메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 27, Issue 4, 2013, Pages 1063-1084

Using Large Climate Ensembles to Plan for the Hydrological Impact of Climate Change in the Freshwater Environment

Author keywords

Climate change; Decision making; Large ensembles; Macro invertebrate response; Modelling; River ecosystems; Uncertainty; Water resources

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE MODELS; DECISION MAKING; ECOSYSTEMS; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; GROUNDWATER; MODELS; RIVERS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; WATER RESOURCES;

EID: 84873747198     PISSN: 09204741     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0080-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (27)

References (59)
  • 2
    • 72849143063 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environmental flows and the European water framework directive
    • doi:10.1111/j.1365-2427.2009.02181.x
    • Acreman MC, Ferguson AJD (2010) Environmental flows and the European water framework directive. Freshw Biol 55: 32-48. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-2427. 2009. 02181. x.
    • (2010) Freshw Biol , vol.55 , pp. 32-48
    • Acreman, M.C.1    Ferguson, A.J.D.2
  • 4
    • 57049163160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 210 pp, IPCC Secretariat, Geneva: Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    • Bates BC, Kundzewicz ZW, Wu S, Palutikof JP (2008) Climate Change and Water. Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, 210 pp.
    • (2008) Climate Change and Water
    • Bates, B.C.1    Kundzewicz, Z.W.2    Wu, S.3    Palutikof, J.P.4
  • 5
    • 33846366974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards integrated environmental models of everywhere: Uncertainty, data and modelling as a learning process
    • Beven K (2007) Towards integrated environmental models of everywhere: Uncertainty, data and modelling as a learning process. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 11(1): 460-467.
    • (2007) Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 460-467
    • Beven, K.1
  • 7
    • 75749135705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conditioning rainfall-runoff model parameters for ungauged catchments and land management impacts analysis
    • Bulygina N, McIntyre N, Wheater H (2009) Conditioning rainfall-runoff model parameters for ungauged catchments and land management impacts analysis. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 13: 893-904.
    • (2009) Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , vol.13 , pp. 893-904
    • Bulygina, N.1    McIntyre, N.2    Wheater, H.3
  • 8
    • 33746265524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The thermal regime of rivers
    • Caissie D (2006) The thermal regime of rivers. Freshw Biol 51: 1389-1406.
    • (2006) Freshw Biol , vol.51 , pp. 1389-1406
    • Caissie, D.1
  • 10
    • 72849114781 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • River discharge and local-scale physical habitat influence macroinvertebrate LIFE scores
    • doi:10.1111/j.1365-2427.2009.02306.x
    • Dunbar MJ, Pedersen ML, Cadman D, Extence C, Waddingham J, Chadd R, Larsen SE (2009) River discharge and local-scale physical habitat influence macroinvertebrate LIFE scores. Freshw Biol 55: 226-242. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1365-2427. 2009. 02306. x.
    • (2009) Freshw Biol , vol.55 , pp. 226-242
    • Dunbar, M.J.1    Pedersen, M.L.2    Cadman, D.3    Extence, C.4    Waddingham, J.5    Chadd, R.6    Larsen, S.E.7
  • 13
    • 84873749352 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Environment Agency, (page accessed 6 January 2012)
    • Environment Agency (2006) The test and Itchen catchment abstraction management strategy. http://publications. environment-agency. gov. uk/PDF/GESO0306BKMB-E-E. pdf (page accessed 6 January 2012).
    • (2006) The test and Itchen catchment abstraction management strategy
  • 14
    • 84873749055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • River Itchen Macro-Invertebrate community relationship to river flow changes
    • Exley K (2006) River Itchen Macro-Invertebrate community relationship to river flow changes. Environment Agency Report.
    • (2006) Environment Agency Report
    • Exley, K.1
  • 15
    • 0033496698 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • River flow indexing using British benthic macroinvertebrates: A framework for setting hydroecological objectives
    • Extence CA, Balbi DM, Chadd RP (1999) River flow indexing using British benthic macroinvertebrates: A framework for setting hydroecological objectives. Regulated Rivers: Research & Management 15(6): 545-574.
    • (1999) Regulated Rivers: Research & Management , vol.15 , Issue.6 , pp. 545-574
    • Extence, C.A.1    Balbi, D.M.2    Chadd, R.P.3
  • 16
    • 0023809778 scopus 로고
    • River regulation by seasonal groundwater abstraction: The case of the River Itchen
    • Giles DM, Lowings VA, Midgley P (1988) River regulation by seasonal groundwater abstraction: The case of the River Itchen. Regulated Rivers Research & Management 2: 335-347.
    • (1988) Regulated Rivers Research & Management , vol.2 , pp. 335-347
    • Giles, D.M.1    Lowings, V.A.2    Midgley, P.3
  • 17
    • 0242579369 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Use of statistically and dynamically downscaled atmospheric model output for hydrologic simulations in three mountainous basins in the western United States
    • doi:10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00252-X
    • Hay L, Clark M (2003) Use of statistically and dynamically downscaled atmospheric model output for hydrologic simulations in three mountainous basins in the western United States. J Hydrol 282(1-4): 56-75. doi: 10. 1016/S0022-1694(03)00252-X.
    • (2003) J Hydrol , vol.282 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 56-75
    • Hay, L.1    Clark, M.2
  • 18
    • 0000069292 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The United Kingdom Meteorological Office rainfall and evaporation calculation system version 2.0-an overview
    • Hough MN, Jones RJA (1997) The United Kingdom Meteorological Office rainfall and evaporation calculation system version 2. 0-an overview. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 1(2): 227-239.
    • (1997) Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , vol.1 , Issue.2 , pp. 227-239
    • Hough, M.N.1    Jones, R.J.A.2
  • 19
    • 2342638441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling of the effect of land use changes on the runoff generation of a river basin through parameter regionalization of a watershed model
    • Hundecha Y, Bárdossy A (2004) Modeling of the effect of land use changes on the runoff generation of a river basin through parameter regionalization of a watershed model. J Hydrol 292: 281-295.
    • (2004) J Hydrol , vol.292 , pp. 281-295
    • Hundecha, Y.1    Bárdossy, A.2
  • 21
    • 68749109636 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Science versus politics: truth and uncertainty in predictive modelling
    • Ivanović RF, Freer JE (2009) Science versus politics: truth and uncertainty in predictive modelling. Hydrol Processes 23: 2549-2554.
    • (2009) Hydrol Processes , vol.23 , pp. 2549-2554
    • Ivanović, R.F.1    Freer, J.E.2
  • 24
    • 70349539141 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts and adaptation: A case study of water resource management in the southwest of England
    • doi:10.1029/2008WR007499
    • Lopez A, Fung F, New M, Watts G, Weston A, Wilby RL (2009) From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts and adaptation: A case study of water resource management in the southwest of England. Water Resour Res 45: W08419. doi: 10. 1029/2008WR007499.
    • (2009) Water Resour Res , vol.45
    • Lopez, A.1    Fung, F.2    New, M.3    Watts, G.4    Weston, A.5    Wilby, R.L.6
  • 25
    • 52949099544 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Macroinvertebrate community response to inter-annual and regional river flow regime dynamics
    • Monk WA, Wood PJ, Hannah DM, Wilson DA (2008) Macroinvertebrate community response to inter-annual and regional river flow regime dynamics. River Research and Applications 24(7): 988-1001.
    • (2008) River Research and Applications , vol.24 , Issue.7 , pp. 988-1001
    • Monk, W.A.1    Wood, P.J.2    Hannah, D.M.3    Wilson, D.A.4
  • 27
    • 0013833806 scopus 로고
    • Evaporation and environment
    • Monteith JL (1965) Evaporation and environment. Symp Soc Exp Biol 19: 205-234.
    • (1965) Symp Soc Exp Biol , vol.19 , pp. 205-234
    • Monteith, J.L.1
  • 28
    • 34547191081 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles Phil
    • doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2077
    • Murphy JM, Booth BBB, Collins M, Harris GR, Sexton DMH, Webb MJ (2007) A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles Phil. Trans R Soc A 365: 1993-2028. doi: 10. 1098/rsta. 2007. 2077.
    • (2007) Trans. R. Soc. A , vol.365 , pp. 1993-2028
    • Murphy, J.M.1    Booth, B.B.B.2    Collins, M.3    Harris, G.R.4    Sexton, D.M.H.5    Webb, M.J.6
  • 32
    • 70349113920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change, river conservation and the adaptation challenge
    • doi:10.1002/aqc.1062
    • Ormerod SJ (2009) Climate change, river conservation and the adaptation challenge. Aquatic Conserv: Mar Freshw Ecosyst 19: 609-613. doi: 10. 1002/aqc. 1062.
    • (2009) Aquatic Conserv: Mar. Freshw. Ecosyst. , vol.19 , pp. 609-613
    • Ormerod, S.J.1
  • 33
    • 33845930247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transitions towards adaptive management of water facing climate and global change
    • Pahl-Wostl C (2007) Transitions towards adaptive management of water facing climate and global change. Water Resources Management 21: 49-62.
    • (2007) Water Resources Management , vol.21 , pp. 49-62
    • Pahl-Wostl, C.1
  • 34
    • 84957790817 scopus 로고
    • Natural evaporation from open water, bare soil and grass
    • Penman HL (1948) Natural evaporation from open water, bare soil and grass. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A 193: 120-145.
    • (1948) Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A , vol.193 , pp. 120-145
    • Penman, H.L.1
  • 35
    • 70350754368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Instream flow science for sustainable river management
    • doi:10.1111 / j.1752-1688.2009.00360.x
    • Petts GE (2009) Instream flow science for sustainable river management. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 45(5): 1071-1086. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1752-1688. 2009. 00360. x.
    • (2009) Journal of the American Water Resources Association , vol.45 , Issue.5 , pp. 1071-1086
    • Petts, G.E.1
  • 37
    • 72849121279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ecological responses to altered flow regimes: A literature review to inform the science and management of environmental flows
    • Poff NL, Zimmerman JKH (2010) Ecological responses to altered flow regimes: A literature review to inform the science and management of environmental flows. Freshw Biol 55: 194-205.
    • (2010) Freshw Biol , vol.55 , pp. 194-205
    • Poff, N.L.1    Zimmerman, J.K.H.2
  • 38
    • 77955571078 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario-neutral approach to climate change impact studies: Application to flood risk
    • Prudhomme C, Wilby RL, Crooks S, Kay AL, Reynard NS (2010) Scenario-neutral approach to climate change impact studies: Application to flood risk. J Hydrol 390: 198-209.
    • (2010) J Hydrol , vol.390 , pp. 198-209
    • Prudhomme, C.1    Wilby, R.L.2    Crooks, S.3    Kay, A.L.4    Reynard, N.S.5
  • 39
    • 84858862949 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations
    • doi: 10. 1002/hyp. 8434
    • Prudhomme C, Young A, Watts G, Haxton T, Crooks S, Williamson J, Davies H, Dadson S, Allen S (2012) The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations. Hydrol Processes. doi: 10. 1002/hyp. 8434.
    • (2012) Hydrol Processes
    • Prudhomme, C.1    Young, A.2    Watts, G.3    Haxton, T.4    Crooks, S.5    Williamson, J.6    Davies, H.7    Dadson, S.8    Allen, S.9
  • 40
    • 0030497341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A method for assessing hydrologic alteration within ecosystems
    • Richter BD, Baumgartner JV, Powel J, Braun DP (1996) A method for assessing hydrologic alteration within ecosystems. Conserv Biol 10: 1163-1174.
    • (1996) Conserv Biol , vol.10 , pp. 1163-1174
    • Richter, B.D.1    Baumgartner, J.V.2    Powel, J.3    Braun, D.P.4
  • 42
    • 33144476140 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of broadleaved woodland on water resources in lowland UK: I. Soil water changes below beech woodland and grass on chalk sites in Hampshire
    • Roberts J, Rosier P (2005) The impact of broadleaved woodland on water resources in lowland UK: I. Soil water changes below beech woodland and grass on chalk sites in Hampshire. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 9(6): 596-606.
    • (2005) Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , vol.9 , Issue.6 , pp. 596-606
    • Roberts, J.1    Rosier, P.2
  • 45
    • 41649121625 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multimodel projections of catchment-scale precipitation regime
    • Vidal J-P, Wade SD (2008) Multimodel projections of catchment-scale precipitation regime. J Hydrol 353: 143-158.
    • (2008) J Hydrol , vol.353 , pp. 143-158
    • Vidal, J.-P.1    Wade, S.D.2
  • 46
    • 36148989236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Can we model the hydrological impacts of environmental change?
    • Wagener T (2007) Can we model the hydrological impacts of environmental change? Hydrol Processes 21: 3233-3236.
    • (2007) Hydrol Processes , vol.21 , pp. 3233-3236
    • Wagener, T.1
  • 48
    • 73249142027 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The relationship between land use and surface water resources in the UK
    • Weatherhead EK, Howden NJK (2009) The relationship between land use and surface water resources in the UK. Land Use Policy 26S: S243-S250.
    • (2009) Land Use Policy , vol.26 S
    • Weatherhead, E.K.1    Howden, N.J.K.2
  • 51
    • 0028179708 scopus 로고
    • A coupled synoptic hydrological model for climate-change impact assessment
    • Wilby R, Greenfield B, Glenny C (1994) A coupled synoptic hydrological model for climate-change impact assessment. J Hydrol 153(1-4): 265-290.
    • (1994) J Hydrol , vol.153 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 265-290
    • Wilby, R.1    Greenfield, B.2    Glenny, C.3
  • 52
    • 33749530000 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Integrated modelling of climate change impacts on water resources and quality in a lowland catchment: River Kennet, UK
    • doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.04.033
    • Wilby R, Whitehead P, Wade A, Butterfield D, Davis R, Watts G (2006) Integrated modelling of climate change impacts on water resources and quality in a lowland catchment: River Kennet, UK. J Hydrol 330(1-2): 204-220. doi: 10. 1016/j. jhydrol. 2006. 04. 033.
    • (2006) J Hydrol , vol.330 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 204-220
    • Wilby, R.1    Whitehead, P.2    Wade, A.3    Butterfield, D.4    Davis, R.5    Watts, G.6
  • 53
    • 27744600558 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in water resource model parameters used for climate change impact assessment
    • Wilby RL (2005) Uncertainty in water resource model parameters used for climate change impact assessment. Hydrol Processes 19(16): 3201-3219.
    • (2005) Hydrol Processes , vol.19 , Issue.16 , pp. 3201-3219
    • Wilby, R.L.1
  • 54
    • 77954806061 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust adaptation to climate change
    • Wilby RL, Dessai S (2010) Robust adaptation to climate change. Weather 65(7): 180-185.
    • (2010) Weather , vol.65 , Issue.7 , pp. 180-185
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Dessai, S.2
  • 55
    • 84055188744 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Smart licensing and environmental flows: Modeling framework and sensitivity testing
    • doi:10.1029/2011WR011194
    • Wilby RL, Fenn CR, Wood PJ, Timlett R, LeQuesne T (2011) Smart licensing and environmental flows: Modeling framework and sensitivity testing. Water Resour Res 47: W12524. doi: 10. 1029/2011WR011194.
    • (2011) Water Resour Res , vol.47
    • Wilby, R.L.1    Fenn, C.R.2    Wood, P.J.3    Timlett, R.4    LeQuesne, T.5
  • 59
    • 4944244425 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The response of the macroinvertebrate community to low-flow variability and supra-seasonal drought within a groundwater dominated stream
    • Wood PJ, Armitage PD (2004) The response of the macroinvertebrate community to low-flow variability and supra-seasonal drought within a groundwater dominated stream. Archiv Fur Hydrobiologie 161(1): 1-20.
    • (2004) Archiv Fur Hydrobiologie , vol.161 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-20
    • Wood, P.J.1    Armitage, P.D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.