Simulating the impact of fertiliser strategies and prices on the economics of developing and managing the Cicerone Project farmlets under climatic uncertainty

Animal Production Science

Volumn 53, Issue 7-8, 2013, Pages 806-816

  Behrendt, Karl ^a   Scott, James M ^b   Cacho, Oscar ^b   Jones, Randall ^c  

^a CHARLES STURT UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF NEW ENGLAND   (Australia)

^c NSW Department of Industry and Innovation   (Australia)

Author keywords

climatic uncertainty; dynamic pasture resource model; fertiliser input costs; pasture persistence; risk efficient frontier.

Indexed keywords

CARRYING CAPACITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; FERTILIZER APPLICATION; GRAZING MANAGEMENT; OPTIMIZATION; PASTURE; PERSISTENCE; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; PROFITABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; SOIL FERTILITY; STOCKING DENSITY;

AUSTRALIA;

EID: 84884553172     PISSN: 18360939     EISSN: 18365787     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1071/AN11173     Document Type: Article

References (46)

1. Antle JM (1983) Incorporating risk in production analysis. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 65, 1099-1106. doi:10.2307/1240428
2. Barrett D, Ashton D, Shafron W (2003) Australian Wool Industry 2003, Report on the Australian Agricultural and Grazing Industries Survey of Wool Producers. ABARE Research Report 03.5, Canberra.
3. Behrendt K (2008) Bioeconomics of pasture resource development in sheep production systems. PhD thesis, University of New England, Armidale. 215 pp.
4. Behrendt K, Cacho O, Scott JM, Jones R (2013) Optimising pasture and grazing management decisions on the Cicerone Project farmlets over variable time horizons. Animal Production Science 53, 796-805. doi:10.1071/AN11174
5. Cacho OJ (1993) A practical equation for pasture growth under grazing. Grass and Forage Science 48, 387-394. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2494.1993. Tb01873.x (Pubitemid 2036348)
6. Cacho O (1998) Solving bioeconomic optimal control models numerically. In 'Proceedings of the bioeconomics workshop. Post-Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society conference, University of New England, Armidale, New South Wales'. Canberra, Australia. (Ed. J Gooday) pp. 13-26. (Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics: Canberra)
7. Cacho OJ, Bywater AC, Dillon JL (1999) Assessment of production risk in grazing models. Agricultural Systems 60, 87-98. doi:10.1016/S0308-521X(99)00020- 7 (Pubitemid 29250532)
8. Cayley JWD, SaulG(2001) 'Making sensible fertiliser decisions: phosphorus for sheep and beef pastures.' (Natural Resources and Environment: Hamilton)
9. Chen W, Scott JM, Blair GJ, Lefroy RDB, Hutchinson KJ, King KL, Harris C (2002) Diet selection and sheep productivity of sheep grazing contrasting pastures. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 53, 529-539. doi:10.1071/AR01091 (Pubitemid 34557259)
10. Clark CW (1990) 'Mathematical bioeconomics: the optimal management of renewable resources.' (John Wiley and Sons Inc.: New York)
11. Colwell JD (1963) The estimation of the phosphorus fertilizer requirements of wheat in southern New South Wales by soil analysis. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture and Animal Husbandry 3, 190-197. doi:10.1071/EA9630190
12. Cook S, Blair G, LazenbyA(1978a) Pasture degeneration. II. The importance of superphosphate, nitrogen and grazing management. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 29, 19-29. doi:10.1071/AR9780019
13. Cook S, Lazenby A, Blair G (1978b) Pasture degeneration. I. Effect on total and seasonal pasture production. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 29, 9-18. doi:10.1071/AR9780009
14. Counsell DJ, Vizard AL (1997) Factors affecting the business risk of wool growing farms in the high rainfall zone of Australia. Wool Technology and Sheep Breeding 45, 256-266.
15. Crofts FC (1997) Australian pasture production: the last 50 years. In 'Pasture production and management'. (Eds JL Lovett, JM Scott) pp. 1-16. (Inkata Press: Marrickville) CSIRO (2007 AusFarm.' (CSIRO Plant Industry: Canberra
16. CSIRO (2007) 'AusFarm.' (CSIRO Plant Industry: Canberra) Donnelly JR, Moore AD, Freer M (1997) GRAZPLAN: decision support systems for Australian grazing enterprises - I. Overview of the GRAZPLAN project, and a description of the MetAccess and LambAlive DSS. Agricultural Systems 54, 57-76.
17. Dowling PM, Kemp DR, Michalk DL, Klein TA, MillarGD(1996) Perennial grass response to seasonal rests in naturalised pastures of Central New South Wales. The Rangeland Journal 18, 309-326. doi:10.1071/RJ9960309
18. Freebairn R (1992) Best best fertiliser strategies - Part 1. In 'Proceedings of 7th annual conference of the Grasslands Society ofNSW'. Tamworth. (Ed. DLMichalk) pp. 43-46. (Grasslands Society ofNSWInc.: Orange, NSW)
19. Freer M, Dove H, Nolan JV (Eds) (2007) 'Nutrient requirements of domesticated ruminants.' (CSIRO Publishing: Melbourne)
20. Garden DL, Bolger TP (2001) Interaction of competition and management in regulating composition and sustainability of native pasture. In 'Competition and succession in pastures'. (Eds A Lazenby, PG Tow) pp. 213-232. (CAB International: Wallingford)
21. Garden DL, Lodge GM, Friend DA, Dowling PM, OrchardBA(2000) Effects of grazing management on botanical composition of native grass-based pastures in temperate south-east Australia. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture 40, 225-245. doi:10.1071/EA98010 (Pubitemid 30343532)
22. Guppy CN, Edwards C, Blair GJ, Scott JM (2013) Whole-farm management of soil nutrients drives productive grazing systems: the Cicerone farmlet experiment confirms earlier research. Animal Production Science 53, 649-657. doi:10.1071/AN12147
23. Hardaker JB, Pandey S, Patten LH (1991) Farm planning under uncertainty: a review of Alternative Programming Models. Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics 59, 9-22.
24. Hardaker JB, Huirne RBM, Anderson JR, Lien G (2004) 'Coping with risk in agriculture.' (CABI Publishing: Wallingford)
25. Helyar KR, Price GH(1999) Making recommendations based on soil tests. In 'Soil analysis an interpretation manual'. (Eds KI Peverill, LA Sparrow, DJ Reuter) pp. 331-357. (CSIRO Publishing: Melbourne)
26. Hill JO, Simpson RJ, Moore AD, Graham P, Chapman DF (2004) Impact of phosphorus application and sheep grazing on the botanical composition of sown pasture and naturalised, native grass pasture. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 55, 1213-1225. (Pubitemid 40191506)
27. Hill JO, Simpson RJ, Wood JT, Moore AD, Chapman DF (2005) The phosphorus and nitrogen requirements of temperate pasture species and their influence on grassland botanical composition. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 56, 1027-1039. (Pubitemid 43175108)
28. Hutchinson KJ (1992) The grazing resource. In 'Looking Back - Planning Ahead. Proceedings of the 6th Australian agronomy conference', 10-14 February 1992. (Eds KJ Hutchinson, PJ Vickery) pp. 54-60. (The University of New England: Armidale, NSW)
29. IFA (2008) 'IFA data.' (International Fertilizer Industry Association: Paris) Available at www.fertilizer.org [Verified 11 January 2013]
30. Kemp DR, KingWM(2001) Plant competition in pastures - implications for management. In 'Competition and succession in pastures'. (Eds PG Tow, A Lazenby) pp. 85-102. (CABI Publishing: Wallingford)
31. Kemp DR, Michalk DL (1994) Introduction. In 'Pasture management: technology for the 21st century'. (Eds DR Kemp, DL Michalk) pp. ix-xi. (CSIRO: Melbourne)
32. McIvor JG (2001) Pasture management in semi-arid tropical woodlands: regeneration of degraded pastures protected from grazing. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture 41, 487-496. doi:10.1071/EA00045 (Pubitemid 32620811)
33. Menz K(1984) Australia's pasture resource base: history and current issues. In '28th annual conference of the Australian Agricultural Economics Society'. (Australian Agricultural Economics Society: Sydney)
34. Moore AD, Donnelly JR, Freer M (1997) GRAZPLAN: decision support systems for Australian grazing enterprises. III. Pasture growth and soil moisture submodels, and GrassGro DSS. Agricultural Systems 55, 535-582. doi:10.1016/S0308-521X(97)00023-1 (Pubitemid 27372598)
35. Morley FHW (1994) Drought prediction and budgets. In 'Merinos, money and management'. (Ed. FHW Morley) pp. 249-262. (Post Graduate Committee in Veterinary Science, University of Sydney: Sydney)
36. Reeve IJ, Kaine G, Lees JW, BarclayE(2000) Producer perceptions of pasture decline and grazing management. Australian Journal of Experimental Agriculture 40, 331-341. doi:10.1071/EA98018 (Pubitemid 30343540)
37. Sale PWG, Blair GJ (1997) Fertilisers and pasture nutrition. In 'Pasture production and management'. (Eds JV Lovett, JM Scott) pp. 191-206. (Inkata Press: Melbourne)
38. Saul GR, KearneyGA, Flinn PC, LescunCL(1999) Effects of superphosphate fertiliser and stocking rate on the nutritive value of perennial ryegrass and subterranean clover herbage. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 50, 537-545. doi:10.1071/A98138 (Pubitemid 29245456)
39. Scott JM, Cacho O (2000) Modelling the long-term effects on farm net worth of investments in pasture fertilizer under constraints of family expenditure. Agricultural Systems 63, 195-209. doi:10.1016/S0308-521X(00)00008-1 (Pubitemid 30300902)
40. Scott JM, Boschma SP, Rapp GG (1997) How can graziers manage perennial grasses to survive through drought. In 'Proceedings of the twelfth annual conference of the Grassland Society of NSW'. Dubbo. (Eds A Bowman, DMichalk) pp. 140-141. (Grassland Society ofNSWInc.: Orange, NSW)
41. Scott JM, Gaden CA, Edwards C, Paull DR, Marchant R, Hoad J, Sutherland H, Coventry T, Dutton P (2013) Selection of experimental treatments, methods used and evolution of management guidelines for comparing and measuring three grazed farmlet systems. Animal Production Science 53, 628-642. doi:10.1071/AN12265
42. Shakhane LM, Scott JM, Murison R, Mulcahy C, Hinch GN, Morrow A, Mackay DF (2013) Changes in botanical composition on three farmlets subjected to different pasture and grazing management strategies. Animal Production Science 53, 670-684. doi:10.1071/AN11177
43. Stafford Smith DM, Milham N, Douglas R, Tapp N, Breen J, Buxton R, McKeon G (1995) Whole farm modelling and ecological sustainability: a practical application in the NSW rangelands. In 'Ecological Economics Conference', 19-23 November 1995, Coffs Harbour, NSW.pp. 243-249. (Australian and New Zealand Society for Ecological Economics in Association with the Centre for Agricultural and Resource Economics: Coffs Harbour)
44. Thornley JHM, France J (2007) 'Mathematical models in agriculture: quantitative methods for the plant, animal and ecological sciences.' (CABI: Wallingford) 906 pp.
45. Vere DT (1998) Investigating improved pasture productivity change on the New South Wales tablelands. Agricultural Economics 18, 63-74. doi:10.1016/S0169-5150(97)00032-7 (Pubitemid 28042873)
46. Vere DT, Muir AM (1986) Pasture improvement adoption in South-Eastern New South Wales. Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics 54, 19-32.