Avoiding climate change uncertainties in Strategic Environmental Assessment

Environmental Impact Assessment Review

Volumn 43, Issue , 2013, Pages 144-150

  Larsen, Sanne Vammen ^a   Kørnøv, Lone ^a   Driscoll, Patrick ^a  

^a AALBORG UNIVERSITY   (Denmark)

Author keywords

Climate change; Decision making; Strategic Environmental Assessment; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

CONFLICT AVOIDANCE; EMPIRICAL FINDINGS; HYPOTHETICAL MODELS; PLANNING SYSTEMS; STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENTS; UNCERTAINTY;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DECISION MAKING; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENTS;

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

CLIMATE CHANGE; DECISION MAKING; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT; ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING; NUMERICAL MODEL; STRATEGIC APPROACH; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

GERMANY;

EID: 84882708983     PISSN: 01959255     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2013.07.003     Document Type: Article

References (54)

1. Aalborg Municipality Affaldsplan 2008-16 2007, Forsyningsvirksomhederne, Aalborg.
2. Aalborg Municipality Vandforsyningsplan 2009-2020 for Aalborg Kommune - Delrapport 1, forslag 2009, Forsyningsvirksomhederne, Aalborg.
3. Andrews R. Environmental impact assessment and risk assessment: learning from each other. Environmental Impact Assessment. Theory and Practice 1988, Routledge, London. P. Watterns (Ed.).
4. Ben-Haim Y. Info-gap Decision Theory - Decisions Under Severe Uncertainty 2006, Academic Press, Amsterdam. 2nd ed.
5. COWI Study Concerning the Report on the Application and Effectiveness of the SEA Directive (2001/42/EC) 2009, European Commission, DG ENV.
6. Danish Ministry of Environment Vandplan 2010-2015 - Køge Bugt 2011, Danish Ministry of Environment, Nature Protection Agency, Roskilde.
7. Dawes R. Rational Choice in an Uncertain World 1988, Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, New York.
8. Dessai S., van der Sluijs J. Uncertainty and Climate Change Adaptation - A Scoping Study 2007, Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Utrecht.
9. Dipper B., Jones C., Wood C. Monitoring and post-auditing in environmental impact assessment: a review. J Environ Plan Manag 1998, 41(6):731-748.
10. Eisenack K., Tekken V., Kropp J. Stakeholder perceptions of climate change in the Baltic Sea region. Coastline Report No. 8 2007, Schernewski (Ed.).
11. Erhard M. Chapter 8 - data gaps, uncertainty and future needs. Impacts of Europe's Changing Climate - 2008 Indicator-based Assessment 2008, European Environment Agency, JRC and WHO Europe, Copenhagen. A. Jol (Ed.).
12. European Commission Guidance on Integrating Climate Change and Biodiversity Into Strategic Environmental Assessment 2013, European Union.
13. European Parliament and Council of the European Union Directive 2001/42/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 27 June 2001 on the Assessment of the Effects of Certain Plans and Programmes on the Environment 2001.
14. Frewer L., Hunt S., Brennan M., Kuznesof S., Ness M., Ritson C. The views of scientific experts on how the public conceptualize uncertainty. J Risk Res 2003, 6(1):75-85.
15. Funtowicz S., Ravetz J. Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy 1990, Kluwer Academic, Dordrecht.
16. Füssel M. Adaptation planning for climate change: concepts, assessment approaches, and key lessons. Sustain Sci 2007, 2:265-275.
17. Geneletti D., Beinat E., Chung C., Scholten H. Accounting for uncertainty factors in biodiversity impact assessment: lessons from a case study. Environ Impact Assess Rev 2003, 23:471-487.
18. Hellström T. The science-policy dialogue in transformation: model-uncertainty and environmental policy. Sci Public Policy 1996, 23(2):91-97.
19. IPCC Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, IPCC, Geneva. Core Writing Team, R.K. Pachauri, A. Reisinger (Eds.).
20. IPCC - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Guidance Notes for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report on Addressing Uncertainties 2005, WMO and UNEP.
21. Jaeger C., Renn O., Rosa E., Webler T. Risk, Uncertainty and Rational Action 2001, Earthscan Publications Ltd., London.
22. Jenkins G., Lowe J. Handling uncertainties in the UKCIP02 scenarios of climate change. Hadley Centre technical note 44 2003, Met Office, Exeter.
23. Kørnøv L., Christensen P. Strategic Environmental Assessment. Tools for a Sustainable Development 2007, Aalborg University, Aalborg. L. Kørnøv, M. Thrane, A. Remmen, H. Lund (Eds.).
24. Kuhn K. Message format and audience values: interactive effects of uncertainty information and environmental attitudes on perceived risk. J Environ Psychol 2000, 20:41-51.
25. Larsen S. Grappling With the Uncertain - Climate Change in SEA 2010, [Doctoral Thesis], Aalborg University, Aalborg.
26. Larsen S., Kørnøv L. SEA of river basin management plans: incorporating climate change. Impact Assess Proj Apprais 2009, 27(4).
27. Larsen S., Kørnøv L., Wejs A. Mind the gap in SEA: an institutional perspective on why assessment of synergies amongst climate change mitigation, adaptation and other policy areas are missing. Environ Impact Assess Rev 2012, 33:32-40.
28. LBK nr 1398 Bekendtgørelse af lov om miljøvurdering af planer og programmer. LBK nr 1398 af 22/10/2007 (Gældende) Copenhagen 2007.
29. Lee N., Walsh F. Strategic environmental assessment: an overview. Project Appraisal 1992, 7(3):126-136.
30. Lipshitz R., Strauss O. Coping with uncertainty: a naturalistic decision-making analysis. Organ Behav Hum Decis Process 1997, 69(2):149-163.
31. Morgan G., Henrion M. Uncertainty. A Guide to Dealing With Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk & Policy Analysis 1990, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
32. Hjørring Municipality Miljørapport - Forslag til Hjørring Kommuneplan 2009 2009.
33. Patt A., Dessai S. Communicating uncertainty: lessons learned and suggestions for climate change assessment. C R Geosci 2005, 337:425-441.
34. Petersen A. The Precautionary Principle, Knowledge Uncertainty, and Environmental Assessment. Management of Uncertainty in Science for Sustainability 2002, Copernicus Institute Research Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Utrecht. J. Sluijs (Ed.).
35. Posas P. Climate change in SEA: learning from English local spatial planning experience. Impact Assess Proj Apprais 2011, 29(4):289-302.
36. Quade E. Analysis for Public Decision 1975, Elsevier, New York.
37. Refsgaard J., Arnbjerg-Nielsen K., Drews M., Halsnæs K., Jeppesen E., Madsen H., et al. The role of uncertainty in climate change adaptation strategies-a Danish water management example. Mitig Adapt Strat Glob Chang 2013, 18(3):337-359.
38. Rothenborg M. Klimaet negligeres i regeringens nye naturplan 2010, [Politiken, 13 January].
39. Slovic P., Fischhoff B., Lichtenstein S. Perceived risk: psychological factors and social implications. Proc R Soc Lond A Math Phys Sci 1981, 376:17-34.
40. Struer Municipality Miljøvurdering - Struer Kommune forslag til Struer Kommuneplan 2009-2020 2009.
41. Swin J., et al. Psychology and Global Climate Change: Addressing a Multi-faceted Phenomenon and Set of Challenges. A Report by the American Psychological Association's Task Force on the Interface Between Psychology and Global Climate Change 2009, The American Psychological Association, Washington.
42. Tennøy A., Kværner J., Gjerstad K. Uncertainty in environmental impact assessment predictions: the need for better communication and better transparency. Impact Assess Proj Apprais 2006, 24(1):45-56.
43. Therivel R. Strategic Environmental Assessment in Action 2004, Earthscan, London.
44. Thissen W., Agusdinata D. Handling deep uncertainties in impact assessment. IAIA08 - The Art and Science of Impact Assessment. Perth, Australia. May 2008, International Association for Impact Assessment 2008.
45. van der Sluijs J., Craye M., Funtowicz S., Kloprogge P., Ravetz J., Risbey J. Combining quantitative and qualitative measures of uncertainty in model based environmental assessment: the NUSAP System. Risk Anal 2005, 25:481-492.
46. VEJ nr 9664 Vejledning om miljøvurdering af planer og programmer. VEJ nr 9664 af 18/06.2006 (Gældende) 2006.
47. Vesthimmerland Municipality Miljørapport - Miljøvurdering af Forslag til Kommuneplan 2009 for Vesthimmerlands Kommune 2009.
48. Walker W., Harremoës P., Rotmans J., van der Sluijs J.P., van Asselt M.B.A., Janssen P., et al. Defining uncertainty a conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support. Integr Assess 2003, 4(1):5-17.
49. Wardekker J., van der Sluijs J., Janssen P., Kloprogge P., Petersen A. Uncertainty communication in environmental assessments: views from the Dutch science-policy interface. Environ Sci Policy 2008, 11(7):627-641.
50. Washington H., Cook J. Climate Change Denial - Heads in the Sand 2011, Earthscan, London.
51. Weiland U. Strategic Environmental Assessment in Germany - Practice and Open Questions. Environ Impact Assess Rev 2010, 30:211-217.
52. Climate Adaptation: Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-making. UKCIP Technical Report 2003, UK Climate Impacts Programme, Oxford. R. Willows, R. Connell (Eds.).
53. Wilson E. Regional sustainability appraisal and climate change. IAIA10 - The Role of Impact Assessment in Transitioning to the Green Economy. Geneva, Switzerland. April 2010, International Association for Impact Assessment 2010.
54. Zhu Z., Hongtao B., Xu H., Zhu T. An inquiry into the potential of scenario analysis for dealing with uncertainty in strategic environmental assessment in China. Environ Impact Assess Rev 2011, 31:538-548.