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Volumn 28, Issue 2, 2013, Pages 525-534

Objective limits on forecasting skill of rare events

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL CYCLE; FORECASTING SKILL; MINIMUM VALUE; RARE EVENT; RISK AREAS; SENSITIVITY TO PARAMETERS; UPPER AND LOWER BOUNDS;

EID: 84878194536     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: 15200434     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-12-00113.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (54)

References (11)
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    • Objective limits on forecasting skill of rare events
    • Preprints, Minneapolis,MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc.
    • Brooks, H. E., M. Kay, and J. A. Hart, 1998: Objective limits on forecasting skill of rare events. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis,MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 552-555.
    • (1998) 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms , pp. 552-555
    • Brooks, H.E.1    Kay, M.2    Hart, J.A.3
  • 2
    • 0012341391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Intercomparison of in-flight icing algorithms. Part II: Statistical verification results
    • Brown, B. G., G. Thompson, R. T. Bruintjes, R. Bullock, and T. Kane, 1997: Intercomparison of in-flight icing algorithms. Part II: Statistical verification results. Wea. Forecasting, 12, 890-914.
    • (1997) Wea. Forecasting , vol.12 , pp. 890-914
    • Brown, B.G.1    Thompson, G.2    Bruintjes, R.T.3    Bullock, R.4    Kane, T.5
  • 3
    • 0000726123 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Summary of the 1998 workshop on mesoscale model verification
    • Davis, C., and F. Carr, 2000: Summary of the 1998 workshop on mesoscale model verification. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 809-819.
    • (2000) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.81 , pp. 809-819
    • Davis, C.1    Carr, F.2
  • 4
    • 0000603228 scopus 로고
    • On summary measures of skill in rare event forecasting based on contingency tables
    • Doswell, C. A. III, R. Davies-Jones, and D. L. Keller, 1990: On summary measures of skill in rare event forecasting based on contingency tables. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 576-585.
    • (1990) Wea. Forecasting , vol.5 , pp. 576-585
    • Doswell, C.A.1    Davies-Jones, R.2    Keller, D.L.3
  • 6
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    • Finley's tornado predictions
    • Gilbert, G. K., 1884: Finley's tornado predictions. Amer. Meteor. J., 1, 166-172.
    • (1884) Amer. Meteor. J. , vol.1 , pp. 166-172
    • Gilbert, G.K.1
  • 7
    • 84874859847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of the Storm Prediction Center's day 1 convective outlooks
    • Hitchens, N. M., and H. E. Brooks, 2012: Evaluation of the Storm Prediction Center's day 1 convective outlooks. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1580-1585.
    • (2012) Wea. Forecasting , vol.27 , pp. 1580-1585
    • Hitchens, N.M.1    Brooks, H.E.2
  • 8
    • 0027706813 scopus 로고
    • What is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting
    • Murphy, A. H., 1993: What is a good forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 8, 281-293.
    • (1993) Wea. Forecasting , vol.8 , pp. 281-293
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 9
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    • The numerical measure of the success of predictions
    • Peirce, C. S., 1884: The numerical measure of the success of predictions. Science, 4, 453-454.
    • (1884) Science , vol.4 , pp. 453-454
    • Peirce, C.S.1
  • 10
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    • Visualizing multiple measures of forecast quality
    • Roebber, P. J., 2009: Visualizing multiple measures of forecast quality. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 601-608.
    • (2009) Wea. Forecasting , vol.24 , pp. 601-608
    • Roebber, P.J.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.