Climate change and northern shrimp recruitment variability in the Gulf of Maine

Marine Ecology Progress Series

Volumn 464, Issue , 2012, Pages 167-178

  Richards, R Anne ^a   Fogarty, Michael J ^a   Mountain, David G ^b   Taylor, Maureen H ^a  

^a NORTHEAST FISHERIES SCIENCE CENTER   (United States)

^b NONE   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Ecological indicators; Gulf of Maine; Northern shrimp; Recruitment variability; Regime shift; Stock recruitment; Temperature effects

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; COMMUNITY DYNAMICS; CRUSTACEAN; ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS; ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATOR; FUNCTIONAL ROLE; PELAGIC ECOSYSTEM; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; POPULATION ECOLOGY; RANGE SIZE; RECRUITMENT (POPULATION DYNAMICS); REPRODUCTIVE POTENTIAL; REPRODUCTIVE PRODUCTIVITY; SPECIES CONSERVATION; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; TROPHIC LEVEL;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; GULF OF MAINE;

PANDALUS BOREALIS;

EID: 84866716853     PISSN: 01718630     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/meps09869     Document Type: Article

References (55)

1. Anderson PJ (2000) Pandalid shrimp as indicators of ecosystem regime shift. J Northwest Atl Fish Sci 27:1-10
2. Anderson PJ, Piatt JF (1999) Community reorganization in the Gulf of Alaska following ocean climate regime shift. Mar. Ecol Prog Ser 189:117-123
3. Anthony VC, Clark S (1980) A description of the northern shrimp fishery and its decline in relation to water temperature. Climate and Fisheries, Proc Workshop. University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI
4. Apollonio S, Stevenson D, Dunton DK (1986) Effects of temperature on the biology of the northern shrimp, Pandalus borealis, in the Gulf of Maine. NOAA Tech Rep NMFS 42
5. Aschan M, Ingvaldsen R (2009) Recruitment of shrimp (Pandalus borealis) in the Barents Sea related to spawning stock and environment. Deep-Sea Res II 56:2012-2022
6. ASMFC NSTC (Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission Northern Shrimp Technical Committee) (2010) Assessment report for the Gulf of Maine northern shrimp - 2010. Accessed 12 September 2011. www.asmfc.org
7. Berenboim B, Dolgov A, Korzhev V, Yaragina N (2000) The impact of cod on the dynamics of Barents Sea shrimp (Pandalus borealis) as determined by multispecies models. J Northwest Atl Fish Sci 27:69-75
8. Bergström B (2000) The biology of Pandalus. Adv Mar. Biol 38:55-245
9. Carpenter SR, Brock WA (2006) Rising variance: a leading indicator of ecological transition. Ecol Lett 9:311-318
10. Clark SH (1989) State-federal northern shrimp survey. In: Azarovitz TR, McGurrin J, Seagraves R (eds) Proceedings of a workshop on bottom trawl surveys. ASMFC Spec Rep 17:27-29
11. Clark SH, Cadrin SX, Schick DF, Diodati PJ, Armstrong MP, McCarron D (2000) The Gulf of Maine northern shrimp (Pandalus borealis) fishery: a review of the record. J Northwest Atl Fish Sci 27:193-226
12. Collie JS, Sissenwine MP (1983) Estimating population size from relative abundance data measured with error. Can J Fish Aquat Sci 40:1871-1879
13. Cushing DH (1971) The dependence of recruitment on parent-stock in different groups of fishes. J Cons 33:340-362
14. Dow RL (1964) A comparison among selected marine species of an association between sea water temperature and relative abundance. J Cons 28:425-431
15. Dow RL (1966) A method of forecasting the relative abundance of northern shrimp (Pandalus borealis Kr) in Maine waters. Commer Fish Rev 28:14-16
16. Dow RL (1977) Natural abundance fluctuations in the Maine shrimp fishery. National Fisherman, Camden, ME
17. EcoAP (2012) Ecosystem status report - 2011. Ecosystem Assessment Program, NOAA Northeast Fisheries Science Center Reference Document 12-07, Northeast Fisheries Science Center, Woods Hole, MA
18. Fogarty MJ (1993) Recruitment in randomly varying environments. ICES J Mar. Sci 50:247-260
19. Fogarty M, Incze L, Wahle R, Mountain D and others (2007) Potential climate change impacts on marine resources of the northeastern United States. Northeast climate impacts assessment. Marine sector report. Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA. Accessed 12 September 2011. www. northeastclimateimpacts.org/pdf/miti/fogarty-et-al.pdf
20. Friedland KD, Hare JA (2007) Long-term trends and regime shifts in sea surface temperature on the continental shelf of the northeast United States. Cont Shelf Res 27:2313-2328
21. Grosslein MG (1969) Groundfish survey program of BCF at Woods Hole. Commer Fish Rev 31:22-35
22. Haynes EB, Wigley RL (1969) Biology of the northern shrimp, Pandalus borealis, in the Gulf of Maine. Trans Am Fish Soc 98:60-76
23. Holzwarth T, Mountain D (1990) Surface and bottom temperature distributions from the Northeast Fisheries Center spring and autumn bottom trawl survey program, 1963-1987. NOAA Northeast Fisheries Science Center Reference Document 90-03, Northeast Fisheries Science Center, Woods Hole, MA
24. Houde D (2008) Emerging from Hjort's shadow. J Northwest Atl Fish Sci 41:53-70
25. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2007) Climate Change 2007: the physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
26. Kane J (2011) Multiyear variability of phytoplankton abundance in the Gulf of Maine. ICES J Mar. Sci 68:1833-1841
27. Kane J, Prezioso J (2008) Distribution and multi-annual abundance trends of the copepod Temora longicornis in the US Northeast Shelf Ecosystem. J Plankton Res 30:619-632
28. Koeller P, Fuentes-Yaco C, Platt T, Sathyendranath S and others (2009) Basin-scale coherence in phenology of shrimps and phytoplankton in the North Atlantic Ocean. Science 324:791-793
29. Lilly G, Parsons D, Kulka D (2000) Was the increase in shrimp biomass on the Northeast Newfoundland shelf a consequence of a release in predation pressure from cod? J Northwest Atl Fish Sci 27:45-61
30. Link J, Idoine J (2009) Estimates of predator consumption of the northern shrimp Pandalus borealis with implications for estimates of population biomass in the Gulf of Maine. N Am J Fish Manag 29:1567-1583
31. Lucey SM, Nye JA (2010) Shifting species assemblages in the northeast US continental shelf large marine ecosystem. Mar. Ecol Prog Ser 415:23-33
32. Mountain DG (2004) Variability of the water properties in NAFO Subareas 5 and 6 during the 1990s. J Northwest Atl Fish Sci 34:101-110
33. Nunes P (1984) Reproductive and larval biology of northern shrimp, Pandalus borealis Krøyer, in relation to temperature. PhD dissertation, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK
34. Ouellet P, Savard L, Larouche P (2007) Spring oceanographic conditions and northern shrimp Pandalus borealis recruitment success in the north-western Gulf of St Lawrence. Mar. Ecol Prog Ser 339:229-241
35. Ouellet P, Fuentes-Yaco C, Savard L, Platt T and others (2011) Ocean surface characteristics influence recruitment variability of populations of northern shrimp (Pandalus borealis) in the Northwest Atlantic. ICES J Mar. Sci 68:737-744
36. Overholtz W, Link J (2009) A simulation model to explore the response of the Gulf of Maine food web to large-scale environmental and ecological changes. Ecol Modell 220:2491-2502
37. Pershing AJ, Greene CH, Jossi JW, O'Brien L, Brodziak JKT, Bailey BA (2005) Interdecadal variability in the Gulf of Maine zooplankton community, with potential impacts on fish recruitment. ICES J Mar. Sci 62:1511-1523
38. Richards RA (2012) Phenological shifts in hatch timing of northern shrimp Pandalus borealis. Mar. Ecol Prog Ser 456:149-158
39. Richards RA, Fogarty MJ, Clark S, Schick DS, Diodati P, O'Gorman B (1996) Relative influence of reproductive capacity and temperature on recruitment of Pandalus borealis in the Gulf of Maine. ICES CM K 13
40. SAS Institute (2008) SAS (statistical analysis system) Ver. 9.1. SAS Institute, Cary, NC
41. Scheffer M, Carpenter SR (2003) Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation. Trends Ecol Evol 18:648-656
42. Scheffer M, Carpenter S, Foley JA, Folkes C, Walker B (2001) Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature 413:591-596
43. Scheffer M, Bascompte J, Brock WA, Brovkin V and others (2009) Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461:53-59
44. Schick DF, Sampson DB (1983) Northern shrimp research in the western Gulf of Maine for 1982. Maine Department of Marine Resources Contract Completion Report, Project ASMFC 82-1, West Boothbay Harbor, ME
45. Shumway SE, Perkins HC, Schick DF, Stickney AP (1985) Synopsis of biological data on the pink shrimp, Pandalus borealis Krøyer, 1838. NOAA Tech Rep NMFS 30, Seattle
46. Smith PC, Pettigrew NR, Yeats P, Townsend DW, Han G (in press) Regime shift in the Gulf of Maine. Am Fish Soc Symp 79
47. Smith TD (2002) The Woods Hole bottom-trawl resource survey: development of fisheries-independent multispecies monitoring. ICES Mar. Sci Symp 215:480-488
48. Stickney AP, Perkins HC (1977) Environmental physiology of commercial shrimp, Pandalus borealis. Project 3-202-R Completion Report, Maine Department of Marine Resources, West Boothbay Harbor, ME
49. Terceiro M, Idoine JS (1990) A practical assessment of the performance of Shepherd's length composition analysis (SRLCA): application to Gulf of Maine northern shrimp Pandalus borealis survey data. Fish Bull 88:761-773
50. Townsend DW, Rebucka ND, Thomas MA, Karp-Bossa L, Gettings RM (2010) A changing nutrient regime in the Gulf of Maine. Cont Shelf Res 30:820-832
51. Wieland K (2005) Changes in recruitment, growth, and stock size of northern shrimp (Pandalus borealis) at West Greenland: temperature and density-dependent effects at released predation pressure. ICES J Mar. Sci 62:1454-1462
52. Wieland K, Storr-Paulsen M, Sünksen K (2007) Response in stock size and recruitment of northern shrimp (Pandalus borealis) to changes in predator biomass and distribution in West Greenland waters. J Northwest Atl Fish Sci 39:21-33
53. Wienberg R (1982) Studies on the influence of temperature, salinity, light and feeding rate on laboratory reared larvae of deep sea shrimp, Pandalus borealis Krøyer 1838. Meeresforschung 29:136-153
54. Wigley RL (1960) Note on the distribution of Pandalidae (Crustacea, Decapoda) in New England waters. Ecology 41:564-570
55. Worm B, Myers RA (2003) Meta-analysis of cod-shrimp interactions reveals top-down control in oceanic food webs. Ecology 84:162-173