Use of fragile geologic structures as indicators of unexceeded ground motions and direct constraints on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

Volumn 103, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 1898-1911

  Baker, Jack W ^a   Abrahamson, Norman A ^b   Whitney, John W ^c   Board, Mark P ^d   Hanks, Thomas C ^e  

^a STANFORD UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b PACIFIC GAS AND ELECTRIC COMPANY   (United States)

^c DENVER FEDERAL CENTER   (United States)

^d ITASCA CONSULTING GROUP   (United States)

^e U S GEOLOGICAL SURVEY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

FAILURE PROBABILITY; GEOLOGIC STRUCTURES; GROUND MOTION PARAMETERS; LOW PROBABILITY; PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS; SEISMIC HAZARDS; SURVIVAL PROBABILITIES; YUCCA MOUNTAIN , NEVADA;

PROBABILITY;

HAZARDS;

GEOLOGICAL STRUCTURE; GROUND MOTION; PROBABILITY; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; SEISMIC HAZARD;

NEVADA; UNITED STATES; YUCCA MOUNTAIN;

EID: 84878889949     PISSN: 00371106     EISSN: 19433573     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1785/0120120202     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Abrahamson, N. A., and J. J. Bommer (2005). Probability and uncertainty in seismic hazard analysis, Earthq. Spectra 21, no. 2, 603-607.
2. Abrahamson, N. A., and T. C. Hanks (2008). Points in hazard space; a new view of PSHA, Seismol. Res. Lett. 79, 285.
3. Anderson, J. G., and J. N. Brune (1999). Methodology for using precarious rocks in Nevada to test seismic hazard models, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 89, no. 2, 456.
4. Anderson, J. G., J. N. Brune, G. Biasi, A. Anooshehpoor, and M. Purvance (2011). Workshop report: Applications of precarious rocks and related fragile geological features to U.S. national hazard maps, Seismol. Res. Lett. 82, no. 3, 431-441.
5. Andrews, D. J., T. C. Hanks, and J. W. Whitney (2007). Physical limits on ground motion at Yucca Mountain, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 97, no. 6, 1771-1792.
6. Balco, G., M. D. Purvance, and D. H. Rood (2011). Exposure dating of precariously balanced rocks, Quaternary Geochronol. 6, nos. 3-4, 295-303.
7. Bechtel SAIC Company (BSC) (2005). Peak ground velocities for seismic events at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. ANL-MGR-GS-000004 REV 00, Las Vegas, Nevada.
8. Bell, J. W., J. N. Brune, T. Liu, M. Zreda, and J. C. Yount (1998). Dating precariously balanced rocks in seismically active parts of California and Nevada, Geology 26, no. 6, 495.
9. Bommer, J., N. Abrahamson, F. O. Strasser, A. Pecker, P.-Y. Bard, H. Bungum, F. Cotton, D. Fah, S. Sabetta, F. Scherbaum, and J. Studer (2004). The challenge of defining upper bounds on earthquake ground motions, Seismol. Res. Lett. 75, 82-95.
10. Brune, J. N. (1996). Precariously balanced rocks and ground-motion maps for southern California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 86, no. 1A, 43-54.
11. Brune, J. N., and J. W. Whitney (1992). Precariously balanced rocks with rock varnish-Paleoindicators of maximum ground acceleration, Seismol. Res. Lett. 63, no. 1, 21.
12. Brune, J. N., and J. W. Whitney (2000). Precarious rocks and seismic shaking at Yucca Mountain, Nevada., in Geologic and Geophysical Studies of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, A Potential High-Level Radioactive-Waste Repository, J. W. Whitney and W. R. Keefer (Editors), USGS Digital Data Series 058, Chapter M, 19 p.
13. Brune, J. N., D. von Seggern, and A. Anooshehpoor (2003). Distribution of precarious rocks at the Nevada Test Site: comparison with ground motion predictions from nuclear tests, J. Geophys. Res. 108, no. B6, 2306.
14. Chiou, B., R. Darragh, N. Gregor, and W. Silva (2008). NGA project strongmotion database, Earthq. Spectra 24, no. 1, 23-44.
15. Hanks, T. C., and N. Abrahamson (2008). A brief history of extreme ground motions, Seismol. Res. Lett. 79, 282-283.
16. Hanks, T. C., N. A. Abrahamson, M Board, D. M. Boore, J. N. Brune, and C. A. Cornell (2006). Report of the workshop on extreme ground motions at Yucca Mountain, August 23-25, 2004, U.S. Geol. Surv. OpenFile Rept. 2006-1277, Reston, Virginia.
17. Hogg, R. V., and E. Tanis (2009). Probability and Statistical Inference, Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, New Jersey, 648 pp.
18. Lockner, D. A., and C. A. Morrow (2008). Energy dissipation in Calico Hills tuff due to pore collapse, American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting, abstract #T51A-1856, San Francisco, California.
19. McGarr, A., and J. B. Fletcher (2007). Near-fault peak ground velocity from earthquake and laboratory data, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 97, no. 5, 1502.
20. McGuire, R. K. (1995). Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and design earthquakes: Closing the loop, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 85, no. 5, 1275-1284.
21. McGuire, R. K., C. A. Cornell, and G. R. Toro (2005). The case for using mean seismic hazard, Earthq. Spectra 21, no. 3, 879-886.
22. O'Connell, D. R. H., R. LaForge, and P. Liu (2007). Probabilistic groundmotion assessment of balanced rocks in the Mojave Desert, Seismol. Res. Lett. 78, no. 6, 649-662.
23. Power, M., B. Chiou, N. Abrahamson, Y. Bozorgnia, T. Shantz, and C. Roblee (2008). An overview of the NGA project, Earthq. Spectra 24, no. 1, 3-21.
24. Purvance, M., R. Anooshehpoor, and J. N. Brune (2009). Fragilities of Sensitive Geological Features on Yucca Mountain, Nevada, PEER Report 2009, University of California, Berkeley, California, 68 p.
25. Purvance, M. D., J. N. Brune, N. A. Abrahamson, and J. G. Anderson (2008). Consistency of precariously balanced rocks with probabilistic seismic hazard estimates in southern California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 98, no. 6, 2629-2640.
26. SSHAC (1997). Recommendations for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis: guidance on uncertainty and use of experts, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Report, NUREG/CR-6372, Washington, D.C.
27. Stepp, J., I. Wong, J. Whitney, R. Quittemeyer, N. Abrahamson, G. Toro, R. Youngs, K. Coppersmith, J. Savy, and T. Sullivan (2001). Probabilistic seismic hazard analyses for ground motions and fault displacements at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, Earthq. Spectra 17, 113-151.
28. Stirling, M. W., and R. Anooshehpoor (2006). Constraints on probabilistic seismic-hazard models from unstable landform features in New Zealand, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 96, no. 2, 404-414.
29. Stirling, M., J. Ledgerwood, T. Liu, and M. Apted (2010). Age of unstable bedrock landforms southwest of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, and implications for past ground motions, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 100, no. 1, 74-86.