Weather forecasting with ensemble methods

Science

Volumn 310, Issue 5746, 2005, Pages 248-249

  Gneiting, Tilmann ^a   Raftery, Adrian E ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

WEATHER FORECASTING;

ECONOMIC ASPECT; FORECASTING; MONTE CARLO METHOD; PREDICTION; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROBABILITY; RESOURCE MANAGEMENT; REVIEW; STOCHASTIC MODEL; UNCERTAINTY; WEATHER;

EID: 26844438590     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: 10959203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.1115255     Document Type: Review

References (19)

1. T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 128, 747 (2002).
2. For real-time ensemble forecasts, see NCEP Operational Ensemble Forecasts (www.cdc.noaa.gov/ map/images/ens/ens.html)
3. and MSC Ensemble Forecasts (http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/ensemble/ index_e.html).
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13. T. N. Palmer et al., Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 85, 853 (2004).
14. T. N. Palmer, Ed., Special issue on the DEMETER project, Tellus A 57 (May 2005), pp. 217-512.
15. R. Buizza, M. Miller, T. N. Palmer, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 125, 2887 (1999).
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17. I. T. Jolliffe, D. B. Stephenson, Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science (Wiley, New York, 2004).
18. R. de Elia, R. Laprise, Mon. Weather Rev. 133, 1129 (2005).
19. While preparing this Perspective, T.G. was on sabbatical leave at the Soil Physics Group, Universität Bayreuth, Germany. We thank C. Mass for comments; J. Baars, E. Grimit, and P. Tewson for assistance in preparing the figure; and the U.S. Department of Defense Multidisciplinary Research University Initiative (MURI) for financial support.