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Suicide has a very low occurrence in the general and military populations. This results in "rare events data," meaning that the binary dependent variable has thousands of times fewer events than zero or nonevents, and when used analytically, often results in underestimating the probability of rare events.
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Thus, the analytic sample for the present study consisted of (1) all suicide cases in each calendar year 2007 through 2010 and (2) a random sample of 1,000 ARNG soldiers for each year who are living or non-suicide cases. Matching a non-suicide sample to the suicide sample is not appropriate because variables used in the matching could not then be used in prediction equations to generate probabilities of committing suicide, since the variance in these variables between the two groups would be minimal.
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For rate comparisons, see U.S. Army Office of the Chief of Public Affairs, Army Health Promotion, 2010. To explain the Army reserves, the ARNG (numbering about 360,000) and the USAR (numbering about 200,000) comprise the U.S. Army reserve component. The ARNG is organized at the state level (fifty states and four territories) and consists primarily of combat arms units, for example, infantry, armor, and artillery. The USAR is organized nationally and consists of combat support and combat service support units (e.g., combat engineers, ordnance, transportation, and medical).
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