Why dry? Investigating the future evolution of the Caribbean Low Level Jet to explain projected Caribbean drying

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 33, Issue 3, 2013, Pages 784-792

  Taylor, Michael A ^a   Whyte, Felicia S ^a   Stephenson, Tannecia S ^a   Campbell, Jayaka D ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF THE WEST INDIES   (Jamaica)

Author keywords

Caribbean; CLLJ; Global warming; Precipitation; PRECIS

Indexed keywords

BOREAL WINTERS; CARIBBEAN; CLLJ; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGES; LOW LEVEL JET; PRECIS; RAINY SEASONS; REGIONAL MODEL; TEMPORAL CHARACTERISTICS;

CLIMATOLOGY; EXTRATERRESTRIAL ATMOSPHERES; PRECIPITATION (CHEMICAL);

GLOBAL WARMING;

CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; FUTURE PROSPECT; GLOBAL WARMING; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE; JET FLOW; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; RAINFALL; SEASONAL VARIATION;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; CARIBBEAN ISLANDS; CARIBBEAN SEA;

EID: 84873526338     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.3461     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Amador JA. 1998. A climatic feature of the tropical Americas: the trade wind easterly jet. Topicos Meteoroloicos y Oceanograficos 5: 1-13.
2. Amador JA, Magaña VO. 1999. Dynamics of the low level jet over the Caribbean Sea. In Preprints, 23rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. American Meteorological Society: Dallas, TX, 868-869.
3. Amador JA, Magaña VO, Pérez JB. 2000. The low level jet and convective activity in the Caribbean. In Preprints, 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. American Meteorological Society: Fort Lauderdale, FL, 114-115.
4. Angeles ME, Gonzalez JE, Erickson DJ III, Hernández JL. 2006. Predictions of future climate change in the Caribbean region using global general circulation models. International Journal of Climatology 27: 555-569, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1416.
5. Campbell JD, Taylor MA, Stephenson TS, Watson RA, Whyte FS. 2010. Future climate of the Caribbean from a regional climate model. International Journal of Climatology 31: 1866-1878, DOI: 10.1002/joc.2200.
6. Castro DM, da Rocha RP, Benzanilla-Morlot A, Alvarez-Escudero L, Reyes-Fernández JP, Silva-Vidal Y, Arritt RW. 2006. Sensitivity studies of the RegCM3 simulation of summer precipitation, temperature and local wind field in the Caribbean region. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 86: 5-22, DOI: 10.1007/s00704-005-0201-9.
7. Christensen JH, Hewitson B, Busuioc A, Chen A, Gao X, Held I, Jones R, Kolli RK, Kwon WT, Laprise R, Magaña Rueda V, Mearns L, Menéndez CG, Räisänen J, Rinke A, Sarr A, Whetton P. 2007. Regional climate projections. In Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge and New York.
8. Cook K, Vizy E. 2010. Hydrodynamics of the Caribbean Low-Level Jet and its relationship to precipitation. Journal of Climate 23: 1477-1494.
9. Gamble DW, Curtis S. 2008. Caribbean precipitation: review, model and prospect. Progress in Physical Geography 32: 265-276.
10. Jones RG, Hassell D, Hudson D, Wilson S, Jenkins G, Mitchell J. 2003. Workbook on Generating High Resolution Climate Change Scenarios Using PRECIS. UNDP: New York.
11. Jones RG, Noguer M, Hassell DC, Hudson D, Wilson SS, Jenkins GJ, Mitchell JFB. 2004. Generating High Resolution Climate Change Scenarios Using PRECIS. Met Office Hadley Centre: Exeter, 40 pp.
12. Kalnay E, Kanmitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Leetmaa A, Reynolds B, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Jenne R, Joseph D. 1996. The NCEP/NCAR 40 year reanalysis project. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 77: 3437-3471.
13. Knaff JA. 1997. Implications of summertime sea level pressure anomalies in the tropical Atlantic region. Journal of Climate 10: 789-804.
14. Magaña VO, Amador JA, Medina S. 1999. The midsummer drought over Mexico and Central America. Journal of Climate 12: 1577-1588.
15. Magaña VO, Caetano E. 2005. Temporal evolution of summer convective activity over the Americas warm pools. Geophysical Research Letters 32: L02803, DOI: 10.1029/2004GL021033.
16. Mestas-Nuñez A, Enfield D, Zhang C. 2007. Water vapour fluxes over the Intras-Americas Sea: Seasonal and interannual variability and associations with rainfall. Journal of Climate 20: 1910-1922.
17. Muñoz E, Busalacchi AJ, Nigam S, Ruiz-Barradas A. 2008. Winter and summer structure of the Caribbean low-level jet. Journal of Climate 21: 1260-1276.
18. Nakicenovic N, Alcamo J, Davis G, de Vries B, Fenhann J, Gaffin S, Gregory K, Grübler A, Jung TY, Kram T, La Rovere EL, Michaelis L, Mori S, Morita T, Pepper W, Pitcher H, Price L, Raihi K, Roehrl A, Rogner HH, Sankovski A, Schlesinger M, Shukla P, Smith S, Swart R, van Rooijen S, Victor N, Dadi Z. 2000. IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge and New York.
19. Nurse LA, Sem G. 2001. Small island states. In Climate Change 2001-The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, van der Linden PJ, Xiaosu D (eds). Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, 843-875.
20. Rauscher S, Giorgi F, Diffenbaugh NS, Seth A. 2008. Extension and intensification of the Meso-American mid-summer drought in the twenty-first century. Climate Dynamics 31: 551-571, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0359-1.
21. Rauscher S, Kucharski F, Enfield D. 2011. The role of regional SST warming variations in the drying of Meso-America in future climate projections. Journal of Climate 24: 2003-2016.
22. Rowell DP. 2005. A scenario of European climate change for the late 21st century seasonal means and inter-annual variability. Climate Dynamics 25: 837-849.
23. Singh B. 1997a. Climate-related global changes in the southern Caribbean: Trinidad and Tobago. Global and Planetary Change 15: 93-111.
24. Singh B. 1997b. Climate changes in the greater and southern Caribbean. International Journal of Climatology 17: 10936-1114.
25. Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL. 2007. Summary for Policymakers. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.
26. Taylor MA, Enfield DB, Chen AA. 2002. The influence of the tropical Atlantic vs. the tropical Pacific on Caribbean rainfall. Journal of Geophysical Research 107: 14 pp. DOI: 10.1029/2001/JC001097.
27. Taylor MA, Centella A, Charlery J, Borrajero A, Bezanilla A, Campbell J, Rivero R, Stephenson TS, Whyte F, Watson R. 2007. Glimpses of the Future: A Briefing from the PRECIS Caribbean Climate Change Project. Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre: Belmopan, 25 pp.
28. Taylor MA, Stephenson TS, Owino A, Chen AA, Campbell JD. 2011. Tropical gradient influences on Caribbean rainfall. Journal of Geophysical Research 116: D00Q08, DOI: 10.1029/2010JD015580.
29. Wang C. 2007. Variability of the Caribbean Low-Level Jet and its relations to climate. Climate Dynamics 29: 411-422.
30. Wang C, Lee S. 2007. Atlantic warm pool, Caribbean low-level jet, and their potential impact on Atlantic hurricanes. Geophysical Research Letters 34: L02703, DOI: 10.1029/2006GL028579.
31. Wang C, Lee S, Enfield D. 2008. Climate response to anomalously large and small Atlantic warm pools during the summer. Journal of Climate 21: 2437-2450.
32. Whyte FS, Taylor MA, Stephenson TS, Campbell JD. 2008. Features of the Caribbean low level jet. International Journal of Climatology 28: 119-128, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1510.