메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 27 B, Issue , 2011, Pages 87-178

Markov switching in portfolio choice and asset pricing models: A survey

(1)  Guidolin, Massimo a  

a NONE

Author keywords

Markov switching; No arbitrage pricing; Price of regime risk; Regimes; Risk return trade off; Volatility feedback

Indexed keywords


EID: 84885130853     PISSN: 07319053     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book Series    
DOI: 10.1108/S0731-9053(2011)000027B005     Document Type: Review
Times cited : (15)

References (131)
  • 1
    • 21844484174 scopus 로고
    • Exact solutions for expected rates of return under Markov regime switching: Implications for the equity premium
    • Abel, A. (1994). Exact solutions for expected rates of return under Markov regime switching: Implications for the equity premium. Journal ofMoney, Credit, and Banking, 26, 345-361.
    • (1994) Journal OfMoney, Credit, and Banking , vol.26 , pp. 345-361
    • Abel, A.1
  • 2
    • 0036353532 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International asset allocation with regime shifts
    • Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2002a). International asset allocation with regime shifts. Review of Financial Studies, 15, 1137-1187.
    • (2002) Review of Financial Studies , vol.15 , pp. 1137-1187
    • Ang, A.1    Bekaert, G.2
  • 5
    • 15844399071 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How regimes affect asset allocation
    • March/April
    • Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2004). How regimes affect asset allocation. Financial Analysts Journal, 60(March/April), 86-99.
    • (2004) Financial Analysts Journal , vol.60 , pp. 86-99
    • Ang, A.1    Bekaert, G.2
  • 6
    • 41649100866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Term structure of real rates and expected inflation
    • Ang, A., Bekaert, G., & Wei, M. (2008). Term structure of real rates and expected inflation. Journal of Finance, 63, 797-849.
    • (2008) Journal of Finance , vol.63 , pp. 797-849
    • Ang, A.1    Bekaert, G.2    Wei, M.3
  • 8
    • 0001261043 scopus 로고
    • Risk premiums in the term structure: Evidence from artificial economies
    • Backus, D., Gregory, A., & Zin, S. (1989). Risk premiums in the term structure: Evidence from artificial economies. Journal of Monetary Economics, 24, 371-399.
    • (1989) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.24 , pp. 371-399
    • Backus, D.1    Gregory, A.2    Zin, S.3
  • 9
    • 33846321215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated
    • Bae, J., Kim, C. J., & Nelson, C. (2007). Why are stock returns and volatility negatively correlated? Journal of Empirical Finance, 14, 41-58.
    • (2007) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.14 , pp. 41-58
    • Bae, J.1    Kim, C.J.2    Nelson, C.3
  • 10
    • 21144458942 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Volatility spillover effects in European equity markets
    • Baele, L. (2005). Volatility spillover effects in European equity markets. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 40, 373-401.
    • (2005) Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis , vol.40 , pp. 373-401
    • Baele, L.1
  • 11
  • 12
    • 7444243982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regime-shifts, risk premiums in the term structure, and the business cycle
    • Bansal, R., Tauchen, G., & Zhou, H. (2004). Regime-shifts, risk premiums in the term structure, and the business cycle. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 22, 396-409.
    • (2004) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.22 , pp. 396-409
    • Bansal, R.1    Tauchen, G.2    Zhou, H.3
  • 13
    • 4344674622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risks for the long-run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles
    • Bansal, R., & Yaron, A. (2004). Risks for the long-run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles. Journal of Finance, 59, 1481-1509.
    • (2004) Journal of Finance , vol.59 , pp. 1481-1509
    • Bansal, R.1    Yaron, A.2
  • 14
    • 0038463332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Term structure of interest rates with regime shifts
    • Bansal, R., & Zhou, H. (2002). Term structure of interest rates with regime shifts. Journal of Finance, 57, 1997-2043.
    • (2002) Journal of Finance , vol.57 , pp. 1997-2043
    • Bansal, R.1    Zhou, H.2
  • 15
    • 0039179796 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investing for the long run when returns are predictable
    • Barberis, N. (2000). Investing for the long run when returns are predictable. Journal of Finance, 55, 225-264.
    • (2000) Journal of Finance , vol.55 , pp. 225-264
    • Barberis, N.1
  • 16
    • 33646382246 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rare disasters and asset markets in the twentieth century
    • Barro, R. (2006). Rare disasters and asset markets in the twentieth century. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121, 823-866.
    • (2006) Quarterly Journal of Economics , vol.121 , pp. 823-866
    • Barro, R.1
  • 18
    • 0033270691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asymmetric volatility and risk in equity markets
    • Bekaert, G., & Wu, G. (2000). Asymmetric volatility and risk in equity markets. Review of Financial Studies, 13, 1-42.
    • (2000) Review of Financial Studies , vol.13 , pp. 1-42
    • Bekaert, G.1    Wu, G.2
  • 20
    • 84885095459 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monetary policy regimes and the term structure of interest rates
    • Bikbov, R., & Chernov, M. (2008). Monetary policy regimes and the term structure of interest rates. CEPR Discussion Paper no. DP7096.
    • (2008) CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7096
    • Bikbov, R.1    Chernov, M.2
  • 21
    • 0001366584 scopus 로고
    • Capital market equilibrium with restricted borrowing
    • Black, F. (1972). Capital market equilibrium with restricted borrowing. Journal of Business, 45, 444-445.
    • (1972) Journal of Business , vol.45 , pp. 444-445
    • Black, F.1
  • 23
    • 0036854963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The performance of non-linear exchange rate models: A forecasting comparison
    • Boero, G., & Marrocu, E. (2002). The performance of non-linear exchange rate models: A forecasting comparison. Journal of Forecasting, 21, 513-542.
    • (2002) Journal of Forecasting , vol.21 , pp. 513-542
    • Boero, G.1    Marrocu, E.2
  • 24
    • 84986349349 scopus 로고
    • Can a well-fitted equilibrium asset pricing model produce mean reversion
    • Bonomo, M., & Garcia, R. (1994). Can a well-fitted equilibrium asset pricing model produce mean reversion? Journal of Applied Econometrics, 9, 19-29.
    • (1994) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.9 , pp. 19-29
    • Bonomo, M.1    Garcia, R.2
  • 25
    • 0030243487 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consumption and equilibrium asset pricing: An empirical assessment
    • Bonomo, M., & Garcia, R. (1996). Consumption and equilibrium asset pricing: An empirical assessment. Journal of Empirical Finance, 3, 239-265.
    • (1996) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.3 , pp. 239-265
    • Bonomo, M.1    Garcia, R.2
  • 26
    • 78650538628 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generalized disappointment aversion, long-run volatility risk, and asset prices
    • Bonomo, M., Garcia, R., Meddahi, N., & Tedongap, R. (2011). Generalized disappointment aversion, long-run volatility risk, and asset prices. Review of Financial Studies, 24, 82-122.
    • (2011) Review of Financial Studies , vol.24 , pp. 82-122
    • Bonomo, M.1    Garcia, R.2    Meddahi, N.3    Tedongap, R.4
  • 27
    • 0344970549 scopus 로고
    • The empirical implications of the cox, ingersoll, ross theory of the term structure of interest rates
    • Brown, S., & Dybvig, P. (1986). The empirical implications of the cox, ingersoll, ross theory of the term structure of interest rates. Journal of Finance, 41, 617-630.
    • (1986) Journal of Finance , vol.41 , pp. 617-630
    • Brown, S.1    Dybvig, P.2
  • 28
    • 0036889359 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Are the gains from international equity portfolio diversification exaggerated? The influence of downside risk in bear markets
    • Butler, K., & Joaquim, D. (2002). Are the gains from international equity portfolio diversification exaggerated? The influence of downside risk in bear markets. Journal of International Money and Finance, 21, 981-1011.
    • (2002) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.21 , pp. 981-1011
    • Butler, K.1    Joaquim, D.2
  • 29
    • 0011831909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting multifractal volatility
    • Calvet, L., & Fisher, A. (2001). Forecasting multifractal volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 105, 27-58.
    • (2001) Journal of Econometrics , vol.105 , pp. 27-58
    • Calvet, L.1    Fisher, A.2
  • 30
    • 0036022601 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multifractality in asset returns: Theory and evidence
    • Calvet, L., & Fisher, A. (2002). Multifractality in asset returns: Theory and evidence. Review of Economics and Statistics, 84, 381-406.
    • (2002) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.84 , pp. 381-406
    • Calvet, L.1    Fisher, A.2
  • 31
    • 29144479773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How to forecast long-run volatility: Regime-switching and the estimation of multifractal processes
    • Calvet, L., & Fisher, A. (2004). How to forecast long-run volatility: Regime-switching and the estimation of multifractal processes. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2, 49-83.
    • (2004) Journal of Financial Econometrics , vol.2 , pp. 49-83
    • Calvet, L.1    Fisher, A.2
  • 33
    • 0032771542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • By force of habit: A consumption-based explanation of aggregate stock market behavior
    • Campbell, J., & Cochrane, J. (1999). By force of habit: A consumption-based explanation of aggregate stock market behavior. Journal of Political Economy, 107, 205-251.
    • (1999) Journal of Political Economy , vol.107 , pp. 205-251
    • Campbell, J.1    Cochrane, J.2
  • 35
    • 0000007521 scopus 로고
    • The dividend-price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors
    • Campbell, J., & Shiller, R. (1988). The dividend-price ratio and expectations of future dividends and discount factors. Review of Financial Studies, 1, 195-227.
    • (1988) Review of Financial Studies , vol.1 , pp. 195-227
    • Campbell, J.1    Shiller, R.2
  • 36
    • 84959821636 scopus 로고
    • Yield spreads and interest rate movements: A bird's eye view
    • Campbell, J., & Shiller, R. (1991). Yield spreads and interest rate movements: A bird's eye view. Review of Economic Studies, 58, 495-514.
    • (1991) Review of Economic Studies , vol.58 , pp. 495-514
    • Campbell, J.1    Shiller, R.2
  • 38
    • 0000113741 scopus 로고
    • Mean reversion in equilibrium asset prices
    • Cecchetti, S., Lam, P., & Mark, N. (1990). Mean reversion in equilibrium asset prices. American Economic Review, 80, 398-418.
    • (1990) American Economic Review , vol.80 , pp. 398-418
    • Cecchetti, S.1    Lam, P.2    Mark, N.3
  • 39
    • 0000013018 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asset pricing with distorted beliefs: Are equity returns too good to be true
    • Cecchetti, S., Lam, P., & Mark, N. (2000). Asset pricing with distorted beliefs: Are equity returns too good to be true? American Economic Review, 90, 787-805.
    • (2000) American Economic Review , vol.90 , pp. 787-805
    • Cecchetti, S.1    Lam, P.2    Mark, N.3
  • 40
    • 0003122168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation and comparison of multiple change-point models
    • Chib, S. (1998). Estimation and comparison of multiple change-point models. Journal of Econometrics, 86, 221-241.
    • (1998) Journal of Econometrics , vol.86 , pp. 221-241
    • Chib, S.1
  • 41
    • 20444418725 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Asset pricing
    • Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Cochrane, J., & Piazzesi, M. (2005)
    • Cochrane, J. (2005). Asset pricing. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Cochrane, J., & Piazzesi, M. (2005). Bond risk premia. American Economic Review, 95, 138-160.
    • (2005) Bond Risk Premia. American Economic Review , vol.95 , pp. 138-160
    • Cochrane, J.1
  • 42
    • 84936823769 scopus 로고
    • Capital market equilibrium with transaction costs
    • Constantinides, G. (1986). Capital market equilibrium with transaction costs. Journal of Political Economy, 94, 842-862.
    • (1986) Journal of Political Economy , vol.94 , pp. 842-862
    • Constantinides, G.1
  • 43
    • 0000334217 scopus 로고
    • An intertemporal general equilibrium model of asset prices
    • Cox, J., Ingersoll, J., & Ross, S. (1985). An intertemporal general equilibrium model of asset prices. Econometrica, 53, 363-384.
    • (1985) Econometrica , vol.53 , pp. 363-384
    • Cox, J.1    Ingersoll, J.2    Ross, S.3
  • 44
    • 0036221014 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Expectations puzzles, time-varying risk premia, and affine models of the term structure
    • Dai, Q., & Singleton, K. (2002). Expectations puzzles, time-varying risk premia, and affine models of the term structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 63, 415-441.
    • (2002) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.63 , pp. 415-441
    • Dai, Q.1    Singleton, K.2
  • 45
    • 0042788861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Term structure dynamics in theory and reality
    • Dai, Q., & Singleton, K. (2003). Term structure dynamics in theory and reality. Review of Financial Studies, 16, 631-678.
    • (2003) Review of Financial Studies , vol.16 , pp. 631-678
    • Dai, Q.1    Singleton, K.2
  • 47
    • 0031312301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fluctuating confidence in stock markets: Implications for returns and volatility
    • David, A. (1997). Fluctuating confidence in stock markets: Implications for returns and volatility. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 32, 427-462.
    • (1997) Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis , vol.32 , pp. 427-462
    • David, A.1
  • 51
    • 21244459875 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representation formulas for Malliavin derivatives of diffusion processes
    • Detemple, J., Garcia, R., & Rindisbacher, M. (2005). Representation formulas for Malliavin derivatives of diffusion processes. Finance and Stochastics, 9, 349-367.
    • (2005) Finance and Stochastics , vol.9 , pp. 349-367
    • Detemple, J.1    Garcia, R.2    Rindisbacher, M.3
  • 52
    • 0042674102 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nonlinear pricing Kernels, Kurtosis preference, and evidence from the cross section of equity returns
    • Dittmar, R. (2002). Nonlinear pricing Kernels, Kurtosis preference, and evidence from the cross section of equity returns. Journal of Finance, 57, 369-403.
    • (2002) Journal of Finance , vol.57 , pp. 369-403
    • Dittmar, R.1
  • 53
  • 54
    • 0041589839 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Term premia and interest rate forecasts in affine models
    • Duffee, G. (2002). Term premia and interest rate forecasts in affine models. Journal of Finance, 57, 405-443.
    • (2002) Journal of Finance , vol.57 , pp. 405-443
    • Duffee, G.1
  • 56
    • 0000230606 scopus 로고
    • Long swings in the dollar: Are they in the data and do markets know it
    • Engel, C., & Hamilton, J. (1990). Long swings in the dollar: Are they in the data and do markets know it? American Economic Review, 80, 689-713.
    • (1990) American Economic Review , vol.80 , pp. 689-713
    • Engel, C.1    Hamilton, J.2
  • 57
    • 0000842941 scopus 로고
    • Substitution risk aversion and the temporal behavior of consumption and asset returns: A theoretical framework
    • Epstein, L., & Zin, S. (1989). Substitution risk aversion and the temporal behavior of consumption and asset returns: A theoretical framework. Econometrica, 57, 937-968.
    • (1989) Econometrica , vol.57 , pp. 937-968
    • Epstein, L.1    Zin, S.2
  • 58
    • 21844497579 scopus 로고
    • Do long-term swings in the dollar affect estimates of the risk premia
    • Evans, M., & Lewis, K. (1995a). Do long-term swings in the dollar affect estimates of the risk premia? Review of Financial Studies, 8, 709-742.
    • (1995) Review of Financial Studies , vol.8 , pp. 709-742
    • Evans, M.1    Lewis, K.2
  • 59
    • 84993907289 scopus 로고
    • Do expected shifts in inflation affect estimates of the long-run Fisher relation
    • Evans, M., & Lewis, K. (1995b). Do expected shifts in inflation affect estimates of the long-run Fisher relation? Journal of Finance, 50, 225-253.
    • (1995) Journal of Finance , vol.50 , pp. 225-253
    • Evans, M.1    Lewis, K.2
  • 60
    • 0000064728 scopus 로고
    • The information in long-maturity forward rates
    • Fama, E., & Bliss, R. (1987). The information in long-maturity forward rates. American Economic Review, 77, 680-692.
    • (1987) American Economic Review , vol.77 , pp. 680-692
    • Fama, E.1    Bliss, R.2
  • 61
    • 18044399313 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stationarity of Multivariate Markov-Switching ARMA Models
    • Francq, C., & Zakoan, J.-M. (2001). Stationarity of Multivariate Markov-Switching ARMA Models. Journal of Econometrics, 102, 339-364.
    • (2001) Journal of Econometrics , vol.102 , pp. 339-364
    • Francq, C.1    Zakoan, J.-M.2
  • 63
    • 0000815950 scopus 로고
    • Investor diversification and international equity markets
    • French, K., & Poterba, J. (1991). Investor diversification and international equity markets. American Economic Review, 81, 222-226.
    • (1991) American Economic Review , vol.81 , pp. 222-226
    • French, K.1    Poterba, J.2
  • 65
    • 0000738539 scopus 로고
    • Intrinsic bubbles: The case of stock prices
    • Froot, K., & Obstfeld, M. (1991). Intrinsic bubbles: The case of stock prices. American Economic Review, 81, 1189-1214.
    • (1991) American Economic Review , vol.81 , pp. 1189-1214
    • Froot, K.1    Obstfeld, M.2
  • 68
    • 0030525596 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An analysis of the real interest rates under regime shifts
    • Garcia, R., & Perron, P. (1996). An analysis of the real interest rates under regime shifts. Review of Economics and Statistics, 78, 111-125.
    • (1996) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.78 , pp. 111-125
    • Garcia, R.1    Perron, P.2
  • 69
    • 84993601065 scopus 로고
    • On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks
    • Glosten, L., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48, 1779-1801.
    • (1993) Journal of Finance , vol.48 , pp. 1779-1801
    • Glosten, L.1    Jagannathan, R.2    Runkle, D.3
  • 70
    • 33845313926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Econometric specifications of stochastic discount factor models
    • Gourieroux, C., & Monfort, A. (2007). Econometric specifications of stochastic discount factor models. Journal of Econometrics, 136, 509-530.
    • (2007) Journal of Econometrics , vol.136 , pp. 509-530
    • Gourieroux, C.1    Monfort, A.2
  • 71
    • 0030242133 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the conditional distribution of interest rates as a regime-switching process
    • Gray, S. (1996). Modeling the conditional distribution of interest rates as a regime-switching process. Journal of Financial Economics, 42, 27-62.
    • (1996) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.42 , pp. 27-62
    • Gray, S.1
  • 72
    • 84914513057 scopus 로고
    • The determinants of the variability of stock market prices
    • Grossman, S., & Shiller, R. (1981). The determinants of the variability of stock market prices. American Economic Review, 71, 222-227.
    • (1981) American Economic Review , vol.71 , pp. 222-227
    • Grossman, S.1    Shiller, R.2
  • 73
    • 84885130853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Markov switching in portfolio choice and asset pricing models: A Survey in missing data methods: Time-series methods and applications
    • Guidolin, M. (2011). Markov switching in portfolio choice and asset pricing models: A Survey in missing data methods: Time-series methods and applications. Advances in Econometrics, 27B, 87-178.
    • (2011) Advances in Econometrics , vol.27 B , pp. 87-178
    • Guidolin, M.1
  • 74
    • 84885145333 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? A longhorizon strategic asset allocation perspective
    • Guidolin, M., & Hyde, S. (2010). Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? A longhorizon strategic asset allocation perspective. Working paper No. 608, Manchester Business School.
    • (2010) Working Paper No. 608, Manchester Business School
    • Guidolin, M.1    Hyde, S.2
  • 75
    • 84896508899 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations: Regime switching: An application to predictable US returns
    • In: M. Wohar & D. Rapach (Eds.) Bingley, UK: Emerald Publishing Ltd. & Elsevier Press
    • Guidolin, M., & Na, F.-Z. (2008). The economic and statistical value of forecast combinations: Regime switching: An application to predictable US returns. In: M. Wohar & D. Rapach (Eds.), Forecasting in the presence of structural breaks and model uncertainty (pp. 595-657). Bingley, UK: Emerald Publishing Ltd. & Elsevier Press.
    • (2008) Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty , pp. 595-657
    • Guidolin, M.1    Na, F.-Z.2
  • 76
    • 54949104352 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Small caps in international equity portfolios: The effects of variance risk
    • Guidolin, M., & Nicodano, G. (2009). Small caps in international equity portfolios: The effects of variance risk. Annals of Finance, 5, 15-48.
    • (2009) Annals of Finance , vol.5 , pp. 15-48
    • Guidolin, M.1    Nicodano, G.2
  • 77
    • 80053536108 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regime shifts in mean-variance efficient frontiers: Some international evidence
    • Guidolin, M., & Ria, F. (2011). Regime shifts in mean-variance efficient frontiers: Some international evidence. Journal of Asset Management, forthcoming.
    • (2011) Journal of Asset Management, Forthcoming
    • Guidolin, M.1    Ria, F.2
  • 78
    • 72149089596 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Simple model of trading and pricing risky assets under ambiguity: Any lessons for policy-makers
    • Guidolin, M., & Rinaldi, F. (2010). A Simple model of trading and pricing risky assets under ambiguity: Any lessons for policy-makers? Applied Financial Economics, 20, 105-135.
    • (2010) Applied Financial Economics , vol.20 , pp. 105-135
    • Guidolin, M.1    Rinaldi, F.2
  • 79
    • 13344262667 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic implications of bull and bear regimes in UK stock and bond returns
    • Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2005). Economic implications of bull and bear regimes in UK stock and bond returns. Economic Journal, 115, 111-143.
    • (2005) Economic Journal , vol.115 , pp. 111-143
    • Guidolin, M.1    Timmermann, A.2
  • 80
    • 33644808061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns
    • Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2006a). An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 21, 1-22.
    • (2006) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.21 , pp. 1-22
    • Guidolin, M.1    Timmermann, A.2
  • 82
    • 41549128421 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International asset allocation under regime switching, skew and Kurtosis preferences
    • Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2008). International asset allocation under regime switching, skew and Kurtosis preferences. Review of Financial Studies, 21, 889-935.
    • (2008) Review of Financial Studies , vol.21 , pp. 889-935
    • Guidolin, M.1    Timmermann, A.2
  • 83
    • 21144448250 scopus 로고
    • Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity and changes in regime
    • Hamilton, J., & Susmel, R. (1994). Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity and changes in regime. Journal of Econometrics, 64, 307-333.
    • (1994) Journal of Econometrics , vol.64 , pp. 307-333
    • Hamilton, J.1    Susmel, R.2
  • 84
    • 0033443992 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An investigation of the risk and return relation at long horizons
    • Harrison, P., & Zhang, H. (1999). An investigation of the risk and return relation at long horizons. Review of Economics and Statistics, 81, 1-10.
    • (1999) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.81 , pp. 1-10
    • Harrison, P.1    Zhang, H.2
  • 85
    • 0040186059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditional skewness in asset pricing tests
    • Harvey, C., & Siddique, A. (2000). Conditional skewness in asset pricing tests. Journal of Finance, 55, 1263-1295.
    • (2000) Journal of Finance , vol.55 , pp. 1263-1295
    • Harvey, C.1    Siddique, A.2
  • 86
    • 0038648769 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal portfolio choice for unobservable and regime-switching mean returns
    • Honda, T. (2003). Optimal portfolio choice for unobservable and regime-switching mean returns. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28, 45-78.
    • (2003) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , vol.28 , pp. 45-78
    • Honda, T.1
  • 87
    • 84993917417 scopus 로고
    • The interaction between nonexpected utility and asymmetric market fundamentals
    • Hung, M.-W. (1994). The interaction between nonexpected utility and asymmetric market fundamentals. Journal of Finance, 49, 325-343.
    • (1994) Journal of Finance , vol.49 , pp. 325-343
    • Hung, M.-W.1
  • 89
    • 0000781833 scopus 로고
    • Expectations and volatility of consumption and asset returns
    • Kandel, S., & Stambaugh, R. (1990). Expectations and volatility of consumption and asset returns. Review of Financial Studies, 3, 207-232.
    • (1990) Review of Financial Studies , vol.3 , pp. 207-232
    • Kandel, S.1    Stambaugh, R.2
  • 90
    • 3142673060 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is there a positive relationship between stock market volatility and the equity premium
    • Kim, C.-J., Morley, J., & Nelson, C. (2004). Is there a positive relationship between stock market volatility and the equity premium. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 36, 336-360.
    • (2004) Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking , vol.36 , pp. 336-360
    • Kim, C.-J.1    Morley, J.2    Nelson, C.3
  • 93
    • 84977716937 scopus 로고
    • Disentangling coefficient of relative risk aversion from elasticity of intertemporal substitution: An irrelevance result
    • Kocherlakota, N. (1990). Disentangling coefficient of relative risk aversion from elasticity of intertemporal substitution: An irrelevance result. Journal of Finance, 45, 175-191.
    • (1990) Journal of Finance , vol.45 , pp. 175-191
    • Kocherlakota, N.1
  • 94
    • 0001072531 scopus 로고
    • Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory
    • Kreps, D., & Porteus, K. (1978). Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory. Econometrica, 46, 185-200.
    • (1978) Econometrica , vol.46 , pp. 185-200
    • Kreps, D.1    Porteus, K.2
  • 96
    • 0001843717 scopus 로고
    • The present-value relation: Tests based on implied variance bounds
    • Le Roy, S., & Porter, R. (1981). The present-value relation: Tests based on implied variance bounds. Econometrica, 49, 555-574.
    • (1981) Econometrica , vol.49 , pp. 555-574
    • Le Roy, S.1    Porter, R.2
  • 97
    • 0035681734 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A cross-sectional test when risk premia are time-varying
    • Lettau, M., & Ludvigson, S. (2001). Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A cross-sectional test when risk premia are time-varying. Journal of Political Economy, 109, 1238-1287.
    • (2001) Journal of Political Economy , vol.109 , pp. 1238-1287
    • Lettau, M.1    Ludvigson, S.2
  • 98
    • 49449105428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The declining equity premium: What role does macroeconomic risk play
    • Lettau, M., Ludvigson, S., & Wachter, J. (2008). The declining equity premium: What role does macroeconomic risk play? Review of Financial Studies, 21, 1653-1687.
    • (2008) Review of Financial Studies , vol.21 , pp. 1653-1687
    • Lettau, M.1    Ludvigson, S.2    Wachter, J.3
  • 99
    • 79151476253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic portfolio choice under ambiguity and regime switching mean returns
    • Liu, H. (2011). Dynamic portfolio choice under ambiguity and regime switching mean returns. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 35, 623-640.
    • (2011) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , vol.35 , pp. 623-640
    • Liu, H.1
  • 100
    • 0001173683 scopus 로고
    • Data-snooping biases in tests of financial asset pricing models
    • Lo, A., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1989). Data-snooping biases in tests of financial asset pricing models. Review of Financial Studies, 3, 175-208.
    • (1989) Review of Financial Studies , vol.3 , pp. 175-208
    • Lo, A.1    Mackinlay, A.C.2
  • 101
    • 0000150312 scopus 로고
    • Asset prices in an exchange economy
    • Lucas, R. (1978). Asset prices in an exchange economy. Econometrica, 46, 1426-1446.
    • (1978) Econometrica , vol.46 , pp. 1426-1446
    • Lucas, R.1
  • 102
    • 0040362508 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability and transaction costs: The impact on rebalancing rules and behavior
    • Lynch, A., & Balduzzi, P. (2000). Predictability and transaction costs: The impact on rebalancing rules and behavior. Journal of Finance, 55, 2285-2309.
    • (2000) Journal of Finance , vol.55 , pp. 2285-2309
    • Lynch, A.1    Balduzzi, P.2
  • 103
    • 4344588670 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the market risk premium
    • Mayfield, S. (2004). Estimating the market risk premium. Journal of Financial Economics, 73, 465-496.
    • (2004) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.73 , pp. 465-496
    • Mayfield, S.1
  • 105
    • 0011090049 scopus 로고
    • Optimal consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model
    • Merton, R. (1971). Optimal consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model. Journal of Economic Theory, 3, 373-413.
    • (1971) Journal of Economic Theory , vol.3 , pp. 373-413
    • Merton, R.1
  • 106
    • 0001738730 scopus 로고
    • An intertemporal asset pricing model
    • Merton, R. (1973). An intertemporal asset pricing model. Econometrica, 41, 867-888.
    • (1973) Econometrica , vol.41 , pp. 867-888
    • Merton, R.1
  • 107
    • 85025724501 scopus 로고
    • On estimating the expected return on the market: An exploratory investigation
    • Merton, R. (1980). On estimating the expected return on the market: An exploratory investigation. Journal of Financial Economics, 8, 323-361.
    • (1980) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.8 , pp. 323-361
    • Merton, R.1
  • 109
    • 0003769414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Yield curve dynamics with discrete shifts in economic regimes: Theory and estimation
    • University of British Columbia
    • Naik, V., & Lee, M. (1997). Yield curve dynamics with discrete shifts in economic regimes: Theory and estimation. Working paper, University of British Columbia.
    • (1997) Working Paper
    • Naik, V.1    Lee, M.2
  • 110
    • 71949101986 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Good times or bad times? Investors' uncertainty and stock returns
    • Ozoguz, A. (2009). Good times or bad times? Investors' uncertainty and stock returns. Review of Financial Studies, 22, 4377-4422.
    • (2009) Review of Financial Studies , vol.22 , pp. 4377-4422
    • Ozoguz, A.1
  • 111
    • 0013084399 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Firm size and cyclical variations in stock returns
    • Perez-Quiros, G., & Timmermann, A. (2000). Firm size and cyclical variations in stock returns. Journal of Finance, 55, 1229-1262.
    • (2000) Journal of Finance , vol.55 , pp. 1229-1262
    • Perez-Quiros, G.1    Timmermann, A.2
  • 112
    • 3042666555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On Markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and dividends
    • Psaradakis, Z., Sola, M., & Spagnolo, N. (2004). On Markov error-correction models, with an application to stock prices and dividends. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19, 69-88.
    • (2004) Journal of Applied Econometrics , vol.19 , pp. 69-88
    • Psaradakis, Z.1    Sola, M.2    Spagnolo, N.3
  • 113
    • 0000845056 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Volatility and cross correlation across major stock markets
    • Ramchand, L., & Susmel, R. (1998). Volatility and cross correlation across major stock markets. Journal of Empirical Finance, 5, 397-416.
    • (1998) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.5 , pp. 397-416
    • Ramchand, L.1    Susmel, R.2
  • 114
    • 45549121696 scopus 로고
    • The equity premium: A solution
    • Rietz, T. (1988). The equity premium: A solution. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 117-131.
    • (1988) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.22 , pp. 117-131
    • Rietz, T.1
  • 115
    • 0000314743 scopus 로고
    • Lifetime portfolio selection by dynamic stochastic programming
    • Samuelson, P. (1969). Lifetime portfolio selection by dynamic stochastic programming. Review of Economics and Statistics, 51, 239-246.
    • (1969) Review of Economics and Statistics , vol.51 , pp. 239-246
    • Samuelson, P.1
  • 116
    • 84977707955 scopus 로고
    • Why does stock market volatility change over time
    • Schwert, G. (1989). Why does stock market volatility change over time? Journal of Finance, 44, 1115-1153.
    • (1989) Journal of Finance , vol.44 , pp. 1115-1153
    • Schwert, G.1
  • 117
    • 0000893807 scopus 로고
    • Do stock prices move too much to be justified by subsequent changes in dividends
    • Shiller, R. (1981). Do stock prices move too much to be justified by subsequent changes in dividends? American Economic Review, 71, 421-436.
    • (1981) American Economic Review , vol.71 , pp. 421-436
    • Shiller, R.1
  • 119
    • 0013203621 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Has the business cycle changed? Evidence and explanations
    • In: M. Gertler & K. Rogoff (Eds.) Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
    • Stock, J., & Watson, M. (2003). Has the business cycle changed? Evidence and explanations. In: M. Gertler & K. Rogoff (Eds.), NBER macroeconomics annual: 2002. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
    • (2003) NBER Macroeconomics Annual: 2002
    • Stock, J.1    Watson, M.2
  • 121
    • 0002226418 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Moments of Markov switching models
    • Timmermann, A. (2000). Moments of Markov switching models. Journal of Econometrics, 96, 75-111.
    • (2000) Journal of Econometrics , vol.96 , pp. 75-111
    • Timmermann, A.1
  • 122
    • 77954871696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is regime switching in stock returns important in portfolio decisions
    • Tu, J. (2010). Is regime switching in stock returns important in portfolio decisions? Management Science, 56, 1198-1215.
    • (2010) Management Science , vol.56 , pp. 1198-1215
    • Tu, J.1
  • 123
    • 38249004914 scopus 로고
    • A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market
    • Turner, C., Startz, R., & Nelson, C. (1989). A Markov model of heteroskedasticity, risk, and learning in the stock market. Journal of Financial Economics, 25, 3-22.
    • (1989) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.25 , pp. 3-22
    • Turner, C.1    Startz, R.2    Nelson, C.3
  • 124
    • 0348198164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selecting a nonlinear time series model using weighted tests of equal forecast accuracy
    • van Dijk, D., & Franses, P. H. (2003). Selecting a nonlinear time series model using weighted tests of equal forecast accuracy. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 65, 727-744.
    • (2003) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics , vol.65 , pp. 727-744
    • Van Dijk, D.1    Franses, P.H.2
  • 126
    • 0033407259 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock market overreaction to bad news in good times: A rational expectations equilibrium model
    • Veronesi, P. (1999). Stock market overreaction to bad news in good times: A rational expectations equilibrium model. Review of Financial Studies, 12, 975-1007.
    • (1999) Review of Financial Studies , vol.12 , pp. 975-1007
    • Veronesi, P.1
  • 128
    • 38249004563 scopus 로고
    • The equity premium puzzle and the risk-free rate puzzle
    • Weil, P. (1989). The equity premium puzzle and the risk-free rate puzzle. Journal of Monetary Economics, 24, 401-421.
    • (1989) Journal of Monetary Economics , vol.24 , pp. 401-421
    • Weil, P.1
  • 129
    • 84993911684 scopus 로고
    • Time variations and covariations in the expectation and volatility of stock market returns
    • Whitelaw, R. (1994). Time variations and covariations in the expectation and volatility of stock market returns. Journal of Finance, 49, 515-541.
    • (1994) Journal of Finance , vol.49 , pp. 515-541
    • Whitelaw, R.1
  • 130
    • 0034377199 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stock market risk and return: An equilibrium approach
    • Whitelaw, R. (2000). Stock market risk and return: An equilibrium approach. Review of Financial Studies, 13, 521-547.
    • (2000) Review of Financial Studies , vol.13 , pp. 521-547
    • Whitelaw, R.1
  • 131
    • 84885148506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An econometric model of the term structure of interest rates under regime-switching risk
    • University of Kansas
    • Wu, S., & Zeng, Y. (2008). An econometric model of the term structure of interest rates under regime-switching risk. Working paper, University of Kansas.
    • (2008) Working Paper
    • Wu, S.1    Zeng, Y.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.