.2004.545-1.X
40. Keyser CE (Ed.) (2008) South Central Oregon and North-east California (SO) variant overview-Forest Vegetation Simulator. USDA Forest Service, Forest Management Service Center, Internal Report, 2012 revision. (Fort Collins, CO
41. Kilgore B (1981) Fire in ecosystem distribution and structure: Western forests and scrublands. In 'Proceedings of the Conference: Fire Regimes and Ecosystem Properties', 11-15 December 1978, Honolulu, HI. (Eds HA Mooney, TM Bonnicksen, NL Christensen) USDA Forest Service, Washington Office, General Technical Report WO-GTR-26, pp. 58-89. (Washington, DC
42. Lasko R (2010) Implementing federal wildland fire policy-responding to change. Fire Management Today 70(1), 5-7
43. Miller C (2003) Wildland fire use: A wilderness perspective on fuel management. In 'Fire, Fuel Treatments, and Ecological Restoration', 16-18 April 2002, Fort Collins, CO. (Eds PN Omi, LA Joyce) USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station Conference Proceedings P-29, pp. 379-386. (Fort Collins, CO
44. NWCG (2001) Review and update of the 1995 federal wildland fire management policy, January 2001. National Interagency Fire Center. National Wildfire Coordinating Group. (Boise, ID) Available at http:// www.nwcg.gov/branches/ppm/fpc/archives/fire-policy/history/index. htm [Verified 15 March 2013]
45. Ohmann JL, Gregory MJ (2002) Predictive mapping of forest composition and structure with direct gradient analysis and nearest-neighbor imputation in coastal Oregon, USA. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 32, 725-741. doi:10.1139/X02-011
46. Pollet J, Omi PN (2002) Effect of thinning and prescribed burning on crown fire severity in ponderosa pine forests. International Journal of Wildland Fire 11, 1-10. doi:10.1071/WF01045
47. Powell WB (2009) What you should know about approximate dynamic programming. Naval Research Logistics 56, 239-249. doi:10.1002/ NAV.20347
48. Row C, Kaiser HR, Sessions J (1981) Discount rate for long-Term Forest Service investments. Journal of Forestry 79, 367-369, 376
49. Rummer B (2008) Assessing the cost of fuel reduction treatments: A critical review. Forest Policy and Economics 10, 355-362. doi:10.1016/J.FOR POL.2008.01.001
50. Schmidt KM, Menakis JP, Hardy CC, Hann WJ, Bunnell DL (2002) Development of coarse-scale spatial data for wildland fire and fuel management. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, General Technical Report RMRS-87. (Fort Collins, CO
51. Shuffield SD (2011) Overstory composition and stand structure shifts within inter-mixed ponderosa pine and lodgepole pine stands of the southcentral Oregon pumice zone. MSc thesis, Oregon State University, Corvallis, O.R.
52. Sparhawk WN (1925) The use of liability ratings in planning forest fire protection. Journal of Agricultural Research 30, 693-761
53. Stratton RD (2004) Assessing the effectiveness of landscape fuel treatments of fire growth and behavior. Journal of Forestry 102, 32-40
54. USDA Forest Service (2000) Forest inventory and analysis national core field guide, volume 1: Field data collection procedures for phase 2 plots, version 1.6. USDA Forest Service, Washington Office, Forest Inventory and Analysis, Internal Report. (Washington, DC
55. USDA Forest Service Deschutes National Forest (1990) Forest management direction. In 'Deschutes Forest Plan-1990'. Ch. 4, pp. 4-1-4-202. Available at http://www.fs.usda.gov/Internet/FSE-DOCUMENTS/ stelprdb5347268.pdf [Verified 15 March 2013]
56. USDL (2011) Producer price indexes. (US Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics) Available at http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/ WPU00000000?output-view=pct-1mth [Verified 15 March 2013]
57. Weaver H (1943) Fire as an ecological and silvicultural factor in the ponderosa pine region of the Pacific Slope. Journal of Forestry 41, 7-14
58. Wei Y (2012) Optimize landscape fuel treatment locations to create control opportunities for future fires. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 42, 1002-1014. doi:10.1139/X2012-051