Metapopulation viability of a globally endangered gazelle on the Northeast Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

Biological Conservation

Volumn 166, Issue , 2013, Pages 23-32

  Hu, Junhua ^a,b   Jiang, Zhigang ^b   Mallon, David P ^c,d  

^a CHENGDU INSTITUTE OF BIOLOGY   (China)

^b INSTITUTE OF ZOOLOGY   (China)

^c IUCN SSC Antelope Specialist Group   (United Kingdom)

^d MANCHESTER METROPOLITAN UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Conservation; Environmental change; Extinction; Population dynamics; Przewalski's gazelle (Procapra przewalskii); Vortex

Indexed keywords

ENDANGERED SPECIES; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; EXTINCTION RISK; MAMMAL; METAPOPULATION; MORTALITY; POPULATION SIZE; POPULATION VIABILITY ANALYSIS; SEX RATIO; SUBPOPULATION; VORTEX;

CHINA; QINGHAI-XIZANG PLATEAU;

EID: 84880006566     PISSN: 00063207     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2013.06.011     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Brito D., Da Fonseca G.A.B. Evaluation of minimum viable population size and conservation status of the long-furred woolly mouse opossum Micoureus paraguayanus: an endemic marsupial of the Atlantic forest. Biodivers. Conserv. 2006, 15:1713-1728.
2. Brook B.W., Cannon J.R., Lacy R.C., Mirande C., Frankham R. Comparison of the population viability analysis packages GAPPS, INMAT, RAMAS and VORTEX for the whooping crane (Grus americana). Anim. Conserv. 1999, 2:23-31.
3. Brook B.W., Burgman M.A., Frankham R. Differences and congruencies between PVA packages: the importance of sex ratio for predictions of extinction risk. Conserv. Ecol. 2000, 4:6. http://www.consecol.org/vol4/iss1/art6/.
4. Brook B.W., O'Grady J.J., Chapman A.P., Burgman M.A., Akçakaya H.R., Frankham R. Predictive accuracy of population viability analysis in conservation biology. Nature 2000, 404:385-387.
5. Brook B.W., Burgman M.A., Akçakaya H.R., O'Grady J.J., Frankham R. Critiques of PVA ask the wrong questions: throwing the heuristic baby out with the numerical bath water. Conserv. Biol. 2002, 16:262-263.
6. Carrete M., Sánchez-Zapata J.A., Benítez J.R., Lobón M., Donázar J.A. Large scale risk-assessment of wind-farms on population viability of a globally endangered long-lived raptor. Biol. Conserv. 2009, 142:2954-2961.
7. Coulson T.I.M., Gaillard J.-M., Festa-Bianchet M. Decomposing the variation in population growth into contributions from multiple demographic rates. J. Anim. Ecol. 2005, 74:789-801.
8. Ellner S.P., Fieberg J., Ludwig D., Wilcox C. Precision of population viability analysis. Conserv. Biol. 2002, 16:258-261.
9. Evans M.E.K., Holsinger K.E. Estimating covariation between vital rates: a simulation study of connected vs. separate generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs). Theor. Popul. Biol. 2012, 82:299-306.
10. Fowler C.W. Density dependence as related to life history strategy. Ecology 1981, 62:602-610.
11. Frankham R., Ballou J., Briscoe D. Introduction to Conservation Genetics 2002, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
12. Gaillard J.M., Festa-Bianchet M., Yoccoz N.G., Loison A., Toigo C. Temporal variation in fitness components and population dynamics of large herbivores. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 2000, 31:367-393.
13. Haines A.M., Tewes M.E., Laack L.L., Grant W.E., Young J. Evaluating recovery strategies for an ocelot (Leopardus pardalis) population in the United States. Biol. Conserv. 2005, 126:512-522.
14. Hu J., Jiang Z. Predicting the potential distribution of the endangered Przewalski's gazelle. J. Zool. 2010, 282:54-63.
15. Hu J., Jiang Z. Climate change hastens the conservation urgency of an endangered ungulate. PLoS ONE 2011, 6:e22873.
16. Hu J., Jiang Z. Detecting the potential sympatric range and niche divergence between Asian endemic ungulates of Procapra. Naturwissenschaften 2012, 99:553-565.
17. Hu J., Hu H., Jiang Z. The impacts of climate change on the wintering distribution of an endangered migratory bird. Oecologia 2010, 164:555-565.
18. Hu J., Ping X., Cai J., Li Z., Li C., Jiang Z. Do local communities support the conservation of endangered Przewalski's gazelle?. Eur. J. Wildl. Res. 2010, 56:551-560.
19. IUCN, 2013. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2012.2. Available at (accessed 1.06.13). http://www.iucnredlist.org/about/summary-statistics.
20. IUCN SSC Antelope Specialist Group, 2008. Procapra przewalskii. In: IUCN 2012. IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2012.2 (accessed 1.03.13).
21. Jiang Z. Przewalski's Gazelle 2004, China Forestry Publishing House, Beijing.
22. Jiang Z., Feng Z., Wang Z., Chen L., Cai P., Li Y. Historical and current distributions of Przewalski's gazelles. Acta Theriol. Sin. 1995, 15:241-245.
23. Jiang Z., Gao Z., Sun Y. Current status of antelopes in China. J. For. Res. 1996, 7:58-62.
24. Jiang Z., Li D., Wang Z. Population declines of Przewalski's gazelle around Qinghai Lake, China. Oryx 2000, 34:129-135.
25. Keith D.A., Akçakaya H.R., Thuiller W., Midgley G.F., Pearson R.G., Phillips S.J., Regan H.M., Araújo M.B., Rebelo T.G. Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models. Biol. Lett. 2008, 4:560-563.
26. Lei R., Jiang Z., Liu B. Group pattern and social segregation in Przewalski's gazelle (Procapra przewalskii) around Qinghai Lake. China. J. Zool. 2001, 255:175-180.
27. Li D., Jiang Z. Population viability analysis for the Przewalski's gazelle. Russ. J. Ecol. 2002, 33:115-120.
28. Li D., Jiang Z., Wang Z. Impacts of human activities on the distribution of the critically endangered Przewalski's gazelle. Acta Ecol. Sin. 1999, 19:890-895.
29. Li Z., Jiang Z., Li C. Dietary overlap of Przewalski's gazelle, Tibetan gazelle, and Tibetan sheep on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. J. Wildl. Manage. 2008, 72:944-948.
30. Li C., Jiang Z., Feng Z., Yang X., Yang J., Chen L. Effects of highway traffic on diurnal activity of the critically endangered Przewalski's gazelle. Wildl. Res. 2009, 36:379-385.
31. Li C., Jiang Z., Ping X., Cai J., You Z., Li C., Wu Y. Current status and conservation of the endangered Przewalski's gazelle Procapra przewalskii, endemic to the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, China. Oryx 2012, 46:145-153.
32. Ma R., Jiang Z. Impacts of environmental degradation on wild vertebrates in the Qinghai Lake drainage. Acta Ecol. Sin. 2006, 26:3066-3073.
33. Mace G.M., Cramer W., Díaz S., Faith D.P., Larigauderie A., Le Prestre P., Palmer M., Perrings C., Scholes R.J., Walpole M., Walther B.A., Watson J.E.M., Mooney H.A. Biodiversity targets after 2010. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 2010, 2:3-8.
34. Mallon D.P., Jiang Z. Grazers on the plains: challenges and prospects for large herbivores in Central Asia. J. Appl. Ecol. 2009, 46:516-519.
35. Mallon, D.P., Kingswood, S.C. (Eds.), 2001. Antelopes: Global Survey and Regional Action Plans: Part 4. North Africa, the Middle East, and Asia SSC Antelope Specialist Group, IUCN, Gland & Cambridge.
36. Miller, P.S., Lacy, R.C., 2005. VORTEX: A Stochastic Simulation of the Extinction Process. Version 9.50 User's Manual. Conservation Breeding Specialist Group (SSC/IUCN), Apple Valley, MN, USA.
37. Morris, W.F., Doak, D.F., 2002. Quantitative conservation biology: theory and practice of population viability analysis. Sinauer Associates Sunderland, Massachusetts.
38. Naujokaitis-Lewis I.R., Curtis J.M.R., Arcese P., Rosenfeld J. Sensitivity analyses of spatial population viability analysis models for species at risk and habitat conservation planning. Conserv. Biol. 2009, 23:225-229.
39. Pereira H.M., Navarro L.M., Martins I.S. Global biodiversity change: the bad, the good, and the unknown. Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour. 2012, 37:25-50.
40. Pergams O.R.W., Lacy R.C., Ashley M.V. Conservation and management of Anacapa Island deer mice. Conserv. Biol. 2000, 14:819-832.
41. Primack, R.B., Ma, K., 2009. A Primer of Conservation Biology, fourth ed., Higher Education Press, Beijing (Chinese version).
42. Pulliam H.R., Dunning J.B., Liu J.G. Population dynamics in complex landscapes: a case-study. Ecol. Appl. 1992, 2:165-177.
43. Ralls K., Ballou J.D., Templeton A. Estimates of lethal equivalents and the cost of inbreeding in mammals. Conserv. Biol. 1988, 2:185-193.
44. Reed J.M., Murphy D.D., Brussard P.F. Efficacy of population viability analysis. Wildl. Soc. Bull. 1998, 26:244-251.
45. Root T.L., Price J.T., Hall K.R., Schneider S.H., Rosenzweig C., Pounds J.A. Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 2003, 421:57-60.
46. Sabo J.L., Gerber L.R. Predicting extinction risk in spite of predator-prey oscillations. Ecol. Appl. 2007, 17:1543-1554.
47. Sæther B.-E. Environmental stochasticity and population dynamics of large herbivores: a search for mechanisms. Trends Ecol. Evol. 1997, 12:143-149.
48. Schaller G. Wildlife of the Tibetan Steppe 1998, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
49. Steifetten Ø., Dale S. Viability of an endangered population of ortolan buntings: the effect of a skewed operational sex ratio. Biol. Conserv. 2006, 132:88-97.
50. Thompson P.M., Wilson B., Grellier K., Hammond P.S. Combining power analysis and population viability analysis to compare traditional and precautionary approaches to conservation of coastal cetaceans. Conserv. Biol. 2000, 14:1253-1263.
51. Tian Y., Wu J., Kou X., Wang T., Andrew T.S., Ge J. Methods and applications of population viability analysis (PVA): a review. Chin. J. Appl. Ecol. 2011, 22:257-267.
52. Yang J., Jiang Z. Genetic diversity, population genetic structure and demographic history of Przewalski's gazelle (Procapra przewalskii): implications for conservation. Conserv. Genet. 2011, 12:1457-1468.
53. Yang J., Jiang Z., Zeng Y., Turghan M., Fang H., Li C. Effect of anthropogenic landscape features on population genetic differentiation of Przewalski's gazelle: main role of human settlement. PLoS ONE 2011, 6:e20144.
54. Ye R., Cai P., Peng M., Lu X., Ma S. The investigation about distribution and population size of Przewalski's gazelle (Procapra przewalskii) in Qinghai Province, China. Acta Theriol. Sin. 2006, 26:373-379.
55. You Z., Jiang Z. Courtship and mating behaviors in Przewalski's gazelle Procapra przewalskii. Acta Zool. Sin. 2005, 51:187-194.
56. You Z., Jiang Z., Li C. Location of rut stands vs. mating opportunities in Przewalski's gazelle: a field test of the "resource-based hypothesis" and "female traffic version of the hotspot hypothesis". Curr. Zool. 2011, 57:701-708.
57. You Z., Jiang Z., Li C., Mallon D. Impacts of grassland fence on the behavior and habitat area of the critically endangered Przewalski's gazelle around the Qinghai Lake. Chin. Sci. Bull. 2013, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11434-013-5844-9.