메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 17, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 2161-2170

Determining spatial variability of dry spells: A Markov-based method, applied to the Makanya catchment, Tanzania

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CROP WATER REQUIREMENTS; FOOD PRODUCTION; MAKANYA CATCHMENT; RAIN FED AGRICULTURE; RAIN WATER HARVESTING; SPATIAL INFORMATIONS; SPATIAL VARIABILITY; WORLD POPULATION;

EID: 84882411753     PISSN: 10275606     EISSN: 16077938     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/hess-17-2161-2013     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (14)

References (39)
  • 1
    • 0038176069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dry spell analysis and maize yields for two semi-arid locations in east Africa
    • DOI 10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00037-6
    • Barron, J., Rockström, J., Gichuki, F., and Hatibu, N.: Dry spell analysis and maize yields for two semi-arid locations in East Africa, Agr. Forest Meteorol., 117, 23-37, doi:10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00037-6, 2003. (Pubitemid 36684424)
    • (2003) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , vol.117 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 23-37
    • Barron, J.1    Rockstrom, J.2    Gichuki, F.3    Hatibu, N.4
  • 2
    • 16444364749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of agricultural drought in Iiuni, eastern Kenya: Application of a Markov model
    • DOI 10.1002/hyp.5556
    • Biamah, E. K., Sterk, G., and Sharma, T. C.: Analysis of agricultural drought in Iiuni, Eastern Kenya: Application of a Markov model, Hydrol. Process., 19, 1307-1322, doi:10.1002/hyp.5556, 2005. (Pubitemid 40479153)
    • (2005) Hydrological Processes , vol.19 , Issue.6 , pp. 1307-1322
    • Biamah, E.K.1    Sterk, G.2    Sharma, T.C.3
  • 4
    • 33846585103 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A monthly interception equation based on the statistical characteristics of daily rainfall
    • DOI 10.1029/2006WR005013
    • De Groen, M. M. and Savenije, H. H. G.: A monthly interception equation based on the statistical characteristics of daily rainfall, Water Resour. Res., 42, W12417, doi:10.1029/2006WR005013, 2006. (Pubitemid 46184057)
    • (2006) Water Resources Research , vol.42 , Issue.12
    • De Groen, M.M.1    Savenije, H.H.G.2
  • 5
    • 55149110282 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The spatial distribution of wet and dry spells over peninsular Malaysia
    • doi:10.1007/s00704-007-0355-8
    • Deni, S. M., and Jemain., A. A., and Ibrahim, K.: The spatial distribution of wet and dry spells over Peninsular Malaysia, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 94, 163-173, doi:10.1007/s00704-007-0355-8, 2008.
    • (2008) Theor. Appl. Climatol. , vol.94 , pp. 163-173
    • Deni, S.M.1    Jemain, A.A.2    Ibrahim, K.3
  • 6
    • 0023488250 scopus 로고
    • An application of Markov chain model for wet and dry spell probabilities at juba in southern Sudan
    • doi:10.1007/BF00189081
    • El-Seed, A. G.: An application of Markov Chain Model for wet and dry spell probabilities at Juba in Southern Sudan, Geo J. Lib., 15, 420-424, doi:10.1007/BF00189081, 1987.
    • (1987) Geo J. Lib. , vol.15 , pp. 420-424
    • El-Seed, A.G.1
  • 7
    • 37449034307 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analyzing resilience in dryland agro-ecosystems: A case study of the makanya catchment in Tanzania over the past 50 years
    • doi:10.1002/ldr.807
    • Enfors, E. I. and Gordon, L. J.: Analyzing resilience in dryland agro-ecosystems: A case study of the Makanya catchment in Tanzania over the past 50 years, Land Degrad. Develop., 18, 680-696, doi:10.1002/ldr.807, 2007.
    • (2007) Land Degrad. Develop. , vol.18 , pp. 680-696
    • Enfors, E.I.1    Gordon, L.J.2
  • 8
    • 80052020714 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Yield and soil system changes from conservation tillage in dryland farming: A case study from north eastern Tanzania
    • doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2010.02.013
    • Enfors, E. I., Barron, J., Makurira, H., Rockström, J., and Tumbo, S.: Yield and soil system changes from conservation tillage in dryland farming: A case study from North Eastern Tanzania, Agr. Water Manage., 98, 1687-1695, doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2010.02.013, 2011.
    • (2011) Agr. Water Manage. , vol.98 , pp. 1687-1695
    • Enfors, E.I.1    Barron, J.2    Makurira, H.3    Rockström, J.4    Tumbo, S.5
  • 9
    • 0031212196 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Society's interaction with the water cycle: A conceptual framework for a more holistic approach
    • Falkenmark, M.: Society's interaction with the water cycle: a conceptual framework for a more holistic approach, Hydrol. Sci. J., 42, 451-466, doi:10.1080/02626669709492046, 1997. (Pubitemid 127563862)
    • (1997) Hydrological Sciences Journal , vol.42 , Issue.4 , pp. 451-466
    • Falkenmark, M.1
  • 10
    • 78449276408 scopus 로고
    • A Markov chain model for daily rainfall occurrence at tel aviv
    • doi:10.1002/qj.49708837511
    • Gabriel, K. R. and Neumann, J.: A Markov chain model for daily rainfall occurrence at Tel Aviv, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 88, 90-95, doi:10.1002/qj. 49708837511, 1962.
    • (1962) Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.88 , pp. 90-95
    • Gabriel, K.R.1    Neumann, J.2
  • 12
    • 33749078551 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implementing the millennium development food security goals - Challenges of the southern African context
    • DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2006.08.002, PII S1474706506001422
    • Love, D., Twomlow, S., Mupangwa, W., van der Zaag, P., and Gumbo, B.: Implementing the millennium development food security goals - Challenges of the southern African context, Phys. Chem. Earth, 31, 731-737, doi:10.1016/j.pce. 2006.08.002, 2006. (Pubitemid 44458220)
    • (2006) Physics and Chemistry of the Earth , vol.31 , Issue.15-16 , pp. 731-737
    • Love, D.1    Twomlow, S.2    Mupangwa, W.3    Van Der Zaag, P.4    Gumbo, B.5
  • 14
    • 34548565629 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of community-driven smallholder irrigation in dryland South Pare Mountains, Tanzania: A case study of Manoo micro dam
    • DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2007.07.020, PII S1474706507001052, Mainstreaming Integrated Water Resources Management in the Development Process
    • Makurira, H., and Mul., M. L., Vyagusa, N. F., Uhlenbrook, S., and Savenije, H. H. G.: Evaluation of community-driven smallholder irrigation in dryland South Pare Mountains, Tanzania: A case study of Manoo micro dam, Phys. Chem. Earth, 32, 1090-1097, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2007.07.020, 2007. (Pubitemid 47387076)
    • (2007) Physics and Chemistry of the Earth , vol.32 , Issue.15-18 , pp. 1090-1097
    • Makurira, H.1    Mul, M.L.2    Vyagusa, N.F.3    Uhlenbrook, S.4    Savenije, H.H.G.5
  • 15
    • 79959810281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling field scale water partitioning using on-site observations in sub-saharan rainfed agriculture
    • doi:10.5194/hess-14-627-2010
    • Makurira, H., Savenije, H. H. G., and Uhlenbrook, S.: Modelling field scale water partitioning using on-site observations in sub-Saharan rainfed agriculture, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 627-638, doi:10.5194/hess-14-627- 2010, 2010.
    • (2010) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.14 , pp. 627-638
    • Makurira, H.1    Savenije, H.H.G.2    Uhlenbrook, S.3
  • 16
    • 80051962671 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The effect of system innovations on water productivity in subsistence rainfed agricultural systems in semi-arid Tanzania
    • doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2011.05.003
    • Makurira, H., Savenije, H. H. G., Uhlenbrook, S., Rockström, J., and Senzanje, A.: The effect of system innovations on water productivity in subsistence rainfed agricultural systems in semi-arid Tanzania, Agr. Water Manage., 98, 1696-1703, doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2011.05.003, 2011.
    • (2011) Agr. Water Manage. , vol.98 , pp. 1696-1703
    • Makurira, H.1    Savenije, H.H.G.2    Uhlenbrook, S.3    Rockström, J.4    Senzanje, A.5
  • 18
    • 77956191461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of drought concepts
    • doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012
    • Mishra, A. K. and Singh, V. P.: A review of drought concepts, J. Hy-drol., 391, 202-216, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012, 2010.
    • (2010) J. Hy-drol. , vol.391 , pp. 202-216
    • Mishra, A.K.1    Singh, V.P.2
  • 20
    • 38949126944 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrograph separation using hydrochemical tracers in the Makanya catchment, Tanzania
    • DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2007.04.015, PII S1474706507000721
    • Mul, M. L., and Mutiibwa., R. K., Uhlenbrook, S., and Savenije, H. H. G.: Hydrograph separation using hydrochemical tracers in the Makanya catchment, Tanzania, Phys. Chem. Earth, 33, 151-156, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2007.04.015, 2008. (Pubitemid 351227267)
    • (2008) Physics and Chemistry of the Earth , vol.33 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 151-156
    • Mul, M.L.1    Mutiibwa, R.K.2    Uhlenbrook, S.3    Savenije, H.H.G.4
  • 21
    • 77951823535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial rainfall variability and runoff response during an extreme event in a semi-arid catchment in the south pare mountains, Tanzania
    • doi:10.5194/hess-13-1659-2009
    • Mul, M. L., Savenije, H. H. G., and Uhlenbrook, S.: Spatial rainfall variability and runoff response during an extreme event in a semi-arid catchment in the South Pare Mountains, Tanzania, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 1659-1670, doi:10.5194/hess-13-1659-2009, 2009.
    • (2009) Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. , vol.13 , pp. 1659-1670
    • Mul, M.L.1    Savenije, H.H.G.2    Uhlenbrook, S.3
  • 22
    • 80051987441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water allocation practices among smallholder farmers in south pare mountains, Tanzania; the issue of scale
    • doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2010.02.014
    • Mul, M. L., and Kemerink., J. S., Vyagusa, N. F., Mshana, G., van der Zaag, P., and Makurira, H.: Water allocation practices among smallholder farmers in South Pare Mountains, Tanzania; The issue of scale, Agr. Water Manage., 98, 1752-1760, doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2010.02.014, 2011.
    • (2011) Agr. Water Manage. , vol.98 , pp. 1752-1760
    • Mul, M.L.1    Kemerink, J.S.2    Vyagusa, N.F.3    Mshana, G.4    Van Der Zaag, P.5    Makurira, H.6
  • 23
    • 33748887429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water productivity analysis for smallholder rainfed systems: A case study of Makanya catchment, Tanzania
    • DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2006.08.019, PII S147470650600163X
    • Mutiro, J., Makurira, H., Senzanje, A., and Mul, M. L.: Water productivity analysis for smallholder rainfed systems: A case study of Makanya catchment, Tanzania, Phys. Chem., 31, 901-909, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2006.08.019, 2006. (Pubitemid 44426634)
    • (2006) Physics and Chemistry of the Earth , vol.31 , Issue.15-16 , pp. 901-909
    • Mutiro, J.1    Makurira, H.2    Senzanje, A.3    Mul, M.L.4
  • 24
    • 17144368848 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A Markov chain simulation model for predicting critical wet and dry spells in Kenya: Analysing rainfall events in the kano plains
    • DOI 10.1002/ird.094
    • Ochola, W. O. and Kerkides, P.: A Markov chain simulation model for predicting critical wet and dry spells in Kenya: Analysing rainfall events in the Kano Plains, Irrigat. Drain., 52, 327-342, doi:10.1002/ird.94, 2003. (Pubitemid 40518499)
    • (2003) Irrigation and Drainage , vol.52 , Issue.4 , pp. 327-342
    • Ochola, W.O.1    Kerkides, P.2
  • 26
    • 0034066604 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water resources management in smallholder farms in Eastern and Southern Africa: An overview
    • DOI 10.1016/S1464-1909(00)00015-0, PII S1464190900000150
    • Rockström, J.: Water resources management in smallholder farms in Eastern and Southern Africa: An overview, Phys. Chem. Earth, 25, 275-283, doi:10.1016/S1464-1909(00)00015-0, 2000. (Pubitemid 30259810)
    • (2000) Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Part B: Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere , vol.25 , Issue.3 , pp. 275-283
    • Rockstrom, J.1
  • 27
    • 0141941100 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resilience building and water demand management for drought mitigation
    • DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2003.08.009
    • Rockström, J.: Resilience building and water demand management for drought mitigation, Phys. Chem. Earth, 28, 869-877, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2003.08. 009, 2003. (Pubitemid 37232245)
    • (2003) Physics and Chemistry of the Earth , vol.28 , Issue.20-27 , pp. 869-877
    • Rockstrom, J.1
  • 28
    • 5144227547 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A watershed approach to upgrade rainfed agriculture in water scarce regions through Water System Innovations: An integrated research initiative on water for food and rural livelihoods in balance with ecosystem functions
    • DOI 10.1016/j.pce.2004.09.016, PII S1474706504001615
    • Rockström, J., Folke, C., Gordon, L., Hatibu, N., Jewitt, G., Penning de Vries, F., Rwehumbiza, F., Sally, H., Savenije, H., and Schulze, R.: A watershed approach to upgrade rainfed agriculture in water scarce regions through Water System Innovations: An integrated research initiative on water for food and rural livelihoods in balance with ecosystem functions, Phys. Chem. Earth, 29, 1109-1118, doi:10.1016/j.pce.2004.09.016, 2004. (Pubitemid 39347759)
    • (2004) Physics and Chemistry of the Earth , vol.29 , Issue.15-18 SPEC.ISS. , pp. 1109-1118
    • Rockstrom, J.1    Folke, C.2    Gordon, L.3    Hatibu, N.4    Jewitt, G.5    Penning De Vries, F.6    Rwehumbiza, F.7    Sally, H.8    Savenije, H.9    Schulze, R.10
  • 29
    • 0037324416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rainfall distribution on the slopes of Mt Kilimanjaro
    • DOI 10.1623/hysj.48.1.65.43483
    • Røhr, P. C. and Killingtveit, A.: Rainfall distribution on the slopes of Mt Kilimanjaro, Hydrol. Sci. J., 48, 65-77, doi:10.1623/hysj.48.1.65. 43483, 2003. (Pubitemid 36242581)
    • (2003) Hydrological Sciences Journal , vol.48 , Issue.1 , pp. 65-78
    • Rohr, P.C.1    Killingtveit, A.2
  • 33
    • 0030117060 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of the Kenyan longest dry and wet spells and the largest rain-sums using a Markov model
    • DOI 10.1016/0022-1694(95)02827-7
    • Sharma, T. C.: Simulation of the Kenyan longest dry and wet spells and the largest rain-sums using a Markov model, J. Hydrol., 178, 55-67, doi:10.1016/0022-1694(95)02827-7, 1996. (Pubitemid 27002645)
    • (1996) Journal of Hydrology , vol.178 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 55-67
    • Sharma, T.C.1
  • 34
    • 0001159743 scopus 로고
    • Empirical analysis of dry spells for agricultural applications west africa
    • doi:10.1175/1520-0442(19 92)005<10532:EAO DSF>2.0.CO;2
    • Sivakumar, M. V. K.: Empirical analysis of dry spells for agricultural applications West Africa, J. Climate, 5, 532-539, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1992) 005<10532:EAODSF>2.0.CO;2, 1992.
    • (1992) J. Climate , vol.5 , pp. 532-539
    • Sivakumar, M.V.K.1
  • 35
    • 85028893406 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Frequency of wet and dry spells in Tanzania
    • edited by: Sivakumar, M. K. and Ndiang'ui, N. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, doi:10.1007/978-3-540-72438-4 10
    • Tilya, F. and Mhita, M.: Frequency of Wet and Dry Spells in Tanzania, in: Climate and Land Degradation SE - 10, edited by: Sivakumar, M. K. and Ndiang'ui, N., 197-204, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, doi:10.1007/978-3-540-72438- 4 10, 2007.
    • (2007) Climate and Land Degradation SE - 10 , pp. 197-204
    • Tilya, F.1    Mhita, M.2
  • 36
    • 84882361991 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • USGS: Seamless data distribution system (SDDS) 1 arc second (30 m)
    • edited by: U.S.G. Survey, Reston USA, US Geological Survey
    • USGS: Seamless Data Distribution System (SDDS) 1 Arc Second (30 m), Seamless Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM), edited by: U.S.G. Survey, Reston USA, US Geological Survey, 2007.
    • (2007) Seamless Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM)
  • 37
    • 0022195325 scopus 로고
    • Understanding the drought phenomenon: The role of definitions
    • Wilhite, D. A. and Glantz, M. H.: Understanding the Drought Phenomenon: The Role of Definitions, Water Int., 10, 111-120, doi:10.1080/02508068508686328, 1985. (Pubitemid 16292579)
    • (1985) Water International , vol.10 , Issue.3 , pp. 111-120
    • Wilhite, D.A.1    Glantz, M.H.2
  • 39
    • 84856226847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Drought frequency analysis using cluster analysis and bivari-ate probability distribution
    • doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.11.046
    • Yoo, J., Kwon, H. H. K., Kim, T. W., and Ahn, J. H.: Drought frequency analysis using cluster analysis and bivari-ate probability distribution, J. Hydrol., 420-421, 102-111, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.11.046, 2012.
    • (2012) J. Hydrol. , vol.420-421 , pp. 102-111
    • Yoo, J.1    Kwon, H.H.K.2    Kim, T.W.3    Ahn, J.H.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.