Information filters as one of the means of managing strategic fit in a complex environment

Foresight

Volumn 15, Issue 2, 2013, Pages 132-151

  Ilmola Sheppard, Leena ^a,b   Kuusi, Osmo ^c  

^a INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS   (Austria)

^b AALTO UNIVERSITY   (Finland)

^c Valtion taloudellinen tutkimuskeskus Finland   (Finland)

Author keywords

Adaptive system theory; Cognition; Information; Strategic planning; Uncertainty management

Indexed keywords

EID: 84878237679     PISSN: 14636689     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1108/14636681311321130     Document Type: Article

References (65)

1. Ackoff, R.L. (1974), "Systems revolution" in Long Range Planning, Vol. 7, No. 6, pp. 2-20.
2. Anderson, P. (1999), "Complexity theory and organization science" in Organization Science, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 216-32.
3. Ansoff, H.I. (1979), Strategic Management, Macmillan, London.
4. Ansoff, H.I. (1990), Implanting Strategic Management, Prentice Hall International, Upper Saddle River, NJ.
5. Berger, P.R., Luckmann, T. (1966), The Social Construction of Reality, Doubleday, New York, NY.
6. Bogner, W.C., Barr, P.S. (2000), "Making sense in hypercompetitive environments: a cognitive explanation of high velocity competition" in Organization Science, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 212-26.
7. Brown, S., Eisenhardt, K. (1998), Competing on the Edge: Strategy as Structured Chaos, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA.
8. Castellani, B., Hafferty, F. (2009), Sociology and Complexity Science. A New Field of Inquiry, Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
9. Casti, J.L. (1995), Complexifications, Springer-Verlag, New York, NY.
10. Casti, J.L. (2010), Mood Matters: From Rising Skirt Lengths to the Collapse of World Powers, Springer-Verlag, New York, NY.
11. Cilliers, P. (2000), Complexity and Postmodernism, Routledge, London.
12. Daft, R.L., Weick, K.E. (1984), "Toward a model of organization as interpretation systems" in Academy of Management Review, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 284-95.
13. Dennis, J-L., Dompierre, G., Langley, A., Rouleau, L. (2011), "Escalating indecision: between reification and strategic ambiguity" in Organization Science, Vol. 22, No. 1, pp. 225-44.
14. Ericson, T. (2001), "Sensemaking in organizations - towards a conceptual framework for understanding strategic change" in Scandinavian Journal of Management, March, pp. 109-31.
15. Folke, C. (2006), "Resilience: the emergence of a perspective for socioecological systems analysis" in Global Environmental Change, Vol. 16, pp. 253-67.
16. Forrest, C.J. (2009), "A system-based, qualitative inference method of heuristics for foresight and futures studies", doctoral thesis, Leeds Metropolitan University, Leeds, available at: www.jayforrest.com.
17. Gioia, D.A., Chittipeddi, K. (1991), "Sensemaking and sense giving in strategic change initiation" in Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 12, pp. 433-48.
18. Goodwin, P., Wright, G. (2010), "The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events" in Technology Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 77, pp. 355-68.
19. Hamel, G. (2007), Future of Management, Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA.
20. Hamel, G., Prahalad, C.K., Thomas, H., O'Neal, D. (1999), Strategic Flexibility: Managing in a Turbulent Environment, Wiley, Chichester.
21. Hiltz, S.R., Turoff, M. (1994), The Network Nation, The MIT Press, Boston, MA.
22. Holland, J.H. (1995), Hidden Order: How Adaptation Builds Complexity, Addison-Wesley, New York, NY.
23. Holland, J.H. (1998), Emergence: From Chaos to Order, Perseus Books, Cambridge, MA.
24. Hotho, A., Nürnberger, A., Paaß, G. (2005), "A brief survey of text mining" in Machine Learning, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 19-62.
25. Johnson, J. (2008), "Science and policy in designing complex futures" in Futures, Vol. 40, pp. 520-36.
26. Kauffman, S. (1989) Stein, D.L. (Ed.), Principles of Adaptation in Complex Systems in Lectures in the Science of Complexity, Santa Fe Institute, Addisson-Wesley, Santa Fe, NM.
27. Kauffman, S. (1995), At Home in the Universe, Oxford University Press, New York, NY.
28. Kuusi, O. (2000), Expertise in the Future Use of Generic Technologies, Government Institute for Economic Research, Helsinki.
29. Luhmann, N. (1995), Social Systems, Stanford University Press, Palo Alto, CA.
30. McCaskey, M.B. (1982), The Executive Challenge, Managing Change and Ambiguity, Pitman, Boston, MA.
31. McDermott, R.E., Mikulak, R.J., Beauregard, M.R. (1996), "The basics of FMEA", Quality Resources, New York, NY.
32. McKelvey, B. (1999), "Complexity theory in organization science: seizing the promise or becoming a fad?" in Emergence, Vol. 1, pp. 5-32.
33. Makaridakis, S., Taleb, N. (2009), "Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability" in International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 25, pp. 716-33.
34. Mendonca, S., Pina, M., Ruff, F., Kaivo-oja, J. (2009), "Venturing into the wilderness, preparing for wild cards in the civil aircraft and asset-management industries" in Long Range Planning, Vol. 43, pp. 23-41.
35. Morel, B., Ramanujam, R. (1999), "Through the looking glass of complexity: the dynamics of organizations as adaptive and evolving systems" in Organization Science, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 278-93.
36. Nicolis, G., Prigogine, I. (1989), Exploring Complexity, Freeman, San Francisco, CA.
37. OECD (2011), Future Global Shocks, Improving Risk Governance, OECD Reviews of Risk Management Policies, OECD Publishing, Paris.
38. Porter, M.E., Kramer, M.R. (2011), "Creating shared value", Harvard Business Review, January-February.
39. Proulx, S.R., Promislow, D.E.L., Phillips, P.C. (2005), "Network thinking in ecology and evolution TRENDS" in Ecology and Evolution, Vol. 20, No. 6, pp. 345-53.
40. Raynor, M. (2007), The Strategy Paradox: Why Committing to Success Leads to Failure, Currency/Doubleday, New York, NY.
41. Rossel, P. (2011), "Beyond the obvious: examining ways of consolidating early detection schemes" in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 78, pp. 375-85.
42. Rouleau, L., Balogun, J. (2011), "Middle managers, strategic sensemaking, and discursive competence", Journal of Management Studies, Vol. 48, No. 5.
43. Scholl, R., Binder, C.R. (2010), "Comparison of farmer's mental models of the present and the future: a case study of pesticide use" in Futures, Vol. 42, pp. 539-603.
44. Stacey, R.D. (1995), "The science of complexity: an alternative perspective for strategic change processes" in Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 16, pp. 477-95.
45. Stacey, R.D. (2001), Complex Responsive Processes in Organizations: Learning and Knowledge Creation, Routledge, London.
46. Stacey, R., Griffin, D., Shaw, P. (2000), Complexity and Management: Fad or Radical Challenge, Routledge, London.
47. Turoff, M. (1975), "The policy Delphi" Linstone, H.A. and Turoff, M. (Eds.), The Delphi Methods, Addison Wesley, Boston, MA.
48. Ulanowicz, R.E. (1986), A Phenomenological Perspective of Ecological Development, American Society for Testing and Materials, West Conshohocken, PA, Special Technical Publication 921.
49. Ulanowicz, R.E. (2000), Growth and Development, Ecosystems Phenomenology, Excel Press/iUniverse.com Inc., New York, NY.
50. Ulanowicz, R.E., Lietaer, B., Goerner, S. (2008), "Options for managing a systemic bank crisis", Sapiens, Vol. 1, No. 2.
51. Ulanowicz, R.E., Goerner, S.J., Lietaer, B., Gomez, R. (2009), "Quantifying sustainability: resilience, efficiency and the return of information theory" in Ecological Complexity, Vol. 6, pp. 27-36.
52. Walsh, J.P. (1995), "Managerial and organizational cognition: notes for a trip down memory lane", Organization Science, Vol. 6, No. 3, May-June.
53. Weick, K.E. (1979), The Social Psychology of Organizing, McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
54. Weick, K.E. (1995), Sensemaking in Organizations, Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA.
55. Weick, K.E. (2001), Making Sense of the Organization, Blackwell Publishers, Oxford.
56. Wright, G., Rowe, G. (2011), "Group-based judgmental forecasting: an integration of extant knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda" in International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 29, pp. 1-13.
57. Yin, R.K. (2009), Case Study Research - Design and Methods, Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA.
58. Anderson, R.A., McDaniel, R. (1999), "RN participation in organizational decision making and improvements in resident outcomes", Health Care Management Review, Vol. 24, No. 1.
59. Gioia, D.A. (1986), "Conclusion the state of the art in organizational social cognition: a personal view" in Sims, H.P. and Gioa, D.A. (Eds.), The Thinking Organization: Dynamics of Organizational Cognition, Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, CA, pp. 336-56.
60. Gioia, D.A., Poole, P.P. (1984), "Scripts in organizational behaviour" in Academy of Management Review, Vol. 9, pp. 449-59.
61. Lissack, M.R. (1999), "Complexity: the science, its vocabulary, and its relation to organizations" in Emergence, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 110-26.
62. McDaniel, R., Walls, M.E. (1997), "Diversity as a management strategy for organizations: a view through the lenses of chaos and quantum theories", Journal of Management Inquiry, Vol. 2, No. 1.
63. Metznewr-Szigeth, A. (2009), "Contradictory approaches? On realism and constructivism in the social sciences reasear on risk, technology and the environment" in Futures, Vol. 41, pp. 156-70.
64. Shannon, C.E. (1948), "A mathematical theory of communication" in Bell System Technical Journal, Vol. 27, pp. 379-423.
65. Tenbrunsell, A.E., Galvin, T.L., Neale, M.A., Bazeman, M.H. (1996), Cognitions in Organization in Handbook of Organization Studies, Sage, London.