메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 51, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 1247-1261

Involving stakeholders in building integrated fisheries models using bayesian methods

Author keywords

Baltic herring; Bayesian model averaging; Bayesian modeling; Influence diagram; Participatory modeling; Problem framing; Stakeholders; Stock assessment

Indexed keywords

BALTIC HERRING; BAYESIAN MODEL AVERAGING; BAYESIAN MODELING; INFLUENCE DIAGRAM; PARTICIPATORY MODELING; PROBLEM FRAMINGS; STAKEHOLDERS; STOCK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 84878851161     PISSN: 0364152X     EISSN: 14321009     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00267-013-0041-9     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (23)

References (87)
  • 3
    • 0001000513 scopus 로고
    • Constructivism: A theory of knowledge
    • 10.1021/ed063p873 1:CAS:528:DyaL2sXkt1Kn
    • Bodner GM (1986) Constructivism: a theory of knowledge. J Chem Educ 63:873-878
    • (1986) J Chem Educ , vol.63 , pp. 873-878
    • Bodner, G.M.1
  • 4
    • 57249094266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory model construction and model use in natural resource management: A framework for reflection
    • 10.1007/s11213-008-9108-6
    • Bots PWG, van Daalen CE (2008) Participatory model construction and model use in natural resource management: a framework for reflection. Syst Pract Action Res 21:389-407
    • (2008) Syst Pract Action Res , vol.21 , pp. 389-407
    • Bots, P.W.G.1    Van Daalen, C.E.2
  • 5
    • 4444329287 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use of Hugin to develop Bayesian networks as an aid to integrated water resource planning
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2003.12.021
    • Bromley J, Jackson NA, Clymer OJ, Giacomello AM, Jensen FV (2005) The use of Hugin to develop Bayesian networks as an aid to integrated water resource planning. Environ Model Softw 20:231-242
    • (2005) Environ Model Softw , vol.20 , pp. 231-242
    • Bromley, J.1    Jackson, N.A.2    Clymer, O.J.3    Giacomello, A.M.4    Jensen, F.V.5
  • 6
    • 0012242910 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Guidelines for using Bayesian networks to support the planning and management of development programmes in the water sector and beyond. Centre for ecology and hydrology, Wallingford, UK Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Cain J (2001) Planning improvements in natural resources management. Guidelines for using Bayesian networks to support the planning and management of development programmes in the water sector and beyond. Centre for ecology and hydrology, Wallingford, UK. http://www.norsys.com/downloads/BBN%20Guidelines%20- %20Cain.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2001) Planning Improvements in Natural Resources Management
    • Cain, J.1
  • 7
    • 0037400647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory decision support for agricultural management. A case study from Sri Lanka
    • 10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00006-9
    • Cain JD, Jinapala K, Makin IW, Somaratna PG, Ariyaratna BR, Perera LR (2003) Participatory decision support for agricultural management. A case study from Sri Lanka. Agric Syst 76:457-482
    • (2003) Agric Syst , vol.76 , pp. 457-482
    • Cain, J.D.1    Jinapala, K.2    Makin, I.W.3    Somaratna, P.G.4    Ariyaratna, B.R.5    Perera, L.R.6
  • 8
    • 33947724186 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Coupling real-time control and socioeconomic issues in participatory river basin planning
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.05.018
    • Castelletti A, Soncini-Sessa R (2007a) Coupling real-time control and socioeconomic issues in participatory river basin planning. Environ Model Softw 22:1114-1128
    • (2007) Environ Model Softw , vol.22 , pp. 1114-1128
    • Castelletti, A.1    Soncini-Sessa, R.2
  • 9
    • 33947728908 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian networks and participatory modelling in water resource management
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.06.003
    • Castelletti A, Soncini-Sessa R (2007b) Bayesian networks and participatory modelling in water resource management. Environ Model Softw 22(8):1075-1088
    • (2007) Environ Model Softw , vol.22 , Issue.8 , pp. 1075-1088
    • Castelletti, A.1    Soncini-Sessa, R.2
  • 10
    • 33749594701 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated research in natural resources: The key role of problem framing
    • United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Washington DC Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Clark RN, Stankey GH (2006) Integrated research in natural resources: the key role of problem framing. General technical report PNW-GTR-678. United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Washington DC. http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/pnw-gtr678.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2006) General Technical Report PNW-GTR-678
    • Clark, R.N.1    Stankey, G.H.2
  • 11
    • 84878862245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) European Governance. A White Paper, COM (2001) 428 final, Brussels Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) (2001) European Governance. A White Paper, COM (2001) 428 final, Brussels. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/ LexUriServ/site/en/com/2001/com2001-0428en01.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2001)
  • 12
    • 84878825281 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) Communication from the Commission. Towards a reinforced culture of consultation and Dialogue - general principles and minimum standards for consultation of interested parties by the commission. COM (2002) 704 final, Brussels Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) (2002) Communication from the Commission. Towards a reinforced culture of consultation and Dialogue - general principles and minimum standards for consultation of interested parties by the commission. COM (2002) 704 final, Brussels. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/ LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2002:0704:FIN:en:PDF. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2002)
  • 13
    • 84878862400 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) The Common Fisheries Policy. A user's guide. Office for official publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) (2009a) The Common Fisheries Policy. A user's guide. Office for official publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg. http://ec.europa.eu/fisheries/documentation/ publications/pcp2008-en.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2009)
  • 14
    • 84878842662 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) Green Paper. Reform of the Common Fisheries Policy. Brussels, 22.4.2009. COM (2009)163 final Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) (2009b) Green Paper. Reform of the Common Fisheries Policy. Brussels, 22.4.2009. COM (2009)163 final. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2009:0163:FIN:EN:PDF. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2009)
  • 15
    • 84878865613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) Commission non-paper on the establishment of a multi-annual plan for pelagic stocks in the Baltic Sea and the fisheries exploiting those stocks Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Commission of the European Communities (CEC) (2010) Commission non-paper on the establishment of a multi-annual plan for pelagic stocks in the Baltic Sea and the fisheries exploiting those stocks. http://www.bsrac.org/archive/ Dokumenter/Pelagic%20WG/150410/Non-Paper%20pelagics%20final.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2010)
  • 16
    • 4043067247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probability, causality and the empirical world: A Bayes-deFinetti-Popper- orel synthesis
    • 10.1214/088342304000000125
    • Dawid AP (2004) Probability, causality and the empirical world: a Bayes-deFinetti-Popper-orel synthesis. Stat Sci 19(1):44-57
    • (2004) Stat Sci , vol.19 , Issue.1 , pp. 44-57
    • Dawid, A.P.1
  • 17
    • 33747561950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beyond constructivism and realism. Concepts in the social sciences. First published 1997. Reprinted 2000, 2002. Open University Press, Edmunds, Suffolk
    • Delanty GS (2002) Social science. Beyond constructivism and realism. Concepts in the social sciences. First published 1997. Reprinted 2000, 2002. Open University Press, Edmunds, Suffolk
    • (2002) Social Science
    • Delanty, G.S.1
  • 18
    • 0002471741 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Discussion: Should ecologists become Bayesians?
    • 10.2307/2269594
    • Dennis B (1996) Discussion: should ecologists become Bayesians? Ecol Appl 6(4):1095-1103
    • (1996) Ecol Appl , vol.6 , Issue.4 , pp. 1095-1103
    • Dennis, B.1
  • 19
    • 82355183369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory approaches to modelling for improved learning and decision-making in natural resource governance: An editorial
    • 10.1002/eet.584
    • Dreyer M, Renn O (2011) Participatory approaches to modelling for improved learning and decision-making in natural resource governance: an editorial. Environmental Policy and Governance 21:379-385
    • (2011) Environmental Policy and Governance , vol.21 , pp. 379-385
    • Dreyer, M.1    Renn, O.2
  • 20
    • 0027705257 scopus 로고
    • Efficient reasoning in qualitative probabilistic networks
    • Washington DC, July 11-15, 1993 Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Druzdzel MJ, Henrion M (1993) Efficient reasoning in qualitative probabilistic networks. Proceedings of the 11th Annual Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-93), Washington DC, July 11-15, 1993, pp 548-553. http://www.pitt.edu/~druzdzel/psfiles/aaai93.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (1993) Proceedings of the 11th Annual Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-93) , pp. 548-553
    • Druzdzel, M.J.1    Henrion, M.2
  • 21
    • 84892386641 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of Bayesian networks as a participatory modeling approach in support of sustainable environmental management
    • Düspohl M, Frank S, Döll P (2012) A review of Bayesian networks as a participatory modeling approach in support of sustainable environmental management. J Sustain Dev 5:12
    • (2012) J Sustain Dev , vol.5 , pp. 12
    • Düspohl, M.1    Frank, S.2    Döll, P.3
  • 22
    • 82355161428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lessons from the application of decision-support tools in participatory management of the new forest national park, UK
    • 10.1002/eet.589
    • Edwards VM, Smith S (2011) Lessons from the application of decision-support tools in participatory management of the new forest national park, UK. Environ Policy Gov 21:417-432
    • (2011) Environ Policy Gov , vol.21 , pp. 417-432
    • Edwards, V.M.1    Smith, S.2
  • 24
    • 33845809535 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory modeling and the dilemma of diffuse nitrogen management in a residential management
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2005.12.027
    • Gaddis EJB, Vladich H, Voinov A (2007) Participatory modeling and the dilemma of diffuse nitrogen management in a residential management. Environ Model Softw 22:619-629
    • (2007) Environ Model Softw , vol.22 , pp. 619-629
    • Gaddis, E.J.B.1    Vladich, H.2    Voinov, A.3
  • 25
    • 35948929052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fishery systems and linkages: From clockworks to soft watches
    • 10.1093/icesjms/fsm013
    • Garcia SM, Charles AT (2007) Fishery systems and linkages: from clockworks to soft watches. ICES J Mar Sci 64(4):580-587
    • (2007) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.64 , Issue.4 , pp. 580-587
    • Garcia, S.M.1    Charles, A.T.2
  • 26
    • 48349125647 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Fishery systems and linkages: Implications for science and governance
    • 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2008.05.001
    • Garcia SM, Charles AT (2008) Fishery systems and linkages: implications for science and governance. Ocean Coast Manag 51:505-527
    • (2008) Ocean Coast Manag , vol.51 , pp. 505-527
    • Garcia, S.M.1    Charles, A.T.2
  • 27
    • 76449097103 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Formalizing expert knowledge to compare alternative management plans: Sociological perspective to the future management of Baltic salmon stocks
    • 10.1016/j.marpol.2009.10.002
    • Haapasaari P, Karjalainen TP (2010) Formalizing expert knowledge to compare alternative management plans: sociological perspective to the future management of Baltic salmon stocks. Mar Policy 34:477-486
    • (2010) Mar Policy , vol.34 , pp. 477-486
    • Haapasaari, P.1    Karjalainen, T.P.2
  • 28
    • 35948976940 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Management measures and fishers' commitment to sustainable exploitation: A case study of Atlantic salmon fisheries in the Baltic Sea
    • 10.1093/icesjms/fsm002
    • Haapasaari P, Michielsens GGJ, Karjalainen TP, Reinikainen K, Kuikka S (2007) Management measures and fishers' commitment to sustainable exploitation: a case study of Atlantic salmon fisheries in the Baltic Sea. ICES J Mar Sci 64:825-833
    • (2007) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.64 , pp. 825-833
    • Haapasaari, P.1    Michielsens, G.G.J.2    Karjalainen, T.P.3    Reinikainen, K.4    Kuikka, S.5
  • 29
    • 84867136840 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Baltic herring fisheries management: Stakeholder views to frame the problem
    • Haapasaari P, Mäntyniemi S, Kuikka S (2012) Baltic herring fisheries management: stakeholder views to frame the problem. Ecol Soc 17(3):36
    • (2012) Ecol Soc , vol.17 , Issue.3 , pp. 36
    • Haapasaari, P.1    Mäntyniemi, S.2    Kuikka, S.3
  • 30
    • 0034955610 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An application of the Bayesian approach to stock assessment model uncertainty
    • 10.1006/jmsc.2001.1051
    • Hammond TR, O'Brien CM (2001) An application of the Bayesian approach to stock assessment model uncertainty. ICES J Mar Sci 58:648-656
    • (2001) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.58 , pp. 648-656
    • Hammond, T.R.1    O'Brien, C.M.2
  • 31
    • 82355183375 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forms of participatory modelling and its potential for widespread adoption in the water sector
    • 10.1002/eet.590
    • Hare M (2011) Forms of participatory modelling and its potential for widespread adoption in the water sector. Environ Policy Gov 21:386-402
    • (2011) Environ Policy Gov , vol.21 , pp. 386-402
    • Hare, M.1
  • 32
    • 10944239222 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory modelling in natural resource management: A comparison of four case studies
    • 10.1076/iaij.4.2.62.16706
    • Hare M, Letcher RA, Jakeman AJ (2003) Participatory modelling in natural resource management: a comparison of four case studies. Integr Assess 4(2):62-72
    • (2003) Integr Assess , vol.4 , Issue.2 , pp. 62-72
    • Hare, M.1    Letcher, R.A.2    Jakeman, A.J.3
  • 33
    • 77953969467 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory modelling in EU fisheries management: Western horse mackerel and the Pelagic RAC
    • Helgland TJ, Wilson DC (2009) Participatory modelling in EU fisheries management: Western horse mackerel and the Pelagic RAC. J Marit Stud (MAST) 8(1):75-96
    • (2009) J Marit Stud (MAST) , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 75-96
    • Helgland, T.J.1    Wilson, D.C.2
  • 34
    • 47249129512 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reflections on the use of Bayesian belief networks for adaptive management
    • 10.1016/j.jenvman.2007.05.009
    • Henriksen HJ, Barlebo HC (2008) Reflections on the use of Bayesian belief networks for adaptive management. J Environ Manage 88(4):1025-1036
    • (2008) J Environ Manage , vol.88 , Issue.4 , pp. 1025-1036
    • Henriksen, H.J.1    Barlebo, H.C.2
  • 35
    • 33947719959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Public participation modelling using Bayesian networks in management of groundwater contamination
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.01.008
    • Henriksen HJ, Rasmussen P, Brandt G, von Bülow D, Jensen FJ (2007) Public participation modelling using Bayesian networks in management of groundwater contamination. Environ Model Softw 22:1101-1113
    • (2007) Environ Model Softw , vol.22 , pp. 1101-1113
    • Henriksen, H.J.1    Rasmussen, P.2    Brandt, G.3    Von Bülow, D.4    Jensen, F.J.5
  • 36
    • 84878852447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) 8.3.3.1 Multi-annual management of pelagic fish stocks in the Baltic. Advice 2009, Book 8. ICES, Copenhagen
    • International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) (2009) 8.3.3.1 Multi-annual management of pelagic fish stocks in the Baltic. Advice 2009, Book 8. ICES, Copenhagen. http://www.ices.dk/committe/acom/comwork/report/ 2009/Special%20Requests/ EC%20Multiannual%20management%20pelagic%20stocks%20Baltic.pdf
    • (2009)
  • 37
    • 84878889241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) ICES Advice May 2010. Herring in Subdivisions 25-29 and 32 (excluding Gulf of Riga herring) Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) (2010) ICES Advice May 2010. Herring in Subdivisions 25-29 and 32 (excluding Gulf of Riga herring). http://www.ices.dk/committe/acom/comwork/report/2010/2010/Her-2532-Ex- Go.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2010)
  • 38
    • 84878869919 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) 8.4.4 Ecoregion stock: Baltic Sea: herring in subdivisions 25-29 and 32 (excluding Gulf of Riga herring). Advice 2011, Book 8. ICES, Copenhagen Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) (2011) 8.4.4 Ecoregion stock: Baltic Sea: herring in subdivisions 25-29 and 32 (excluding Gulf of Riga herring). Advice 2011, Book 8. ICES, Copenhagen. http://www.ices.dk/committe/acom/comwork/report/2011/2011/Her-2532-Ex-Go.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (2011)
  • 40
    • 58049206786 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Public participation and perceptions of watershed modeling
    • 10.1080/08941920802220347
    • Johnson MS (2009) Public participation and perceptions of watershed modeling. Soc Nat Resour 22:79-87
    • (2009) Soc Nat Resour , vol.22 , pp. 79-87
    • Johnson, M.S.1
  • 42
    • 79954547308 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mental models: An interdisciplinary synthesis of theory and methods
    • Jones NA, Ross H, Lynam T, Perez P, Leitch A (2011) Mental models: an interdisciplinary synthesis of theory and methods. Ecol Soc 16(1):46
    • (2011) Ecol Soc , vol.16 , Issue.1 , pp. 46
    • Jones, N.A.1    Ross, H.2    Lynam, T.3    Perez, P.4    Leitch, A.5
  • 43
    • 1242276478 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cooperative research, co-management and the social dimension of fisheries science and management
    • 10.1016/j.marpol.2003.08.003
    • Kaplan IM, McCay B (2004) Cooperative research, co-management and the social dimension of fisheries science and management. Mar Policy 28:257-258
    • (2004) Mar Policy , vol.28 , pp. 257-258
    • Kaplan, I.M.1    McCay, B.2
  • 44
    • 0035076583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The politics of participation in watershed modelling
    • 10.1007/s002670010141 1:STN:280:DC%2BD2cvgtFShsw%3D%3D
    • Korfmacher K (2001) The politics of participation in watershed modelling. Environ Manage 27:161-176
    • (2001) Environ Manage , vol.27 , pp. 161-176
    • Korfmacher, K.1
  • 45
    • 3142514315 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties of climatic change impacts in Finnish watersheds: A Bayesian network analysis of expert knowledge
    • 1:CAS:528:DyaK2sXls1eqs74%3D
    • Kuikka S, Varis O (1997) Uncertainties of climatic change impacts in Finnish watersheds: a Bayesian network analysis of expert knowledge. Boreal Environ Res 2(1):109-128
    • (1997) Boreal Environ Res , vol.2 , Issue.1 , pp. 109-128
    • Kuikka, S.1    Varis, O.2
  • 46
    • 0032807930 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling environmentally driven uncertainties in Baltic cod (Gadus morhua) management by Bayesian influence diagrams
    • 10.1139/f98-206
    • Kuikka S, Hildén M, Gislason H, Hansson S, Sparholt H, Varis O (1999) Modeling environmentally driven uncertainties in Baltic cod (Gadus morhua) management by Bayesian influence diagrams. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 56:629-641
    • (1999) Can J Fish Aquat Sci , vol.56 , pp. 629-641
    • Kuikka, S.1    Hildén, M.2    Gislason, H.3    Hansson, S.4    Sparholt, H.5    Varis, O.6
  • 47
    • 0032007749 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework for risk analysis in fisheries decision-making
    • 10.1006/jmsc.1997.0237
    • Lane EE, Stephenson RL (1998) A framework for risk analysis in fisheries decision-making. ICES J Mar Sci 55(1):1-13
    • (1998) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.55 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-13
    • Lane, E.E.1    Stephenson, R.L.2
  • 48
    • 79951980105 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: The interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon
    • 10.1093/icesjms/fsr004
    • Levontin P, Kulmala S, Haapasaari P, Kuikka S (2011) Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon. ICES J Mar Sci 68:632-638
    • (2011) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.68 , pp. 632-638
    • Levontin, P.1    Kulmala, S.2    Haapasaari, P.3    Kuikka, S.4
  • 49
    • 0035695356 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The era of management is over
    • 10.1007/s10021-001-0044-x
    • Ludwig D (2001) The era of management is over. Ecosystems 4:758-764
    • (2001) Ecosystems , vol.4 , pp. 758-764
    • Ludwig, D.1
  • 50
    • 34447345114 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of tools for incorporating community knowledge, preferences, and values into decision making in natural resources management
    • Lynam T, de Jong W, Sheil D, Kusumanto T, Evans K (2007) A review of tools for incorporating community knowledge, preferences, and values into decision making in natural resources management. Ecol Soc 12(1):5
    • (2007) Ecol Soc , vol.12 , Issue.1 , pp. 5
    • Lynam, T.1    De Jong, W.2    Sheil, D.3    Kusumanto, T.4    Evans, K.5
  • 51
    • 77957756063 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive modelling for adaptive water quality management in the Great Barrier Reef region, Australia
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2009.09.013
    • Lynam T, Drewry J, Higham W, Mitchell C (2010) Adaptive modelling for adaptive water quality management in the Great Barrier Reef region, Australia. Environ Model Softw 25:1291-1301
    • (2010) Environ Model Softw , vol.25 , pp. 1291-1301
    • Lynam, T.1    Drewry, J.2    Higham, W.3    Mitchell, C.4
  • 52
    • 0033585038 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayes offers a 'New' way to make sense of numbers
    • 10.1126/science.286.5444.1460
    • Malakoff D (1999) Bayes offers a 'New' way to make sense of numbers. Science 19(286):1460-1464
    • (1999) Science , vol.19 , Issue.286 , pp. 1460-1464
    • Malakoff, D.1
  • 53
    • 70450212878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The value of information in fisheries management: North Sea herring as an example
    • 10.1093/icesjms/fsp206
    • Mäntyniemi S, Kuikka S, Rahikainen M, Kell LT, Kaitala V (2009) The value of information in fisheries management: North Sea herring as an example. ICES J Mar Sci 66(10):2278-2283
    • (2009) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.66 , Issue.10 , pp. 2278-2283
    • Mäntyniemi, S.1    Kuikka, S.2    Rahikainen, M.3    Kell, L.T.4    Kaitala, V.5
  • 55
    • 77957755469 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparative reflections on the use of modelling tools in conflictive water management settings: The Mancha Occidental aquifer, Spain
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2008.11.011
    • Martínez-Santos P, Henriksen HJ, Zorrilla P, Martínez- Alfaro PE (2010) Comparative reflections on the use of modelling tools in conflictive water management settings: the Mancha Occidental aquifer, Spain. Environ Model Softw 25:1439-1449
    • (2010) Environ Model Softw , vol.25 , pp. 1439-1449
    • Martínez-Santos, P.1    Henriksen, H.J.2    Zorrilla, P.3    Martínez- Alfaro, P.E.4
  • 56
    • 0043284977 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • De Finetti was right: Probability does not exist
    • 10.1023/A:1015525808214
    • Nau R (2001) De Finetti was right: probability does not exist. Theor Decis 51:89-124
    • (2001) Theor Decis , vol.51 , pp. 89-124
    • Nau, R.1
  • 58
    • 0347907932 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive comanagement for building resilience in social-ecological systems
    • 10.1007/s00267-003-0101-7
    • Olsson P, Folke C, Berkes F (2004) Adaptive comanagement for building resilience in social-ecological systems. Environ Manage 34(1):75-90
    • (2004) Environ Manage , vol.34 , Issue.1 , pp. 75-90
    • Olsson, P.1    Folke, C.2    Berkes, F.3
  • 59
    • 11244260310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gloucester fishery: Insights from a group modeling intervention
    • 10.1002/sdr.299
    • Otto P, Struben J (2004) Gloucester fishery: insights from a group modeling intervention. Syst Dyn Rev 20(4):287-312
    • (2004) Syst Dyn Rev , vol.20 , Issue.4 , pp. 287-312
    • Otto, P.1    Struben, J.2
  • 60
    • 0036960075 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards sustainability in the water sector. The importance on human actors and processes of social learning
    • 10.1007/PL00012594
    • Pahl-Wostl C (2002) Towards sustainability in the water sector. The importance on human actors and processes of social learning. Aquat Sci 64:394-411
    • (2002) Aquat Sci , vol.64 , pp. 394-411
    • Pahl-Wostl, C.1
  • 62
    • 0001776741 scopus 로고
    • "truth and probability", in Ramsey, 1931
    • Braithwaite RB (ed) Ch. VII London, Kegan, Paul, Trench, Trubner & Co, New York, Harcourt, Brace and Company, 1999 electronic edition Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Ramsey FP (1926) "Truth and probability", in Ramsey, 1931. In: Braithwaite RB (ed) The foundations of mathematics and other logical essays, Ch. VII, pp. 156-198, London, Kegan, Paul, Trench, Trubner & Co, New York, Harcourt, Brace and Company, 1999 electronic edition. http://fitelson.org/ probability/ramsey.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (1926) The Foundations of Mathematics and Other Logical Essays , pp. 156-198
    • Ramsey, F.P.1
  • 63
    • 82355170470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Learning from experiences in adaptive action research: A critical comparison of two case studies applying participatory scenario development and modelling approaches
    • 10.1002/eet.585
    • Ravera F, Hubacek K, Reed M, Tarrasón D (2011) Learning from experiences in adaptive action research: a critical comparison of two case studies applying participatory scenario development and modelling approaches. Environ Policy Gov 21:433-453
    • (2011) Environ Policy Gov , vol.21 , pp. 433-453
    • Ravera, F.1    Hubacek, K.2    Reed, M.3    Tarrasón, D.4
  • 64
    • 52049115626 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stakeholder participation for environmental management: A literature review
    • 10.1016/j.biocon.2008.07.014
    • Reed MS (2008) Stakeholder participation for environmental management: a literature review. Biol Conserv 141(10):2417-2431
    • (2008) Biol Conserv , vol.141 , Issue.10 , pp. 2417-2431
    • Reed, M.S.1
  • 66
    • 51849097460 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Utrect University: Information and Computing Sciences 1998-03 Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • Renooij S, van der Gaag LC (1998) Decision making in qualitative influence diagrams. Utrect University: Information and Computing Sciences 1998-03. http://igitur-archive.library.uu.nl/math/2007-0118-200212/van-der-gaag- 98-decision.pdf. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (1998) Decision Making in Qualitative Influence Diagrams
    • Renooij, S.1    Van Der Gaag, L.C.2
  • 68
    • 77954520820 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of participatory modeling in landscape approaches to reconcile conservation and development
    • Sandker M, Cambell BM, Ruiz-Pérez M, Sayer JA, Cowling R, Kassa H, Knight AT (2010) The role of participatory modeling in landscape approaches to reconcile conservation and development. Ecol Soc 15(2):13
    • (2010) Ecol Soc , vol.15 , Issue.2 , pp. 13
    • Sandker, M.1    Cambell, B.M.2    Ruiz-Pérez, M.3    Sayer, J.A.4    Cowling, R.5    Kassa, H.6    Knight, A.T.7
  • 70
    • 0022818911 scopus 로고
    • Evaluating influence diagrams
    • 10.1287/opre.34.6.871
    • Shachter RD (1986) Evaluating influence diagrams. Oper Res 34(6):871-882
    • (1986) Oper Res , vol.34 , Issue.6 , pp. 871-882
    • Shachter, R.D.1
  • 72
    • 82355183373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can participatory modelling support social learning in marine fisheries? Reflections from the Invest in Fish South West Project
    • 10.1002/eet.588
    • Squires H, Renn O (2011) Can participatory modelling support social learning in marine fisheries? Reflections from the Invest in Fish South West Project. Environ Policy Gov 21(6):403-416
    • (2011) Environ Policy Gov , vol.21 , Issue.6 , pp. 403-416
    • Squires, H.1    Renn, O.2
  • 73
    • 34047185270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Advantages and challenges of Bayesian networks in environmental modeling
    • 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.11.033
    • Uusitalo L (2007) Advantages and challenges of Bayesian networks in environmental modeling. Ecol Model 203:312-318
    • (2007) Ecol Model , vol.203 , pp. 312-318
    • Uusitalo, L.1
  • 74
    • 19744371748 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimation of Atlantic salmon smolt carrying capacity of rivers using expert knowledge
    • 10.1016/j.icesjms.2005.02.005
    • Uusitalo L, Kuikka S, Romakkaniemi A (2005) Estimation of Atlantic salmon smolt carrying capacity of rivers using expert knowledge. ICES J Mar Sci 62(4):708-722
    • (2005) ICES J Mar Sci , vol.62 , Issue.4 , pp. 708-722
    • Uusitalo, L.1    Kuikka, S.2    Romakkaniemi, A.3
  • 75
    • 34047218527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bringing actors together around large-scale water systems: Participatory modelling and other innovations
    • 10.1007/s12130-002-1017-x
    • van Eeten MJG, Loucks DP, Roe E (2002) Bringing actors together around large-scale water systems: participatory modelling and other innovations. Knowledge Technol Policy 14(4):94-108
    • (2002) Knowledge Technol Policy , vol.14 , Issue.4 , pp. 94-108
    • Van Eeten, M.J.G.1    Loucks, D.P.2    Roe, E.3
  • 76
    • 0036605753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water resources development in the Lower Senegal River Basin: Conflicting interests, environmental concerns and policy options
    • 10.1080/07900620220135085
    • Varis O, Fraboulet-Jussila S (2002) Water resources development in the Lower Senegal River Basin: conflicting interests, environmental concerns and policy options. Water Resour Dev 18(2):245-260
    • (2002) Water Resour Dev , vol.18 , Issue.2 , pp. 245-260
    • Varis, O.1    Fraboulet-Jussila, S.2
  • 77
    • 0033565273 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Learning Bayesian decision analysis by doing: Lessons from environmental and natural resources management
    • 10.1016/S0304-3800(99)00061-7
    • Varis O, Kuikka S (1999) Learning Bayesian decision analysis by doing: lessons from environmental and natural resources management. Ecol Model 119(2-3):177-195
    • (1999) Ecol Model , vol.119 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 177-195
    • Varis, O.1    Kuikka, S.2
  • 78
    • 0036883447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated water resources management along the Senegal River: Introducing an analytical framework
    • 10.1080/0790062022000017374
    • Varis O, Lahtela V (2002) Integrated water resources management along the Senegal River: introducing an analytical framework. Water Resour Dev 18(4):501-521
    • (2002) Water Resour Dev , vol.18 , Issue.4 , pp. 501-521
    • Varis, O.1    Lahtela, V.2
  • 79
    • 77955089798 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Differences in causal reasoning about resource dynamics and consequences for the participatory debate on North Sea fisheries
    • 10.1016/j.marpol.2010.03.014
    • Verweij MC, van Densen WLT (2010) Differences in causal reasoning about resource dynamics and consequences for the participatory debate on North Sea fisheries. Mar Policy 34:1144-1155
    • (2010) Mar Policy , vol.34 , pp. 1144-1155
    • Verweij, M.C.1    Van Densen, W.L.T.2
  • 80
    • 77957772098 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling with stakeholders
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2010.03.007
    • Voinov A, Bousquet F (2010) Modelling with stakeholders. Environ Model Softw 25:1268-1281
    • (2010) Environ Model Softw , vol.25 , pp. 1268-1281
    • Voinov, A.1    Bousquet, F.2
  • 81
    • 47249088663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Lessons for successful participatory watershed modelling: A perspective from modeling practitioners
    • 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.03.010
    • Voinov A, Gaddis EJB (2008) Lessons for successful participatory watershed modelling: a perspective from modeling practitioners. Ecol Model 216:197-207
    • (2008) Ecol Model , vol.216 , pp. 197-207
    • Voinov, A.1    Gaddis, E.J.B.2
  • 82
    • 0002568906 scopus 로고
    • An introduction to radical constructivism
    • Watzlawick P (ed) WW Norton & Company Inc. New York. Originally published in Watzlawick P (ed) Die Erfundene Wirklichkeit. Piper 1981, Munich Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • von Glasersfeld E (1984) An introduction to radical constructivism. In: Watzlawick P (ed) The invented reality. How do we know what we believe we know? (Contributions to constructivism). WW Norton & Company Inc. New York. Originally published in Watzlawick P (ed) Die Erfundene Wirklichkeit. Piper 1981, Munich. http://www.cesipc.it/materiali/articoli/vG1.html. Accessed 17 Dec 2012
    • (1984) The Invented Reality. How Do We Know What We Believe We Know? (Contributions to Constructivism)
    • Von Glasersfeld, E.1
  • 84
    • 82355194760 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modellers' and outreach professionals' views on the role of models in watershed management
    • 10.1002/eet.587
    • Webler T, Tuler S, Dietz T (2011) Modellers' and outreach professionals' views on the role of models in watershed management. Environ Policy Gov 21:472-486
    • (2011) Environ Policy Gov , vol.21 , pp. 472-486
    • Webler, T.1    Tuler, S.2    Dietz, T.3
  • 85
    • 0025471633 scopus 로고
    • Fundamental concepts of qualitative probabilistic networks
    • 10.1016/0004-3702(90)90026-V
    • Wellman MP (1990) Fundamental concepts of qualitative probabilistic networks. Artif Intell 44(3):257-303
    • (1990) Artif Intell , vol.44 , Issue.3 , pp. 257-303
    • Wellman, M.P.1
  • 86
    • 77957754932 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A companion modeling approach to fishery management
    • 10.1016/j.envsoft.2010.03.012
    • Worrapimphong K, Gajaseni N, Le Page C, Bousquet F (2010) A companion modeling approach to fishery management. Environ Model Softw 25(11):1334-1344
    • (2010) Environ Model Softw , vol.25 , Issue.11 , pp. 1334-1344
    • Worrapimphong, K.1    Gajaseni, N.2    Le Page, C.3    Bousquet, F.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.