Prediction of Poor Outcome in Patients with Acute Liver Failure-Systematic Review of Prediction Models

PLoS ONE

Volumn 7, Issue 12, 2012, Pages

  Wlodzimirow, Kama A ^a   Eslami, Saeid ^a,b   Chamuleau, Robert A F M ^a   Nieuwoudt, Martin ^c   Abu Hanna, Ameen ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF AMSTERDAM   (Netherlands)

^b MASHHAD UNIVERSITY OF MEDICAL SCIENCES   (Iran)

^c STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY   (South Africa)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY; ACUTE LIVER FAILURE; AREA UNDER THE CURVE; ARTICLE; CALIBRATION; HUMAN; METHODOLOGY; MORTALITY; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT; PREDICTION; PROGNOSIS; RISK ASSESSMENT; SYSTEMATIC REVIEW;

ALGORITHMS; AREA UNDER CURVE; CALIBRATION; FEMALE; GASTROENTEROLOGY; HUMANS; LIVER FAILURE, ACUTE; MALE; MODELS, STATISTICAL; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PROBABILITY; PROGNOSIS; REPRODUCIBILITY OF RESULTS; RISK; SEVERITY OF ILLNESS INDEX; TREATMENT OUTCOME;

EID: 84871273949     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0050952     Document Type: Article

References (40)

1. Yantorno SE, Kremers WK, Ruf AE, Trentadue JJ, Podesta LG, et al. (2007) MELD is superior to King's college and Clichy's criteria to assess prognosis in fulminant hepatic failure. Liver Transplantation 13: 822-828.
2. Farmer DG, Anselmo DM, Ghobrial RM, Yersiz H, McDiarmid SV, et al. (2003) Liver transplantation for fulminant hepatic failure: experience with more than 200 patients over a 17-year period. Annals of surgery 237: 666-675.
3. Anand AC, Nightingale P, Neuberger JM, (1997) Early indicators of prognosis in fulminant hepatic failure: An assessment of the King's criteria. Journal of Hepatology 26: 62-68.
4. Pauwels A, Mostefa-Kara N, Florent C, Levy VG, (1993) Emergency liver transplantation for acute liver failure. Evaluation of London and Clichy criteria. J Hepatol 17: 124-127.
5. Dhiman RK, Jain S, Maheshwari U, Bhalla A, Sharma N, et al. (2007) Early indicators of prognosis in fulminant hepatic failure: An assessment of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and King's College Hospital Criteria. Liver Transplantation 13: 814-821.
6. Pelaez-Luna M, Martinez-Salgado J, Olivera-Martinez MA, (2006) Utility of the MAYO End-Stage Liver Disease Score, King's College Criteria, and a New In-Hospital Mortality Score in the Prognosis of In-Hospital Mortality in Acute Liver Failure. Transplantation Proceedings 38: 927-929.
7. Shakil AO, Kramer D, Mazariegos GV, Fung JJ, Rakela J, (2000) Acute liver failure: clinical features, outcome analysis, and applicability of prognostic criteria. Liver Transpl 6: 163-169 S1527646500399178 [pii];10.1002/lt.500060218 [doi].
8. Cholongitas EB, Betrossian A, Leandro G, Shaw S, Patch D, et al. (2006) King's criteria, APACHE II, and SOFA scores in acute liver failure. Hepatology 43: 881 10.1002/hep.21121 [doi].
9. Cholongitas E, Theocharidou E, Vasianopoulou P, Betrosian A, Shaw S, et al. (2012) Comparison of the sequential organ failure assessment score with the King's College Hospital criteria and the model for end-stage liver disease score for the prognosis of acetaminophen-induced acute liver failure. Liver Transpl 18: 405-412 10.1002/lt.23370 [doi].
10. McPhail MJ, Wendon JA, Bernal W, (2010) Meta-analysis of performance of Kings's College Hospital Criteria in prediction of outcome in non-paracetamol-induced acute liver failure. J Hepatol 53: 492-499 S0168-8278(10)00461-7 [pii];10.1016/j.jhep.2010.03.023 [doi].
11. Cholongitas E, Marelli L, Shusang V, Senzolo M, Rolles K, et al. (2006) A systematic review of the performance of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in the setting of liver transplantation. Liver Transpl 12: 1049-1061 10.1002/lt.20824 [doi].
12. Bailey B, Amre DK, Gaudreault P, (2003) Fulminant hepatic failure secondary to acetaminophen poisoning: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prognostic criteria determining the need for liver transplantation. Crit Care Med 31: 299-305 10.1097/01.CCM.0000034674.51554.4C [doi].
13. Wlodzimirow KA, Eslami S, Abu-Hanna A, Nieuwoudt M, Chamuleau RA, (2012) Systematic review: acute liver failure- one disease, more than 40 definitions. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 10.1111/j.1365-2036.2012.05097.x [doi].
14. Medlock S, Ravelli ACJ, Tamminga P, Mol BWM, Abu-Hanna A (2011) Prediction of Mortality in Very Premature Infants: A Systematic Review of Prediction Models. Plos One 6.
15. Cook NR, (2008) Statistical evaluation of prognostic versus diagnostic models: beyond the ROC curve. Clin Chem 54: 17-23 clinchem.2007.096529 [pii];10.1373/clinchem.2007.096529 [doi].
16. Leushuis E, van der Steeg JW, Steures P, Bossuyt PM, Eijkemans MJ, et al. (2009) Prediction models in reproductive medicine: a critical appraisal. Hum Reprod Update 15: 537-552 dmp013 [pii];10.1093/humupd/dmp013 [doi].
17. Minne L, Ludikhuize J, de Rooij SE, Abu-Hanna A, (2011) Characterizing predictive models of mortality for older adults and their validation for use in clinical practice. J Am Geriatr Soc 59: 1110-1115 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2011.03411.x [doi].
18. Hayden JA, Cote P, Bombardier C, (2006) Evaluation of the quality of prognosis studies in systematic reviews. Ann Intern Med 144: 427-437 144/6/427 [pii].
19. Taylor RM, Davern T, Munoz S, Han S-H, McGuire B, et al. (2006) Fulminant hepatitis A virus infection in the United States: Incidence, prognosis, and outcomes. Hepatology 44: 1589-1597.
20. Bernuau J, Goudeau A, Poynard T, Dubois F, Lesage G, et al. (1986) Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in fulminant hepatitis B. Hepatology 6: 648-651 S0270913986001003 [pii].
21. Kremers WK, van IM, Kim WR, Freeman RB, Harper AM, et al. (2004) MELD score as a predictor of pretransplant and posttransplant survival in OPTN/UNOS status 1 patients. Hepatology 39: 764-769.
22. Acharya SK, Dasarathy S, Kumer TL, Sushma S, Prasanna KSU, et al. (1996) Fulminant hepatitis in a tropical population: Clinical course, cause, and early predictors of outcome. Hepatology 23: 1448-1455.
23. Hadem J, Stiefel P, Bahr MJ, Tillmann HL, Rifai K, et al. (2008) Prognostic Implications of Lactate, Bilirubin, and Etiology in German Patients With Acute Liver Failure. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 6: 339-345.
24. Miyake Y, Sakaguchi K, Iwasaki Y, Ikeda H, Makino Y, et al. (2005) New prognostic scoring model for liver transplantation in patients with non-acetaminophen-related fulminant hepatic failure. Transplantation 80: 930-936.
25. Christensen E, Bremmelgaard A, Bahnsen M, Andreasen PB, Tygstrup N, (1984) Prediction of fatality in fulminant hepatic failure. Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology 19: 90-96.
26. Huo T-I, Wu J-C, Sheng W-Y, Chan C-Y, Hwang S-J, et al. (1996) Prognostic factor analysis of fulminant and subfulminant hepatic failure in an area endemic for hepatitis B. Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology 11: 560-565.
27. O'Grady JG, Alexander GJM, Hayllar KM, Williams R, (1989) Early indicators of prognosis in fulminant hepatic failure. Gastroenterology 97: 439-445.
28. Schmidt LE, Larsen FS, (2006) Prognostic implications of hyperlactatemia, multiple organ failure, and systemic inflammatory response syndrome in patients with acetaminophen-induced acute liver failure. Critical Care Medicine 34: 337-343.
29. Yamagishi Y, Saito H, Ebinuma H, Kikuchi M, Ojiro K, et al. (2009) A new prognostic formula for adult acute liver failure using computer tomography-derived hepatic volumetric analysis. Journal of Gastroenterology 44: 615-623.
30. Kumar R, Bhatia V, Khanal S, Sreenivas V, Gupta SD, et al. (2010) Antituberculosis therapy-induced acute liver failure: Magnitude, profile, prognosis, and predictors of outcome. Hepatology 51: 1665-1674.
31. Craig DG, Ford AC, Hayes PC, Simpson KJ, (2010) Systematic review: prognostic tests of paracetamol-induced acute liver failure. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 31: 1064-1076 APT4279 [pii];10.1111/j.1365-2036.2010.04279.x [doi].
32. Wiesner RH, McDiarmid SV, Kamath PS, Edwards EB, Malinchoc M, et al. (2001) MELD and PELD: application of survival models to liver allocation. Liver Transpl 7: 567-580 S1527646501851303 [pii];10.1053/jlts.2001.25879 [doi].
33. Malinchoc M, Kamath PS, Gordon FD, Peine CJ, Rank J, et al. (2000) A model to predict poor survival in patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts. Hepatology 31: 864-871 S0270913900980704 [pii];10.1053/he.2000.5852 [doi].
34. Kamath PS, Wiesner RH, Malinchoc M, Kremers W, Therneau TM, et al. (2001) A model to predict survival in patients with end-stage liver disease. Hepatology 33: 464-470 S0270913901841793 [pii];10.1053/jhep.2001.22172 [doi].
35. Aydin C, Berk B, Fung JJ, Obaid Shakil A, (2003) Application of MELD scoring system to predict prognosis in patients with acute liver failure. Hepatology 38: 554A.
36. Altman DG, Vergouwe Y, Royston P, Moons KG, (2009) Prognosis and prognostic research: validating a prognostic model. BMJ 338: b605.
37. Dabos KJ, Newsome PN, Parkinson JA, Davidson JS, Sadler IH, et al. (2005) A biochemical prognostic model of outcome in paracetamol-induced acute liver injury. Transplantation 80: 1712-1717.
38. Dabos KJ, Newsome PN, Parkinson JA, Mohammed HH, Sadler IH, et al. (2004) Biochemical prognostic markers of outcome in non-paracetamol-induced fulminant hepatic failure. Transplantation 77: 200-205.
39. Bretherick AD, Craig DG, Masterton G, Bates C, Davidson J, et al. (2011) Acute liver failure in Scotland between 1992 and 2009; incidence, aetiology and outcome. QJM 104: 945-956 hcr098 [pii];10.1093/qjmed/hcr098 [doi].
40. Newman DA, (2003) Longitudinal Modeling with Randomly and Systematically Missing Data: A Simulation of Ad Hoc, Maximum Likelihood, and Multiple Imputation Techniques. Organizational Research Methods 6: 328-362.