Longitudinal course of depressive symptoms in adulthood: Linear stochastic differential equation modeling

Psychological Medicine

Volumn 43, Issue 5, 2013, Pages 933-944

  Rosenstrom T ^a   Jokela, M ^a   Hintsanen, M ^a   Pulkki Raback L ^a   Hutri Kahonen N ^b   Keltikangas Jarvinen L ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HELSINKI   (Finland)

^b TAMPERE UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Finland)

Author keywords

Adult development; community sample; continuous time model; depressive symptoms; gender differences; longitudinal study; stochastic differential equation; time trajectories; unipolar depression

Indexed keywords

ADULT; ARTICLE; DEPRESSION; DISEASE COURSE; DISEASE PREDISPOSITION; FEMALE; FINLAND; HUMAN; MALE; PROSPECTIVE STUDY; PSYCHOLOGICAL ASPECT; PSYCHOLOGICAL RATING SCALE; SEX RATIO; SEXUAL DEVELOPMENT; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; STATISTICAL MODEL; STATISTICS; TIME;

ADULT; DATA INTERPRETATION, STATISTICAL; DEPRESSIVE DISORDER; DISEASE PROGRESSION; DISEASE SUSCEPTIBILITY; FEMALE; FINLAND; HUMANS; MALE; MODELS, STATISTICAL; PROSPECTIVE STUDIES; PSYCHIATRIC STATUS RATING SCALES; SEX CHARACTERISTICS; SEX DISTRIBUTION; STOCHASTIC PROCESSES; TIME FACTORS;

EID: 84875953491     PISSN: 00332917     EISSN: 14698978     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0033291712002000     Document Type: Article

References (41)

1. Bartlett MS (1946). On the theoretical specification and sampling properties of autocorrelated time-series. Supplement to the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 8, 27-41.
2. Beck AT, Steer RA, Brown GK (1996). Manual for the Beck Depression Inventory-II. Psychological Corporation: San Antonio, TX.
3. Bienvenu OJ, Davydow DS, Kendler KS (2011). Psychiatric 'diseases' versus behavioral disorders and degree of genetic influence. Psychological Medicine 41, 33-40.
4. Boker S, Neale M, Maes H, Wilde M, Spiegel M, Brick T, Spies J, Estabrook R, Kenny S, Bates T, Mehta P, Fox J (2011). OpenMx: an open source extended structural equation modeling framework. Psychometrika 76, 306-317.
5. Bollen KA (1989). Structural Equations with Latent Variables. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.: New York.
6. Brown GW, Harris TO (2008). Depression and the serotonin transporter 5-HTTLPR polymorphism: a review and a hypothesis concerning gene-environment interaction. Journal of Affective Disorders 111, 1-12.
7. Caspi A, Hariri AR, Holmes A, Uher R, Moffitt TE (2010). Genetic sensitivity to the environment: the case of the serotonin transporter gene and its implications for studying complex diseases and traits. American Journal of Psychiatry 167, 509-527.
8. Cicchetti D, Rogosh FA (1996). Equifinality and multifinality in developmental psychopathology. Development and Psychopathology 8, 597-600.
9. Cole DA, Martin NC (2005). The longitudinal structure of the Children's Depression Inventory: testing a latent trait-state model. Psychological Assessment 17, 144-155.
10. Cramer AOJ, Borsboom D, Aggen SH, Kendler KS (2012). The pathoplasticity of dysphoric episodes: differential impact of stressful life events on the pattern of depressive symptom inter-correlations. Psychological Medicine 42, 957-965.
11. Efron B, Tibshirani RJ (1993). An Introduction to the Bootstrap. Chapman & Hall/CRC: Boca Raton.
12. Ekström J (2009). An empirical polychoric correlation. Ph.D. thesis (http://escholarship.org/uc/item/2tw0b313). Accessed 17 April 2012.
13. Elovainio M, Keltikangas-Järvinen L, Pulkki-Ra°back L, Kivimäki M, Puttonen S, Räsänen L, Mansikkaniemi K, Viikari L, Raitakari OT (2006). Depressive symptoms and C-reactive protein: the Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study. Psychological Medicine 36, 797-805.
14. Enders CK (2001). The impact of nonnormality on full information maximum-likelihood estimation for structural equation models with missing data. Psychological Methods 6, 352-370.
15. Hankin BL, Abramson LY, Moffitt TE, Silva PA, McGee R, Angell KE (1998). Development of depression from preadolescence to young adulthood: emerging gender differences in a 10-year longitudinal study. Journal of Abnormal Psychology 107, 128-140.
16. Hankin BL, Fraley RC, Lahey BB, Waldman ID (2005). Is depression best viewed as a continuum or discrete category? A taxometric analysis of childhood and adolescent depression in a population-based sample. Journal of Abnormal Psychology 114, 96-108.
17. Hyde JS, Mezulis AH, Abramson LY (2008). The ABCs of depression: integrating affective, biological, and cognitive models to explain the emergence of the gender difference in depression. Psychological Review 115, 291-313.
18. Jokela M, Singh-Manoux A, Shipley MJ, Ferrie JE, Gimeno D, Akbaraly TN, Head J, Elovainio M, Marmot MG, Kivimäki M (2011). Natural course of recurrent psychological distress in adulthood. Journal of Affective Disorders 130, 454-461.
19. Kass RE, Raftery AE (1995). Bayes factors. Journal of the American Statistical Association 90, 773-795.
20. Kendler KS, Gatz M, Gardner CO, Pedersen NL (2006). Personality and major depression: a Swedish longitudinal population-based twin study. Archives of General Psychiatry 63, 1113-1120.
21. Kenny DA, Zautra A (1995). The trait-state-error model for multiwave data. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 63, 52-59.
22. Kessler RC, Berglund P, Demler O, Jin R, Koretz D, Merikangas KR, Rush AJ, Walters EE, Wang PS (2003). The epidemiology of major depressive disorder: results from the National Comorbidity Survey Replication (NCS-R). Journal of the American Medical Association 289, 3095-3105.
23. Klenke A (2008). Probability Theory: A Comprehensive Course. Springer-Verlag: London.
24. Kirsch I, Deacon BJ, Huedo-Medina TB, Scoboria A, Moore TJ, Johnson BT (2008). Initial severity and antidepressant benefits: a meta-analysis of data submitted to the Food and Drug Administration. PLoS Medicine 5, e45.
25. Mathers CD, Loncar D (2006). Projections of global mortality and burden of disease from 2002 to 2030. PLoS Medicine 3, e442.
26. Monroe SM, Harkness KL (2005). Life stress, the 'kindling' hypothesis, and the recurrence of depression: considerations from a life stress perspective. Psychological Review 112, 417-445.
27. Mueller TI, Leon AC, Keller MB, Solomon DA, Endicott J, Coryell W, Warshaw M, Maser JD (1999). Recurrence after recovery from major depressive disorder during 15 years of observational follow-up. American Journal of Psychiatry 156, 1000-1006.
28. Murray CJL, Lopez AD (1997). Alternative projections of mortality and disability by cause 1990-2020: global burden of disease study. Lancet 349, 1498-1504.
29. Muthén B, Kaplan D, Hollis M (1987). On structural equation modeling with data that are not missing completely at random. Psychometrika 52, 431-462.
30. Nolen-Hoeksema S, Girgus JS (1994). The emergence of gender differences in depression during adolescence. Psychological Bulletin 115, 424-443.
31. Øksendal BK (2003). Stochastic Differential Equations: An Introduction with Applications. Springer-Verlag: Berlin.
32. Oud JHL, Delsing MJMH (2010). Continuous time modeling of panel data by means of SEM. In Longitudinal Research with Latent Variables (ed. K. Montfort, J. Oud and A. Satorra), pp. 201-244. Springer-Verlag: Berlin.
33. Oud JHL, Jansen RARG (2000). Continuous time state space modeling of panel data by means of SEM. Psychometrika 65, 199-215.
34. Pulkki-Raback L, Kivimaki M, Ahola K, Joutsenniemi K, Elovainio M, Rossi H, Puttonen S, Koskinen S, Isometsa E, Lonnqvist J, Virtanen M (2012). Living alone and antidepressant medication use: a prospective study in a working-age population. BMC Public Health, 12, 236.
35. Raitakari OT, Juonala M, Ronnemaa T, Keltikangas-Jarvinen L, Rasanen L, Pietikainen M, Hutri-Kahonen N, Taittonen L, Jokinen E, Marniemi J, Jula A, Telama R, Kahonen M, Lehtimaki T, Akerblom HK, Viikari JSA (2008). Cohort profile: the Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns study. International Journal of Epidemiology 37, 1220-1226.
36. Sihvo S, Isometsa E, Kiviruusu O, Hamalainen J, Suvisaari J, Perala J, Pirkola S, Saarni S, Lonnqvist J (2008). Antidepressant utilisation patterns and determinants of short-term and non-psychiatric use in the Finnish general adult population. Journal of Affective Disorders 110, 94-105.
37. Solomon A, Haaga DAF, Arnow BA (2001). Is clinical depression distinct from subthreshold depressive symptoms? A review of the continuity issue in depression research. Journal of Nervous and Mental Disease 189, 498-506.
38. Sullivan PF, Neale MC, Kendler KS (2000). Genetic epidemiology of major depression: review and meta-analysis. American Journal of Psychiatry 157, 1552-1562.
39. Uher R, Farmer A, Maier W, Rietschel M, Hauser J, Marusic A, Mors O, Elkin A, Williamson RJ, Schmael C, Henigsberg J, Perez J, Mendlewicz J, Janzing JGE, Zobel A, Skibinska M, Kozel D, Stamp AS, Bajs M, Placentino A, Barreto M, McGuffin P, Aitchison KJ (2008). Measuring depression: comparison and integration of three scales in the GENDEP study. Psychological Medicine 38, 289-300.
40. Weissman MM, Bland RC, Canino GJ, Faravelli C, Greenwald S, Hwu HG, Joyce PR, Karam EG, Lee CK, Leelouch J, Lépine JP, Newman SC, Rubio-Stibec M, Wells JE, Wickramaratne PJ, Wittchen H, Yeh EK (1996). Cross-national epidemiology of major depression and bipolar disorder. Journal of the American Medical Association 276, 293-299.
41. Zhang T, Meaney MJ (2010). Epigenetics and the environmental regulation of the genome and its function. Annual Review of Psychology 61, 439-466.