Changes in hourly precipitation may explain the sharp reduction of discharge in the middle reach of the Yellow River after 2000

Frontiers of Environmental Science and Engineering

Volumn 7, Issue 5, 2013, Pages 756-768

  Luo, Lin ^a   Wang, Zhongjing ^a  

^a TSINGHUA UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

climatic change; Mann Kendall rank statistic; precipitation intensity; spatial and temporal distribution

Indexed keywords

EID: 84884405606     PISSN: 20952201     EISSN: 2095221X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11783-013-0563-7     Document Type: Article

References (34)

1. Lenderink G, Meijgaard E V. Increase in hourly precipitation extremes beyond expectations from temperature changes. Nature Geoscience, 2008, 1(8): 511-514.
2. Allen M R, Ingram W J. Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature, 2002, 419(6903): 224-232.
3. Trenberth K E, Dai A, Rasmussen R M, Parsons D B. The changing character of precipitation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2003, 84(9): 1205-1217.
4. Menzel L, Bürger G. Climate change scenarios and runoff response in the Mulde catchment (Southern Elbe, Germany). Journal of Hydrology (Amsterdam), 2002, 267(1-2): 53-64.
5. Martin L P. Climate Change and World Agriculture. London: Earthscan Publications Limited, 1990.
6. Robert C B, Gregory B G. Spatial analysis of variations in precipitation intensity in the USA. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2011, 104(3-4): 415-421.
7. Mailhot A, Duchesne S, Caya D, Talbot G. Assessment of future change in intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves for southern Quebec using the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM). Journal of Hydrology (Amsterdam), 2007, 347(1-2): 197-210.
8. Karl T R, Knight R W, Plummer N. Trends in high-frequency climate variability in the twentieth century. Nature, 1995, 377(6546): 217-220.
9. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution ofWorking Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2007. Available online at http://ipcc-wg1. ucar. edu/wg1/wg1-report. html (accessed October 10, 2012).
10. Trenberth K E. Changes in precipitation with climate change. Climate Research, 2011, 47(1): 123-138.
11. Kharin V V, Zwiers F W, Zhang X B, Hegerl G C. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations. Journal of Climate, 2007, 20(8): 1419-1444.
12. Zhang X B, Zwiers F W, Hegerl G C, Lambert F H, Gillett N P, Solomon S, Stott P A, Nozawa T. Detection of human influence on twentieth-century precipitation trends. Nature, 2007, 448(7152): 461-465.
13. Yu R C, Li J, Yuan W H, Chen H. Changes in characteristics of latesummer precipitation over Eastern China in the past 40 years revealed by hourly precipitation data. Journal of Climate, 2010, 23(12): 3390-3396.
14. Lenderink G, Meijgaard E V. Linking increases in hourly precipitation extremes to atmospheric temperature and moisture changes. Environmental Research Letters, 2010, 5(2).
15. Mishra V, Wallace J M, Lettenmaier D P. Relationship between hourly extreme precipitation and local air temperature in the United States. Geophysical Research Letters, 2012, 39(16).
16. Fujibe V, Yamazaki N, Katsuyama V, Kobayashi K. The increasing trend of intense precipitation in Japan based on four hourly data for a hundred years. SOLA (Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere), 2005, (1): 41-44.
17. Zhai P, Zhang X, Wan H, Pan X. Trends in total precipitation and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over China. Journal of Climate, 2005, 18(7): 1096-1108.
18. Wang Q C, Li L, Liu P, Qin N S, Zhu J W. Climate variational characteristics of rain day and rain intensity for the last 40 years in Qinghai Province. Meteorological Monthly, 2005, 31(03): 69-73 (In Chinese).
19. Cong Z T, Zhao J, Yang D, Ni G. Understanding the hydrological trends of river basins in China. Journal of Hydrology (Amsterdam), 2010, 388(3-4): 350-356.
20. Yang L, Villarini G, Smith J A, Tian F Q, Hu H P. Changes in seasonal maximum daily precipitation in China over the period 1961-2006. International Journal of Climatology, Available online at http://onlinelibrary. wiley. com/doi/10. 1002/joc. 3539/abstract (accessed September 20, 2012).
21. Liang L Q, Li L J, Liu Q. Precipitation variability in Northeast China from 1961 to 2008. Journal of Hydrology (Amsterdam), 2011, 404(1-2): 67-76.
22. Liang S, Ge S, Wan L, Zhang J. Can climate change cause the Yellow River to dry up? Water Resources Research, 2010, 46(2).
23. Xu X, Yang D, Sivapalan M. Assessing the impact of climate variability on catchment water balance and vegetation cover. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2012, 16(1): 43-58.
24. Fu B J, Liu Y, Lü Y H, He C S, Zeng Y, Wu B F. Assessing the soil erosion control service of ecosystems change in the Loess Plateau of China. Ecological Complexity, 2011, 8(4): 284-293.
25. Jiao J Y, Zhang Z G, Bai W J, Jia Y F, Wang N. Assessing the ecological success of restoration by afforestation on the Chinese Loess Plateau. Restoration Ecology, 2012, 20(2): 240-249.
26. Xu L G, Zhou H F, Li Y, Li H, Tang Y. Analysis of the precipitation stability and variety trend in the desert region of northern China. Advances in Water Science, 2008, 19(6): 792-799 (in Chinese).
27. Mann H B. Non-parametric test against trend. Econometrica, 1945, 13(3): 245-259.
28. Kendall M G. Rank Correlation Methods. London, UK: Griffin, 1975.
29. Michell J M, Dzerdzeevskii B, Flohn H, Hofmeyr W L, Lamb H H, Rao K H, Wallen C C. Climatic Change, WTO Technical Note No. 79. Geneva: World Meteorological Organization, 1966.
30. Goossens C, Berger A. Annual and seasonal climatic variations over the northern hemisphere and Europe during the last century. Annales Geophysicae, 1986, 4(4): 385-399.
31. Liu B H, Xu M, Henderson M, Qi Y. Observed trends of precipitation amount, frequency, and intensity in China, 1960-2000. Journal of Geophysical Research, 2005, 110(D8): D08103.
32. Yu R, Zhou T. Seasonality and three-dimensional structure of interdecadal change in the East Asian monsoon. Journal of Climate, 2007, 20(21): 5344-5355.
33. Barnett T P, Adam J C, Lettenmaier D P. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature, 2005, 438(7066): 303-309.
34. Knapp A K, Smith M D. Variation among biomes in temporal dynamics of aboveground primary production. Science, 2001, 291(5503): 481-484.