메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 102, Issue 4, 2012, Pages 1554-1568

Consideration and propagation of epistemic uncertainties in New Zealand probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKE RUPTURE; EPISTEMIC UNCERTAINTIES; FAULT GEOMETRY; FAULT RUPTURES; FAULT-BASED; FORECAST UNCERTAINTY; GROUND MOTION PREDICTION; GROUND-MOTION PREDICTION EQUATIONS; GROUND-MOTION PREDICTION MODELS; MAGNITUDE-FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION; MONTE CARLO SIMULATION; NEW ZEALAND; REPRESENTATIVE VALUES; SCALING RELATIONSHIPS; SEISMIC HAZARDS; SLIP PARAMETER; SOIL CLASS; SPECTRAL ACCELERATION;

EID: 84864992738     PISSN: 00371106     EISSN: 19433573     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1785/0120110257     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (14)

References (39)
  • 1
    • 55049138760 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seismic hazard assessment: Problems with current practice and future developments
    • Geneva, Switzerland, 3-8 September 2006
    • Abrahamson, N. A. (2006). Seismic hazard assessment: Problems with current practice and future developments, in Proc. of 1st European Conf. on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Geneva, Switzerland, 3-8 September 2006, 17.
    • (2006) Proc. of 1st European Conf. On Earthquake Engineering and Seismology , pp. 17
    • Abrahamson, N.A.1
  • 2
    • 34548570616 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geomorphic constraints on listric thrust faulting: Implications for active deformation in the Mackenzie basin, South Island, New Zealand
    • doi 10.1029/2006JB004291
    • Amos, C. B., D. W. Burbank, D. C. Nobes, and S. A. L. Read (2007). Geomorphic constraints on listric thrust faulting: Implications for active deformation in the Mackenzie basin, South Island, New Zealand, J. Geophys. Res. 112, no. B03S11, 24 pp, doi 10.1029/2006JB004291.
    • (2007) J. Geophys. Res , vol.112 , pp. 24
    • Amos, C.B.1    Burbank, D.W.2    Nobes, D.C.3    Read, S.A.L.4
  • 3
    • 0042306861 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical ground-motion relations for subduction-zone earthquakes and their application to Cascadia and other regions
    • Atkinson, G. M., and D. M. Boore (2003). Empirical ground-motion relations for subduction-zone earthquakes and their application to Cascadia and other regions, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 93, 1703-1729.
    • (2003) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.93 , pp. 1703-1729
    • Atkinson, G.M.1    Boore, D.M.2
  • 4
    • 84865023941 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seismic loads on dams-Waitaki system. Development of fault scaling relationships and their application to fault source characterisation
    • Berryman, K. R., T. H. Webb, N. Hill, D. Rhoades, and M. W. Stirling (2001). Seismic loads on dams-Waitaki system. Development of fault scaling relationships and their application to fault source characterisation, GNS Client Report 2001/129, 66 pp.
    • (2001) GNS Client Report , vol.129 , pp. 66
    • Berryman, K.R.1    Webb, T.H.2    Hill, N.3    Rhoades, D.4    Stirling, M.W.5
  • 5
    • 34247568350 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selection and scaling of real accelerograms for bi-directional loading: A review of current practice and code provisions
    • Beyer, K., and J. J. Bommer (2007). Selection and scaling of real accelerograms for bi-directional loading: A review of current practice and code provisions, J. Earthq. Eng. 11, 13-45.
    • (2007) J. Earthq. Eng , vol.11 , pp. 13-45
    • Beyer, K.1    Bommer, J.J.2
  • 6
    • 58049108301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The use and misuse of logic trees in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
    • Bommer, J. J., and F. Scherbaum (2008). The use and misuse of logic trees in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, Earthq. Spectra 24, 997-1009.
    • (2008) Earthq. Spectra , vol.24 , pp. 997-1009
    • Bommer, J.J.1    Scherbaum, F.2
  • 8
    • 48549092394 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s
    • Boore, D. M., and G. M. Atkinson (2008). Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s, Earthq. Spectra 24, 99-138.
    • (2008) Earthq. Spectra , vol.24 , pp. 99-138
    • Boore, D.M.1    Atkinson, G.M.2
  • 9
    • 72849153019 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seismic hazard epistemic uncertainty in the San Francisco Bay area and its role in performance-based assessment
    • Bradley, B. A. (2009). Seismic hazard epistemic uncertainty in the San Francisco Bay area and its role in performance-based assessment, Earthq. Spectra 25, 733-753.
    • (2009) Earthq. Spectra , vol.25 , pp. 733-753
    • Bradley, B.A.1
  • 11
    • 84864981286 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Consideration and propagation of epistemic uncertainties in New Zealand probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
    • Bradley, B. A., M. W. Stirling, G. H. McVerry, and M. Gerstenberger (2011). Consideration and propagation of epistemic uncertainties in New Zealand probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, New Zealand Earthquake Commission EQC Report 10/593, 61 pp.
    • (2011) New Zealand Earthquake Commission EQC Report , vol.10 , Issue.593 , pp. 61
    • Bradley, B.A.1    Stirling, M.W.2    McVerry, G.H.3    Gerstenberger, M.4
  • 12
    • 0001334413 scopus 로고
    • Seismic moment, seismicity and rate of slip along major fault zones
    • Brune, J. N. (1968). Seismic moment, seismicity and rate of slip along major fault zones, J. Geophys. Res. 73, 777-784.
    • (1968) J. Geophys. Res , vol.73 , pp. 777-784
    • Brune, J.N.1
  • 13
    • 78650077454 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ground-motion attenuation model for small-to-moderate shallow crustal earthquakes in California and its implications on regionalization of ground-motion prediction models
    • Chiou, B., R. Youngs, N. Abrahamson, and K. Addo (2010). Ground-motion attenuation model for small-to-moderate shallow crustal earthquakes in California and its implications on regionalization of ground-motion prediction models, Earthq. Spectra 26, 907-926.
    • (2010) Earthq. Spectra , vol.26 , pp. 907-926
    • Chiou, B.1    Youngs, R.2    Abrahamson, N.3    Addo, K.4
  • 14
    • 56949085602 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aleatory or epistemic? Does it matter?
    • Der Kiureghian, A., and O. Ditlevsen (2008). Aleatory or epistemic? Does it matter?, Struct. Saf. 31, 105-112.
    • (2008) Struct. Saf , vol.31 , pp. 105-112
    • der Kiureghian, A.1    Ditlevsen, O.2
  • 15
    • 34548143381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A summary of previous working groups on California earthquake probabilities
    • Field, E. H. (2007). A summary of previous working groups on California earthquake probabilities, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 97, 1033-1053.
    • (2007) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.97 , pp. 1033-1053
    • Field, E.H.1
  • 16
    • 84860398033 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • OpenSHA: A developing community modelling environment for seismic hazard analysis
    • Field, E. H., T. H. Jordan, and C. A. Cornell (2003). OpenSHA: A developing community modelling environment for seismic hazard analysis, Seismol. Res. Lett. 74, 406-419.
    • (2003) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.74 , pp. 406-419
    • Field, E.H.1    Jordan, T.H.2    Cornell, C.A.3
  • 17
    • 79957883286 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accounting for site characterization uncertainties when developing ground-motion prediction equations
    • Gehl, P., L. F. Bonilla, and J. Douglas (2011). Accounting for site characterization uncertainties when developing ground-motion prediction equations, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 101,1101-1108.
    • (2011) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.101 , pp. 1101-1108
    • Gehl, P.1    Bonilla, L.F.2    Douglas, J.3
  • 18
    • 0036621542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bilinear source-scaling model for M-log A observations of continental earthquakes
    • Hanks, T. C., and W. H. Bakun (2002). A bilinear source-scaling model for M-log A observations of continental earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 92, 1841-1846.
    • (2002) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.92 , pp. 1841-1846
    • Hanks, T.C.1    Bakun, W.H.2
  • 19
    • 55949108775 scopus 로고
    • A moment magnitude scale
    • Hanks, T. C., and H. Kanamori (1979). A moment magnitude scale, J. Geophys. Res. 84, 2348-2350.
    • (1979) J. Geophys. Res , vol.84 , pp. 2348-2350
    • Hanks, T.C.1    Kanamori, H.2
  • 20
    • 0032435905 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Late Quaternary movement on the Ohariu fault, Tongue Point to MacKays Crossing North Island, New Zealand
    • Heron, D., R. van Dissen, and M. Sawa (1998). Late Quaternary movement on the Ohariu fault, Tongue Point to MacKays Crossing, North Island, New Zealand, New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys. 41, 419-439.
    • (1998) New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys , vol.41 , pp. 419-439
    • Heron, D.1    van Dissen, R.2    Sawa, M.3
  • 21
    • 20044394055 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Holocene paleoearthquakes on the strike-slip Porters Pass fault, Canterbury New Zealand
    • Howard, M., A. Nicol, J. Campbell, and J. R. Pettinga (2005). Holocene paleoearthquakes on the strike-slip Porters Pass fault, Canterbury, New Zealand, New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys. 48, 59-74.
    • (2005) New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys , vol.48 , pp. 59-74
    • Howard, M.1    Nicol, A.2    Campbell, J.3    Pettinga, J.R.4
  • 23
    • 20044370495 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Morphology and slip rate of the Hurunui section of the Hope fault, South Island, New Zealand, New Zeal
    • Langridge, R. M., and K. R. Berryman (2005). Morphology and slip rate of the Hurunui section of the Hope fault, South Island, New Zealand, New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys. 48, 43-57.
    • (2005) J. Geol. Geophys , vol.48 , pp. 43-57
    • Langridge, R.M.1    Berryman, K.R.2
  • 24
    • 33744474026 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Constraints on the timing of the three most recent surface rupture events and recurrence interval for the Ohariu fault: Trenching results from MacKays Crossing Wellington, New Zealand
    • Litchfield, N., R. Van Dissen, D. Heron, and D. Rhoades (2006). Constraints on the timing of the three most recent surface rupture events and recurrence interval for the Ohariu fault: Trenching results from MacKays Crossing, Wellington, New Zealand, New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys. 49, 57-61.
    • (2006) New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys , vol.49 , pp. 57-61
    • Litchfield, N.1    van Dissen, R.2    Heron, D.3    Rhoades, D.4
  • 25
    • 33745647192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New Zealand acceleration response spectrum attenuation relations for crustal and subduction zone earthquakes
    • McVerry, G. H., J. X. Zhao, N. A. Abrahamson, and P. G. Somerville (2006). New Zealand acceleration response spectrum attenuation relations for crustal and subduction zone earthquakes, Bull. New Zeal. Natl. Soc. Earthq. Eng. 39, 1-58.
    • (2006) Bull. New Zeal. Natl. Soc. Earthq. Eng , vol.39 , pp. 1-58
    • McVerry, G.H.1    Zhao, J.X.2    Abrahamson, N.A.3    Somerville, P.G.4
  • 26
    • 79251617969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reduced sigma of ground-motion prediction equations through uncertainty propagation
    • Moss, R. E. S. (2011). Reduced sigma of ground-motion prediction equations through uncertainty propagation, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 101, 250-257.
    • (2011) Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am , vol.101 , pp. 250-257
    • Moss, R.E.S.1
  • 27
    • 20044387444 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New active fault data and seismic hazard estimates for west Otago, New Zealand, New Zeal
    • Pace, B., M. W. Stirling, N. J. Litchfield, and U. Rieser (2005). New active fault data and seismic hazard estimates for west Otago, New Zealand, New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys. 48, 75-83.
    • (2005) J. Geol. Geophys , vol.48 , pp. 75-83
    • Pace, B.1    Stirling, M.W.2    Litchfield, N.J.3    Rieser, U.4
  • 31
    • 78649866500 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scaling of the source dimensions of interface and intraslab subduction-zone earthquakes with moment magnitude
    • Strasser, F. O., M. C. Arango, and J. J. Bommer (2010). Scaling of the source dimensions of interface and intraslab subduction-zone earthquakes with moment magnitude, Seismol. Res. Lett. 81, 941-950.
    • (2010) Seismol. Res. Lett , vol.81 , pp. 941-950
    • Strasser, F.O.1    Arango, M.C.2    Bommer, J.J.3
  • 33
    • 0029730799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surface rupture earthquakes over the last ∼1000 years in the Wellington region, New Zealand, and implications for ground shaking hazard
    • Van Dissen, R. J., and K. R. Berryman (1996). Surface rupture earthquakes over the last ∼1000 years in the Wellington region, New Zealand, and implications for ground shaking hazard, J. Geophys. Res. 101, 5999-6019.
    • (1996) J. Geophys. Res , vol.101 , pp. 5999-6019
    • van Dissen, R.J.1    Berryman, K.R.2
  • 34
    • 33744481516 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Late Quaternary geometry and kinematics of faults at the southern termination of the Taupo volcanic zone New Zealand
    • Villamor, P., and K. R. Berryman (2006). Late Quaternary geometry and kinematics of faults at the southern termination of the Taupo volcanic zone, New Zealand, New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys. 49, 1-21.
    • (2006) New Zeal. J. Geol. Geophys , vol.49 , pp. 1-21
    • Villamor, P.1    Berryman, K.R.2
  • 37
    • 1142305132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay region: 2002-2031
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities [WGCEP]
    • Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities [WGCEP] (2003). Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay region: 2002-2031, USGS Open-File Report 03-214, 235 pp.
    • (2003) USGS Open-File Report , vol.214 , pp. 235


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.