Multi-model climate projections of ocean surface variables under different climate scenarios-Future change of waves, sea level and wind

Ocean Engineering

Volumn 71, Issue , 2013, Pages 122-129

  Mori, Nobuhito ^a   Shimura, Tomoya ^a   Yasuda, Tomohiro ^a   Mase, Hajime ^a  

^a KYOTO UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Climate change; CMIP3; Ocean wave; Sea level rise; Statistical projection

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE; CLIMATE MODELS; EARTH ATMOSPHERE; OCEAN ENGINEERING; OCEANOGRAPHY; SEA LEVEL; SURFACE WATERS; WATER WAVES; WIND;

ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; CMIP3; METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH INSTITUTES; MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE; SEA LEVEL RISE; STANDARD DEVIATION; STATISTICAL PROJECTION; SURFACE WIND SPEED;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL; ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE PREDICTION; DATA SET; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; OCEAN WAVE; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; SEA SURFACE; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; SURFACE PRESSURE; WAVE HEIGHT; WIND VELOCITY;

JAPAN;

EID: 84885383854     PISSN: 00298018     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.02.016     Document Type: Article

References (26)

1. Caires, S., Swail, V., Wang, X., 2006. Projection and analysis of extreme wave climate. J. Climate 19 (21), 5581-5605. (Pubitemid 44817038)
2. Church, J., White, N., 2006. A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33 (1), L01602.
3. Church, J., White, N., Konikow, L., Domingues, C., Cogley, J., Rignot, E., Gregory, J., van den Broeke, M., Monaghan, A., Velicogna, I., 2011. Revisiting the earth's sea-level and energy budgets from 1961 to 2008. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38 (18), L18601.
4. ERA-40, 2005. ECMWF 40 Year Re-analysis. URL: ?http://www.ecmwf.int/ products/ data/archive/descriptions/e4/?.
5. Gregory, J., Church, J., Boer, G., Dixon, K., Flato, G., Jackett, D., Lowe, J., O'Farrell, S., Roeckner, E., Russell, G., et al., 2001. Comparison of results from several AOGCMs for global and regional sea-level change 1900-2100. Climate Dyn. 18 (3), 225-240.
6. Gulev, S., Grigorieva, V., 2004. Last century changes in ocean wind wave height from global visual wave data. Geophys. Res. Lett. 31 (24), L24302.
7. Hemer, M., McInnes, K., Ranasinghe, R., 2012. Climate and variability bias adjustment of climate model-derived winds for a southeast Australian dynamical wave model. Ocean Dyn., 1-18.
8. Hemer, M.A., Fan, Y., Mori, N., Semedo, A., Wang, X.L. Projected changes in wave climate from a multi-model ensemble, Nature Climate Change, http://dx.doi. org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.02.016, in press.
9. IPCC, 2007. IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). ?http://www.ipcc.ch/?.
10. Kitoh, A., Ose, T., Kurihara, K., Kusunoki, S., Sugi, M., 2009. KAKUSHIN Team-3 Modeling Group, 2009. Projection of changes in future weather extremes using super-high-resolution global and regional atmospheric models in the KAKUSHIN program: results of preliminary experiments. Hydrol. Res. Lett. 3, 49-53.
11. Knutson, T., McBride, J., Chan, J., Emanuel, K., Holland, G., Landsea, C., Held, I., Kossin, J., Srivastava, A., Sugi, M., 2010. Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nat. Geosci. 3 (3), 157-163.
12. Kuriyama, Y., Banno, M., Suzuki, T., 2012. Linkages among interannual variations of shoreline wave, and climate at Hasaki, Japan. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39 (6), L06604.
13. Meehl, G., Covey, C., Delworth, T., Latif, M., McAvaney, B., Mitchell, J., Stouffer, R., Taylor, K., 2007a. The WCRP CMIP3 multi-model dataset: a new era in climate change research. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 88, 1383-1394. (Pubitemid 47616759)
14. Meehl, G., Stocker, T., Collins, W., Friedlingstein, P., Gaye, A., Gregory, J., Kitoh, A., Knutti, R., Murphy, J., Noda, A., Raper, S., Watterson, I., Weaver, A., Zhao, Z.-C., 2007b. Global climate projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
15. Menéndez, M., Méndez, F., Losada, I., Graham, N., 2008. Variability of extreme wave heights in the northeast Pacific Ocean based on buoy measurements. Geophys. Res. Lett. 35 (22), L22607.
16. Mori, N., 2012. Projection of future tropical cyclone characteristics based on statistical model. In: Cyclones Formation, Triggers and Control. Nova Science Publishers, pp. 249-270.
17. Mori, N., Shimura, T., Yasuda, T., Mase, H. Direct projection of future extreme wave climate and influence of tropical cyclone activity in the northwest pacific ocean. Ocean Modelling, submitted for publication.
18. Mori, N., Yasuda, T., Mase, H., Tom, T., Oku, Y., 2010. Projection of extreme wave climate change under global warming. Hydrol. Res. Lett. 4, 15-19.
19. PCMDI, 2007. Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI). URL: ?https://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/?.
20. Suh, K., Kim, S., Mori, N., Mase, H., 2012. Effect of climate change on performance-based design of caisson breakwaters. J. Waterw. Port Coastal Ocean Eng. 138 (3), 215-225.
21. Tebaldi, C., Knutti, R., 2007. The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A: Math. Phys. Eng. Sci. 365 (1857), 2053-2075.
22. Uppala, S., Kållberg, P., Simmons, A., Andrae, U., Bechtold, V., Fiorino, M., Gibson, J., Haseler, J., Hernandez, A., Kelly, G., et al., 2005. The ERA-40 re-analysis. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 131 (612), 2961-3012. (Pubitemid 43186171)
23. Wang, X., Swail, V., 2006. Climate change signal and uncertainty in projections of ocean wave heights. Climate Dyn. 26 (2), 109-126. (Pubitemid 43224998)
24. Wang, X., Swail, V., Cox, A., 2010. Dynamical versus statistical downscaling methods for ocean wave heights. Int. J. Climatol. 30 (3), 317-332.
25. Weigel, A.P., Knutti, R., Liniger, M.A., Appenzeller, C., 2010. Risks of model weighting in multimodel climate projections. J. Climate 23 (15), 4175-4191.
26. Weisse, R., Günther, H., 2007. Wave climate and long-term changes for the southern north sea obtained from a high-resolution hindcast 1958-2002. Ocean Dyn. 57 (3), 161-172. (Pubitemid 46996700)