메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 105, Issue 9, 2012, Pages 452-459

Propagation of uncertainty in Bayesian diagnostic test interpretation

Author keywords

Bayes; decision; sensitivity; specicity; statistics

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; BAYES THEOREM; DIAGNOSTIC REASONING; DIAGNOSTIC TEST; MONTE CARLO METHOD; POSTTEST PROBABILITY; PRETEST PROBABILITY; PROBABILITY; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; STATISTICAL MODEL; SYSTEM ANALYSIS; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 84865974260     PISSN: 00384348     EISSN: 15418243     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1097/SMJ.0b013e3182621a2c     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (10)

References (21)
  • 1
    • 0031896226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Clinical utility of likelihood ratios
    • Gallagher EJ. Clinical utility of likelihood ratios. Ann Emerg Med 1998;31:391-397.
    • (1998) Ann Emerg Med , vol.31 , pp. 391-397
    • Gallagher, E.J.1
  • 2
    • 0031901161 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Likelihood ratios: Getting diagnostic testing into perspective
    • Halkin A, Reichman J, Schwaber M, et al. Likelihood ratios: getting diagnostic testing into perspective. Q J Med 1998;91:247-258.
    • (1998) Q J Med , vol.91 , pp. 247-258
    • Halkin, A.1    Reichman, J.2    Schwaber, M.3
  • 3
    • 0023026517 scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of clinicians subjective prior probability estimates
    • Dolan JG, Bordley DR, Mushlin AI. An evaluation of clinicians subjective prior probability estimates. Med Decis Making 1986; 6: 216-223.
    • (1986) Med Decis Making , vol.6 , pp. 216-223
    • Dolan, J.G.1    Bordley, D.R.2    Mushlin, A.I.3
  • 4
    • 0027878111 scopus 로고
    • Overestimation of test effects in clinical judgment
    • Lyman GH, Balducci L. Overestimation of test effects in clinical judgment. J Cancer Educ 1993;8:297-307.
    • (1993) J Cancer Educ , vol.8 , pp. 297-307
    • Lyman, G.H.1    Balducci, L.2
  • 5
    • 0028094859 scopus 로고
    • The effect of changing disease risk on clinical reasoning
    • Lyman GH, Balducci L. The effect of changing disease risk on clinical reasoning. J Gen Intern Med 1994;9:488-495.
    • (1994) J Gen Intern Med , vol.9 , pp. 488-495
    • Lyman, G.H.1    Balducci, L.2
  • 6
    • 0036434920 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantitative evaluation of the diagnostic thinking process in medical students
    • Noguchi Y, Matsui K, Imura H, et al. Quantitative evaluation of the diagnostic thinking process in medical students. J Gen Intern Med 2002;17:839-844.
    • (2002) J Gen Intern Med , vol.17 , pp. 839-844
    • Noguchi, Y.1    Matsui, K.2    Imura, H.3
  • 7
    • 1842843878 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • GPs and physicians interpretation of risks, benefits and diagnostic test results
    • Heller RF, Sandars JE, Patterson L, et al. GPs and physicians interpretation of risks, benefits and diagnostic test results. Fam Pract 2004;21:155-159.
    • (2004) Fam Pract , vol.21 , pp. 155-159
    • Heller, R.F.1    Sandars, J.E.2    Patterson, L.3
  • 8
    • 0032819447 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Heuristics and biases: Selected errors in clinical reasoning
    • Elstein AS. Heuristics and biases: selected errors in clinical reasoning. Acad Med 1999;74:791-794.
    • (1999) Acad Med , vol.74 , pp. 791-794
    • Elstein, A.S.1
  • 9
    • 0036434712 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Five uneasy pieces about pre-test probability
    • Richardson WS. Five uneasy pieces about pre-test probability. J Gen Intern Med 2002;17:882-883.
    • (2002) J Gen Intern Med , vol.17 , pp. 882-883
    • Richardson, W.S.1
  • 10
    • 0141925617 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic reasoning and clinical decision-making: Do doctors overestimate diagnostic probabilities?
    • Cahan A, Gilon D, Manor O, et al. Probabilistic reasoning and clinical decision-making: do doctors overestimate diagnostic probabilities? Q J Med 2003;96:763-769.
    • (2003) Q J Med , vol.96 , pp. 763-769
    • Cahan, A.1    Gilon, D.2    Manor, O.3
  • 11
    • 2442586723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Generating pre-test probabilities: A neglected area in clinical decision making
    • Attia JR, Nair BR, Sibbritt DW, et al. Generating pre-test probabilities: a neglected area in clinical decision making. Med J Aust 2004;180: 449-454.
    • (2004) Med J Aust , vol.180 , pp. 449-454
    • Attia, J.R.1    Nair, B.R.2    Sibbritt, D.W.3
  • 12
    • 1042280950 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Do medical students and physicians understand probability?
    • Ghosh AK, Ghosh K, Erwin PJ. Do medical students and physicians understand probability? Q J Med 2004;97:53-55.
    • (2004) Q J Med , vol.97 , pp. 53-55
    • Ghosh, A.K.1    Ghosh, K.2    Erwin, P.J.3
  • 13
    • 0028212010 scopus 로고
    • Ruling out or ruling in disease with the most sensitive or specific diagnostic test: Short cut or wrong turn?
    • Boyko EJ. Ruling out or ruling in disease with the most sensitive or specific diagnostic test: short cut or wrong turn? Med Decis Making 1994;14:175-179.
    • (1994) Med Decis Making , vol.14 , pp. 175-179
    • Boyko, E.J.1
  • 14
    • 3543038879 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ruling a diagnosis in or out with WSpPInW and WSnNOutW: A note of caution
    • Pewsner D, Battaglia M, Minder C, et al. Ruling a diagnosis in or out with WSpPInW and WSnNOutW: a note of caution. BMJ 2004;329: 209-213.
    • (2004) BMJ , vol.329 , pp. 209-213
    • Pewsner, D.1    Battaglia, M.2    Minder, C.3
  • 15
    • 2942585663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pretest probability estimates: A pitfall to the clinical utility of evidence-based medicine?
    • Phelps MA, Levitt MA. Pretest probability estimates: a pitfall to the clinical utility of evidence-based medicine? Acad Emerg Med 2004;11:692-694.
    • (2004) Acad Emerg Med , vol.11 , pp. 692-694
    • Phelps, M.A.1    Levitt, M.A.2
  • 16
    • 33750800419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New patient-oriented summary measure of net total gain in certainty for dichotomous diagnostic tests
    • Linn S, Grunau PD. New patient-oriented summary measure of net total gain in certainty for dichotomous diagnostic tests. Epidemiol Perspect Innov 2006;3:11.
    • (2006) Epidemiol Perspect Innov , vol.3 , pp. 11
    • Linn, S.1    Grunau, P.D.2
  • 17
    • 0028009825 scopus 로고
    • Uncertainty in bayes
    • Baron JA. Uncertainty in Bayes. Med Decis Making 1994;14:46-51.
    • (1994) Med Decis Making , vol.14 , pp. 46-51
    • Baron, J.A.1
  • 18
    • 33748262040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence based diagnosis: Does the language reflect the theory?
    • Bianchi MT, Alexander BM. Evidence based diagnosis: does the language reflect the theory? BMJ 2006;333:442-445.
    • (2006) BMJ , vol.333 , pp. 442-445
    • Bianchi, M.T.1    Alexander, B.M.2
  • 19
    • 59549091097 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Incorporating uncertainty into medical decision making: An approach to unexpected test results
    • Bianchi MT, Alexander BM, Cash SS. Incorporating uncertainty into medical decision making: an approach to unexpected test results. Med Decis Making 2009;29:116-124.
    • (2009) Med Decis Making , vol.29 , pp. 116-124
    • Bianchi, M.T.1    Alexander, B.M.2    Cash, S.S.3
  • 20
    • 33846674197 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of the evidence on diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism
    • Segal JB, Eng J, Tamariz LJ, et al. Review of the evidence on diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. Ann Fam Med 2007;5:63-73.
    • (2007) Ann Fam Med , vol.5 , pp. 63-73
    • Segal, J.B.1    Eng, J.2    Tamariz, L.J.3
  • 21
    • 0032500286 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exercise echocardiography or exercise SPECT imaging? A meta-analysis of diagnostic test performance
    • Fleischmann KE, HuninkMG, Kuntz KM, et al. Exercise echocardiography or exercise SPECT imaging? A meta-analysis of diagnostic test performance. JAMA 1998;280:913-920.
    • (1998) JAMA , vol.280 , pp. 913-920
    • Fleischmann, K.E.1    Hunink, M.G.2    Kuntz, K.M.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.