Adaptive planning for climate resilient long-lived infrastructures

Utilities Policy

Volumn 23, Issue , 2012, Pages 80-89

  Giordano, Thierry ^a  

^a DEVELOPMENT BANK OF SOUTHERN AFRICA   (South Africa)

Author keywords

Climate change; Infrastructure; Planning; Uncertainties

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84870460316     PISSN: 09571787     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2012.07.001     Document Type: Article

References (28)

1. Bradfield R., Wright G., Brut G., Cairns G., van der Heijden K. The origins and evolution of scenario techniques in long range business planning. Futures 2005, 37:795-812.
2. Dessai S., Hulme M., Lempert R., Pielke R. Do we need better predictions to adapt to a changing climate?. Eos 2009, 90(13):111-112. 31 March.
3. Fay M., Limi A., Perrissin-Fabert B. Financing greener and climate-resilient infrastructure in developing countries - challenges and opportunities. EIB Papers 2010, 15(2):35-58. http://www.eib.org/attachments/efs/eibpapers/eibpapers_2010_v15_n02_en.pdf%23page=36.
4. Ford J.D., Berrang-Ford L., Paterson J. A systematic review of observed climate change adaptation in developed nations. Climatic Change 2011, 106:327-336.
5. GoAus (Government of Australia) National Infrastructure Priorities - Infrastructure for an Economically, Socially, and Environmentally Sustainable Future 2009, Canberra, May, 38 p. http://www.infrastructureaustralia.gov.au/publications/files/National_Infrastructure_Priorities.pdf.
6. GoAus (Government of Australia) Better Infrastructure Decision-Making: Guidelines for Making Submissions to Infrastructure Australia's Infrastructure Planning Process, through Infrastructure Australia's Reform and Investment Framework 2010, October, 24 p. http://www.infrastructureaustralia.gov.au/reform_investment/files/Better_Infrastructure_Decision_Making_Guidelines.pdf.
7. Goodwin P., Wright G. The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2010, 77:355-368.
8. Hallegatte S. Do current assessments underestimate future damages from climate change?. World Economics 2007, 8(3):131-146.
9. Hallegatte S. Strategies to adapt to uncertain climate change. Global Environmental Change 2009, 19:240-247.
10. Hallegatte S., Przyluski V., Vogt-Schlib A. Building world narrative for climate change impact, adaptation and vulnerability analyses. Nature Climate Change 2011, 1:151-155.
11. Hansman R.J., Magee C., de Neufville R., Robins R., Roos D. Research agenda for an integrated approach to infrastructure planning, design and management. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures 2006, 2(2/3):146-159.
12. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Climate Change 2007, Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, Cambridge University Press.
13. Kwakkel J., van der Pas J.W.G.H.M. Evaluation of infrastructure planning approaches: an analogy with medicine. Futures 2011, 43(9):934-946.
14. Lempert R.J., Groves D.G. Identifying and evaluating robust adaptive policy responses to climate change for water management agencies in the American west. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2010, 77:960-974.
15. Lempert R.J., Schlesinger M.E. Robust strategies for abating climate change. Climatic Change 2000, 45:387-401.
16. Lempert R.J., Nakicenovic N., Sarewitz D., Schlesinger M. Characterizing climate-change uncertainties for decision-makers. Climatic Change 2004, 65:1-9.
17. Lin B., Li X. The effect of carbon tax on per capita CO2 emissions. Energy Policy 2011, 39(9):5137-5146.
18. Milly P.C.D., Betancourt J., Falkenmark M., Hirsch R.M., Kundzewicz Z.W., Lettenmaier D.P., Stouffer R.J. Stationarity is dead: whither water management?. Science 2008, 319:573-574.
19. Moss R.H., Edmonds J.A., Hibbard K.A., Mannong M.R., Rose S.K., van Vuuren D.P., Carter T.R., Emori S., Kainuma M., Kram T., Meehl G.A., Mitchell J.F.B., Nakicenovic N., Riahi K., Smith S.J., Stouffer R.J., Thomson A.M., Weyant J.P., Wilbanks T.J. The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 2010, 463:747-756.
20. PWC (PricewaterhouseCoopers) Adapting to Climate Change in the Infrastructure Sectors - Maintaining Robust and Resilient Infrastructure Systems in the Energy, Transport, Water and ICT Sectors 2010, http://archive.defra.gov.uk/environment/climate/documents/infrastructure-pwc-full.pdf.
21. Schwartz P. The Art of Long View - Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World 1998, John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Chichester.
22. Shalizi Z., Lecocq F. Climate Change and the Cconomics of Targeted Mitigation in Sectors with Long-lived Capital Stock 2009, World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper 5063, Background Paper to the 2010 World Development Report, 39 p. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DEC/Resources/84797-1257266550602/Lecocq.pdf.
23. Swanson D., Barg S., Tyler S., Venema H., Tomar S., Bhadwal S., Nair S., Roy D., Drexhage J. Seven tools for creating adaptive policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2010, 77(6):924-939.
24. Taleb N.N. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable 2008, Pinguin Books, London.
25. Turok I. The Case for a National Spatial Vision 2011, Mimeo, February 1st.
26. UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme) Decoupling Natural Resource Use and Environmental Impacts from Economic Growth 2011, A Report of the Working Group on Decoupling to the International Resource Panel. Fischer-Kowalski, M., Swilling, M., von Weizsäcker, E.U., Ren, Y., Moriguchi, Y., Crane, W., Krausmann, F., Eisenmenger, N., Giljum, S., Hennicke, P., Romero Lankao, P., Siriban Manalang, A. http://www.unep.org/resourcepanel/decoupling/files/pdf/Decoupling_Report_English.pdf.
27. Walker W.E., Rahman S.A., Cave J. Adaptive policies, policy analysis, and policy making. European Journal of Operational Research 2001, 128:282-289.
28. Winkler H., Marquand A. Changing development paths: from an energy-intensive to low-carbon economy in South Africa. Climate and Development 2009, 1:47-65.