메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 54, Issue 6, 2012, Pages 824-843

Modeling seasonality in space-time infectious disease surveillance data

Author keywords

Infectious diseases; Multivariate time series of counts; Proper scoring rules; Seasonality; Spatiotemporal data

Indexed keywords

DISEASES; TIME SERIES;

EID: 84867946901     PISSN: 03233847     EISSN: 15214036     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/bimj.201200037     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (83)

References (38)
  • 5
    • 84858860574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive cross-validation for the choice of linear mixed-effects models with application to data from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study
    • Braun, J., Held, L. and Ledergerber, B. (2012). Predictive cross-validation for the choice of linear mixed-effects models with application to data from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study. Biometrics 68, 53-61.
    • (2012) Biometrics , vol.68 , pp. 53-61
    • Braun, J.1    Held, L.2    Ledergerber, B.3
  • 6
    • 31444431866 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The scaling laws of human travel
    • Brockmann, D., Hufnagel, L. and Geisel, T. (2006). The scaling laws of human travel. Nature 439, 462-465.
    • (2006) Nature , vol.439 , pp. 462-465
    • Brockmann, D.1    Hufnagel, L.2    Geisel, T.3
  • 7
    • 42049099048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data
    • Cauchemez, S., Valleron, A. J., Boelle, P. Y., Flahault, A. and Ferguson, N. M. (2008). Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data. Nature 452, 750-754.
    • (2008) Nature , vol.452 , pp. 750-754
    • Cauchemez, S.1    Valleron, A.J.2    Boelle, P.Y.3    Flahault, A.4    Ferguson, N.M.5
  • 8
    • 70450231574 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive model assessment for count data
    • Czado, C., Gneiting, T. and Held, L. (2009). Predictive model assessment for count data. Biometrics 65, 1254-1261.
    • (2009) Biometrics , vol.65 , pp. 1254-1261
    • Czado, C.1    Gneiting, T.2    Held, L.3
  • 12
    • 0000165587 scopus 로고
    • A scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories
    • Epstein, E. S. (1969). A scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories. Journal of Applied Meteorology 8, 985-987.
    • (1969) Journal of Applied Meteorology , vol.8 , pp. 985-987
    • Epstein, E.S.1
  • 19
    • 33745464275 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A two-component model for counts of infectious diseases
    • Held, L., Hofmann, M., Höhle, M. and Schmid, V. (2006). A two-component model for counts of infectious diseases. Biostatistics 7, 422-437.
    • (2006) Biostatistics , vol.7 , pp. 422-437
    • Held, L.1    Hofmann, M.2    Höhle, M.3    Schmid, V.4
  • 20
    • 26844521515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A statistical framework for the analysis of multivariate infectious disease surveillance counts
    • Held, L., Höhle, M. and Hofmann, M. (2005). A statistical framework for the analysis of multivariate infectious disease surveillance counts. Statistical Modelling 5, 187-199.
    • (2005) Statistical Modelling , vol.5 , pp. 187-199
    • Held, L.1    Höhle, M.2    Hofmann, M.3
  • 21
    • 79955683819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heterogeneity in vaccination coverage explains the size and occurrence of measles epidemics in German surveillance data
    • Herzog, S., Paul, M. and Held, L. (2011). Heterogeneity in vaccination coverage explains the size and occurrence of measles epidemics in German surveillance data. Epidemiology and Infection 139, 505-515.
    • (2011) Epidemiology and Infection , vol.139 , pp. 505-515
    • Herzog, S.1    Paul, M.2    Held, L.3
  • 22
    • 36849068365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surveillance: an R package for the monitoring of infectious diseases
    • Höhle, M. (2007). Surveillance: an R package for the monitoring of infectious diseases. Computational Statistics 22, 571-582.
    • (2007) Computational Statistics , vol.22 , pp. 571-582
    • Höhle, M.1
  • 24
    • 34447637985 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty and inference for verification measures
    • Jolliffe, I. T. (2007). Uncertainty and inference for verification measures. Weather and Forecasting 22, 637-650.
    • (2007) Weather and Forecasting , vol.22 , pp. 637-650
    • Jolliffe, I.T.1
  • 25
    • 0032372107 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why permutation tests are superior to t and F tests in biomedical research
    • Ludbrook, J. and Dudley, H. (1998). Why permutation tests are superior to t and F tests in biomedical research. American Statistician 52, 127-132.
    • (1998) American Statistician , vol.52 , pp. 127-132
    • Ludbrook, J.1    Dudley, H.2
  • 26
    • 79954579582 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive assessment of a non-linear random effects model for multivariate time series of infectious disease counts
    • Paul, M. and Held, L. (2011). Predictive assessment of a non-linear random effects model for multivariate time series of infectious disease counts. Statistics in Medicine 30, 1118-1136.
    • (2011) Statistics in Medicine , vol.30 , pp. 1118-1136
    • Paul, M.1    Held, L.2
  • 27
    • 67650366829 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multivariate modelling of infectious disease surveillance data
    • Paul, M., Held, L. and Toschke, A. M. (2008). Multivariate modelling of infectious disease surveillance data. Statistics in Medicine 27, 6250-6267.
    • (2008) Statistics in Medicine , vol.27 , pp. 6250-6267
    • Paul, M.1    Held, L.2    Toschke, A.M.3
  • 28
    • 40949088194 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Progressive ordering with decreasing temperature of the phospholipids of influenza virus
    • Polozov, I. V., Bezrukov, L., Gawrisch, K. and Zimmerberg, J. (2008). Progressive ordering with decreasing temperature of the phospholipids of influenza virus. Nature Chemical Biology 4, 248-255.
    • (2008) Nature Chemical Biology , vol.4 , pp. 248-255
    • Polozov, I.V.1    Bezrukov, L.2    Gawrisch, K.3    Zimmerberg, J.4
  • 30
    • 84863304598 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • R Development Core Team R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. ISBN 3-900051-07-0.
    • R Development Core Team (2011). R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. ISBN 3-900051-07-0.
    • (2011) R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
  • 32
    • 77955150436 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of communications about swine flu (influenza A H1N1v) on public responses to the outbreak: results from 36 national telephone surveys in the UK
    • Rubin, G. J., Potts, H. W. and Michie, S. (2010). The impact of communications about swine flu (influenza A H1N1v) on public responses to the outbreak: results from 36 national telephone surveys in the UK. Health Technology Assessment 14, 183-266.
    • (2010) Health Technology Assessment , vol.14 , pp. 183-266
    • Rubin, G.J.1    Potts, H.W.2    Michie, S.3
  • 33
    • 84866766368 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the impact of a movement network on the spatiotemporal spread of infectious diseases
    • Schrödle, B., Held, L. and Rue, H. (2012). Assessing the impact of a movement network on the spatiotemporal spread of infectious diseases. Biometrics 68, 736-744.
    • (2012) Biometrics , vol.68 , pp. 736-744
    • Schrödle, B.1    Held, L.2    Rue, H.3
  • 34
    • 0001138054 scopus 로고
    • Methods for current statistical analysis of excess pneumonia-influenza deaths
    • Serfling, R. (1963). Methods for current statistical analysis of excess pneumonia-influenza deaths. Public Health Reports 78, 494-506.
    • (1963) Public Health Reports , vol.78 , pp. 494-506
    • Serfling, R.1
  • 35
    • 62549130378 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Absolute humidity modulates influenza survival, transmission, and seasonality
    • Shaman, J. and Kohn, M. (2009). Absolute humidity modulates influenza survival, transmission, and seasonality. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 106, 3243-3248.
    • (2009) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA , vol.106 , pp. 3243-3248
    • Shaman, J.1    Kohn, M.2
  • 36
    • 77649141786 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States
    • Shaman, J., Pitzer, V. E., Viboud, C., Grenfell, B. T. and Lipsitch, M. (2010). Absolute humidity and the seasonal onset of influenza in the continental United States. PLoS Biology 8, e1000316.
    • (2010) PLoS Biology , vol.8
    • Shaman, J.1    Pitzer, V.E.2    Viboud, C.3    Grenfell, B.T.4    Lipsitch, M.5
  • 37
    • 0002426167 scopus 로고
    • The interpretation of periodicity in disease prevalence
    • Soper, H. E. (1929). The interpretation of periodicity in disease prevalence. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 92, 34-73.
    • (1929) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , vol.92 , pp. 34-73
    • Soper, H.E.1
  • 38
    • 0000859675 scopus 로고
    • An asymptotic equivalence of choice of model by cross-validation and Akaike's criterion
    • Stone, M. (1977). An asymptotic equivalence of choice of model by cross-validation and Akaike's criterion. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 39, 44-47.
    • (1977) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B , vol.39 , pp. 44-47
    • Stone, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.