메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 139, Issue 2, 2013, Pages 135-141

Probabilistic projection of mean sea level and coastal extremes

Author keywords

Coastal extremes; Probability; Sea level

Indexed keywords

COASTAL EXTREMES; CURRENT RATE; MEAN SEA LEVEL; OBSERVATIONAL DATA; PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATES; PROBABILISTIC PROJECTIONS; RELATIVE SEA LEVEL; SEA LEVEL RISE;

EID: 84879718114     PISSN: 0733950X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)WW.1943-5460.0000154     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (10)

References (46)
  • 1
    • 51549095352 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea levels at Newlyn 1915-2005: Analysis of trends for future flooding risks
    • Araujo, I., and Pugh, D. T. (2008). "Sea levels at Newlyn 1915-2005: Analysis of trends for future flooding risks." J. Coast. Res., 24, 203-212.
    • (2008) J. Coast. Res. , vol.24 , pp. 203-212
    • Araujo, I.1    Pugh, D.T.2
  • 3
    • 77956284789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ice-sheet uncertainty
    • Bromwich, D. H., and Nicolas, J. P. (2010). "Ice-sheet uncertainty." Nat. Geosci., 3(9), 596-597.
    • (2010) Nat. Geosci. , vol.3 , Issue.9 , pp. 596-597
    • Bromwich, D.H.1    Nicolas, J.P.2
  • 4
    • 84864392163 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Contemporary sea level rise
    • Cazenave, A., and Llovel, W. (2010). "Contemporary sea level rise." Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 2, 145-173.
    • (2010) Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci. , vol.2 , pp. 145-173
    • Cazenave, A.1    Llovel, W.2
  • 5
    • 71249111140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accelerated Antarctic ice loss from satellite gravity measurements
    • Chen, J. L., Wilson, C. R., Blankenship, D., and Tapley, B. D. (2009). "Accelerated Antarctic ice loss from satellite gravity measurements." Nat. Geosci., 2(12), 859-862.
    • (2009) Nat. Geosci. , vol.2 , Issue.12 , pp. 859-862
    • Chen, J.L.1    Wilson, C.R.2    Blankenship, D.3    Tapley, B.D.4
  • 6
    • 33644612063 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise
    • Church, J. A., and White, N. J. (2006). "A20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise." Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L01602.
    • (2006) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.33
    • Church, J.A.1    White, N.J.2
  • 7
    • 79951841605 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Understanding sea-level rise and variability
    • Wiley, London
    • Church, J. A., Woodworth, P. L., Aarup, T., and Wilson, W. S., eds. (2010). Understanding sea-level rise and variability, Wiley, London.
    • (2010)
    • Church, J.A.1    Woodworth, P.L.2    Aarup, T.3    Wilson, W.S.4
  • 8
    • 0003404269 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An introduction to statistical modeling of extreme values
    • Springer, London
    • Coles, S. (2001). An introduction to statistical modeling of extreme values, Springer, London.
    • (2001)
    • Coles, S.1
  • 9
    • 84866161416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Movement of the saltwater interface in the Surficial Aquifer System in response to hydrologic stresses and water-management practices
    • USGS, Washington, DC, SIR 2004-5256
    • Dausman, A., and Langevin, C. (2005). "Movement of the saltwater interface in the Surficial Aquifer System in response to hydrologic stresses and water-management practices." USGS Scientific Investigations Rep. SIR 2004-5256, USGS, Washington, DC.
    • (2005) USGS Scientific Investigations Rep.
    • Dausman, A.1    Langevin, C.2
  • 10
    • 77950468243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100AD
    • doi:101007/s00382-008-0507-2
    • Grinsted, A., Moore, J. C., and Jevrejeva, S. (2009). "Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100AD." Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0507-2.
    • (2009) Climate Dynamics
    • Grinsted, A.1    Moore, J.C.2    Jevrejeva, S.3
  • 11
    • 77953139584 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing changes in extreme sea levels: Application to the English Channel, 1900-2006
    • Haigh, I., Nicholls, R., and Wells, N. (2010). "Assessing changes in extreme sea levels: Application to the English Channel, 1900-2006." Cont. Shelf Res., 30(9), 1042-1055.
    • (2010) Cont. Shelf Res. , vol.30 , Issue.9 , pp. 1042-1055
    • Haigh, I.1    Nicholls, R.2    Wells, N.3
  • 12
    • 40849111599 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea level rise projections for current generation CGCMs based on the semi-empirical method
    • Horton, R., et al. (2008). "Sea level rise projections for current generation CGCMs based on the semi-empirical method." Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L02715.
    • (2008) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.35
    • Horton, R.1
  • 13
    • 77950461684 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating sea-level extremes under conditions of uncertain sea-level rise
    • Hunter, J. (2010). "Estimating sea-level extremes under conditions of uncertain sea-level rise." Clim. Change, 99(3-4), 331-350.
    • (2010) Clim. Change , vol.99 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 331-350
    • Hunter, J.1
  • 14
    • 0038610460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change 2001: The scientific basis: Contributions of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • Cambridge University Press,Cambridge, UK.
    • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2001). "Climate change 2001: The scientific basis: Contributions of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.
    • (2001) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
  • 15
    • 77950496254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?
    • Jevrejeva, S., Moore, J. C., and Grinsted, A. (2010). "How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?" Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L07703.
    • (2010) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.37
    • Jevrejeva, S.1    Moore, J.C.2    Grinsted, A.3
  • 17
    • 77954838840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accelerating uplift in the North Atlantic region as an indicator of ice loss
    • Jiang, Y., Dixon, T. H., and Wdowinski, S. (2010). "Accelerating uplift in the North Atlantic region as an indicator of ice loss." Nat. Geosci., 3(6), 404-407.
    • (2010) Nat. Geosci. , vol.3 , Issue.6 , pp. 404-407
    • Jiang, Y.1    Dixon, T.H.2    Wdowinski, S.3
  • 18
    • 76249123165 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Direct joint probability method for estimating extreme sea Levels
    • Liu, J. C., Lence, B. J., and Isaacson, M. (2010). "Direct joint probability method for estimating extreme sea Levels." J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 136(1), 66-76.
    • (2010) J. WaterwayPort, Coastal, Ocean Eng. , vol.136 , Issue.1 , pp. 66-76
    • Liu, J.C.1    Lence, B.J.2    Isaacson, M.3
  • 19
    • 0027845899 scopus 로고
    • Sea level rise at Key West, Florida, 1846-1992: America's longest instrument record?
    • Maul, G. A., and Martin, D. M. (1993). "Sea level rise at Key West, Florida, 1846-1992: America's longest instrument record?" Geophys. Res. Lett., 20(18), 1955-1958.
    • (1993) Geophys.Res. Lett. , vol.20 , Issue.18 , pp. 1955-1958
    • Maul, G.A.1    Martin, D.M.2
  • 20
    • 34247276126 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The rising tide: Assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones
    • McGranahan, G., Balk, D., and Anderson, B. (2007). "The rising tide: Assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones." Environ. Urban., 19(1), 17-37.
    • (2007) Environ. Urban. , vol.19 , Issue.1 , pp. 17-37
    • McGranahan, G.1    Balk, D.2    Anderson, B.3
  • 21
    • 77649295563 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An anomalous recent acceleration of global sea level rise
    • Merrifield, M. A., Merrifield, S. T., and Mitchum, G. T. (2009). "An anomalous recent acceleration of global sea level rise." J. Clim., 22, 5772-5781.
    • (2009) J. Clim. , vol.22 , pp. 5772-5781
    • Merrifield, M.A.1    Merrifield, S.T.2    Mitchum, G.T.3
  • 22
    • 84879713135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea levels online,sea level trends
    • (May 25, 2011)
    • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). (2011). "Sea levels online, sea level trends." Æhttp://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ sltrends/sltrends.shtmlÆ (May 25, 2011).
    • (2011) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
  • 23
    • 84879720150 scopus 로고
    • Responding to changes in sea level: Engineering implications
    • National Academy Press, Washington, DC
    • National Research Council (NRC). (1987). Responding to changes in sea level: Engineering implications, National Academy Press, Washington, DC.
    • (1987) National Research Council
  • 24
    • 77953758378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones
    • Nicholls, R., and Cazenave, A. (2010). "Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones." Science, 328(5985), 1517-1520.
    • (2010) Science , vol.328 , Issue.5985 , pp. 1517-1520
    • Nicholls, R.1    Cazenave, A.2
  • 26
    • 85001848956 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate links and variability of extreme sea level events at Key West, Pensacola, and Mayport Florida
    • Park, J., Obeysekera, J., Barnes, J., Irizarry, M., and Park-Said, W. (2010). "Climate links and variability of extreme sea level events at Key West, Pensacola, and Mayport Florida." J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng., 136(6), 350-356.
    • (2010) J. Waterway,Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng. , vol.136 , Issue.6 , pp. 350-356
    • Park, J.1    Obeysekera, J.2    Barnes, J.3    Irizarry, M.4    Park-Said, W.5
  • 27
    • 0000560606 scopus 로고
    • Deglaciation-induced vertical motion of the North American Continent and transient lower mantle rheology
    • Peltier, W. R. (1986). "Deglaciation-induced vertical motion of the North American Continent and transient lower mantle rheology." J. Geophys. Res., 91(B9), 9099-9123.
    • (1986) J. Geophys. Res. , vol.91 , Issue.B9 , pp. 9099-9123
    • Peltier, W.R.1
  • 28
    • 0032915189 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global sea level rise and glacial isostatic adjustment
    • Peltier, W. R. (1999). "Global sea level rise and glacial isostatic adjustment." Global Planet. Change, 20(2-3), 93-123.
    • (1999) Global Planet. Change , vol.20 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 93-123
    • Peltier, W.R.1
  • 29
    • 1242294089 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global glacial isostasy and the surface of the ice-age Earth: The ICE-5G (VM2) model and GRACE
    • Peltier, W. R. (2004). "Global glacial isostasy and the surface of the ice-age Earth: The ICE-5G (VM2) model and GRACE." Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 32, 111-149.
    • (2004) Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. , vol.32 , pp. 111-149
    • Peltier, W.R.1
  • 30
    • 51349100681 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st century sea-level rise
    • Pfeffer, W. T., Harper, J. T., and O'Neel, S. (2008). "Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st century sea-level rise." Science, 321(5894), 1340-1343.
    • (2008) Science , vol.321 , Issue.5894 , pp. 1340-1343
    • Pfeffer, W.T.1    Harper, J.T.2    O'Neel, S.3
  • 31
    • 65649100831 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Is coastal mean sea level rising faster than the global mean? A comparison between tide gauges and satellite altimetry over 1993-2007
    • Prandi, P., Cazenave, A., and Becker, M. (2009). "Is coastal mean sea level rising faster than the global mean? A comparison between tide gauges and satellite altimetry over 1993-2007."Geophys. Res. Lett., 36(5), L05602.
    • (2009) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.36 , Issue.5
    • Prandi, P.1    Cazenave, A.2    Becker, M.3
  • 33
    • 33846648686 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sealevel rise
    • Rahmstorf, S. (2007). "A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sealevel rise." Science, 315, 368-370.
    • (2007) Science , vol.315 , pp. 368-370
    • Rahmstorf, S.1
  • 34
    • 34248185007 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent climate observations compared to projections
    • Rahmstorf, S., et al. (2007). "Recent climate observations compared to projections." Science, 316, 709.
    • (2007) Science , vol.316 , pp. 709
    • Rahmstorf, S.1
  • 35
    • 76149114252 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Rising seas and retreating coastlines
    • Ranasinghe, R., and Stive, M. (2009). "Rising seas and retreating coastlines." Clim. Change, 97(3-4), 465-468.
    • (2009) Clim. Change , vol.97 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 465-468
    • Ranasinghe, R.1    Stive, M.2
  • 36
  • 37
    • 0003416389 scopus 로고
    • The probability of sea level rise
    • US. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati,EPA 230-R95-008
    • Titus, J. G., and Narayanan, V. (1995). "The probability of sea level rise." Rep. EPA 230-R95-008, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati.
    • (1995) Rep.
    • Titus, J.G.1    Narayanan, V.2
  • 38
    • 70549111229 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • State and local governments plan for development of most land vulnerable to rising sea level along the US Atlantic coast
    • Titus, J. G., et al. (2009). "State and local governments plan for development of most land vulnerable to rising sea level along the US Atlantic coast." Environ. Res. Lett., 4, 044008.
    • (2009) Environ. Res. Lett. , vol.4 , pp. 044008
    • Titus, J.G.1
  • 39
    • 51549112935 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Extreme sea levels in the English Channel: Calibration of the joint probability method
    • Tomasin, A., and Pirazozoli, P. A. (2008). "Extreme sea levels in the English Channel: Calibration of the joint probability method." J. Coast. Res., 24(4C), 1-13.
    • (2008) J. Coast. Res. , vol.24 , Issue.4 C , pp. 1-13
    • Tomasin, A.1    Pirazozoli, P.A.2
  • 40
    • 84879729092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • University of Hawaii Sea Level Center."
    • (Apr. 21,2011)
    • University of Hawaii Sea Level Center (UHSLC). (2011). "University of Hawaii Sea Level Center." http://uhslc.soest.hawaii.edu/ (Apr. 21, 2011).
    • (2011) University of Hawaii Sea Level Center (UHSLC).
  • 41
    • 84879700945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water resource policies and authorities incorporating sea-level change considerations in civil works programs." Dept. of the Army Engineering Circular No. 1165-2-211
    • U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Washington, DC
    • U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. (2009). "Water resource policies and authorities incorporating sea-level change considerations in civil works programs." Dept. of the Army Engineering Circular No. 1165-2-211, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Washington, DC.
    • (2009) US. Army Corps of Engineers
  • 42
    • 72049128030 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increasing rates of ice mass loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets revealed by GRACE
    • Velicogna, I. (2009). "Increasing rates of ice mass loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets revealed by GRACE." Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L19503.
    • (2009) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.36
    • Velicogna, I.1
  • 43
    • 76049103123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global sea level linked to global temperature
    • U.S.A.
    • Vermeer, M., and Rahmstorf, S. (2009). "Global sea level linked to global temperature." Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A., 106, 21527-21532.
    • (2009) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. , vol.106 , pp. 21527-21532
    • Vermeer, M.1    Rahmstorf, S.2
  • 44
    • 67649921039 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review-Evidence for the accelerations of sea level on multi-decade and century timescales
    • Woodworth, P. L., et al. (2009). "Review-Evidence for the accelerations of sea level on multi-decade and century timescales." Int. J. Climatol, 29(6), 777-789.
    • (2009) Int. J. Climatol , vol.29 , Issue.6 , pp. 777-789
    • Woodworth, P.L.1
  • 45
    • 1842739520 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence for systematic changes in extreme high waters since the mid-1970s
    • Woodworth, P. L., and Blackman, D. L. (2004). "Evidence for systematic changes in extreme high waters since the mid-1970s." J. Clim., 17(6), 1190-1197.
    • (2004) J. Clim. , vol.17 , Issue.6 , pp. 1190-1197
    • Woodworth, P.L.1    Blackman, D.L.2
  • 46
    • 0033939148 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Twentiethcentury storm activity along the U.S. East Coast
    • Zhang, K., Douglas, B. C., and Leatherman, S. P. (2000). "Twentiethcentury storm activity along the U.S. East Coast." J. Clim., 13(10), 1748-1761.
    • (2000) J. Clim. , vol.13 , Issue.10 , pp. 1748-1761
    • Zhang, K.1    Douglas, B.C.2    Leatherman, S.P.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.