-
1
-
-
77953137410
-
Copula-based uncertainty modelling: application to multisensor precipitation estimates
-
AghaKouchak A, Bárdossy A, Habib E. 2010. Copula-based uncertainty modelling: application to multisensor precipitation estimates. Hydrol. Process. 24: 2111-2124.
-
(2010)
Hydrol. Process.
, vol.24
, pp. 2111-2124
-
-
AghaKouchak, A.1
Bárdossy, A.2
Habib, E.3
-
2
-
-
0030438938
-
A method for producing and evaluating probabilistic forecasts from ensemble model integrations
-
Anderson JL. 1996. A method for producing and evaluating probabilistic forecasts from ensemble model integrations. J. Climate 9: 1518-1530.
-
(1996)
J. Climate
, vol.9
, pp. 1518-1530
-
-
Anderson, J.L.1
-
3
-
-
84879232752
-
-
Observations QC documentation
-
Baars J. 2005. Observations QC documentation. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/qc_obs/qc_doc.html.
-
(2005)
-
-
Baars, J.1
-
4
-
-
77955580560
-
Bias correction and Bayesian model averaging for ensemble forecasts of surface wind direction
-
Bao L, Gneiting T, Grimit EP, Guttorp P, Raftery AE. 2010. Bias correction and Bayesian model averaging for ensemble forecasts of surface wind direction. Mon. Weather Rev. 138: 1811-1821.
-
(2010)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.138
, pp. 1811-1821
-
-
Bao, L.1
Gneiting, T.2
Grimit, E.P.3
Guttorp, P.4
Raftery, A.E.5
-
5
-
-
34248349570
-
Combining spatial statistical and ensemble information in probabilistic weather forecasts
-
Berrocal VJ, Raftery AE, Gneiting T. 2007. Combining spatial statistical and ensemble information in probabilistic weather forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev. 135: 1386-1402.
-
(2007)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.135
, pp. 1386-1402
-
-
Berrocal, V.J.1
Raftery, A.E.2
Gneiting, T.3
-
6
-
-
77950950767
-
Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model
-
Berrocal VJ, Raftery AE, Gneiting T. 2008. Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model. Ann. Appl. Statist. 2: 1170-1193.
-
(2008)
Ann. Appl. Statist.
, vol.2
, pp. 1170-1193
-
-
Berrocal, V.J.1
Raftery, A.E.2
Gneiting, T.3
-
7
-
-
79958715223
-
Probabilistic visibility forecasting using Bayesian model averaging
-
Chmielecki RM, Raftery AE. 2010. Probabilistic visibility forecasting using Bayesian model averaging. Mon. Weather Rev. 139: 1626-1636.
-
(2010)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.139
, pp. 1626-1636
-
-
Chmielecki, R.M.1
Raftery, A.E.2
-
8
-
-
1642284456
-
The Schaake Shuffle: a method for reconstructing space-time variability in forecasted precipitation and temperature fields
-
Clark MP, Gangopadhyay S, Hay LE, Rajagopalan B, Wilby RL. 2004. The Schaake Shuffle: a method for reconstructing space-time variability in forecasted precipitation and temperature fields. J. Hydrometeorol. 5: 243-262.
-
(2004)
J. Hydrometeorol.
, vol.5
, pp. 243-262
-
-
Clark, M.P.1
Gangopadhyay, S.2
Hay, L.E.3
Rajagopalan, B.4
Wilby, R.L.5
-
9
-
-
34547904994
-
Probabilistic aspects of meteorological and ozone regional ensemble forecasts
-
DOI: 10.1029/2005JD006917
-
Delle Monache L, Hacker JP, Zhou Y, Deng X, Stull RB. 2006. Probabilistic aspects of meteorological and ozone regional ensemble forecasts. J. Geophys. Res. 111: D24307, DOI: 10.1029/2005JD006917.
-
(2006)
J. Geophys. Res.
, vol.111
-
-
Delle Monache, L.1
Hacker, J.P.2
Zhou, Y.3
Deng, X.4
Stull, R.B.5
-
10
-
-
23144455758
-
Aspects of effective mesoscale, short-range ensemble forecasting
-
Eckel FA, Mass CF. 2005. Aspects of effective mesoscale, short-range ensemble forecasting. Weather Forecast. 20: 328-350.
-
(2005)
Weather Forecast.
, vol.20
, pp. 328-350
-
-
Eckel, F.A.1
Mass, C.F.2
-
11
-
-
33746239466
-
Probabilistic forecasting from ensemble prediction systems: improving upon the best-member method by using a different weight and dressing kernel for each member
-
Fortin V, Favre AC, Saïd M. 2006. Probabilistic forecasting from ensemble prediction systems: improving upon the best-member method by using a different weight and dressing kernel for each member. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 132: 1349-1369.
-
(2006)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.132
, pp. 1349-1369
-
-
Fortin, V.1
Favre, A.C.2
Saïd, M.3
-
12
-
-
84864518534
-
Probabilistic weather forecasting in R
-
Fraley C, Raftery AE, Gneiting T, Sloughter JM, Berrocal VJ. 2011. Probabilistic weather forecasting in R. The R Journal 3: 55-63.
-
(2011)
The R Journal
, vol.3
, pp. 55-63
-
-
Fraley, C.1
Raftery, A.E.2
Gneiting, T.3
Sloughter, J.M.4
Berrocal, V.J.5
-
13
-
-
34347377353
-
Everything you always wanted to know about copula modeling but where afraid to ask
-
Genest C, Favre AE. 2007. Everything you always wanted to know about copula modeling but where afraid to ask. J. Hydrol. Eng. 12: 347-368.
-
(2007)
J. Hydrol. Eng.
, vol.12
, pp. 347-368
-
-
Genest, C.1
Favre, A.E.2
-
14
-
-
26844438590
-
Weather forecasting with ensemble methods
-
Gneiting T, Raftery AE. 2005. Weather forecasting with ensemble methods. Science 310: 248-249.
-
(2005)
Science
, vol.310
, pp. 248-249
-
-
Gneiting, T.1
Raftery, A.E.2
-
15
-
-
33947274775
-
Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation
-
2
-
Gneiting T, Raftery AE. 2007. Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 10: 2: 359-378.
-
(2007)
J. Am. Statist. Assoc.
, vol.10
, pp. 359-378
-
-
Gneiting, T.1
Raftery, A.E.2
-
16
-
-
20444484849
-
Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation
-
Gneiting T, Raftery AE, Westveld AH, Goldman T. 2005. Calibrated probabilistic forecasting using ensemble model output statistics and minimum CRPS estimation. Mon. Weather Rev. 133: 1098-1118.
-
(2005)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.133
, pp. 1098-1118
-
-
Gneiting, T.1
Raftery, A.E.2
Westveld, A.H.3
Goldman, T.4
-
17
-
-
48349105056
-
Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with applications to ensemble predictions of surface winds (with discussion and rejoinder)
-
Gneiting T, Stanberry LI, Grimit EP, Held L, Johnson NA. 2008. Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with applications to ensemble predictions of surface winds (with discussion and rejoinder). Test 17: 211-264.
-
(2008)
Test
, vol.17
, pp. 211-264
-
-
Gneiting, T.1
Stanberry, L.I.2
Grimit, E.P.3
Held, L.4
Johnson, N.A.5
-
19
-
-
84861657566
-
Copula-based modeling of stochastic wind power in Europe and implications for the Swiss power grid
-
Hagspiel S, Papaemannouil A, Schmid M, Andersson G. 2011. Copula-based modeling of stochastic wind power in Europe and implications for the Swiss power grid. Appl. Energy 96: 33-44.
-
(2011)
Appl. Energy
, vol.96
, pp. 33-44
-
-
Hagspiel, S.1
Papaemannouil, A.2
Schmid, M.3
Andersson, G.4
-
20
-
-
0002897679
-
Verification of Eta-RSM short-range ensemble forecasts
-
Hamill TM, Colucci SJ. 1997. Verification of Eta-RSM short-range ensemble forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev. 125: 1312-1327.
-
(1997)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.125
, pp. 1312-1327
-
-
Hamill, T.M.1
Colucci, S.J.2
-
21
-
-
0034292468
-
Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems
-
Hersbach H. 2000. Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems. Weather Forecast. 15: 559-570.
-
(2000)
Weather Forecast.
, vol.15
, pp. 559-570
-
-
Hersbach, H.1
-
22
-
-
60949106826
-
Extending the rank likelihood for semiparametric copula estimation
-
Hoff PD. 2007. Extending the rank likelihood for semiparametric copula estimation. Ann. Appl. Statist. 1: 265-283.
-
(2007)
Ann. Appl. Statist.
, vol.1
, pp. 265-283
-
-
Hoff, P.D.1
-
23
-
-
84879238818
-
-
Information bounds for Gaussian copulas
-
Hoff PD, Niu X, Wellner JA. 2011. Information bounds for Gaussian copulas. http://arxiv.org/abs/1110.3572.
-
(2011)
-
-
Hoff, P.D.1
Niu, X.2
Wellner, J.A.3
-
24
-
-
71849084400
-
A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts
-
Kao SC, Govindaraju RS. 2010. A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts. J. Hydrol. 380: 121-134.
-
(2010)
J. Hydrol.
, vol.380
, pp. 121-134
-
-
Kao, S.C.1
Govindaraju, R.S.2
-
25
-
-
0032853041
-
Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model
-
Krzysztofowicz R. 1999. Bayesian theory of probabilistic forecasting via deterministic hydrologic model. Water Resour. Res. 35: 2739-2750.
-
(1999)
Water Resour. Res.
, vol.35
, pp. 2739-2750
-
-
Krzysztofowicz, R.1
-
26
-
-
0035425631
-
Hyrdrologic uncertainty processor for probabilistic river stage forecasting: precipitation-dependent model
-
Krzysztofowicz R, Herr HD. 2001. Hyrdrologic uncertainty processor for probabilistic river stage forecasting: precipitation-dependent model. J. Hydrol. 249: 46-68.
-
(2001)
J. Hydrol.
, vol.249
, pp. 46-68
-
-
Krzysztofowicz, R.1
Herr, H.D.2
-
27
-
-
0033735880
-
Hydrologic uncertainty processor for probabilistic river stage forecasting
-
Krzysztofowicz R, Kelly KS. 2000. Hydrologic uncertainty processor for probabilistic river stage forecasting. Water Resour. Res. 36: 3265-3277.
-
(2000)
Water Resour. Res.
, vol.36
, pp. 3265-3277
-
-
Krzysztofowicz, R.1
Kelly, K.S.2
-
30
-
-
79961050814
-
An explicit link between Gaussian fields and Gaussian Markov random fields: the stochastic partial differential equation approach
-
Lindgren F, Rue H, Lindström J. 2011. An explicit link between Gaussian fields and Gaussian Markov random fields: the stochastic partial differential equation approach. J. R. Statist. Soc. B 73: 423-498.
-
(2011)
J. R. Statist. Soc. B
, vol.73
, pp. 423-498
-
-
Lindgren, F.1
Rue, H.2
Lindström, J.3
-
31
-
-
0016961866
-
Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions
-
Matheson JE, Winkler RL. 1976. Scoring rules for continuous probability distributions. Manage. Sci. 22: 1087-1096.
-
(1976)
Manage. Sci.
, vol.22
, pp. 1087-1096
-
-
Matheson, J.E.1
Winkler, R.L.2
-
32
-
-
33751542466
-
Copulas: tales and facts
-
Mikosch T. 2006. Copulas: tales and facts. Extremes 9: 3-20.
-
(2006)
Extremes
, vol.9
, pp. 3-20
-
-
Mikosch, T.1
-
33
-
-
84879240926
-
-
National Weather Service. Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) User's Guide
-
National Weather Service. 1998. Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) User's Guide. http://www.weather.gov/asos/aum-toc.pdf.
-
(1998)
-
-
-
35
-
-
84864281578
-
Adaptive calibration of (u,v)-wind ensemble forecasts
-
DOI: 10.1002/qj.1873.
-
Pinson P. 2012. Adaptive calibration of (u, v)-wind ensemble forecasts. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 138: 1273-1284, DOI: 10.1002/qj.1873.
-
(2012)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.138
, pp. 1273-1284
-
-
Pinson, P.1
-
36
-
-
84861664310
-
Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation
-
Pinson P, Girard R. 2012. Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation. Appl. Energy 96: 12-20.
-
(2012)
Appl. Energy
, vol.96
, pp. 12-20
-
-
Pinson, P.1
Girard, R.2
-
37
-
-
74149093707
-
From probabilistic forecasts to statistical scenarios of short-term wind power production
-
Pinson P, Papaefthymiou G, Klockl B, Nielsen HA, Madsen H. 2009. From probabilistic forecasts to statistical scenarios of short-term wind power production. Wind Energy 12: 51-62.
-
(2009)
Wind Energy
, vol.12
, pp. 51-62
-
-
Pinson, P.1
Papaefthymiou, G.2
Klockl, B.3
Nielsen, H.A.4
Madsen, H.5
-
38
-
-
84879248616
-
-
R Development Core Team. R: A language and environment for statistical computing
-
R Development Core Team. 2011. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. http://www.R-project.org.
-
(2011)
-
-
-
40
-
-
65249103483
-
A local ensemble prediction system for fog and low clouds: construction, Bayesian model averaging calibration, and validation
-
Roquelaure S, Bergot T. 2008. A local ensemble prediction system for fog and low clouds: construction, Bayesian model averaging calibration, and validation. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol. 47: 3072-3088.
-
(2008)
J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol.
, vol.47
, pp. 3072-3088
-
-
Roquelaure, S.1
Bergot, T.2
-
41
-
-
84879224551
-
-
Ensemble copula coupling. Diploma thesis, Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, University of Heidelberg.
-
Schefzik R. 2011. Ensemble copula coupling. Diploma thesis, Faculty of Mathematics and Informatics, University of Heidelberg.
-
(2011)
-
-
Schefzik, R.1
-
42
-
-
54949105089
-
Multivariate non-normally distributed random variables in climate research-introduction to the copula approach
-
Schölzel C, Friederichs P. 2008. Multivariate non-normally distributed random variables in climate research-introduction to the copula approach. Nonlinear Proc. Geophys. 15: 761-772.
-
(2008)
Nonlinear Proc. Geophys.
, vol.15
, pp. 761-772
-
-
Schölzel, C.1
Friederichs, P.2
-
43
-
-
84879231208
-
-
Ensemble model output statistics for wind vectors. ArXiv:1201.2612.
-
Schuhen N, Thorarinsdottir TL, Gneiting T. 2012. Ensemble model output statistics for wind vectors. ArXiv:1201.2612.
-
(2012)
-
-
Schuhen, N.1
Thorarinsdottir, T.L.2
Gneiting, T.3
-
44
-
-
34248354794
-
Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Bayesian model averaging
-
Sloughter JM, Raftery AE, Gneiting T, Fraley C. 2007. Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Bayesian model averaging. Mon. Weather Rev. 135: 3209-3220.
-
(2007)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.135
, pp. 3209-3220
-
-
Sloughter, J.M.1
Raftery, A.E.2
Gneiting, T.3
Fraley, C.4
-
45
-
-
77952562085
-
Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using ensembles and Bayesian model averaging
-
Sloughter JM, Gneiting T, Raftery AE. 2010. Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using ensembles and Bayesian model averaging. J. Am. Statist. Assoc. 105: 25-35.
-
(2010)
J. Am. Statist. Assoc.
, vol.105
, pp. 25-35
-
-
Sloughter, J.M.1
Gneiting, T.2
Raftery, A.E.3
-
46
-
-
84879223461
-
Probabilistic wind vector forecasting using ensembles and Bayesian model averaging
-
submitted).
-
Sloughter JM, Gneiting T, Raftery AE. 2011. Probabilistic wind vector forecasting using ensembles and Bayesian model averaging. Mon. Weather Rev. (submitted).
-
(2011)
Mon. Weather Rev.
-
-
Sloughter, J.M.1
Gneiting, T.2
Raftery, A.E.3
-
47
-
-
84879238159
-
-
Evaluation of probabilistic prediction systems. In Proceedings of the Workshop on Predictability, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
-
Talagrand O, Vautard R, Strauss B. 1997. Evaluation of probabilistic prediction systems. In Proceedings of the Workshop on Predictability, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK; 1-25.
-
(1997)
, pp. 1-25
-
-
Talagrand, O.1
Vautard, R.2
Strauss, B.3
-
48
-
-
77950945178
-
Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics using heteroskedastic censored regression
-
Thorarinsdottir TL, Gneiting T. 2010. Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics using heteroskedastic censored regression. J. R. Statist. Soc. A 173: 371-388.
-
(2010)
J. R. Statist. Soc. A
, vol.173
, pp. 371-388
-
-
Thorarinsdottir, T.L.1
Gneiting, T.2
-
49
-
-
84863418569
-
Probabilistic wind gust forecasting using non-homogeneous Gaussian regression
-
Thorarinsdottir TL, Johnson MS. 2011. Probabilistic wind gust forecasting using non-homogeneous Gaussian regression. Mon. Weather Rev. 140: 889-897.
-
(2011)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.140
, pp. 889-897
-
-
Thorarinsdottir, T.L.1
Johnson, M.S.2
-
50
-
-
0034652134
-
The multivariate L1-median and associated data depth
-
Vardi Y, Zhang CH. 2000. The multivariate L1-median and associated data depth. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 97: 1423-1426.
-
(2000)
Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA
, vol.97
, pp. 1423-1426
-
-
Vardi, Y.1
Zhang, C.H.2
-
51
-
-
0036821009
-
Smoothing forecast ensembles with fitted probability distributions
-
Wilks DS. 2002. Smoothing forecast ensembles with fitted probability distributions. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 128: 2821-2836.
-
(2002)
Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.
, vol.128
, pp. 2821-2836
-
-
Wilks, D.S.1
-
52
-
-
34447309549
-
Comparison of ensemble-MOS methods using GFS reforecasts
-
Wilks DS, Hamill TM. 2007. Comparison of ensemble-MOS methods using GFS reforecasts. Mon. Weather Rev. 135: 2379-2390.
-
(2007)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.135
, pp. 2379-2390
-
-
Wilks, D.S.1
Hamill, T.M.2
-
53
-
-
34248352225
-
Calibrated surface temperature forecasts from the Canadian ensemble prediction system using Bayesian model averaging
-
Wilson LJ, Beauregard S, Raftery AE, Verret R. 2007. Calibrated surface temperature forecasts from the Canadian ensemble prediction system using Bayesian model averaging. Mon. Weather Rev. 135: 1364-1385.
-
(2007)
Mon. Weather Rev.
, vol.135
, pp. 1364-1385
-
-
Wilson, L.J.1
Beauregard, S.2
Raftery, A.E.3
Verret, R.4
|