메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 371, Issue 2001, 2013, Pages

Warm climates of the past-a lesson for the future?

Author keywords

Future climate; Modelling; Palaeoclimate; Proxy data

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELS; EARTH (PLANET); MODELS; PAPER; PHILOSOPHICAL ASPECTS;

EID: 84884838925     PISSN: 1364503X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2013.0146     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (29)

References (51)
  • 1
    • 77952255924 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ocean overturning since the late cretaceous: Inferences from a new benthic foraminiferal isotope compilation
    • doi:10.1029/2008PA001683
    • Cramer BS, Toggweiler JR, Wright JD, Katz ME, Miller KG. 2009 Ocean overturning since the Late Cretaceous: inferences from a new benthic foraminiferal isotope compilation. Paleoceanography 24, 4216. (doi:10.1029/2008PA001683).
    • (2009) Paleoceanography , vol.24 , pp. 4216
    • Cramer, B.S.1    Toggweiler, J.R.2    Wright, J.D.3    Katz, M.E.4    Miller, K.G.5
  • 2
    • 84866086717 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Model-data comparison for a multi-model ensemble of early eocene atmosphere-ocean simulations: EOMIP
    • (doi:10.5194/cp-8-1717-2012)
    • Lunt DJ et al. 2012 A model-data comparison for a multi-model ensemble of early Eocene atmosphere-ocean simulations: EoMIP. Clim. Past 8, 1717-1736. (doi:10.5194/cp-8-1717-2012).
    • (2012) Clim. Past , vol.8 , pp. 1717-1736
    • Lunt, D.J.1
  • 3
    • 20844442767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A pliocene-pleistocene stack of 57 globally distributed benthic δ18o records
    • doi:10.1029/2004PA001071
    • Lisiecki LE, Raymo ME. 2005 A Pliocene-Pleistocene stack of 57 globally distributed benthic δ18O records. Paleoceanography 20, PA1003. (doi:10.1029/2004PA001071).
    • (2005) Paleoceanography , vol.20
    • Lisiecki, L.E.1    Raymo, M.E.2
  • 4
    • 84873824668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Large-scale features of pliocene climate: Results from the pliocene model intercomparison project
    • doi:10.5194/cp-9-191-2013
    • Haywood AM et al. 2013 Large-scale features of Pliocene climate: results from the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project. Clim. Past 9, 191-209. (doi:10.5194/cp-9-191-2013).
    • (2013) Clim. Past , vol.9 , pp. 191-209
    • Haywood, A.M.1
  • 5
    • 3042531958 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • EPICA Community Members., core., (doi:10.1038/nature02599
    • EPICA Community Members. 2004 Eight glacial cycles from an Antarctic ice core. Nature 429, 623-628. (doi:10.1038/nature02599).
    • (2004) Eight Glacial Cycles from An Antarctic Ice , vol.429 , pp. 623-628
  • 6
    • 84881190310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multi-model assessment of last interglacial temperatures
    • doi:10.5194/cp-9-699-2013
    • Lunt DJ et al. 2013 A multi-model assessment of last interglacial temperatures. Clim. Past 9, 699-717. (doi:10.5194/cp-9-699-2013).
    • (2013) Clim. Past , vol.9 , pp. 699-717
    • Lunt, D.J.1
  • 8
    • 70349219415 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 100 Million years of antarctic climate evolution: Evidence from fossil plants
    • eds AK Cooper, P Barrett, H Stagg, B Storey, E Stump, W Wise, 10th ISAES editorial team), Washington, DC: National Academies Press
    • Francis J, Ashworth A, Cantrill D, Crame J, Howe J, Stephens R, Tosolini A-M, Thorn V. 2008 100 million years of Antarctic climate evolution: evidence from fossil plants. In Antarctica:A keystone in a changing world (eds AK Cooper, P Barrett, H Stagg, B Storey, E Stump, W Wise, 10th ISAES editorial team), pp. 19-27. Washington, DC: National Academies Press.
    • (2008) Antarctica:A Keystone in a Changing World , pp. 19-27
    • Francis, J.1    Ashworth, A.2    Cantrill, D.3    Crame, J.4    Howe, J.5    Stephens, R.6    Tosolini, A.-M.7    Thorn, V.8
  • 9
    • 82755163398 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The early eocene equable climate problem revisited
    • doi:10.5194/cp-7-603-2011
    • Huber M, Caballero R. 2011 The early Eocene equable climate problem revisited. Clim. Past 7, 603-633. (doi:10.5194/cp-7-603-2011).
    • (2011) Clim. Past , vol.7 , pp. 603-633
    • Huber, M.1    Caballero, R.2
  • 10
    • 79960016583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Convergent cenozoic co2 history
    • doi:10.1038/ngeo1186
    • Beerling D, Royer D. 2011 Convergent Cenozoic CO2 history. Nat. Geosci. 4, 418-420. (doi:10.1038/ngeo1186).
    • (2011) Nat. Geosci. , vol.4 , pp. 418-420
    • Beerling, D.1    Royer, D.2
  • 11
    • 0024924051 scopus 로고
    • Forcing of late cenozoic northern hemisphere climate by plateau uplift in southern Asia and the american west
    • 427. (doi:10.1029/JD094iD15p18409
    • Ruddiman WF, Kutzbach JE. 1989 Forcing of late Cenozoic Northern Hemisphere climate by plateau uplift in southern Asia and the American West. J. Geophys. Res. 94, 18 409-18 427. (doi:10.1029/JD094iD15p18409).
    • (1989) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.94 , Issue.18 , pp. 409-418
    • Ruddiman, W.F.1    Kutzbach, J.E.2
  • 12
    • 0024525908 scopus 로고
    • Model simulation of the cretaceous ocean circulation
    • doi:10.1126/science.244.4905.684
    • Barron EJ, Peterson WH. 1990 Model simulation of the Cretaceous ocean circulation. Science 244, 684-686. (doi:10.1126/science.244.4905.684).
    • (1990) Science , vol.244 , pp. 684-686
    • Barron, E.J.1    Peterson, W.H.2
  • 13
    • 84873862548 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does antarctic glaciation cool the world?
    • doi:10.5194/cp-9-173-2013
    • Goldner A, Huber M, Caballero R. 2013 Does Antarctic glaciation cool the world? Clim. Past 9, 173-189. (doi:10.5194/cp-9-173-2013).
    • (2013) Clim. Past , vol.9 , pp. 173-189
    • Goldner, A.1    Huber, M.2    Caballero, R.3
  • 14
    • 0000523437 scopus 로고
    • Cenozoic evolution of antarctic glaciation, the circum-antarctic oceans and their impact on global paleoceanography
    • doi:10.1029/JC082i027p03843
    • Kennett JP. 1977 Cenozoic evolution of Antarctic glaciation, the circum-Antarctic oceans and their impact on global paleoceanography. J. Geophys. Res. 82, 3843-3859. (doi:10.1029/JC082i027p03843).
    • (1977) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.82 , pp. 3843-3859
    • Kennett, J.P.1
  • 15
    • 0037448570 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rapid cenozoic glaciation of Antarctica induced by declining atmospheric CO2
    • doi:10.1038/nature01290
    • DeConto RM, Pollard D. 2003 Rapid Cenozoic glaciation of Antarctica induced by declining atmospheric CO2. Nature 421, 245-249. (doi:10.1038/ nature01290).
    • (2003) Nature , vol.421 , pp. 245-249
    • Deconto, R.M.1    Pollard, D.2
  • 16
    • 50649099926 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Late pliocene Greenland glaciation controlled by a decline in atmospheric CO2 levels
    • doi:10.1038/nature07223
    • Lunt DJ, Foster GL, Haywood AM, Stone EJ. 2008 Late Pliocene Greenland glaciation controlled by a decline in atmospheric CO2 levels. Nature 454, 1102-1105. (doi:10.1038/nature07223).
    • (2008) Nature , vol.454 , pp. 1102-1105
    • Lunt, D.J.1    Foster, G.L.2    Haywood, A.M.3    Stone, E.J.4
  • 17
    • 79959908208 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pollen-based continental climate reconstructions at 6 and 21 ka:A global synthesis
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0904-1
    • Bartlein EJ et al. 2010 Pollen-based continental climate reconstructions at 6 and 21 ka:A global synthesis. Clim. Dyn. 37, 775-802. (doi:10.1007/s00382- 010-0904-1).
    • (2010) Clim. Dyn. , vol.37 , pp. 775-802
    • Bartlein, E.J.1
  • 18
    • 0035568910 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Holocene variations in the global hydrological cycle quantified by objective gridding of lake level databases
    • 716. (doi:10.1029/2000JD000237
    • Viau AE, Gajewski K. 2002 Holocene variations in the global hydrological cycle quantified by objective gridding of lake level databases. J. Geophys. Res. 106, 31 703-31 716. (doi:10.1029/2000JD000237).
    • (2002) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.106 , Issue.31 , pp. 703-731
    • Viau, A.E.1    Gajewski, K.2
  • 19
    • 0031393784 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The greening of sahara during the mid-holocene: Results of an interactive atmosphere-biome model
    • doi:10.2307/2997337
    • Claussen M, Gayler V. 1997 The greening of Sahara during the mid-Holocene: results of an interactive atmosphere-biome model. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. Lett. 6, 369-377. (doi:10.2307/2997337).
    • (1997) Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. Lett. , vol.6 , pp. 369-377
    • Claussen, M.1    Gayler, V.2
  • 21
    • 84872976669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Eemian interglacial reconstructed froma Greenland folded ice core
    • NEEM communitymembers., (doi:10.1038/nature11789
    • NEEM communitymembers. 2013 Eemian interglacial reconstructed froma Greenland folded ice core. Nature 493, 489-494. (doi:10.1038/nature11789).
    • (2013) Nature , vol.493 , pp. 489-494
  • 22
    • 72449162041 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic assessment of sea level during the last interglacial stage
    • doi:10.1038/nature08686
    • Kopp RE, Simons FJ, Mitrovica JX, Maloof AC, Oppenheimer M. 2009 Probabilistic assessment of sea level during the last interglacial stage. Nature 462, 863-867. (doi:10.1038/nature08686).
    • (2009) Nature , vol.462 , pp. 863-867
    • Kopp, R.E.1    Simons, F.J.2    Mitrovica, J.X.3    Maloof, A.C.4    Oppenheimer, M.5
  • 23
    • 84863747317 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ice volume and sea level during the last interglacial
    • doi:10.1126/science.1205749
    • Dutton A, Lambeck K. 2012 Ice volume and sea level during the last interglacial. Science 337, 216-219. (doi:10.1126/science.1205749).
    • (2012) Science , vol.337 , pp. 216-219
    • Dutton, A.1    Lambeck, K.2
  • 26
    • 84884867902 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-resolution alkenone palaeobarometry indicates relatively stable PCO2 during the pliocene (3.3-2.8 ma)
    • (doi:10.1098/rsta.2013.0094
    • Badger MPS, Schmidt DN, Mackenson A, Pancost RD. 2013 High-resolution alkenone palaeobarometry indicates relatively stable pCO2 during the Pliocene (3.3-2.8 Ma). Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 371, 20130094. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2013.0094) .
    • (2013) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A , vol.371 , pp. 20130094
    • Badger, M.P.S.1    Schmidt, D.N.2    Mackenson, A.3    Pancost, R.D.4
  • 27
    • 81755166577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Atmospheric CO2 decline during the pliocene intensification of northern hemisphere glaciations
    • doi:10.1029/2010PA002055
    • Bartoli G, Honisch B, Zeebe RE. 2011 Atmospheric CO2 decline during the Pliocene intensification of Northern Hemisphere glaciations. Paleoceanography 26, PA4213. (doi:10.1029/2010PA002055).
    • (2011) Paleoceanography , vol.26
    • Bartoli, G.1    Honisch, B.2    Zeebe, R.E.3
  • 28
    • 84884851265 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate sensitivity, sea level and atmospheric carbon dioxide
    • (doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0294
    • Hansen J, Sato M, Russell G, Kharecha P. 2013 Climate sensitivity, sea level and atmospheric carbon dioxide. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 371, 20120294. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0294).
    • (2013) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. a , vol.371 , pp. 20120294
    • Hansen, J.1    Sato, M.2    Russell, G.3    Kharecha, P.4
  • 29
    • 84870265706 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity
    • Palaeosens projectmembers)., (doi:10.1038/nature11574
    • Rohling EJ et al. (Palaeosens projectmembers). 2012 Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity. Nature 491, 683-691. (doi:10.1038/nature11574).
    • (2012) Nature , vol.491 , pp. 683-691
    • Rohling, E.J.1
  • 31
    • 79952170856 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dependency of feedbacks on forcing and climate state in physics parameter ensembles
    • doi:10.1175/2011JCLI3954.1
    • Yoshimori M, Julia CH, James DA, Tokuta Y, Ayako A-O. 2011 Dependency of feedbacks on forcing and climate state in physics parameter ensembles. J. Clim. 24, 6440-6455. (doi:10.1175/2011JCLI3954.1).
    • (2011) J. Clim. , vol.24 , pp. 6440-6455
    • Yoshimori, M.1    Julia, C.H.2    James, D.A.3    Tokuta, Y.4    Ayako, A.-O.5
  • 33
    • 84884890299 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of the palaeocene-eocene thermal maximum climate to cloud properties
    • (doi:10.1098/rsta.2013.0093
    • Kiehl JT, Shields CA. 2013 Sensitivity of the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum climate to cloud properties. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 371, 20130093. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2013.0093).
    • (2013) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. a , vol.371 , pp. 20130093
    • Kiehl, J.T.1    Shields, C.A.2
  • 34
    • 79960784998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • La2010:A new orbital solution for the longterm motion of the earth
    • doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201116836
    • Laskar J, Fienga A, Gastineau M, Manche H. 2011 La2010:A new orbital solution for the longterm motion of the Earth. Astron. Astrophys. 532, A89. (doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201116836).
    • (2011) Astron. Astrophys , vol.532 , Issue.A89
    • Laskar, J.1    Fienga, A.2    Gastineau, M.3    Manche, H.4
  • 35
    • 43749104945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-resolution carbon dioxide concentration record 650, 000-800, 000 years before present
    • doi:10.1038/nature06949
    • Lüthi D et al. 2008 High-resolution carbon dioxide concentration record 650, 000-800, 000 years before present. Nature 453, 379-382. (doi:10.1038/nature06949).
    • (2008) Nature , vol.453 , pp. 379-382
    • Lüthi, D.1
  • 36
    • 78149387792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does the agulhas current amplify global temperatures during super-interglacials?
    • doi:10.1002/jqs.1423
    • Turney CSM, Jones RT. 2010 Does the Agulhas current amplify global temperatures during super-interglacials? J. Quat. Sci. 25, 839-843. (doi:10.1002/jqs.1423).
    • (2010) J. Quat. Sci. , vol.25 , pp. 839-843
    • Turney, C.S.M.1    Jones, R.T.2
  • 37
    • 79960799794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of ocean thermal expansion in last interglacial sea level rise
    • doi:10.1029/2011GL048280
    • McKay NP, Overpeck JT, Otto-Bliesner BL. 2011 The role of ocean thermal expansion in Last Interglacial sea level rise. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L14605. (doi:10.1029/2011GL048280).
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.38
    • Mckay, N.P.1    Overpeck, J.T.2    Otto-Bliesner, B.L.3
  • 39
    • 36248931525 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling mid-holocene tropical climate and enso variability: Towards constraining predictions of future change with palaeo-data
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0270-9
    • Brown J, Collins M, Tudhope AW, Toniazzo T. 2008 Modelling mid-Holocene tropical climate and ENSO variability: towards constraining predictions of future change with palaeo-data. Clim. Dyn. 30, 19-36. (doi:10.1007/s00382-007- 0270-9).
    • (2008) Clim. Dyn. , vol.30 , pp. 19-36
    • Brown, J.1    Collins, M.2    Tudhope, A.W.3    Toniazzo, T.4
  • 40
    • 84884888151 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The early eocene equable climate problem: Can perturbations of climate model parameters identify possible solutions?
    • doi:10.1098/rsta.2013.0123
    • Sagoo N, Valdes P, Flecker R, Gregoire LJ. 2013 The Early Eocene equable climate problem: can perturbations of climate model parameters identify possible solutions? Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 371, 20130123. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2013.0123).
    • (2013) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. a , vol.371 , pp. 20130123
    • Sagoo, N.1    Valdes, P.2    Flecker, R.3    Gregoire, L.J.4
  • 41
    • 0033559944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Northern hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: Inferences, uncertainties, and limitations
    • doi:10.1029/1999GL900070
    • Mann ME, Bradley RS, Hughes MK. 1999 Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: inferences, uncertainties, and limitations. Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, 759-762. (doi:10.1029/1999GL900070).
    • (1999) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.26 , pp. 759-762
    • Mann, M.E.1    Bradley, R.S.2    Hughes, M.K.3
  • 42
    • 33750992164 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of natural and anthropogenic forcings on climate and hydrology since 1550
    • doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0165-1
    • Tett SFB et al. 2007 The impact of natural and anthropogenic forcings on climate and hydrology since 1550. Clim. Dyn. 28, 3-34. (doi:10.1007/s00382-006- 0165-1).
    • (2007) Clim. Dyn. , vol.28 , pp. 3-34
    • Tett, S.F.B.1
  • 43
    • 84871571629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can the last glacial maximum constrain climate sensitivity?
    • doi:10.1029/2012GL053872
    • Hargreaves JC, Annan JD, Yoshimori M, Abe-Ouchi A. 2012 Can the last glacial maximum constrain climate sensitivity? Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L24702. (doi:10.1029/2012GL053872).
    • (2012) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.39
    • Hargreaves, J.C.1    Annan, J.D.2    Yoshimori, M.3    Abe-Ouchi, A.4
  • 44
    • 84881165499 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Skill and reliability of climatemodel ensembles at the last glacial maximum andmid holocene
    • doi:10.5194/cp-9-811-2013
    • Hargreaves JC, Annan JD, Ohgaito R, Paul A, Abe-Ouchi A. 2013 Skill and reliability of climatemodel ensembles at the last glacial maximum andmid Holocene. Clim. Past 9, 811-823. (doi:10.5194/cp-9-811-2013).
    • (2013) Clim. Past , vol.9 , pp. 811-823
    • Hargreaves, J.C.1    Annan, J.D.2    Ohgaito, R.3    Paul, A.4    Abe-Ouchi, A.5
  • 45
    • 84861651461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet
    • doi:10.1038/nclimate1449
    • Robinson A, Calov R, Ganopolski A. 2012 Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet. Nat. Clim. Change 2, 429-432. (doi:10.1038/nclimate1449).
    • (2012) Nat. Clim. Change , vol.2 , pp. 429-432
    • Robinson, A.1    Calov, R.2    Ganopolski, A.3
  • 46
    • 84881137642 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantification of the Greenland ice sheet contribution to last interglacial sea level rise
    • doi:10.5194/cp- 9-621-2013
    • Stone EJ, Lunt DJ, Annan JD, Hargreaves JC. 2013 Quantification of the Greenland ice sheet contribution to Last Interglacial sea level rise. Clim. Past 9, 621-639. (doi:10.5194/cp- 9-621-2013).
    • (2013) Clim. Past , vol.9 , pp. 621-639
    • Stone, E.J.1    Lunt, D.J.2    Annan, J.D.3    Hargreaves, J.C.4
  • 47
    • 0034025893 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The simulation of sst, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the hadley centre coupled model without flux adjustments
    • doi:10.1007/s003820050010
    • Gordon C, Cooper C, Senior CA, Banks H, Gregory JM, Johns TC, Mitchell JFB, Wood RA. 2000 The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Clim. Dyn. 16, 147-168. (doi:10.1007/s003820050010).
    • (2000) Clim. Dyn. , vol.16 , pp. 147-168
    • Gordon, C.1    Cooper, C.2    Senior, C.A.3    Banks, H.4    Gregory, J.M.5    Johns, T.C.6    Mitchell, J.F.B.7    Wood, R.A.8
  • 49
    • 84857667053 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The geological record of ocean acidification
    • doi:10.1126/science.1208277
    • Honisch B et al. 2012 The geological record of ocean acidification. Science 335, 1058-1063. (doi:10.1126/science.1208277).
    • (2012) Science , vol.335 , pp. 1058-1063
    • Honisch, B.1
  • 50
    • 84884849205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the identification of a pliocene time slice for data-model comparison
    • doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0515
    • Haywood AM et al. 2013 On the identification of a Pliocene time slice for data-model comparison. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 371, 20120515. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0515).
    • (2013) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. a , vol.371 , pp. 20120515
    • Haywood, A.M.1
  • 51
    • 84882785080 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ng-term legacy of massive carbon input to the earth system: Anthropocene versus eocene
    • Lo, (doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0006
    • Zeebe RE, Zachos JC. 2013 Long-term legacy of massive carbon input to the Earth system: Anthropocene versus Eocene. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 371, 20120006. (doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0006).
    • (2013) Phil. Trans. R. Soc. a , vol.371 , pp. 20120006
    • Zeebe, R.E.1    Zachos, J.C.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.