Numerical modeling of the impact of sea level rise on tidal basin morphodynamics

Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface

Volumn 118, Issue 2, 2013, Pages 447-460

  Van Der Wegen, Mick ^a  

^a UNESCO IHE INSTITUTE FOR WATER EDUCATION   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

estuarine morphodynamics; intertidal area; morphodynamic modeling; sea level rise; tidal asymmetry

Indexed keywords

ESTUARINE ENVIRONMENT; INTERTIDAL ENVIRONMENT; MORPHODYNAMICS; NUMERICAL MODEL; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; SEDIMENT TRANSPORT; SEMIDIURNAL TIDE;

EID: 84880691819     PISSN: None     EISSN: 21699011     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/jgrf.20034     Document Type: Article

References (64)

1. Allison, I., et al. (2009), The Copenhagen Diagnosis. Updating the World on the Latest Climate Science, Climate Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, 2009.
2. Allen, J. R. L., (2000), Morphodynamics of Holocene salt marshes: A review sketch from the Atlantic and Southern North Sea coasts of Europe, Quat. Sci. Rev., 19 (12), 1155-1231. (Pubitemid 30459308)
3. Bagnold, R. A., (1966), An approach to the sediment transport problem from general physics, US Geological Survey Prof. paper 422-I, Washington, USA.
4. Beets, D. J., and, A. J. F. Van der Spek, (2000), The Holocene evolution of the barrier and back barrier basins of Belgium and the Netherlands as a function of late Weichselian morphology, relative sea-level rise and sediment supply, Netherlands Journ. of Geosciences, 79 (1), 3-16. (Pubitemid 30454281)
5. Boon, J. D. I. I. I., and, R. J. Byrne, (1981), On basin hypsometry and the morphodynamic response of coastal inlet systems, Marine Geology, 40, 27-48.
6. Broekx, S., S. Smets, I. Liekens, D. Bulckaen, and, L. De Nocker, (2011), Designing a long-term flood risk management plan for the Scheldt estuary using a risk-based approach, Nat. Hazards, 57 (2), 245-266, doi: 10.1007/s11069-010- 9610-x.
7. Chappell, J., (1993), Contrasting Holocene sedimentary geologies of lower Daly River, northern Australia, and lower Sepik-Ramu, Papua New Guinea, Sedimentary Geology, 83 (3-4), 339-358. (Pubitemid 23381116)
8. Dastgheib, A., J. A. Roelvink, and, Z. B. Wang, (2008), Long-term process-based morphological modeling of the Marsdiep Tidal Basin, Marine Geology, 256, 90-100.
9. De Vriend, H. J., M. Capobianco, T. Chesher, H. E. de Swart, B. Latteux, and, M. J. F. Stive, (1993), Approaches to long term modeling of coastal morphology: A review, Coastal Eng, 21 (1-3), 225-269.
10. Dissanayake, D. M. P. K., J. A. Roelvink, and, M. van der Wegen, (2009), Modelled channel patterns in a schematized tidal inlet, Coastal Engineering, 56 (11-12), 1069-1083.
11. Dissanayake, D. M. P. K., R. Ranasinghe, and, J. A. Roelvink, (2012), The morphological response of large tidal inlet/basin systems to relative sea level rise, Clim. Chang., 113 (2), 253-276, doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0402-z.
12. Dronkers, J., (1986), Tidal asymmetry and estuarine morphology, Neth. Journal of Sea Research, 20, 117-131.
13. Dronkers, J., (1998), Morphodynamics of the Dutch Delta, in Physics of Estuaries and Coastal Seas, edited by, J. Dronkers, and, M. B. A. M. Scheffers, Balkema, Rotterdam, 297-304.
14. Engelund, F., and, E. Hansen, (1967), A monograph on sediment transport in alluvial streams, Teknisk Forlag, Copenhagen.
15. Fagherazzi S., L. Carniello, L. D'Alpaos, and, A. Defina, (2006), Critical bifurcation of shallow microtidal landforms in tidal flats and salt marshes, PNAS, 103 (22), 8337-8341. (Pubitemid 43838456)
16. FitzGerald, D. M., M. S. Fenster, B. A. Argow, and, I. V. Buynevich, (2008), Coastal impacts due to sea level rise, Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 36, 601-647. (Pubitemid 351883486)
17. Friedrichs, C. T., and, D. G. Aubrey, (1988), Non-linear tidal distortion in shallow well mixed estuaries: a synthesis, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 27, 521-545. (Pubitemid 225994)
18. Friedrichs, C. T., D. G. Aubrey, and, P. E. Speer, (1990), Impacts of relative sea-level rise on evolution of shallow estuaries, In: Coastal and Estuarine Studies, edited by, R. T. Cheng, vol 38, p. 105-120, Residual currents and long-term transport, Springer-Verlag, New York, US.
19. Ganju, N. K., D. H. Schoellhamer, and, B. E. Jaffe, (2009), Hindcasting of decadal-timescale estuarine bathymetric change with a tidal-timescale model, J. Geophys. Res., 114, F04019, doi: 10.1029/2008JF001191.
20. Ganju N. K., and, D. H. Schoellhamer, (2010), Decadal-timescale estuarine geomorphic change under future scenarios of climate and sediment supply, Est. and Coasts, 33, 15-29, doi 10.1007/s12237-009-9244-y.
21. Geleynse, N., J. E. A. Storms, M. J. F. Stive, H. R. A. Jagers, and, D. J. R. Walstra, (2010), Modeling of a mixed-load fluvio-deltaic system, Geoph. Res. Let., 37, L05402, doi: 10.1029/2009GL042000.
22. Gilbert, G. K., (1917), Hydraulic-mining debris in the Sierra Nevada: US Geological Survey Professional Paper 105, 148 p.
23. Hibma, A., H. M. Schuttelaars, and, Z. B. Wang, (2003a), Comparison of longitudinal equilibrium profiles in idealized and process-based models, Ocean Dynamics, 53 (3), 252-269. (Pubitemid 37181133)
24. Hibma, A., H. J. de Vriend, and, M. J. F. Stive, (2003b), Numerical modeling of shoal pattern formation in well-mixed elongated estuaries, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 57 (5-6), 981-991. (Pubitemid 37181824)
25. Hibma, A., M. J. F. Stive, and, Z. B. Wang, (2004), Estuarine morphodynamics, Coastal Engineering, 51 (8), 765-778. (Pubitemid 39267020)
26. Higgins, S. A., B. E. Jaffe, and, C. C. Fuller, (2007), Reconstructing sediment age profiles from historical bathymetry changes in San Pablo Bay, California, Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science, 73, 165-174, doi: 10.1016/j.ecss.2006.12.018. (Pubitemid 46686914)
27. Ikeda, S., (1982), Lateral bed load transport on side slopes, Journal Hydraulics Division, ASCE, 108 (11), 1369-1373.
28. Ikeda, S., and, T. Aseada, (1983), Sediment suspension with rippled bed, Journal Hydraulics Division, ASCE, 109 (3), 409-423.
29. Kelley, J. T., W. R. Gehrels, and, D. F. Belknap, (1995), Late Holocene relative sea-level rise and the geological development of tidal marshes at Wells, Maine, USA, Journal of Coastal Research, 11 (1), 136-153.
30. Kirby, R., (2002), Optimized Harbor Basins, ASCE Proc. 119, 3rd Spec. Conf. on Dredging and Dredged Material Disposal, doi: 10.1061/40680(2003)119.
31. Kirwan, M. L., G. R. Guntenspergen, A. D'Alpaos, J. T. Morris, S. M. Mudd, and, S. Temmerman, (2010), Limits on the adaptability of coastal marshes to rising sea level, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L23401, doi: 10.1029/2010GL045489.
32. Lesser, G. R., J. A. Roelvink, J. A. T. M. Van Kester, and, G. S. Stelling, (2004), Development and validation of a three-dimensional morphological model, Coastal Engineering, 51, 883-915. (Pubitemid 39267026)
33. Long, A. J., A. J. Plater, M. P. Waller, and, J. B. Innes, (1996), Holocene coastal sedimentation in the Eastern English Channel: New data from the Romney Marsh region, United Kingdom, Marine Geology, 136, 97-120.
34. Long, A. J., J. B. Innes, J. R. Kirby, J. M. Lloyd, M. M. Rutherford, I. Shennanand, and, M. J. Tooley, (1998), Holocene sea level change and coastal evolution in the Humber estuary, eastern England: An assessment of rapid coastal change, Holocene, 8 (2), 229-247. (Pubitemid 28202632)
35. Marciano, R., Z. B. Wang, A. Hibma, H. J. De Vriend, and, A. Defina, (2005). Modelling of channel patterns in short tidal basins, J. Geophys. Res., 100, F01001, doi: 10.1029/2003JF000092.
36. Nicholls, R. J., P. P. Wong, V. R. Burkett, J. Codignotto, J. Hay, R. McLean, S. Ragoonaden, and, C. D. Woodroffe, (2007), Coastal systems and low-lying areas, in: Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden, and, C. E. Hanson, (ed), p. 315-356, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
37. Perillo, G. M. E., (Ed) (1995), Geomorphology and Sedimentology of Estuaries, Developments in Sedimentology, Elsevier, Amsterdam, the Netherlands, ISBN 13: 978-0-444-88170-0.
38. Roelvink, J. A., (2006), Coastal morphodynamic evolution techniques, Coastal Eng., 53, 177-187.
39. Scavia D., et al. (2002), Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Coastal and Marine Ecosystems, Estuaries, 25 (2), 149-164. (Pubitemid 34544094)
40. Schuttelaars, H. M., and, H. E. de Swart, (1996), An idealized long term morphodynamic model of a tidal embayment, European Journal of Mechanics, B/Fluids, 15 (1), 55-80.
41. Schuttelaars, H. M., and, H. E. de Swart, (2000), Multiple morphodynamic equilibria in tidal embayments, J. Geophys. Res., 105, No C10, 24105-24118.
42. Speer, P. E., and, D. G. Aubrey, (1985) A Study of Non-Linear Tidal Propagation in Shallow Inlet/Estuarine Systems. Part II: Theory, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 21, 207-224.
43. Stefanon, L., L. Carniello, A. D'Alpaos, and, A. Rinaldo, (2012), Signatures of sea level changes on tidal geomorphology: Experiments on network incision and retreat, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L12402, doi: 10.1029/ 2012GL051953.
44. Stive, M. J. F., and, Z. B. Wang, (2003), Morphodynamic modelling of tidal basins and coastal inlets, in: Advances in Coastal Modeling, V. C. Lakhan, (Ed.), p. 367-392, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
45. Temmerman, S., G. Govers, S. Wartel, and, P. Meire, (2004), Modelling estuarine variations in tidal marsh sedimentation: Response to changing sea level and suspended sediment concentrations, Marine Geology, 212, 1-19. (Pubitemid 39484146)
46. Temmerman, S., T. J. Bouma, G. Govers, Z. B. Wang, M. B. De Vries, and, P. M. J. Herman, (2005), Impact of vegetation on flow routing and sedimentation patterns: Three-dimensional modeling for a tidal marsh, J. Geophys. Res., 110, F04019, doi: 10.1029/2005JF000301.
47. Tonelli, M., S. Fagherazzi, and, M. Petti, (2010) Modeling wave impact on salt marsh boundaries, J. Geophys. Res., 115, C09028, doi: 10.1029/2009JC006026
48. Van der Spek, A. J. F., and, D. J. Beets, (1992), Mid-Holocene evolution of a tidal basin in the western Netherlands: A model for future changes in the northern Netherlands under conditions of accelerated sea-level rise, Sedimentary Geology, 80 (3-4), 185-197. (Pubitemid 23377163)
49. Van der Wegen, M., and, J. A. Roelvink, (2008), Long-term morphodynamic evolution of a tidal embayment using a two-dimensional, process-based model, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C03016, doi: 10.1029/2006JC003983.
50. Van der Wegen, M., and, J. A. Roelvink, (2012), Reproduction of estuarine bathymetry by means of a process-based model: Western Scheldt case study, the Netherlands, Geomorphology, doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2012.08.007
51. Van der Wegen, M., Z. B. Wang, H. H. G. Savenije, and, J. A. Roelvink, (2008), Long-term morphodynamic evolution and energy dissipation in a coastal plain, tidal embayment, J. Geophys. Res., 113, F03001, doi: 10.1029/ 2007JF000898.
52. Van der Wegen, M., A. Dastgheib, and, J. A. Roelvink, (2010a), Morphodynamic modeling of tidal channel evolution in comparison to empirical PA relationship, Coast. Eng., 57, 827-837, doi: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2010.04.003.
53. Van der Wegen, M., A. Dastgheib, B. E. Jaffe, and, J. A. Roelvink, (2010b), Bed composition generation for morphodynamic modeling: Case study of San Pablo Bay in California, U.S.A., Ocean Dynamics, 61 (2-3), 173-186 doi: 10.1007/s10236-010-0314-2.
54. Van der Wegen, M., B. E. Jaffe, and, J. A. Roelvink, (2011), Process-based, morphodynamic hindcast of decadal deposition patterns in San Pablo Bay, California, 1856-1887, J. Geophys. Res., 116, F02008, doi: 10.1029/2009JF001614.
55. Van Dongeren, A. D., and, H. J. De Vriend, (1994), A model of morphological behaviour of tidal basins, Coastal Engineering, 22, 287-310.
56. Van Goor, M. A., T. J. Zitman, Z. B. Wang, and, M. J. F. Stive, (2003), Impact of sea-level rise on the morphological equilibrium state of tidal inlets, Marine Geology, 202, 211-227. (Pubitemid 37506863)
57. V. Geen, and, S. N. Luoma, (1999), Impact of human activities on sediments of San Francisco Bay, California: An overview, Marine Chemistry, 64, 1-6. (Pubitemid 29068785)
58. Van Ledden M., W. G. M. van Kesteren, and, J. C. Winterwerp, (2004), A conceptual framework for the erosion behaviour of sand-mud mixtures, Cont. Shelf Res., 24 (1), 1-11. (Pubitemid 38078295)
59. Van Maanen, B., G. Coco, and, K. R. Bryan, (2011), A Numerical model to simulate the formation and subsequent evolution of tidal channel networks, Australian Journal of Civil Engineering, 9 (1), 61-71.
60. Van Rijn, L. C., (1993), Principles of sediment transport in rivers, estuaries and coastal seas, pp 535, AQUA Publications, the Netherlands.
61. Wang, Z. B., C. Jeuken, and, H. J. De Vriend, (1999), Tidal asymmetry and residual sediment transport in estuaries. A literature study and applications to the Western Scheldt, WL|Delft Hydraulics report Z2749, Delft, the Netherlands.
62. Warner, J. C., C. R. Sherwood, R. P. Signell, C. K. Harris, and, H. G. Arango, (2008), Development of a three-dimensional, regional, coupled wave-, current-, and sediment-transport model, Comput. Geosci., 34, 1284-1306.
63. Zhang, W., X. Ruan, J. Zheng, Y. Zhu, and, H. Wu, (2010), Long-term change in tidal dynamics and its cause in the Pearl River Delta, China Geomorphology, 120, 209-223, doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.03.031.
64. Wolanski, E., and, J. Chappell, (1996), The response of tropical Australian estuaries to a sea level rise, Journal of Marine Systems, 7, 267-279.