Quantifying the climatological relationship between extratropical cyclone intensity and atmospheric precursors

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 40, Issue 10, 2013, Pages 2322-2327

  Dacre, H F ^a   Gray, S L ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF READING   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

cyclone tracking; latent heat release; potential vorticity; warm conveyor belt

Indexed keywords

ATLANTIC CYCLONES; CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT; CYCLONE TRACKING; EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONES; LATENT HEAT RELEASE; POTENTIAL VORTICITY; UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH; WARM CONVEYOR BELTS;

BELT CONVEYORS; LATENT HEAT; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; VORTICITY;

STORMS;

BELT; CLIMATOLOGY; CYCLONE; EXTRATROPICAL ENVIRONMENT; HEAT BALANCE; MAGNITUDE; POTENTIAL VORTICITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; TROUGH;

ATLANTIC OCEAN;

EID: 84879948606     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: 19448007     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/grl.50105     Document Type: Article

References (19)

1. Ahmadi-Givi, F, G. C. Graig, and, R. S. Plant, (2006), The dynamics of a midlatitude cyclone with very strong latent-heat release, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 130, 295-323.
2. Beare, R. J., A. J. Thorpe, and, A. A. White, (2003), The predictability of extratropical cyclones: Nonlinear sensitivity to localized potential-vorticity perturbations, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 129, 219-237.
3. Catto, J. L., L. C. Shaffrey, and, K. I. Hodges, (2010), Can climate models capture the structure of extratropical cyclones? J. Climate, 23, 1621-1635.
4. Dacre, H. F., and, S. L. Gray, (2009), The spatial distribution and evolution characteristics of North Atlantic cyclones, Mon. Weather Rev., 137, 99-115. doi: 10.1175/2008MWR2491.1.
5. Dacre, H. F., M. K. Hawcroft, M. A. Stringer, and, K. I. Hodges, (2012), An extratropical cyclone database: A tool for illustrating cyclone structure and evolution characteristics, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., doi: http://dx.doi.org/10. 1175/BAMS-D-11-00164.1.
6. Davis, C. A., (1992), A potential vorticity diagnosis of the importance of initial structure and condensational heating in observed extratropical cyclogenesis, Mon. Weather Rev., 120, 2409-2428.
7. Dee, D. P., et al. (2011), The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 553-597. doi: 10.1002/qj.828.
8. Deveson, A. C. L., K. A. Browning, and, T. D. Hewson, (2002), A classification of FASTEX cyclones using a height-attributable quasi-geostrophic vertical-motion diagnostic. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 128, 93-117.
9. Froude, S. R., (2010), TIGGE: Comparison of the prediction of Northern hemisphere extratropical cyclones by different ensemble prediction systems. Wea. Forecast., 25, 819-836.
10. Garcies, L., and, V. Homar, (2009), Ensemble sensitivities of the real atmosphere: application to Mediterranean intense cyclones, Tellus Series A-Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 61, 394-406.
11. Hodges, K. I., (1995), Feature tracking on the unit sphere, Mon. Weather Rev., 123, 3458-3465.
12. Hodges, K. I., (1994), A general method for tracking analysis and its application to meteorological data, Mon. Weather Rev., 122, 2573-2586.
13. Langland, R. H., R. L. Elsberry, and, R. M. Errico, (2006), Adjoint sensitivity of an idealized extratropical cyclone with moist physical processes, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 122, 1891-1920.
14. Petterssen, S., and, S. J. Smebye, (1971), On the development of extratropical cyclones, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 97, 58-67.
15. Plant, R. S., G. C. Craig, and, S. L. Gray, (2003), On a threefold classification of extratropical cyclogenesis, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 129, 2969-3012.
16. Posselt, D. J., and, J. E. Martin, (2004), The effect of latent heat release on the evolution of a warm occluded thermal structure, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 578-599.
17. Smith, P. J., (2000), The importance of the horizontal distribution of heating during extratropical cyclone development, Mon. Weather Rev., 128, 3692-3694.
18. Stoelinga, M. T., (1996), A potential vorticity-based study of the role of diabatic heating and friction in a numerically simulated baroclinic cyclone, Mon. Weather Rev., 124, 849-874.
19. Wernli, H., S. Dirren, M. A. Liniger, and, M. Zillig, (2006), Dynamical aspects of the life cycle of the winter storm 'Lothar' (24-26 December 1999), Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 128, 405-429.