메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 93, Issue 11, 2013, Pages 2698-2706

Impact assessment of recent climate change on rice yields in the heilongjiang reclamation area of north-east china

Author keywords

Change point detection; Climate change; Impact assessment; Rice yield; Trend analysis

Indexed keywords

AGRICULTURE; CHINA; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOSYSTEM RESTORATION; HISTORY; PHYSIOLOGY; RICE; TEMPERATURE; TIME;

EID: 84880166725     PISSN: 00225142     EISSN: 10970010     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/jsfa.6087     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (20)

References (49)
  • 1
    • 37649011032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2007 : Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2007 : The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2007).
    • (2007) The Physical Science Basis
  • 2
    • 77956335821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China
    • Piao S, Ciais P, Huang Y, Shen Z, Peng S, Li J, et al., The impact of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China. Nature 467:43-51 (2010).
    • (2010) Nature , vol.467 , pp. 43-51
    • Piao, S.1    Ciais, P.2    Huang, Y.3    Shen, Z.4    Peng, S.5    Li, J.6
  • 3
    • 38149096845 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detection causes and projection of climate change over China: An overview of recent progress
    • Ding Y, Ren G, Zhao Z, Xu Y, Luo Y, Li Q, et al, Detection causes and projection of climate change over China: An overview of recent progress. Adv Atmos Sci 24:954-971 (2007).
    • (2007) Adv Atmos Sci , vol.24 , pp. 954-971
    • Ding, Y.1    Ren, G.2    Zhao, Z.3    Xu, Y.4    Luo, Y.5    Li, Q.6
  • 4
    • 20444455448 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Urban heat island effect on annual mean temperature during the last 50 years in China
    • Li Q, Zhang H, Liu X and Huang J, Urban heat island effect on annual mean temperature during the last 50 years in China. Theor Appl Climatol 79:165-174 (2002).
    • (2002) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.79 , pp. 165-174
    • Li, Q.1    Zhang, H.2    Liu, X.3    Huang, J.4
  • 5
    • 73149110614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessment of surface air warming in northeast China with emphasis on the impacts of urbanization
    • Li Q, Li W, Si P, Gao X, Dong W, Jones P, et al, Assessment of surface air warming in northeast China with emphasis on the impacts of urbanization. Theor Appl Climatol 99:469-478 (2010).
    • (2010) Theor Appl Climatol , vol.99 , pp. 469-478
    • Li, Q.1    Li, W.2    Si, P.3    Gao, X.4    Dong, W.5    Jones, P.6
  • 6
    • 73449086320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of regional temperature and precipitation in the past 50 years and the next 30 years over China
    • Liu Y, Li X, Zhang Q, Guo Y, Gao G and Wang J, Simulation of regional temperature and precipitation in the past 50 years and the next 30 years over China. Quart Res 212:57-63 (2010).
    • (2010) Quart Res , vol.212 , pp. 57-63
    • Liu, Y.1    Li, X.2    Zhang, Q.3    Guo, Y.4    Gao, G.5    Wang, J.6
  • 7
    • 0028181936 scopus 로고
    • Potential impact of climate change on world food supply
    • Rosenzweig C and Parry ML, Potential impact of climate change on world food supply. Nature 367:133-138 (1994).
    • (1994) Nature , vol.367 , pp. 133-138
    • Rosenzweig, C.1    Parry, M.L.2
  • 8
    • 0037436169 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and management contributions to recent trends in U.S. agricultural yields
    • Lobell DB and Asner GP, Climate and management contributions to recent trends in U.S. agricultural yields. Science 299:1032 (2003).
    • (2003) Science , vol.299 , pp. 1032
    • Lobell, D.B.1    Asner, G.P.2
  • 9
    • 1242344212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios
    • Parry ML, Rosenzweig C, Lglesias C, Livermore M and Fischer G, Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Global Environ Change 14:53-67 (2004).
    • (2004) Global Environ Change , vol.14 , pp. 53-67
    • Parry, M.L.1    Rosenzweig, C.2    Lglesias, C.3    Livermore, M.4    Fischer, G.5
  • 10
    • 38049174348 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global food security under climate change
    • Schmidbuber J and Tubiello FN, Global food security under climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104:19703-19708 (2007).
    • (2007) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.104 , pp. 19703-19708
    • Schmidbuber, J.1    Tubiello, F.N.2
  • 11
    • 34047173047 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming
    • Lobell DB and Field C, Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming. Environ Res Lett 2:1-7(2007).
    • (2007) Environ Res Lett , vol.2 , pp. 1-7
    • Lobell, D.B.1    Field, C.2
  • 13
    • 80054897933 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Will higher minimum temperatures increase corn production in northeast China? An analysis of historical data over 1965-2008
    • Chen C, Lei C, Deng A, Dian C, Hoogmoed W and Zhang W, Will higher minimum temperatures increase corn production in northeast China? An analysis of historical data over 1965-2008. Agric Forest Meteorol 151:1580-1588 (2011).
    • (2011) Agric Forest Meteorol , vol.151 , pp. 1580-1588
    • Chen, C.1    Lei, C.2    Deng, A.3    Dian, C.4    Hoogmoed, W.5    Zhang, W.6
  • 16
    • 79960949654 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate trends and global crop production since 1980
    • Lobell DB, Schlenker W and Justin CR, Climate trends and global crop production since 1980. Science 333:616-620 (2011).
    • (2011) Science , vol.333 , pp. 616-620
    • Lobell, D.B.1    Schlenker, W.2    Justin, C.R.3
  • 18
    • 79955042522 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High-temperature effects on rice growth, yield, and grain quality
    • Krishnan P. Ramakrishnan B, Reddy KR and Reddy VR, High-temperature effects on rice growth, yield, and grain quality. Adv Agron 111:87-206 (2011).
    • (2011) Adv Agron , vol.111 , pp. 87-206
    • Krishnan, P.1    Ramakrishnan, B.2    Reddy, K.R.3    Reddy, V.R.4
  • 20
    • 77954759651 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2] and high night temperature on carbon assimilation, nitrogen absorption, and the allocations of C and N by rice (Oryza Sativa L.)
    • 2] and high night temperature on carbon assimilation, nitrogen absorption, and the allocations of C and N by rice (Oryza Sativa L.). Agric Forest Meteorol 150:1174-1181 (2010).
    • (2010) Agric Forest Meteorol , vol.150 , pp. 1174-1181
    • Cheng, W.1    Sakai, H.2    Yagi, K.3    Hasegawa, T.4
  • 21
    • 33646681247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decline in rice grain yields with temperature: Models and correlations can give different estimates
    • Sheehy JE, Mitchell PL and Ferrer AB, Decline in rice grain yields with temperature: Models and correlations can give different estimates. Field Crop Res 98:151-156 (2006).
    • (2006) Field Crop Res , vol.98 , pp. 151-156
    • Sheehy, J.E.1    Mitchell, P.L.2    Ferrer, A.B.3
  • 22
    • 34447648506 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in diurnal temperature range and national cereal yields
    • Lobell DB, Changes in diurnal temperature range and national cereal yields. Agric Forest Meteorol 145:229-238 (2007).
    • (2007) Agric Forest Meteorol , vol.145 , pp. 229-238
    • Lobell, D.B.1
  • 23
    • 0030186207 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change and agriculture in China
    • Smit B and Cai Y, Climate change and agriculture in China. Global Environ Change 6:205-214 (1996).
    • (1996) Global Environ Change , vol.6 , pp. 205-214
    • Smit, B.1    Cai, Y.2
  • 25
    • 33847386674 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate changes and critical thresholds in China's food security
    • Xiong W, Lin E, Ju H and Xu Y, Climate changes and critical thresholds in China's food security. Climatic Change 81:205-221 (2007).
    • (2007) Climatic Change , vol.81 , pp. 205-221
    • Xiong, W.1    Lin, E.2    Ju, H.3    Xu, Y.4
  • 26
    • 33846570847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the impacts of climate change on rice yields in the main rice areas of China
    • Yao F, Xu Y, Lin E, Yokozawa M and Zhang J, Assessing the impacts of climate change on rice yields in the main rice areas of China. Climatic Change 80:395-409 (2007).
    • (2007) Climatic Change , vol.80 , pp. 395-409
    • Yao, F.1    Xu, Y.2    Lin, E.3    Yokozawa, M.4    Zhang, J.5
  • 28
    • 33746866417 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China, 1981-2000
    • Tao F, Yokozawa M, Xu Y, Hayashi Y and Zhang Z, Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China, 1981-2000. Agric Forest Meterol 138:82-92 (2006).
    • (2006) Agric Forest Meterol , vol.138 , pp. 82-92
    • Tao, F.1    Yokozawa, M.2    Xu, Y.3    Hayashi, Y.4    Zhang, Z.5
  • 29
    • 59349101899 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate-crop yield relationships at provincial scales in China and the impacts of recent climate trends
    • Tao F, Yokozawa M, Liu J and Zhang Z, Climate-crop yield relationships at provincial scales in China and the impacts of recent climate trends. Climate Res 38:83-94 (2008).
    • (2008) Climate Res , vol.38 , pp. 83-94
    • Tao, F.1    Yokozawa, M.2    Liu, J.3    Zhang, Z.4
  • 30
    • 70349590334 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Potential impacts of climate change and climate variability on China's rice yield and production
    • Xiong W, Conway D, Lin E and Holman I, Potential impacts of climate change and climate variability on China's rice yield and production. Climate Res 40:23-35(2009).
    • (2009) Climate Res , vol.40 , pp. 23-35
    • Xiong, W.1    Conway, D.2    Lin, E.3    Holman, I.4
  • 31
    • 77954817463 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response of rice yields to recent climate change in China: An empirical assessment based on long-term observations at different spatial scales
    • Zhang T, Zhu J and Wassmann R, Response of rice yields to recent climate change in China: An empirical assessment based on long-term observations at different spatial scales. Agric Forest Meteorol 150:1128-1137 (2010).
    • (2010) Agric Forest Meteorol , vol.150 , pp. 1128-1137
    • Zhang, T.1    Zhu, J.2    Wassmann, R.3
  • 32
    • 70349986563 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate variation in Sanjiang Plain disturbed by large-scale reclamation during the last 45 years
    • Yan M, Deng W and Ma X, Climate variation in Sanjiang Plain disturbed by large-scale reclamation during the last 45 years. Acta Geograph Sinic 12:405-412 (2002).
    • (2002) Acta Geograph Sinic , vol.12 , pp. 405-412
    • Yan, M.1    Deng, W.2    Ma, X.3
  • 33
    • 84880149468 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bureau of Statistics of Heilongjiang Land-reclamation General Bureau, China Statistics Press, Beijing
    • Bureau of Statistics of Heilongjiang Land-reclamation General Bureau, Statistical Yearbook of Heilongjiang State Farms. China Statistics Press, Beijing (2010).
    • (2010) Statistical Yearbook of Heilongjiang State Farms
  • 34
    • 84944484637 scopus 로고
    • Solar and atmospheric radiation
    • Angstrom AK, Solar and atmospheric radiation. Q J R Met Soc 50:121 (1924).
    • (1924) Q J R Met Soc , vol.50 , pp. 121
    • Angstrom, A.K.1
  • 35
    • 84880174135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Change-point analysis: A powerful new tool for detecting changes. Available: (). [2 June 2012].
    • Taylor W, Change-point analysis: A powerful new tool for detecting changes. Available: http://www.variation.com/cpa/tech/changepoint.html (2000). [2 June 2012].
    • (2000)
    • Taylor, W.1
  • 36
    • 1242265630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trend test and change-point detection for annual discharge series of the Yangtze River at the Yichang hydrological station
    • Xiong L and Guo S, Trend test and change-point detection for annual discharge series of the Yangtze River at the Yichang hydrological station. Hydrol Sci J 49:99-112 (2002).
    • (2002) Hydrol Sci J , vol.49 , pp. 99-112
    • Xiong, L.1    Guo, S.2
  • 37
    • 84856213032 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Change-points in climate extremes in the Zhujiang river basin, South China, 1961-2007
    • Fischer T, Gemmer M, Liu L and Su B, Change-points in climate extremes in the Zhujiang river basin, South China, 1961-2007. Climatic Change 110:783-799 (2012).
    • (2012) Climatic Change , vol.110 , pp. 783-799
    • Fischer, T.1    Gemmer, M.2    Liu, L.3    Su, B.4
  • 38
    • 0030620168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increased Australian wheat yield due to recent climate trends
    • Nicholls N, Increased Australian wheat yield due to recent climate trends. Nature 387:484-485 (1997).
    • (1997) Nature , vol.387 , pp. 484-485
    • Nicholls, N.1
  • 39
    • 0031428495 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A biophysical model of corn yield: Integrating physical and economic determinants
    • Kaufmann RK and Snell S, A biophysical model of corn yield: Integrating physical and economic determinants. Am J Agric Econ 79:178-180 (1997).
    • (1997) Am J Agric Econ , vol.79 , pp. 178-180
    • Kaufmann, R.K.1    Snell, S.2
  • 40
    • 84859894251 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of climate change and inter-annual variability on cereal crops in China from 1980 to 2008
    • Zhang T and Huang Y, Impacts of climate change and inter-annual variability on cereal crops in China from 1980 to 2008. J Sci Food Agric. 92:1643-1652 (2012).
    • (2012) J Sci Food Agric. , vol.92 , pp. 1643-1652
    • Zhang, T.1    Huang, Y.2
  • 41
    • 75049084715 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increases in growing degree days in the Alpine desert of the San Luis Valley
    • Mix K, Rast W and Lopes VL, Increases in growing degree days in the Alpine desert of the San Luis Valley, Colorado. Water Air Soil Pollut 205:289-304 (2010).
    • (2010) Colorado. Water Air Soil Pollut , vol.205 , pp. 289-304
    • Mix, K.1    Rast, W.2    Lopes, V.L.3
  • 42
    • 0026269361 scopus 로고
    • Simulation of surface urban heat islands under 'ideal' conditions at night. Part 2: Diagnosis of causation
    • Oke TR, Johnson GT, Steyn DG and Watson ID, Simulation of surface urban heat islands under 'ideal' conditions at night. Part 2: Diagnosis of causation. Bound-Lay Meteorol 56:339-358 (1991).
    • (1991) Bound-Lay Meteorol , vol.56 , pp. 339-358
    • Oke, T.R.1    Johnson, G.T.2    Steyn, D.G.3    Watson, I.D.4
  • 43
    • 77957080922 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rice yields in tropical/subtropical Asia exhibit large but opposing sensitivities to minimum and maximum temperatures
    • Welch JR, Vincent JR, Auffhammer M, Moya PF, Dobermann A and Dawe D, Rice yields in tropical/subtropical Asia exhibit large but opposing sensitivities to minimum and maximum temperatures. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 107:14562-14567 (2010).
    • (2010) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.107 , pp. 14562-14567
    • Welch, J.R.1    Vincent, J.R.2    Auffhammer, M.3    Moya, P.F.4    Dobermann, A.5    Dawe, D.6
  • 44
    • 67549150691 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk analyses of rice yield to seasonal climate variability in China
    • Tao F and Yokozawa M, Risk analyses of rice yield to seasonal climate variability in China. Jpn J Agric Meteorol 60:885-887 (2005).
    • (2005) Jpn J Agric Meteorol , vol.60 , pp. 885-887
    • Tao, F.1    Yokozawa, M.2
  • 45
    • 0034887785 scopus 로고
    • to 1998 and its impact on the environmental condition
    • Climate change in China from
    • Qian W and Zhu Y, Climate change in China from 1880 to 1998 and its impact on the environmental condition. Climatic Change 50:419-444 (2001).
    • (1880) Climatic Change (2001) , vol.50 , pp. 419-444
    • Qian, W.1    Zhu, Y.2
  • 46
    • 79961021253 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analysis of extreme low-temperature events during the warm season in northeast China
    • Xiao F and Song L, Analysis of extreme low-temperature events during the warm season in northeast China. Nat Hazards 58:1333-1344 (2011).
    • (2011) Nat Hazards , vol.58 , pp. 1333-1344
    • Xiao, F.1    Song, L.2
  • 47
    • 34547586460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptation of agriculture to warming in northeast China
    • Yang X, Lin E, Ma S, Ju H, Guo L, Xiong W, et al, Adaptation of agriculture to warming in northeast China. Climatic Change 84:45-58(2007).
    • (2007) Climatic Change , vol.84 , pp. 45-58
    • Yang, X.1    Lin, E.2    Ma, S.3    Ju, H.4    Guo, L.5    Xiong, W.6
  • 48
    • 62849102007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • High night time temperatures affect rice productivity through altered pollen germination and spikelet fertility
    • Mohammed AR and Tarpley L, High night time temperatures affect rice productivity through altered pollen germination and spikelet fertility. Agric Forest Meteorol 149:99-1008 (2009).
    • (2009) Agric Forest Meteorol , vol.149 , pp. 99-1008
    • Mohammed, A.R.1    Tarpley, L.2
  • 49
    • 46249117347 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in Climate Change 2007: Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2007).
    • (2007) Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.