Intrcomparison of in-flight icing algorithms. Part II: Statistical verification results

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 12, Issue 4, 1997, Pages 890-914

  Brown, Barbara G ^a   Thompson, Gregory ^a   Bruintjes, Roelof T ^a   Bullock, Randy ^a   Kane, Tressa ^a  

^a NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 0012341391     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1997)012<0890:IOIFIA>2.0.CO;2     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. Benjamin, S. G., K. A. Brewster, R. L. Brummer, B. F. Jewett, T. W. Schlatter, T. L. Smith, and P. A. Stamus, 1991: An isentropic three-hourly data assimilation system using ACARS aircraft observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119, 888-906.
2. _, and Coauthors, 1994: The Rapid Update Cycle at NMC. Preprints, Tenth Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc. 566-568.
3. Black, T. L., 1994: The new NMC mesoscale eta model: Description and forecast examples. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 265-278.
4. Brown, B. G., 1996: Verification of in-flight icing forecasts: Methods and issues. Proc., FAA Int. Conf. on In-Flight Aircraft Icing, Springfield, VA, Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration, 319-330.
5. _, T. L. Fowler, B. C. Bernstein, and G. S. Forbes, 1993: Use of pilot reports for verification of aircraft icing diagnoses and forecasts. Preprints, Fifth Int. Conf. on Aviation Weather Systems, Vienna, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 277-281.
6. Doswell, C. A., III, R. Davies-Jones, and D. L. Keller, 1990: On summary measures of skill in rare event forecasting based on contingency tables. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 576-585.
7. Dudhia, J., 1993: A nonhydrostatic version of the Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model: Validation tests and simulation of an Atlantic cyclone and cold front. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 1493-1513.
8. Dutton, M. J. O., 1980: Probability forecasts of clear air turbulence based on numerical model output. Meteor. Mag., 109, 293-310.
9. Forbes, G. S., Y. Hu, B. G. Brown, B. C. Bernstein, and M. K. Politovich, 1993: Examination of conditions in the proximity of pilot reports of icing during STORM-FEST. Preprints, Fifth Int. Conf. on Aviation Weather Systems, Vienna, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 282-286.
10. Huffman, G. J., and G. A. Norman Jr., 1988: The supercooled warm rain process and the specification of freezing precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116, 2172-2182.
11. Kelsch, M., and L. Wharton, 1996: Comparing PIREPs with NAWAU turbulence and icing forecasts: Issues and results. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 385-390.
12. Knapp, D. I., 1992: Comparison of Various Icing Analysis and Forecast Techniques. Verification Rep. Air Force Global Weather Center, Offutt AFB, NE, 5 pp.
13. McGill, R., J. W. Turkey, and W. A. Larsen, 1978: Variations of box plots. Amer. Stat. 32, 12-16.
14. Murphy, A. H., 1995: A coherent method of stratification within a general framework for forecast verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 1582-1588.
15. _, and R. L. Winkler, 1987: A general framework for forecast verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1330-1338.
16. NWS, 1995: Aviation Weather Services, Advisory Circular AC 00-45D. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service, and U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration, 135 pp.
17. Politovich, M. K., and B. G. Brown, 1997: Activities of the FAA inflight icing product development team. Preprints, Seventh Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76-81.
18. Quenouille, M. A., 1952: Associated Measurements. Butterworth's Scientific Publications, 242 pp.
19. Rasmussen, R., and Coauthors, 1992: Winter Icing and Storms Project (WISP). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 951-974.
20. Schultz, P., and M. K. Politovich, 1992: Toward the improvement of aircraft icing forecasts for the continental United States. Wea. Forecasting, 7, 492-500.
21. Thompson, G., R. T. Bruintjes, B. G. Brown, and F. Hage, 1997a: Intercomparison of in-flight icing algorithms. Part I: WISP94 real-time icing prediction and evaluation program. Wea. Forecasting, 12, 878-889.
22. _, T. F. Lee, and R. Bullock, 1997b: Using satellite data to reduce spatial extent of diagnosed icing. Wea. Forecasting, 12, 185-190.
23. Velleman, P. F., and D. C. Hoaglin, 1981: Applications, Basics, and Computing of Exploratory Data Analysis. Duxbury Press, 354 pp.
24. Zhao, Q., F. H. Carr, and G. B. Lesins, 1991: Improvement of precipitation forecasts by including cloud water and cloud ice into NMC's Eta model. Preprints, Ninth Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Denver, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. 50-53.
25. Zwiers, F. W., and H. von Storch, 1995: Taking serial correlation into account in tests of the mean. J. Climate, 8, 336-351.