Atmospheric circulation variability in Europe and northern Asia (1901 to 2010)

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

Volumn 113, Issue 1-2, 2013, Pages 105-126

  Hoy, Andreas ^a   Sepp, Mait ^b   Matschullat, Jörg ^a  

^a TU BERGAKADEMIE FREIBERG   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TARTU   (Estonia)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE VARIATION; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); SUMMER; TREND ANALYSIS; WINTER;

ASIA; EUROPE;

EID: 84879498427     PISSN: 0177798X     EISSN: 14344483     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-012-0770-3     Document Type: Article

References (90)

1. Adamczyk Z, Olszowicz A (1999) Synoptyczne uwarunkowania powodzi [Synoptic conditions of flooding, in Polish]. In: Grela J, Slota H, Zielinski J (eds) Dorzecze Wisly. Monografia powodzi lipiec 1997. IMGW, Warszawa, pp 13-23.
2. Ansell TJ, Jones PD, Allan RJ, Lister D, Parker DE, Brunet M, Moberg A, Jacobeit J, Brohan P, Rayner NA, Aguilar E, Alexandersson H, Barriendos M, Brandsma T, Cox NJ, Della-Marta PM, Drebs A, Founda D, Gerstengarbe FW, Hickey K, Jonsson T, Luterbacher J, Nordli Ø, Oesterle H, Petrakis M, Philipp A, Rodwell MJ, Saladie O, Sigro J, Slonosky V, Srnec L, Swail V, García-Suárez AM, Tuomenvirta H, Wang X, Wanner H, Werner PC, Wheeler D, Xoplaki E (2006) Daily mean sea level pressure reconstructions for the European-North Atlantic region for the period 1850-2003. J Climate 19(12): 2717-2742.
3. Bardossy A, Caspary HJ (1990) Detection of climate change in Europe by analysing European circulation patterns from 1881 to 1989. Theor Appl Climatol 42: 155-167.
4. Barriopedro D, Fischer EM, Luterbacher J, Trigo RM, Garcia-Herrera R (2011) The hot summer of 2010: redrawing the temperature record map of Europe. Science 332(6026): 220-224.
5. Barry RG, Perry AH (1973) Synoptic climatology: methods and applications. Methuen & Co, London, 555 pp.
6. Bartholy J, Pongrácz R, Pattantyús-ábrahám M (2006) European cyclone track analysis based on ECMWF ERA-40 data sets. Int J Climatol 26: 1517-1527.
7. Baur F (1937) Einführung in die Großwetterforschung [Introduction in Grosswetter research; in German]. Verlag BG Teubner, Leipzig, 51 pp.
8. Baur F (1947) Musterbeispiele Europäischer Großwetterlagen [Samples of European Grosswetterlagen, in German]. Dietrich'sche Verlagsbuchhandlung, Wiesbaden, 35 pp.
9. Baur F, Hess P, Nagel H (1944) Kalender der Großwetterlagen Europas 1881-1939 [Calender of European Grosswetterlagen 1881-1939; in German]. Bad Homburg v. d. H., 35 pp.
10. Bernhofer C, Matschullat J, Bobeth (eds) (2009) Das Klima in der REGKLAM Modellregion Dresden [The climate of the REGKLAM model region Dresden]. Rhombos, Berlin, 128 pp.
11. Bissolli P, Friedrich K, Rapp J, Ziese M (2011) Flooding in eastern Central Europe in May 2010-reasons, evolution and climatological assessment. Weather 66: 147-153.
12. Bolotinskaja MS, Ryzhakov LJ (1964) Katalog makrosinoptiĉeskih protsessov po klassifikacij G. J. Vangengeima 1891-1962 [Catalogue of macro-synoptic processes according to Vangengeim's classification 1891-1962; in Russian]. AANII Leningrad, 158 pp.
13. Cahynová M, Huth R (2009a) Enhanced lifetime of atmospheric circulation types over Europe: fact or fiction? Tellus A 61: 407-416.
14. Cahynová M, Huth R (2009b) Changes of atmospheric circulation in Central Europe and their influence on climatic trends in the Czech Republic. Theor Appl Climatol 96: 57-68.
15. Compo GP, Whitaker JS, Sardeshmukh PD, Matsui N, Allan RJ, Yin X, Gleason BE, Vose RS, Rutledge G, Bessemoulin P, Brönnimann S, Brunet M, Crouthamel RI, Grant AN, Groisman PY, Jones PD, Kruk MC, Kruger AC, Marshall GJ, Maugeri M, Mok HY, Nordli Ø, Ross TF, Trigo RM, Wang XL, Woodruff SD, Worley SJ (2011) The twentieth century reanalysis project. Q J Roy Meteor Soc 137: 1-28.
16. Corti S, Molteni F, Palmer TN (1999) Signature of recent climate change in frequencies of natural atmospheric circulation regimes. Nature 398: 799-802.
17. Dole R, Hoerling M, Perlwitz J, Eischeid J, Pegion P, Zhang T, Quan XW, Taiyi X, Murray D (2011) Was there a basis for anticipating the 2010 Russian heat wave? Geophys Res Let 38: L06702.
18. Domonkos P, Kysely J, Piotrowicz K, Petrovic P, Likso T (2003) Variability of extreme temperature events in south-Central Europe during the 20th century and its relationship with large-scale circulation. Int J Climatol 23: 987-1010.
19. DWD (2010, 2011): WitterungsReport Express [in German], monthly publication of the German Weather Service.
20. Georgieva K, Kirov B, Tonev P, Guineva V, Atanasov D (2007) Long-term variations in the correlation between NAO and solar activity: the importance of north-south solar activity asymmetry for atmospheric circulation. Adv Space Res 40: 1152-1166.
21. Gerstengarbe FW, Werner PC (1999) Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas (1881-1998) nach Paul Hess und Helmut Brezowsky. [Catalogue of European Grosswetterlagen after Paul Hess and Helmuth Brezowsky 1881-1998; in German]. 5th ed. Potsdam/Offenbach, 138 pp.
22. Gerstengarbe FW, Werner PC (2005) Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas (1881-2004) nach Paul Hess und Helmut Brezowsky. [Catalogue of European Grosswetterlagen after Paul Hess and Helmuth Brezowsky 1881-1998; in German]. 6th ed. PIK Report 100, 153 pp.
23. Girs AA (1971) Mnogoletnije kolebanija atmosfernoj cirkuljacii i dolgosročnyje gidrometeorologičeskije prognozy. [Many-year fluctuations of atmospheric circulation and long-term hydro-meteorological forecasts; in Russian]. Gidrometeotzdat, Leningrad, 280 pp.
24. Girs AA (1974) Makrocirkuljacionnyj metod dolgosročnyh meteorologičeskih prognozov [Macro-circulation method of long-term meteorological forecasts; in Russian]. Gidrometeotzdat, Leningrad, 488 pp.
25. Girs AA, Kondratovich LI (1978) Metody dolgosrocnyh prognozov pogody [Methods of long-term weather forecast; in Russian]. Gidrometeotzdat, Leningrad, 343 pp.
26. Gorbatscheva NA (1986) K voprosu ob obiektivnych pokazateljach klassifikacii G. Ya. Wangenheima-A. A. Girsa[Some issues of objective indices in Vangenheim-Girs classification]. Trudy Nauc Is Inst Gidromet Inform -Mirovogo Centra Dannych 129: 26.
27. Heino R, Brázdil R, Førland R, Tuomenvirta H, Alexandersson H, Beniston M, Pfister C, Rebetez M, Rosenhagen G, Rösner S, Wibig J (1999) Progress in the study of climatic extremes in northern and Central Europe. Clim Change 42-1: 151-181.
28. Hess P, Brezowsky H (1952) Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas [Catalogue of European Grosswetterlagen; in German]. Ber Dt Wetterd in der US-Zone 33: 39.
29. Hess P, Brezowsky H (1969) Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas [Catalogue of European Grosswetterlagen; in German]. 2nd ed. Ber Dt Wetterd 15: 56.
30. Hess P, Brezowsky H (1977) Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas [Catalogue of European Grosswetterlagen; in German]. 3rd ed. Ber Dt Wetterd 15(113): 68.
31. Hoy A, Jaagus J, Sepp M, Matschullat J (2012) Spatial response of two European atmospheric circulation classifications (data from 1901 to 2010). Theor Appl Climatol. doi: 10. 1007/s00704-012-0707-x.
32. Hurrell JW (1995) Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 296: 676-679.
33. Hurrell JW, van Loon H (1997) Decadal variations in climate associated with the North Atlantic oscillation. Clim Change 36: 301-326.
34. Hurrell JW, Kushnir Y, Ottersen G and Visbeck M (2003) An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: The North Atlantic Oscillation: climatic significance and environmental impact, Geoph Monog Series 134: 1-35.
35. Huth R (2010) Synoptic-climatological applicability of circulation classifications from the COST733 collection: first results. Phys Chem Earth 35: 388-394.
36. Huth R, Beck C, Philipp A, Demuzere M, Ustrnul Z, Cahynová M, Kyselý J, Tveito OE (2008) Classifications of atmospheric circulation patterns: recent advances and applications. Ann NY Acad Sci 1146: 105-152.
37. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2007) Climate Change (2007) The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
38. James PM (2006) An assessment of European synoptic variability in Hadley Centre Global Environmental models based on an objective classification of weather regimes. Clim Dyn 27: 215-231.
39. James PM (2007) An objective classification method for Hess and Brezowsky Grosswetterlagen over Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 88: 17-42.
40. Jelonek L, Wrzeszcz L, Zawiślak J, Walther P, Winkler U, Wortha S, Srejber J, Petr J (2010) Gemeinsamer polnisch-deutsch-tschechischer Bericht zum Hochwasser vom 07. bis 10. August 2010 an der Lausitzer Neiße als Bestandteil der vorläufigen Risikobewertung gemäß Artikel 4 der Hochwasserrisikomanagementrichtlinie (2007/60/EG) [Joint Polish-German-Czech report regarding the floodings from 7th to 10th of August 2010 at the river Lusatian Neisse as part of the preliminary risk evaluation according to paragraph 4 of the European directive on flood protection; in German]. Wroclaw, Dresden, Prag. www. smul. sachsen. de/umwelt/wasser/download/06-12-10_LN_dt. pdf. Accessed 05 July 2011.
41. Jones PD, Lister DH (2009) The influence of the circulation on surface temperature and precipitation patterns over Europe. Clim Past 5: 259-267.
42. Jones PD, Jonsson T, Wheeler D (1997) Extension to the North Atlantic Oscillation using early instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and South-West Iceland. Int J Climatol 17: 1433-1450.
43. Kendall MG (1970) Rank correlation methods, 4th edn. Griffin, London.
44. Klein Tank AMG, Wijngaard JB, Können GP, Böhm R, Demarée G, Gocheva A, Mileta M, Pashiardis S, Hejkrlik L, Kern-Hansen C, Heino R, Bessemoulin P, Müller-Westermeier G, Tzanakou M, Szalai S, Pálsdóttir T, Fitzgerald D, Rubin S, Capaldo M, Maugeri M, Leitass A, Bukantis A, Aberfeld R, van Engelen AFV, Forland E, Mietus M, Coelho F, Mares C, Razuvaev V, Nieplova E, Cegnar T, Antonio L.J., Dahlström B, Moberg A, Kirchhofer W, Ceylan A, Pachaliuk O, Alexander LV, Petrovic P (2002) Daily dataset of 20th century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European Climate Assessment. Int J Climatol 22: 1441-1453, Data and metadata available at http://eca. knmi. nl.
45. Kozuchowski K, Marciniak K (1988) Variability of mean monthly temperature and semi-annual precipitation totals in Europe in relation to hemispheric circulation patterns. Int J Climatol 8: 191-199.
46. Krüger A (2002) Statistische Regionalisierung des Niederschlags für Nordrhein-Westfalen auf Grundlage von Beobachtungsdaten und Klimaszenarien [Statistical precipitation regionalisation for Northrhine-Westfalia based on observations and climate scenarios; in German]. Mitteilungen aus dem Institut für Geophysik und Meteorologie der Universität zu Köln: 149 (PhD-thesis).
47. Küchler W (2011) Witterungsextreme [Weather extremes]. In: Sächsisches Landesamt für Landwirtschaft, Umwelt und Geologie (ed.): Kompendium Klima-Sachsen im Klimawandel. www. umwelt. sachsen. de/umwelt/klima/24253. htm. Accessed 5 July 2011.
48. Küchler W, Sommer W (2005) Klimawandel in Sachsen-Sachstand und Ausblick [Climate change in Saxony-status and outlook, in German]. Saxon State Ministry for Environment and Agriculture, Dresden, 111 pp.
49. Kundzewicz ZW (2007) Extreme hydrological events: new concepts for security. In: NATO Science Series IV: Earth and Environmental Sciences 78, PART 1: 97-110.
50. Kunz M, Sander J, Kottmeier C (2009) Recent trends of thunderstorm and hailstorm frequency and their relation to atmospheric characteristics in southwest Germany. Int J Climatol 29: 2283-2297.
51. Kysely J (2002) Temporal fluctuations in heat waves at Prague-Klementinum, the Czech Republic, from 1901-1997, and their relationships to atmospheric circulation. Int J Climatol 22: 33-50.
52. Kysely J (2007) Short communication-implications of enhanced persistence of atmospheric circulation for the occurrence and severity of temperature extremes. Int J Climatol 27: 689-695.
53. Kysely J, Domonkos P (2006) Recent increase in persistence of atmospheric circulation over Europe: comparison with long-term variations since 1881. Int J Climatol 26: 461-483.
54. Kysely J, Huth R (2006) Changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe detected by objective and subjective methods. Theor Appl Climatol 85: 19-36.
55. Li J, Wang XL (2003) A new North Atlantic Oscillation index and its variability. Adv Atmos Sci 20(5): 661-676.
56. Łupikasza EB, Hänsel S, Matschullat J (2011) Regional and seasonal variability of extreme precipitation trends in southern Poland and central-eastern Germany 1951-2006. Int J Climatol 31(15): 2249-2271.
57. Lupo R, Mokhov II, Akperov MG, Cherokulsky AV, Athar H (2012) A dynamic analysis of the role of the planetary and synoptic scale in the summer of 2010 blocking episodes over the European part of Russia. Advances in Meteorology (in press).
58. Mann HB (1945) Nonparametric test against trends. Econometria 13: 245-259.
59. Matsueda M (2011) Predictability of Euro-Russian blocking in summer of 2010. Geophys Res Let 38: L06801.
60. Niedzwiedz T (1999) Rainfall characteristics in southern Poland during the severe flooding event of July 1997. Studia Geomorphologica Carpatho-Balcanica, Kraków 33: 5-25.
61. Niedzwiedz T (2003) The extreme precipitation in Central Europe and its synoptic background. Papers on Global Change IGBP, Polish National Committee of International Geosphere - Biosphere - Global Change Programme Polish Academy of Science, Warszawa 10: 15-29.
62. Önöz B, Bayazit M (2003) The power of statistical tests for trend detections. Turk J Eng Environ Sci 27: 247-251.
63. Parker DE, Legg TP, Folland CK (1992) A new daily Central England Temperature Series, 1772-1991. Int J Clim 12: 317-342, updated data available: www. metoffice. gov. uk/hadobs/hadcet/.
64. Philipp A, Bartholy J, Beck C, Erpicum M, Esteban P, Fettweis X, Huth R, James P, Jourdain S, Kreienkamp F, Krennert T, Lykoudis S, Michalides S, Pianko K, Post P, Rasilla Álvarez D, Schiemann R, Spekat A, Tymvios FS (2010) COST733CAT-a database of weather and circulation type classifications. Phys Chem Earth 35: 360-373.
65. Przybylak (2000) Temporal and spatial variation of surface air temperature over the period of instrumental observations in the Arctic. Int J Clim 20: 587-614.
66. Rapp J (2000) Konzeption, Problematik and Ergebnisse klimatologischer Trendanalysen für Europe und Deutschland [Concept, problem and solutions of climate trend analysis for Europe and Germany; in German]. Ber Dt Wetterd 212. Offenbach. 145 pp.
67. Rogers JC (1984) The association between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Southern Oscillation in the Northern Hemisphere. Mon Wea Rev 112: 1999-2015.
68. Rudolf B, Rapp J (2003) Das Jahrhunderthochwasser der Elbe: Synoptische Wetterentwicklung und klimatologische Aspekte [The hundred year floodings oft he river Elbe: synoptical developments and climatological aspects; in German]. In: Deutscher Wetterdienst (ed.): Klimastatusbericht 2002: 173-188.
69. Scherhag R (1948) Neue Methoden der Wetteranalyse und Wetterprognose [New methods of weather analysis and prognosis]. Springer, Berlin, 424 pp.
70. Schneider (2003) Entwicklung und Anwendung statistischer Methoden zur Kurzfristvorhersage von Ozonkonzentrationen in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland [Development and application of statistical methods to project ozone concentrations in Germany; in German]. PhD-Thesis, Meteorologisches Institut der Freien Universität Berlin. http://www. diss. fu-berlin. de/diss/receive/FUDISS_thesis_000000001115.
71. Sepp M (2005) Influence of atmospheric circulation of environmental variables in Estonia. Dissertation, University of Tartu. 154 pp.
72. Sepp M, Jaagus J (2002) Frequency of circulation patterns and air temperature variations in Europe. Bor Env Res 7(3): 273-279.
73. Sidorenkov NS, Orlov IA (2008) Atmospheric circulation epochs and climate changes. Russ Meteorol Hydrol 33(9): 553-559.
74. Sidorenkov NS, Svirenko PI (1983) K voprosu o mnogoletnih kolebanijah atmosfernoj cirkuljacii [Long-term changes in atmospheric circulation; in Russian]. Meteorologija i Gidrologija 11: 20-25.
75. SMUL (Saxon State Ministry of Environment and Agriculture, 2008) Sachsen im Klimawandel-eine Analyse [Saxony under climate change-an analysis; in German]. Druck Thieme & Co. KG, Meißen, 211 pp.
76. Tveito OE, Ustrnul Z (2003) A review of the use of large-scale atmospheric circulation classification in spatial climatology. DNMI Klima Report 10/2003, 17 pp.
77. Ulbrich U, Brücher T, Fink AH, Leckebusch GC, Krüger A, Pinto JG (2003) The Central European floods of August 2002: part 1-rainfall periods and flood development. Weather 58: 371-377.
78. Ustrnul Z, Czekierda D (2001) Circulation background of the atmospheric precipitation in Central Europe (based on the Polish example). Meteorol Z 10(2): 103-111, 9.
79. Ustrnul Z, Czekierda D (2009) Atlas of extreme meteorological phenomena and synoptic situations in Poland. Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej, Warszawa, 182 pp.
80. van den Besselaar EJM, Klein Tank AMG, van der Schrier G (2010) Influence of circulation types on temperature extremes in Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 99: 431-439.
81. van Loon H, Rogers JC (1978) The seesaw in winter temperatures between Greenland and Northern Europe. Part 1: general description. Mon Weather Rev 106: 296-310.
82. van Oldenborgh GJ, van Ulden A (2003) On the relationship between global warming, local warming in the Netherlands and changes in the circulation in the 20th century. Int J Climatol 23: 1711-1724.
83. Vangengeim GJ (1935) Opyt primenenija sinopticeskih metodov k izuceniju i harakteristike klimata [Experimental usage of synoptical methods for studying and characterizing of climate; in Russian]. Gidrometeotzdat, Moskva, 109 pp.
84. Vangengeim GJ (1940) Dolgostocnyi prognoz temperatury vozduha I vskrytija rek [Long term forecast of air temperature and river openings; in Russian]. Trudy GGI 10.
85. von Storch H, Zwiers FW (1999) Statistical analysis in climate research. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
86. Walker GT (1924) Correlations in seasonal variations of weather IX. Mem Indian Meteorol Dept 24: 275-332.
87. Werner PC, Gerstengarbe FW (2010) Katalog der Großwetterlagen Europas [Catalogue of European Grosswetterlagen; in German]. 7th edn. PIK Report 119. 140 pp.
88. Werner PC, Gerstengarbe FW, Fraedrich K, Oesterle H (2000) Recent climate change in the North Atlantic/European Sector. Int J Climatol 20: 463-471.
89. Yarnal B (1993) Synoptic climatology in environmental analysis. A primer, Belhaven Press, London, 195 pp.
90. Yarnal B, Comrie AC, Frakes B, Brown DP (2001) Developments and prospects in synoptic climatology. Review Int J Climatol 21: 1923-1950.