Modeling crash types: New insights into the effects of covariates on crashes at rural intersections

Journal of Transportation Engineering

Volumn 132, Issue 4, 2006, Pages 282-292

  Kim, Do Gyeong ^a   Washington, Simon ^b   Oh, Jutaek ^c  

^a University of Arizona   (United States)

^b ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c Korea Transport Institute (KOTI)   (South Korea)

Author keywords

Intersections; Pedestrians; Roads; Rural areas; Traffic accidents; Traffic models; Traffic safety

Indexed keywords

ACCIDENT PREVENTION; CRASHWORTHINESS; ESTIMATION; HIGHWAY TRAFFIC CONTROL; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; POISSON DISTRIBUTION;

CRASH PREDICTION MODEL; ROAD GEOMETRY;

HIGHWAY ACCIDENTS;

ACCIDENT; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; ESTIMATION METHOD; NUMERICAL MODEL; RURAL AREA; RURAL TRANSPORT; TRANSPORTATION SAFETY;

EID: 33745053714     PISSN: 0733947X     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)0733-947X(2006)132:4(282)     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Abdel-Aty, M. A., and Radwan, A. E. (2000). "Modeling traffic accident occurrence and involvement." Accid. Anal Prev. ZZZZZZ0001-4575, 32(5), 633-642.
2. Chin, H. C., and Quddus, M. A. (2003). "Applying the random effect negative binomial model to examine traffic accident occurrence at signalized intersections." Accid. Anal Prev. ZZZZZZ0001-4575, 35(5), 253-259.
3. Greene, W. (2000). Econometric analysis, Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle River, N.J.
4. Harwood, D. W., Council, F. M., Hauer, E., Hughes, W. E., and Vogt, A. (2000). "Prediction of the expected safety performance of rural two-lane highways." FHWA-RD-99-207, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C.
5. Hauer, E., Ng, J. C.H., and Lovell, J. (1988). "Estimation of safety at signalized intersections." Transportation Research Record 1185, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 48-61.
6. Joshua, S., and Garber, N. (1990). "Estimating truck accident rate and involvement using linear and Poisson regression models." Transp. Plan. Technol. TPLTAK0308-1060 15, 41-58.
7. Jovanis, P., and Chang, H. (1986). "Modeling the relationship of accidents to miles traveled." Transportation Research Record 1068, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 42-51.
8. Ladron de Guevara, F., and Washington, S. (2005). "Forecasting crashes at the planning level. A simultaneous negative binomial crash model applied in Tucson, Arizona." J. Transp. Res. Board, in press.
9. Lord, D., Washington, S., and Ivan, J. (2004). "Poisson, poisson-gamma, and zero-inflated regression models of motor vehicle crashes: Balancing statistical fit and theory." Accident analysis and prevention, Pergamon/Elsevier Science, New York.
10. Lyon, C., Oh, J., Persaud, B., Washington, S., and Bared, J. (2003). "Empirical investigation of interactive highway safety design model accident prediction algorithm: Rural intersections." Transportation Research Record 1840, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 78-86.
11. Miaou, S., Hu, P., Wright, T., Rathi, A., and Davis, S. (1992). "Relationship between truck accidents and highway geometric design: a Poisson regression approach." Transportation Research Record 1376, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 10-18.
12. Mitra, S., Chin, H. C., and Quddus, M. A. (2002). "Study of intersection accidents by maneuver type." Transportation Research Record 1784, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 43-50.
13. Oh, J., Lyon, C., Washington, S., Persaud, B., and Bared, J. (2003). "Validation of the FHWA crash models for rural intersections: Lessons learned." Transportation Research Record 1840, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 41-49.
14. Persaud, B. and Nguyen, T. (1998). "Disaggregate safety performance models for signalized intersection on Ontario Provincial roads." Transportation Research Record 1635, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 113-120.
15. Shankar, V., Mannering, F., and Barfield, W. (1995). "Effect of roadway geometric and environmental factors on rural freeway accident frequencies." Accid. Anal Prev. ZZZZZZ0001-4575, 27(3), 371-389.
16. Stutts, J., Hunter, W., and Pein, W. (1996). "Pedestrian-vehicle crash types: An update." Transportation Research Record 1538, Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C., 68-74.
17. Vogt, A. (1999). "Crash models for rural intersections: Four-lane by two-lane stopcontrolled and two-lane by two-lane signalized." FHWA-RD-99-128, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C.
18. Vogt, A., and Bared, J. (1998). "Accident prediction models for two-lane rural roads: Segments and intersections." FHWA-RD-98-133, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C.
19. Washington, S., Karlaftis, M., and Mannering, F. (2003). Statistical and econometric methods for transportation data analysis, Chapman and Hall, Boca Raton, Fla.
20. Zellner, A. (1962). "An efficient method of estimating seemingly unrelated regressions and tests for aggregation bias." J. Am. Stat. Assoc.JSTNAL0003-1291, 57, 348-368.