메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 498, Issue , 2013, Pages 177-190

An information-theoretical perspective on weighted ensemble forecasts

Author keywords

Information theory; Maximum entropy; Minimum relative entropy; Weighted ensemble forecast

Indexed keywords

DISCRIMINATION INFORMATIONS; ENSEMBLE FORECASTS; FORECAST INFORMATION; MINIMIZING RELATIVE ENTROPIES; MINIMUM RELATIVE ENTROPY; PRINCIPLE OF MAXIMUM ENTROPY; SEASONAL FORECASTS; WEIGHTING METHODS;

EID: 84880343268     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.06.033     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (43)
  • 1
    • 39749190760 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Information-based skill scores for probabilistic forecasts
    • Ahrens B., Walser A. Information-based skill scores for probabilistic forecasts. Monthly Weather Review 2008, 136:352-363.
    • (2008) Monthly Weather Review , vol.136 , pp. 352-363
    • Ahrens, B.1    Walser, A.2
  • 5
    • 0030177888 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using noaa's new climate outlooks in operational hydrology
    • Croley T.E. Using noaa's new climate outlooks in operational hydrology. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 1996, 1:93-102.
    • (1996) Journal of Hydrologic Engineering , vol.1 , pp. 93-102
    • Croley, T.E.1
  • 6
    • 0031254955 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mixing probabilistic meteorology outlooks in operational hydrology
    • Croley T.E. Mixing probabilistic meteorology outlooks in operational hydrology. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 1997, 2:161-168.
    • (1997) Journal of Hydrologic Engineering , vol.2 , pp. 161-168
    • Croley, T.E.1
  • 7
    • 0042813566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Weighted-climate parametric hydrologic forecasting
    • Croley T.E. Weighted-climate parametric hydrologic forecasting. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 2003, 8:171-180.
    • (2003) Journal of Hydrologic Engineering , vol.8 , pp. 171-180
    • Croley, T.E.1
  • 9
    • 0035425838 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reservoir optimization using sampling SDP with ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) forecasts
    • Faber B.A., Stedinger J.R. Reservoir optimization using sampling SDP with ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) forecasts. Journal of Hydrology 2001, 249:113-133.
    • (2001) Journal of Hydrology , vol.249 , pp. 113-133
    • Faber, B.A.1    Stedinger, J.R.2
  • 13
    • 11944266539 scopus 로고
    • Information theory and statistical mechanics
    • Jaynes E.T. Information theory and statistical mechanics. Physical Review 1957, 106:620-630.
    • (1957) Physical Review , vol.106 , pp. 620-630
    • Jaynes, E.T.1
  • 16
    • 0036646756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring dynamical prediction utility using relative entropy
    • Kleeman R. Measuring dynamical prediction utility using relative entropy. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 2002, 59:2057-2072.
    • (2002) Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences , vol.59 , pp. 2057-2072
    • Kleeman, R.1
  • 19
    • 0009757387 scopus 로고
    • Information theory and climate prediction
    • Leung L.Y., North G.R. Information theory and climate prediction. Journal of Climate 1990, 3:5-14.
    • (1990) Journal of Climate , vol.3 , pp. 5-14
    • Leung, L.Y.1    North, G.R.2
  • 21
    • 0031761092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal streamflow forecasting in Eastern Australia and the El Nino-southern oscillation
    • Piechota T.C., Chiew F.H.S., Dracup J.A., McMahon T.A. Seasonal streamflow forecasting in Eastern Australia and the El Nino-southern oscillation. Water Resources Research 1998, 34:3035-3044.
    • (1998) Water Resources Research , vol.34 , pp. 3035-3044
    • Piechota, T.C.1    Chiew, F.H.S.2    Dracup, J.A.3    McMahon, T.A.4
  • 22
    • 62949204448 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty assessment via bayesian revision of ensemble streamflow predictions in the operational river rhine forecasting system
    • Reggiani P., Renner M., Weerts A.H., van Gelder P.A.H.J.M. Uncertainty assessment via bayesian revision of ensemble streamflow predictions in the operational river rhine forecasting system. Water Resources Research 2009, 45:W02428.
    • (2009) Water Resources Research , vol.45
    • Reggiani, P.1    Renner, M.2    Weerts, A.H.3    van Gelder, P.A.H.J.M.4
  • 23
    • 0036612028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory
    • Roulston M.S., Smith L.A. Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory. Monthly Weather Review 2002, 130:1653-1660.
    • (2002) Monthly Weather Review , vol.130 , pp. 1653-1660
    • Roulston, M.S.1    Smith, L.A.2
  • 24
    • 84856043672 scopus 로고
    • A mathematical theory of communication
    • Shannon C.E. A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal 1948, 27:379-423.
    • (1948) Bell System Technical Journal , vol.27 , pp. 379-423
    • Shannon, C.E.1
  • 25
    • 0034694864 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seasonal to interannual rainfall probabilistic forecasts for improved water supply management: part 3-a nonparametric probabilistic forecast model
    • Sharma A. Seasonal to interannual rainfall probabilistic forecasts for improved water supply management: part 3-a nonparametric probabilistic forecast model. Journal of Hydrology 2000, 239:249-258.
    • (2000) Journal of Hydrology , vol.239 , pp. 249-258
    • Sharma, A.1
  • 26
    • 0031141905 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of entropy in hydrology and water resources
    • Singh V.P. The use of entropy in hydrology and water resources. Hydrological Processes 1997, 11:587-626.
    • (1997) Hydrological Processes , vol.11 , pp. 587-626
    • Singh, V.P.1
  • 27
    • 0029413040 scopus 로고
    • Parameter estimation for 3-parameter generalized pareto distribution by the principle of maximum entropy (POME)
    • Singh V.P., Guo H. Parameter estimation for 3-parameter generalized pareto distribution by the principle of maximum entropy (POME). Hydrological Sciences Journal 1995, 40:165-181.
    • (1995) Hydrological Sciences Journal , vol.40 , pp. 165-181
    • Singh, V.P.1    Guo, H.2
  • 28
    • 0023468457 scopus 로고
    • Some recent advances in application of the principle of maximum entropy (pome) in hydrology
    • Singh V.P., Rajagopal A.K. Some recent advances in application of the principle of maximum entropy (pome) in hydrology. IAHS 1987, 194:353-364.
    • (1987) IAHS , vol.194 , pp. 353-364
    • Singh, V.P.1    Rajagopal, A.K.2
  • 29
    • 0022264491 scopus 로고
    • Derivation of the pearson type (PT) III distribution by using the principle of maximum entropy (POME)
    • Singh V.P., Singh K. Derivation of the pearson type (PT) III distribution by using the principle of maximum entropy (POME). Journal of hydrology 1985, 80:197-214.
    • (1985) Journal of hydrology , vol.80 , pp. 197-214
    • Singh, V.P.1    Singh, K.2
  • 30
    • 33845624294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Updating ensemble probabilities based on climate forecasts
    • In: Proc., Water Resources Planning and Management (19-22 May, Roanoke, Virginia) (CD-Rom), Environmental and Water Resources Institute, American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, VA.
    • Stedinger, J., Kim, Y.O., 2002. Updating ensemble probabilities based on climate forecasts. In: Proc., Water Resources Planning and Management (19-22 May, Roanoke, Virginia) (CD-Rom), Environmental and Water Resources Institute, American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, VA.
    • (2002)
    • Stedinger, J.1    Kim, Y.O.2
  • 32
    • 77956186546 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilities for ensemble forecasts reflecting climate information
    • Stedinger J.R., Kim Y.O. Probabilities for ensemble forecasts reflecting climate information. Journal of Hydrology 2010, 391:9-23.
    • (2010) Journal of Hydrology , vol.391 , pp. 9-23
    • Stedinger, J.R.1    Kim, Y.O.2
  • 34
  • 35
    • 85015854688 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Information Theory for Risk-based Water System Operation (PhD thesis, TU Delft). VSSD
    • Delft (Chapter 4).
    • Weijs, S.V., 2011. Information Theory for Risk-based Water System Operation (PhD thesis, TU Delft). VSSD, Delft, pp. 57-86 (Chapter 4).
    • (2011) , pp. 57-86
    • Weijs, S.V.1
  • 36
    • 79960744142 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for observational uncertainty in forecast verification: an information-theoretical view on forecasts, observations and truth
    • Weijs S.V., Van de Giesen N. Accounting for observational uncertainty in forecast verification: an information-theoretical view on forecasts, observations and truth. Monthly Weather Review 2011, 139:2156-2162.
    • (2011) Monthly Weather Review , vol.139 , pp. 2156-2162
    • Weijs, S.V.1    Van de Giesen, N.2
  • 38
    • 77958466168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kullback-Leibler divergence as a forecast skill score with classic reliability-resolution-uncertainty decomposition
    • Weijs S.V., Van Nooijen R., Van de Giesen N. Kullback-Leibler divergence as a forecast skill score with classic reliability-resolution-uncertainty decomposition. Monthly Weather Review 2010, 138:3387-3399.
    • (2010) Monthly Weather Review , vol.138 , pp. 3387-3399
    • Weijs, S.V.1    Van Nooijen, R.2    Van de Giesen, N.3
  • 39
    • 12144253814 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate index weighting schemes for NWS ESP-based seasonal volume forecasts
    • Werner K., Brandon D., Clark M., Gangopadhyay S. Climate index weighting schemes for NWS ESP-based seasonal volume forecasts. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2004, 5:1076-1090.
    • (2004) Journal of Hydrometeorology , vol.5 , pp. 1076-1090
    • Werner, K.1    Brandon, D.2    Clark, M.3    Gangopadhyay, S.4
  • 40
    • 0034210919 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On interpretation of probabilistic climate forecasts
    • Wilks D.S. On interpretation of probabilistic climate forecasts. Journal of Climate 2000, 13:1965-1971.
    • (2000) Journal of Climate , vol.13 , pp. 1965-1971
    • Wilks, D.S.1
  • 41
    • 0036012215 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Realizations of daily weather in forecast seasonal climate
    • Wilks D.S. Realizations of daily weather in forecast seasonal climate. Journal of Hydrometeorology 2002, 3:195-207.
    • (2002) Journal of Hydrometeorology , vol.3 , pp. 195-207
    • Wilks, D.S.1
  • 42
    • 33846531715 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A test bed for new seasonal hydrologic forecasting approaches in the western united states
    • Wood A., Lettenmaier D. A test bed for new seasonal hydrologic forecasting approaches in the western united states. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2006, 87:1699-1712.
    • (2006) Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , vol.87 , pp. 1699-1712
    • Wood, A.1    Lettenmaier, D.2
  • 43
    • 53749095590 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty
    • Wood A.W., Lettenmaier D.P. An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty. Geophysical Research Letters 2008, 35:1-L14401.
    • (2008) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.35
    • Wood, A.W.1    Lettenmaier, D.P.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.