메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 2, Issue , 2012, Pages

Spatial organization of foreshocks as a tool to forecast large earthquakes

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 84870838140     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20452322     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/srep00846     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (60)

References (38)
  • 1
    • 80052984193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Operational earthquake forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization
    • Jordan, T. H. et al. Operational earthquake forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization. Annals of Geophysics 54(4) (2011
    • (2011) Annals of Geophysics , vol.54 , pp. 4
    • Jordan, T.H.1
  • 2
    • 0018735214 scopus 로고
    • Some characteristic of foreshocks and their possible relationship to earthquake prediction and premonitory silps on faults
    • Jones, L. M. & Molnar, P. Some characteristic of foreshocks and their possible relationship to earthquake prediction and premonitory silps on faults. J. Geophys. Res. 74, 3596-3608 (1979).
    • (1979) J. Geophys. Res , vol.74 , pp. 3596-3608
    • Jones, L.M.1    Molnar, P.2
  • 3
    • 0000929239 scopus 로고
    • The time distribution of reservoir-associated foreshocks and its importance to the prediction of the principal shock
    • Papazachos, B. C. The time distribution of reservoir-associated foreshocks and its importance to the prediction of the principal shock. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 63, 1973-1978 (1973);
    • (1973) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.63 , pp. 1973-1978
    • Papazachos, B.C.1
  • 4
    • 0016579470 scopus 로고
    • Foreshocks and earthquakes prediction
    • Foreshocks and earthquakes prediction. Tectonophysics 28, 213-216 (1975).
    • (1975) Tectonophysics , vol.28 , pp. 213-216
  • 5
    • 0023471638 scopus 로고
    • Statistical short-term earthquake prediction
    • Kagan, Y. Y. & Knopoff, L. Statistical short-term earthquake prediction. Science 236, 1563-1467 (1987).
    • (1987) Science , vol.236 , pp. 1563-1467
    • Kagan, Y.Y.1    Knopoff, L.2
  • 6
    • 0000581878 scopus 로고
    • B-values for fore-and aftershocks in real and simulated earthquakes sequences
    • Knopoff, L., Kagan, Y. Y. & Knopoff, R. b-values for fore-and aftershocks in real and simulated earthquakes sequences. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 72, 1663-1676 (1982).
    • (1982) Bull. Seism. Soc. Am , vol.72 , pp. 1663-1676
    • Knopoff, L.1    Kagan, Y.Y.2    Knopoff, R.3
  • 7
    • 0025243279 scopus 로고
    • Statistical analysis of the results of earthquake prediction, based on bursts of aftershocks
    • Molchan, G. M. & Dmitrieva, O. Statistical analysis of the results of earthquake prediction, based on bursts of aftershocks. Phys. Earth. Plan. Inter. 61, 99-112 (1990).
    • (1990) Phys. Earth. Plan. Inter , vol.61 , pp. 99-112
    • Molchan, G.M.1    Dmitrieva, O.2
  • 8
    • 0033535168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Immediate foreshocks: Time variation of the b-value
    • DOI 10.1016/S0031-9201(98)00163-0, PII S0031920198001630, Dynamics of lithosphere and earthquake prediction
    • Molchan, G. M., Konrod, T. L. & Nekrasova, A. K. Immediate foreshocks: time variation of the b-value. Phys. Earth. Plan. Inter. 111, 229-240 (1999). (Pubitemid 30075814)
    • (1999) Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors , vol.111 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 229-240
    • Molchan, G.M.1    Kronrod, T.L.2    Nekrasova, A.K.3
  • 9
    • 0030429188 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detailed observations of California foreshock sequence: Implication for the earthquake initiation process
    • Dodge, D. D., Beroza, G. C. & Ellsworth, W. L. Detailed observations of California foreshock sequence: implication for the earthquake initiation process. J. Geophys. Res. 101 22, 371-22, 392 (1996).
    • (1996) J. Geophys. Res , vol.101 , Issue.22 , pp. 371-392
    • Dodge, D.D.1    Beroza, G.C.2    Ellsworth, W.L.3
  • 10
  • 11
    • 0035509808 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accelerating seismicity and stress accumulation before large earthquakes
    • DOI 10.1029/2001GL013022
    • Bowman, D. D. & King, G. C. P. Accelerating seismicity and stress accumulation before large earthquakes. J. Geophys. Res. 28, 4039-4042 (2001). (Pubitemid 33122444)
    • (2001) Geophysical Research Letters , vol.28 , Issue.21 , pp. 4039-4042
    • Bowman, D.D.1    King, G.C.P.2
  • 12
    • 18144438378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The evolution of regional seismicity between large earthquakes
    • 14. 1-14 16
    • King, G. C. P. & Bowman, D. D. The evolution of regional seismicity between large earthquakes. J. Geophys. Res. 108(B2), 2096, 14. 1-14. 16 (2003).
    • (2003) J. Geophys. Res , vol.108 , Issue.B2 , pp. 2096
    • King, G.C.P.1    Bowman, D.D.2
  • 13
    • 85008266751 scopus 로고
    • Critical size of the nucleation zone of earthquake rupture inferred from immediate foreshock activity
    • Ohnaka, M. Critical size of the nucleation zone of earthquake rupture inferred from immediate foreshock activity. J. Phys. Earth. 41, 45-46 (1993).
    • (1993) J. Phys. Earth , vol.41 , pp. 45-46
    • Ohnaka, M.1
  • 14
    • 0029729482 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Occurrence patterns of foreshocks to large earthquakes in the Western United States
    • Abercombie, R. E. & Mori, J. Occurrence patterns of foreshocks to large earthquakes in the Western United States. Nature 381, 303-307 (1996).
    • (1996) Nature , vol.381 , pp. 303-307
    • Abercombie, R.E.1    Mori, J.2
  • 15
    • 0037673632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mainshocks are aftershocks of conditional foreshocks: How do foreshock statistical properties emerge from aftershock laws
    • doi:10. 1029/2002JB001991
    • Helmstetter, A., Sornette, D. & Grasso, J. R. Mainshocks are aftershocks of conditional foreshocks: how do foreshock statistical properties emerge from aftershock laws. J. Geophys. Res. 108, 2046 (2003) doi:10. 1029/2002JB001991.
    • (2003) J. Geophys. Res , vol.108 , pp. 2046
    • Helmstetter, A.1    Sornette, D.2    Grasso, J.R.3
  • 16
    • 1442266653 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foreshocks explained by Cascades of Triggered Seismicity
    • doi:10. 1029/2003JB002409
    • Helmstetter, A. & Sornette, D. Foreshocks explained by Cascades of Triggered Seismicity. J. Geophys. Res. 108(B10), 2457 (2003) doi:10. 1029/2003JB002409.
    • (2003) J. Geophys. Res , vol.108 , Issue.B10 , pp. 2457
    • Helmstetter, A.1    Sornette, D.2
  • 18
    • 55949120258 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improved tests reveal that the accelerating moment release hypothesis is statistically insignificant
    • Hardebeck, J. L., Felzer, K. R. & Michael, A. J. Improved tests reveal that the accelerating moment release hypothesis is statistically insignificant. Journal of Geophysical Research (Solid Earth) 113, B08, 310 (2008).
    • (2008) Journal of Geophysical Research (Solid Earth) , vol.113 , Issue.B08 , pp. 310
    • Hardebeck, J.L.1    Felzer, K.R.2    Michael, A.J.3
  • 19
    • 33744977238 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decay of aftershock density with distance indicates triggering by dynamic stress
    • DOI 10.1038/nature04799, PII N04799
    • Felzer, K. R., & Brodsky, E. E. Decay of aftershock density with distance indicates triggering by dynamic stress. Nature 441, 735-738 (2006). (Pubitemid 43865216)
    • (2006) Nature , vol.441 , Issue.7094 , pp. 735-738
    • Felzer, K.R.1    Brodsky, E.E.2
  • 20
    • 77957351502 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Decay of aftershock density with distance does not indicate triggering by dynamic stress
    • Richards-Dinger, K., Stein, R. S. & Toda, S. Decay of aftershock density with distance does not indicate triggering by dynamic stress. Nature 467, 583-587 (2010).
    • (2010) Nature , vol.467 , pp. 583-587
    • Richards-Dinger, K.1    Stein, R.S.2    Toda, S.3
  • 21
    • 22744451909 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Southern California hypocenter relocation with waveform cross-correlation, part 2: Results using source-specific station terms and cluster analysis
    • DOI 10.1785/0120040168
    • Shearer, P., Hauksson, E. & Lin, G. Southern California hypocenter relocation with waveform cross-correlation, part2: Results using source-specific station terms and cluster analysis. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 95, 904-915 (2005). Catalog details: initial time (1984/1/1), end time (2002/12/31), latitude [31:37], longitude [2121:2114]. (Pubitemid 41030373)
    • (2005) Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America , vol.95 , Issue.3 , pp. 904-915
    • Shearer, P.1    Hauksson, E.2    Lin, G.3
  • 22
    • 42749105459 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scale-free networks for earthquakes and aftershocks
    • Baiesi, M. & Paczuski, M. Scale-free networks for earthquakes and aftershocks. Phys. Rev. E 69, 0661061-8 (2004).
    • (2004) Phys. Rev e , vol.69 , pp. 0661061-0661068
    • Baiesi, M.1    Paczuski, M.2
  • 23
    • 68649116054 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role of Static Stress Diffusion in the Spatiotemporal Organization of Aftershocks
    • 038501-1-4
    • Lippiello, E., de Arcangelis, L. & Godano, G. Role of Static Stress Diffusion in the Spatiotemporal Organization of Aftershocks. Phys. Rev. Lett. 103, 038501-1-4 (2009).
    • (2009) Phys. Rev. Lett , vol.103
    • Lippiello, E.1    De Arcangelis, L.2    Godano, G.3
  • 24
    • 4644316414 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analyzing earthquake clustering features by using stochastic reconstruction J
    • Zhuang, J., Ogata, Y. & Vere-Jones, D. Analyzing earthquake clustering features by using stochastic reconstruction J. Geophys. Res. 109(B), 05301, 1-17 (2004).
    • (2004) Geophys. Res , vol.109 , Issue.5301 B , pp. 1-17
    • Zhuang, J.1    Ogata, Y.2    Vere-Jones, D.3
  • 25
    • 0035998813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences
    • Stochastic declustering of space-time earthquake occurrences. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 97, 369-380 (2002).
    • (2002) J. Am. Stat. Assoc. , vol.97 , pp. 369-380
  • 26
    • 84862867266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The spatial density of foreshocks
    • Brodsky, E. E. The spatial density of foreshocks. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L10305 (2011).
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.38
    • Brodsky, E.E.1
  • 27
    • 0012346731 scopus 로고
    • Statistical models for earthquake occurrence and residual analysis for point processes
    • Ogata, Y. Statistical models for earthquake occurrence and residual analysis for point processes. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 83, 9-27 (1988).
    • (1988) J. Am. Stat. Assoc , vol.83 , pp. 9-27
    • Ogata, Y.1
  • 28
    • 26544477817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Diffusion of epicenters of earthquake aftershocks, Omoris law, and generalized continuous-time random walk models
    • Helmstetter, A. & Sornette, D. Diffusion of epicenters of earthquake aftershocks, Omoris law, and generalized continuous-time random walk models. Phys. Rev. E 66, 061104 (2002).
    • (2002) Phys. Rev e , vol.66 , pp. 061104
    • Helmstetter, A.1    Sornette, D.2
  • 29
    • 58549097468 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Differences between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes: Their influences on foreshock probabilities
    • Zhuang, J., Christophersen, A., Savage, M. K., Vere-Jones, D., Ogata, Y. & Jackson, D. D. Differences between spontaneous and triggered earthquakes: their influences on foreshock probabilities. J. Geophys. Res. 113, B11302 (2008).
    • (2008) J. Geophys. Res , vol.113
    • Zhuang, J.1    Christophersen, A.2    Savage, M.K.3    Vere-Jones, D.4    Ogata, Y.5    Jackson, D.D.6
  • 30
    • 79956364037 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistics between mainshocks and foreshocks in Italy and Southern California
    • Marzocchi, W. & Zhuang, J. Statistics between mainshocks and foreshocks in Italy and Southern California. Geophys. Res. Lett. 38, L09310 (2011).
    • (2011) Geophys. Res. Lett , vol.38
    • Marzocchi, W.1    Zhuang, J.2
  • 31
    • 84857033950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Propagation of Slow Slip Leading Up to the 2011 Mw 9. 0 tohoku-oki earthquake
    • Kato, A., Obara, K., Igarashi, T., Tsuruoka, H., Nakagawa, S. & Hirata, N. Propagation of Slow Slip Leading Up to the 2011 Mw 9. 0 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake. Science 335, 705-708 (2012).
    • (2012) Science , vol.335 , pp. 705-708
    • Kato, A.1    Obara, K.2    Igarashi, T.3    Tsuruoka, H.4    Nakagawa, S.5    Hirata, N.6
  • 32
    • 0025244828 scopus 로고
    • Strategies in strong earthquake prediction
    • Molchan, G. M. Strategies in strong earthquake prediction. Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 61, 8498 (1990);
    • (1990) Phys. Earth Planet. Inter , vol.61 , Issue.8498
    • Molchan, G.M.1
  • 33
    • 0026299255 scopus 로고
    • Structure of optimal strategies in earthquake prediction
    • Structure of optimal strategies in earthquake prediction. Tectonophysics 193, 267276 (1991).
    • (1991) Tectonophysics , vol.193 , pp. 267276
  • 34
    • 38349115021 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing alarm-based earthquake predictions
    • Zechar, J. D. & Jordan, T. H. Testing alarm-based earthquake predictions. Geophys. J. Int. 172, 715724 (2008).
    • (2008) Geophys. J. Int , vol.172 , pp. 715724
    • Zechar, J.D.1    Jordan, T.H.2
  • 35
    • 0037133193 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Self-organization in leaky threshold systems: The influence of near-mean field dynamics and its implications for earthquakes, neurobiology, and forecasting
    • Rundle, J. B., Tiampo, K., Klein, W. & Sa Martins, J. Self-organization in leaky threshold systems: the influence of near-mean field dynamics and its implications for earthquakes, neurobiology, and forecasting, Proc. Natl. Aca. Sci. USA 99, 25142521 (2002).
    • (2002) Proc. Natl. Aca. Sci. USA , vol.99 , pp. 25142521
    • Rundle, J.B.1    Tiampo, K.2    Klein, W.3    Sa Martins, J.4
  • 36
    • 0036849887 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mean-field threshold systems and phase dynamics: An application to earth-quake fault systems
    • Tiampo, K. F., Rundle, J. B., McGinnis, S., Gross, S. J. & Klein, W. Mean-field threshold systems and phase dynamics: an application to earth-quake fault systems, Europhys. Lett. 60(3), 481488 (2002).
    • (2002) Europhys. Lett , vol.60 , Issue.3 , pp. 481488
    • Tiampo, K.F.1    Rundle, J.B.2    McGinnis, S.3    Gross, S.J.4    Klein, W.5
  • 37
    • 0041806963 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Documentation for the 2002 update of the national seismic hazard maps
    • Frankel, A. et al. Documentation for the 2002 update of the national seismic hazard maps, U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-file report 02420 (2002).
    • (2002) U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-file Report 02420
    • Frankel, A.1
  • 38
    • 33645101327 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earthquake predictability, Brick by Brick
    • Jordan, T. H. Earthquake predictability, brick by brick. Seismological Research Letters 77(1), 3-6 (2006). (Pubitemid 43432386)
    • (2006) Seismological Research Letters , vol.77 , Issue.1 , pp. 3-6
    • Jordan, T.H.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.