Advances in theoretical issues of species distribution models

Shengtai Xuebao/ Acta Ecologica Sinica

Volumn 33, Issue 16, 2013, Pages 4827-4835

  Li, Guo Qing ^a,b,c   Liu, Chang Cheng ^b   Liu, Yu Guo ^b,d   Yang, Jun ^b,e   Zhang, Xin Shi ^b   Guo, Ke ^b  

^a NORTHWEST A F UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b INSTITUTE OF BOTANY   (China)

^c INSTITUTE OF SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION   (China)

^d RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF FORESTRY   (China)

^e Beijing Polytechnic   (China)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

BIODIVERSITY; BIOGEOGRAPHY; COMMUNITY ECOLOGY; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; ENVIRONMENTAL RISK; EVOLUTIONARY THEORY; GIS; HABITAT MANAGEMENT; METAPOPULATION; NICHE; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; POPULATION DYNAMICS; POPULATION VIABILITY ANALYSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SOURCE-SINK DYNAMICS; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEM; THEORETICAL STUDY;

EID: 84881648760     PISSN: 10000933     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5846/stxb201212031735     Document Type: Article

References (75)

1. Franklin J. Predictive vegetation mapping: geographic modelling of biospatial patterns in relation to environmental gradients. Progress in Physical Geography, 1995, 19(4): 474-499.
2. Guisan A, Thuiller W. Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecology Letters, 2005, 8(9): 993-1009.
3. Elith J, Leathwick J R. Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 2009, 40: 667-697.
4. Grinnell J. The origin and distribution of the chestnut-backed chickadee. The Auk, 1904, 21(3): 364-365.
5. Whittaker R J. Vegetation of the Great smoky mountains. Ecological Monography, 1956, 26(1): 1-80.
6. MacArthur R H. Population ecology of some warblers of northeastern coniferous forests. Ecology, 1958, 39(4): 599-619.
7. Nix H, MacMahon J, Mackenzie D. Potential areas of production and the future pigeon pea and other grain legumes in Australia, Wallis E S, Whiteman P C, eds. The potential for pigeon pea in Australia. Proceedings of Pigeon Pea (Cajanus cajan (L.) Millsp.) Field Day. Queensland, Australia: University of Queensland, 1977: 1-12.
8. Aspinall R, Veitch N. Habitat mapping from satellite imagery and wildlife survey data using a Bayesian modeling procedure in GIS. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 1993, 59: 537-543.
9. Hizel A H, Hausser J, Chessel D, Perrin N. Ecological niche factor analysis: how to compute habitat suitability maps without absence data? Ecology, 2002, 83(7): 2027-2036.
10. Thuiller W. BIOMOD-optimizing predictions of species distributions and projecting potential future shifts under global change. Global Change Biology, 2003, 9(10): 1353-1362.
11. Hijmans R J, Guarino L, Cruz M, Rojas E. Computer tools for spatial analysis of plant genetic resources data: 1. DIVA-GIS. Plant Genetic Resources Newsletter, 2001, 127: 15-19.
12. Stockwell D, Peters D. The GARP modelling system: problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 1999, 13(2): 143-158.
13. Lehmann A, Overton J, Leathwick J R. GRASP: Generalized regression analysis and spatial prediction. Ecological Modelling, 2002, 157(2/3): 189-207.
14. McCune B. Nonparametric habitat models with automatic interactions. Journal of Vegetation Science, 2006, 17(6): 819-830.
15. Farber O, Kadmon R. Assessment of alternative approaches for bioclimatic modeling with special emphasis on the Mahalanobis distance. Ecological Modelling, 2003,160(1/2): 115-130.
16. Phillips S J, Anderson R P, Schapire R E. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling, 2006, 190(3 / 4):231-259.
17. Guo Q H, Liu Y. ModEco: an integrated software package for ecological niche modeling. Ecography, 2010, 33(4): 637-642.
18. Rangel T F L V B, Diniz-Filho J A F, Bini L M. Towards an integrated computational tool for spatial analysis in macroecology and biogeography. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 2006, 15(4): 321-327.
19. Hong B G, Li S Z. The preliminary study of the correlations between the distribution of main everygreen broad-leaf tree species in Jiangsu and climats. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 1981, 1(2): 105-111.
20. Wang X R, Fan J H, Wang X S. Distribution of main tree species and its relation to water and heat conditions in shelter-forest districts of "San Bei". Chinese Journal of Ecology, 1986, 5(1): 13-17.
21. Zhang X S. A vegetation-climate classification system for global change studies in China. Quaternary Sciences, 1993, 13(2): 157-169.
22. Jiang X, Ni J. Species-climate relationships of 10 desert plant species and their estimated potential distribution range in the arid lands of northwestern China. Acta Phytoecologica Sinica,2005, 29(1): 98-107.
23. Cao M C, Zhou G S, Wang E S. Application and comparison of generalized models and classification and regression tree in simulating tree species distribution. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2005, 25(8): 2031-2040.
24. Li F, Zhou G S, Cao M C. Responses of Larix gmelinii geographical distribution to future climate change: a simulation study. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2006, 17(12): 2255-2260.
25. Zhang Z D, Zang R G. Predicting potential distributions of dominaint woody plant keystone species in a natural tropical forest landscape of Bawangling Hainan Island South China. Journal of Plant Ecology (Chinese Version), 2007, 31(6): 1079-1091.
26. Xu X, Yang Y, Wang L. Geographic distribution and potential distribution estimation of Pseudotaxus chienii. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 2008, 32(5): 1134-1145.
27. Peng S Z, Zhao C Y, Xu Z L, Wang C, Liu Y Y. Potential distribution of Qinghai spruce and assessment of its growth status in the upper reaches of the heihe river in the Qilian Mountains of China. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 2011, 35(6): 605-614.
28. Xu Z L, Zhao C Y, Feng Z D. A study of the impact of climate change on the potential distribution of Qinghai spruce (Picea crassifolia) in Qilian Mountains. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2009, 29(5): 278-285.
29. Wang J, Ni J. Modelling the distribution of five Caragana species in temperate northern China. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 2009, 33(1): 12-24.
30. Wu J G, Lü J J. Potential effects of climate change on the distribution of dove trees (Davidia involucrata Baill) in China. Research of Environmental Sciences, 2009, 22(12): 1371-1381.
31. Zhang L, Liu S R, Sun P S, Wang T L. Comparative evaluation of multiple models of the effects of climate change on the potential distribution of Pinus massoniana. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 2011, 35(11): 1091-1105.
32. Zuo W Y, Lao N, Geng Y Y, Ma K P. Predicting species's potential distribution-SVM compared with GARP. Journal of Plant Ecology (Chinese Version), 2007, 31(4): 711-719.
33. Wang Y S, Xie B Y, Wan F H, Xiao Q M, Dai L Y. Application of ROC curve analysis in evaluating the performance of alien species' potential distribution models. Biodiversity Science, 2007, 15(4): 365-372.
34. Shao H, Tian J Q, Guo K, Sun J X. Effects of sample size and species traits on performance of BIOCLIM in predicting geographical distribution of tree species-a case study with 12 deciduous Quercus species indigenous to China. Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology, 2009, 33(5): 870-877.
35. Austin M P. Spatial prediction of species distribution: an interface between ecological theory and statistical modeling. Ecological Modelling, 2002, 157(2 /3): 101-118.
36. Soberón J, Peterson A T. Interpretation of models of fundamental ecological niches and species's distribtional areas. Biodiversity Informatics, 2005, 2: 1-10.
37. Hizel A H, Le Lay G. Habitat suitability modeling and niche theory. Journal of Applied Ecology, 2008, 45(5): 1372-1381.
38. Grinnell J. The niche-relationships of the California thrasher. The Auk, 1917, 34(4): 427-433.
39. Elton C. Animal Ecology. Chicago: University of Chicago Press,1927.
40. Hutchinson M. Methods for generation of weather sequences, BuntingA H ed. Agricultural environments: characterisation, classification and mapping. Wallingford: CAB, International, 1987: 149-157.
41. Sillero N. What does ecological modelling model? A proposed classification of ecological niche models based on their underlying methods. Ecological Modelling, 2011, 222(8): 1343-1346.
42. Pulliam H. Sources, sinks, and population regulation. American Naturalist, 1988, 132(5): 652-661.
43. Pulliam H. On the relationship between niche and distribution. Ecology Letters, 2000, 3(4): 349-361.
44. Dias P C. Sources and sinks in population biology. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 1996, 11(8): 326-330.
45. Hanski I. Metapopulation Ecology. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press, 1999.
46. Brown J H. Macroecology. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1995.
47. Franklin J. Mapping Species Distributions: Spatial Inference and Prediction. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2009.
48. Soberón J M. Niche and area of distribution modeling: a population ecology perspective. Ecography, 2010, 33(1): 1-9.
49. Soberón J M, Nakamura M. Niches and distributional areas: concepts, methods and assumptions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2009, 106(17): 19644-19650.
50. Hubbell S. Neutral theory and the evolution of ecological equivalence. Ecology, 2006, 87(6): 1387-1398.
51. Bell G. Neutral macroecology. Science, 2001, 293(5539): 2413-2418.
52. Kriticos D J, Leriche A. The effects of climate data precision on fitting and projecting species niche models. Ecography, 2010, 33(1): 115-127.
53. Hui C, Veldtman R, McGeoch M A. Measures perceptions and scaling patterns of aggregated species distributions. Ecography, 2010, 33 (1): 95-102.
54. Graham C, Ferrier S, Huettman F, Moritz C, Peterson A T. New developments in museum-based informatics and applications in biodiversity analysis. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 2004, 19(9): 497-503.
55. Barve N, Barve V, Jimenez-Valverde A, Lira-Noriega A, Maher S P, Peterson A T, Soberon J, Villalobos F. The crucial role of the accessible area in ecological niche modeling and species distribution modeling. Ecological Modelling, 2011, 222(11): 1810-1819.
56. Jeschke J, Strayer D. Usefulness of bioclimatic models for studying climate change and invasive species. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2008, 1134(1): 1-24.
57. Davis A, Jenkinson L, Lawton J, Shorrocks B, Wood S. Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming. Nature, 1998, 391(6669): 783-786.
58. Malcolm J R, Markham A, Neilson R P, Garaci M. Estimated migration rates under scenarios of global climate change. Journal of Biogeography, 2002, 29(7): 835-849.
59. Engler R, Randin C F, Vittoz P, Czaka T, Beniston M, Zimmermann N E, Guisan A. Predicting future distributions of mountain plants under climate change: does dispersal capacity matter. Ecography, 2009, 32(1): 34-45.
60. Iverson L, Schwartz M W, Prasad A M. Potential colonization of newly available tree-species habitat under climate change-an analysis for five eastern US species. Landscape Ecology, 2004, 19(7): 787-799.
61. Engler R, Hordijk W, Guisan A. The MIGCLIM R package-seamless integration of dispersal constraints into projections of species distribution models. Ecography, 2012, 35(10): 872-878.
62. Zimmermann N, Edwards T, Graham C, Pearman P, Svenning J. New trends in species distribution modelling. Ecography, 2010, 33 (6): 985-989.
63. Maron J L, Vilá M, Bommarco R, Elmendorf S, Beardsley P. Rapid evolution of an invasive plant. Ecological Monographs, 2004, 74 (2): 261-280.
64. Wright J W, Davies K F, Lau J A, McCall A C, McKay J K. Experimental verification of ecological niche modeling in a heterogeneous environment. Ecology, 2006, 87(10): 2433-2439.
65. Peterson A, Soberon J, Sanchez-Cordero V. Conservatism of ecological niches in evolutionary time. Science, 1999, 285(5431): 1265-1267.
66. Clements D R, Ditommaso A. Predicting weed invasion in Canada under climate change: evaluating evolutionary potential. Canadian Journal of Plant Science, 2012, 92(6): 1013-1020.
67. Petitpierre B, Kueffer C, Broennimann O, Randin C, Daehler C, Guisan A. Climatic niche shifts are rare among terrestrial plant invaders. Science, 2012, 335(6074): 1344-1348.
68. Webber B L, Le Maitre D C, Kriticos D J. Comment on "climatic niche shift are rare among terrestrial plant invaders. Science, 2012, 338 (6104): 193-193.
69. Ferrier S, Guisan A. Spatial modelling of biodiversity at the community level. Journal of Applied Ecology, 2006, 43(3): 393-404.
70. Guisan A, Rahbek C. SESAM-a new framework integrating macroecological and species distribution models for predicting spatio-temporal patterns of species assemblages. Journal of Biogeography, 2011, 38(8): 1433-1444.
71. Baselga A, Araújo M B. Do community-level models describe community variation effectively. Journal of Biogeography, 2010, 37 (10): 1842-1850.
72. Gotznberger L, de Bello F, Brathen K A, Davison J, Dubuis A, Guisan A, Lep J, Lindborg R, Moora M, Partel M, Pellissier L, Pottier J, Vittoz P, Zobel K, Zobel M. Ecological assembly rules in plant communities-approaches patterns and prospects. Biological Reviews, 2012, 87 (1): 111-127.
73. Cabral J S, Kreft H. Linking ecological niche community ecology and biogeography: insights from a mechanistic niche model. Journal of Biogeography, 2012, 39(12): 2212-2224.
74. Kissling W D, Dormann C F, Groeneveld J, Hickler T, Kuhn I, Mclnerny G J, Montoya J M, Romermann C, Romermann C, Schiffers K, Schurr F M, Singer Ar, Svenning J C, Zimmermann N E, O'Hara R B. Towards novel approaches to modelling biotic interactions in multispecies assemblages at large spatial extents. Journal of Biogeography, 2012, 39(12): 2163-2178.
75. Ohmann J L, Gregory M J, Henderson E B, Roberts H M. Mapping gradients of community composition with nearest-neighbour imputation: extending plot data for landscape analysis. Journal of Vegetation Science, 2011, 22(4): 660-676.