메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 140, Issue 8, 2012, Pages 2720-2733

Intercomparison of global model precipitation forecast skill in 2010/11 using the SEEPS score

Author keywords

Forecast verification

Indexed keywords

BROKEN DOWN; CONTINGENCY TABLE; DEEP CONVECTION; EXTRATROPICS; FORECAST ERRORS; FORECAST VERIFICATIONS; GEOGRAPHICAL VARIATIONS; GLOBAL MODELS; GRID-BOX; HEAVY PRECIPITATION; INTERCOMPARISONS; NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS; PRECIPITATION FORECAST; PROBABILITY SPACES; RAIN GAUGES;

EID: 84867940939     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: 15200493     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00301.1     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (58)

References (29)
  • 1
    • 78149457884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of stratocumulus cloud prediction in the Met Office forecast model during VOCALS-Rex
    • Abel, S. J., D. N. Walters, and G. Allen, 2010: Evaluation of stratocumulus cloud prediction in the Met Office forecast model during VOCALS-Rex. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 10 541-10 559.
    • (2010) Atmos. Chem. Phys. , vol.10 , pp. 10541-10559
    • Abel, S.J.1    Walters, D.N.2    Allen, G.3
  • 3
    • 65849159024 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A general analytic method for assessing sensitivity to bias of performance measures for dichotomous forecasts
    • Brill, K. F., 2009: A general analytic method for assessing sensitivity to bias of performance measures for dichotomous forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 307-318.
    • (2009) Wea. Forecasting , vol.24 , pp. 307-318
    • Brill, K.F.1
  • 4
    • 42549162741 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the use of the intensity-scale verification technique to assess operational precipitation forecasts
    • Csima, G., and A. Ghelli, 2008: On the use of the intensity-scale verification technique to assess operational precipitation forecasts. Meteor. Appl., 15, 145-154.
    • (2008) Meteor. Appl. , vol.15 , pp. 145-154
    • Csima, G.1    Ghelli, A.2
  • 5
    • 0038707202 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The WGNE assessment of short-term quantitative precipitation forecasts
    • Ebert, E. E., U. Damrath, W. Wergen, and M. E. Baldwin, 2003: The WGNE assessment of short-term quantitative precipitation forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 481-492.
    • (2003) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.84 , pp. 481-492
    • Ebert, E.E.1    Damrath, U.2    Wergen, W.3    Baldwin, M.E.4
  • 6
    • 0026486660 scopus 로고
    • Equitable skill scores for categorical forecasts
    • Gandin, L. S., and A. H. Murphy, 1992: Equitable skill scores for categorical forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 361-370.
    • (1992) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.120 , pp. 361-370
    • Gandin, L.S.1    Murphy, A.H.2
  • 7
    • 0345402234 scopus 로고
    • A note on Gandin and Murphy's equitable skill score
    • Gerrity, J. P., 1992:A note on Gandin and Murphy's equitable skill score. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 2709-2712.
    • (1992) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.120 , pp. 2709-2712
    • Gerrity, J.P.1
  • 9
    • 52949100605 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Could a perfect model ever satisfy a naïve forecaster
    • On grid box mean versus point verification
    • Göber, M., E. Zsoster, and D. S. Richardson, 2008: Could a perfect model ever satisfy a naïve forecaster? On grid box mean versus point verification. Meteor. Appl., 15, 359-365.
    • (2008) Meteor. Appl. , vol.15 , pp. 359-365
    • Göber, M.1    Zsoster, E.2    Richardson, D.S.3
  • 10
    • 0025590082 scopus 로고
    • A mass flux convection scheme with representation of cloud ensemble characteristics and stability-dependent closure
    • Gregory, D., and P. R. Rowntree, 1990: A mass flux convection scheme with representation of cloud ensemble characteristics and stability-dependent closure. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 1483-1506.
    • (1990) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.118 , pp. 1483-1506
    • Gregory, D.1    Rowntree, P.R.2
  • 11
    • 0033117844 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hypothesis tests for evaluating numerical precipitation forecasts
    • Hamill, T. M., 1999: Hypothesis tests for evaluating numerical precipitation forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 155-167.
    • (1999) Wea. Forecasting , vol.14 , pp. 155-167
    • Hamill, T.M.1
  • 12
    • 84864843500 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification of TIGGE multimodel and ECMWF reforecast-calibrated probabilistic precipitation forecasts over the contiguous United States
    • Hamill, T. M., 2012: Verification of TIGGE multimodel and ECMWF reforecast-calibrated probabilistic precipitation forecasts over the contiguous United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2232-2252.
    • (2012) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.140 , pp. 2232-2252
    • Hamill, T.M.1
  • 13
    • 33750361341 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measuring forecast skill: Is it real skill or is it the varying climatology
    • Hamill, T. M., and J. Juras, 2006: Measuring forecast skill: Is it real skill or is it the varying climatology? Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 132, 2905-2923.
    • (2006) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.132 , pp. 2905-2923
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Juras, J.2
  • 14
    • 0025592294 scopus 로고
    • A one-dimensional entraining/detraining plume model and its application in convective parameterization
    • Kain, J. S., and J. M. Fritsch, 1990: A one-dimensional entraining/detraining plume model and its application in convective parameterization. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 2784-2802.
    • (1990) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.47 , pp. 2784-2802
    • Kain, J.S.1    Fritsch, J.M.2
  • 16
    • 27344459121 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A cautionary note on the use of error bars
    • Lanzante, J. R., 2005: A cautionary note on the use of error bars. J. Climate, 18, 3699-3703.
    • (2005) J. Climate , vol.18 , pp. 3699-3703
    • Lanzante, J.R.1
  • 18
    • 0001100430 scopus 로고
    • The numerical measure of the success of predictions
    • Peirce, C. S., 1884: The numerical measure of the success of predictions. Science, 4, 453-454.
    • (1884) Science , vol.4 , pp. 453-454
    • Peirce, C.S.1
  • 19
    • 79954992255 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2008-2009
    • Reading, United Kingdom
    • Richardson, D. S., and Coauthors, 2009: Verification statistics and evaluations of ECMWF forecasts in 2008-2009. ECMWF Tech. Memo. 606, Reading, United Kingdom, 45 pp.
    • (2009) ECMWF Tech. Memo. , vol.606 , pp. 45
    • Richardson, D.S.1    Coauthors, C.2
  • 20
    • 77956199713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new equitable score suitable for verifying precipitation in numerical weather prediction
    • Rodwell, M. J., D. S. Richardson, T. D. Hewson, and T. Haiden, 2010: A new equitable score suitable for verifying precipitation in numerical weather prediction. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136, 1344-1363.
    • (2010) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.136 , pp. 1344-1363
    • Rodwell, M.J.1    Richardson, D.S.2    Hewson, T.D.3    Haiden, T.4
  • 21
    • 77956254605 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An Earth-system Prediction Initiative for the twenty-first century
    • Shapiro, M., and Coauthors, 2010: An Earth-system Prediction Initiative for the twenty-first century. Bull. Amer.Meteor. Soc., 91, 1377-1388.
    • (2010) Bull. Amer.Meteor. Soc. , vol.91 , pp. 1377-1388
    • Shapiro, M.1    Coauthors, C.2
  • 22
    • 0036129946 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Some aspects of the improvement in skill of numerical weather prediction
    • Simmons, A. J., and A. Hollingsworth, 2002: Some aspects of the improvement in skill of numerical weather prediction. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 647-677.
    • (2002) Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , vol.128 , pp. 647-677
    • Simmons, A.J.1    Hollingsworth, A.2
  • 23
    • 0024927328 scopus 로고
    • Condensation and cloud parameterization studies with a mesoscale numerical weather prediction model
    • Sundqvist, H., E. Berge, and J. E. Kristjansson, 1989: Condensation and cloud parameterization studies with a mesoscale numerical weather prediction model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 1641-1657.
    • (1989) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.117 , pp. 1641-1657
    • Sundqvist, H.1    Berge, E.2    Kristjansson, J.E.3
  • 24
    • 0031436319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Resampling hypothesis tests for autocorrelated fields
    • Wilks, D. S., 1997: Resampling hypothesis tests for autocorrelated fields. J. Climate, 10, 65-82.
    • (1997) J. Climate , vol.10 , pp. 65-82
    • Wilks, D.S.1
  • 27
    • 79956334214 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating multi-scale precipitation forecasts using high-resolution analysis
    • Wittmann, C., T.Haiden, and A. Kann, 2010: Evaluating multi-scale precipitation forecasts using high-resolution analysis. Adv. Sci. Res., 4, 89-98.
    • (2010) Adv. Sci. Res. , vol.4 , pp. 89-98
    • Wittmann, C.1    Haiden, T.2    Kann, A.3
  • 28
    • 84867952985 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recommendations for the verification and intercomparison of QPFs and PQPFs from operational NWP models
    • WWRP/WGNE Joint Working Group on Verification, WWRP 2009-1, revision 2
    • WWRP/WGNE Joint Working Group on Verification, 2008: Recommendations for the verification and intercomparison of QPFs and PQPFs from operational NWP models. WMO Tech Doc. 1485, WWRP 2009-1, revision 2, 37 pp.
    • (2008) WMO Tech Doc. , vol.1485 , pp. 37
  • 29
    • 0000417622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A prognostic cloud scheme for operational NWP models
    • Zhao, Q., and F. H. Carr, 1997: A prognostic cloud scheme for operational NWP models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 1931-1953.
    • (1997) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.125 , pp. 1931-1953
    • Zhao, Q.1    Carr, F.H.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.