Accounting for observational uncertainty in forecast verification: An information-theoretical view on forecasts, observations, and truth

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 139, Issue 7, 2011, Pages 2156-2162

  Weijs, Steven V ^a   van de Giesen, Nick ^a  

^a DELFT UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Convergence divergence; Entropy; Forecast verification; Precipitation; Probability forecasts models distribution

Indexed keywords

CONVERGENCE/DIVERGENCE; CROSS ENTROPY; FORECAST VERIFICATION; INFORMATION LOSS; KULLBACK LEIBLER DIVERGENCE; NOISE PROCESS; PROBABILITY FORECASTS/MODELS/DISTRIBUTION; UNCERTAIN OBSERVATIONS;

ENTROPY; INFORMATION THEORY;

FORECASTING;

DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS; ESTIMATION METHOD; NUMERICAL MODEL; OBSERVATIONAL METHOD; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); PROBABILITY; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 79960744142     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2011MWR3573.1     Document Type: Article

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