-
1
-
-
0038701748
-
-
Eberhart-Phillips, D., P. J. Haeussler, J. T. Freymueller, A. D. Frankel, C. M. Rubin, P. Craw, N. A. Ratchkovski, G. Anderson, G. A. Carver, A. J. Crone, T. E. Dawson, H. Fletcher, R. Hansen, E. L. Harp, R. A. Harris, D. P. Hill, S. Hreinsdóttir, R. W. Jibson, L. M. Jones, R. Kayen, D. K. Keefer, C. F. Larsen, S. C. Moran, S. F. Personius, G. Plafker, B. Sherrod, K. Sieh, N. Sitar, and W. K. Wallace (2003). The 2002 Denali fault earthquake, Alaska: a large magnitude, slip-partitioned event, Science 300, 1113-1118.
-
Eberhart-Phillips, D., P. J. Haeussler, J. T. Freymueller, A. D. Frankel, C. M. Rubin, P. Craw, N. A. Ratchkovski, G. Anderson, G. A. Carver, A. J. Crone, T. E. Dawson, H. Fletcher, R. Hansen, E. L. Harp, R. A. Harris, D. P. Hill, S. Hreinsdóttir, R. W. Jibson, L. M. Jones, R. Kayen, D. K. Keefer, C. F. Larsen, S. C. Moran, S. F. Personius, G. Plafker, B. Sherrod, K. Sieh, N. Sitar, and W. K. Wallace (2003). The 2002 Denali fault earthquake, Alaska: a large magnitude, slip-partitioned event, Science 300, 1113-1118.
-
-
-
-
2
-
-
0012055619
-
A physically-based earthquake recurrence model for estimation of long-term earthquake probabilities
-
23 pp
-
Ellsworth, W. L., M. V. Matthews, R. M. Nadeau, S. P. Nishenko, P. A. Reasenberg, and R. W. Simpson (1999). A physically-based earthquake recurrence model for estimation of long-term earthquake probabilities, U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 99-522, 23 pp.
-
(1999)
U. S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept
, vol.99-522
-
-
Ellsworth, W.L.1
Matthews, M.V.2
Nadeau, R.M.3
Nishenko, S.P.4
Reasenberg, P.A.5
Simpson, R.W.6
-
3
-
-
22944467845
-
Testing the stress shadow hypothesis
-
B05S09, doi 10.1029/ 2004JB003277
-
Felzer, K. R., and E. E. Brodsk, (2005). Testing the stress shadow hypothesis, J. Geophys. Res. 110, B05S09, doi 10.1029/ 2004JB003277.
-
(2005)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.110
-
-
Felzer, K.R.1
Brodsk, E.E.2
-
4
-
-
33744977238
-
Decay of aftershock density with distance indicates triggering by dynamic stress
-
Felzer, K, R., and E. E. Brodsky (2006). Decay of aftershock density with distance indicates triggering by dynamic stress, Nature 441, 735-738.
-
(2006)
Nature
, vol.441
, pp. 735-738
-
-
Felzer, K.R.1
Brodsky, E.E.2
-
5
-
-
0032716724
-
A mutually consistent seismic-hazard source model for southern California
-
Field, E. H., D. D. Jackson, and J. F. Dolan (1999). A mutually consistent seismic-hazard source model for southern California, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 89, 559-578.
-
(1999)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.89
, pp. 559-578
-
-
Field, E.H.1
Jackson, D.D.2
Dolan, J.F.3
-
7
-
-
19744366852
-
Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California
-
Gerstenberger, M. C., S. Wiemer, L. M. Jones, and P. A. Reasenberg (2005). Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California, Nature 435, 328-331.
-
(2005)
Nature
, vol.435
, pp. 328-331
-
-
Gerstenberger, M.C.1
Wiemer, S.2
Jones, L.M.3
Reasenberg, P.A.4
-
8
-
-
0036621542
-
A bilinear source-scaling model for M-log A observations of continental earthquakes
-
Hanks, T. C., and W. H. Bakun (2002). A bilinear source-scaling model for M-log A observations of continental earthquakes, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 92, 1841-1846.
-
(2002)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.92
, pp. 1841-1846
-
-
Hanks, T.C.1
Bakun, W.H.2
-
9
-
-
55949108775
-
A moment-magnitude scale
-
Hanks, T. C., and H. Kanamori (1979). A moment-magnitude scale, J. Geophys. Res. 84, 2348-2350.
-
(1979)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.84
, pp. 2348-2350
-
-
Hanks, T.C.1
Kanamori, H.2
-
10
-
-
3242763784
-
Stress trig;ering and earthquake probability estimates
-
doi 10.1029/ 2003JB002437
-
Hardebeck, J. L. 2004 Stress trig;ering and earthquake probability estimates, J. Geophys. Res. 109, B04310, doi 10.1029/ 2003JB002437.
-
(2004)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.109
-
-
Hardebeck, J.L.1
-
11
-
-
0031773980
-
Forecasts of the 1989 Loma Prieta, California, earthquake
-
Harris, R. A. (1998). Forecasts of the 1989 Loma Prieta, California, earthquake, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 88, 898-916.
-
(1998)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.88
, pp. 898-916
-
-
Harris, R.A.1
-
12
-
-
0029730330
-
In the shadow of the 1857-Effect of the great Ft. Tejon earthquake on subsequent earthquakes in southern California
-
Harris, R. A., and R. W. Simpson (1996). In the shadow of the 1857-Effect of the great Ft. Tejon earthquake on subsequent earthquakes in southern California, Geophys. Res. Lett. 23, 229-232.
-
(1996)
Geophys. Res. Lett
, vol.23
, pp. 229-232
-
-
Harris, R.A.1
Simpson, R.W.2
-
13
-
-
0002767350
-
The case against huge earthquakes
-
Hough, S. E. (1996). The case against huge earthquakes, Seism. Res. Lett. 67, 3-4.
-
(1996)
Seism. Res. Lett
, vol.67
, pp. 3-4
-
-
Hough, S.E.1
-
14
-
-
0002767350
-
The case huge earthquakes
-
Jackson, D. D. (1996). The case huge earthquakes, Seism. Res. Lett. 67, 3-5.
-
(1996)
Seism. Res. Lett
, vol.67
, pp. 3-5
-
-
Jackson, D.D.1
-
15
-
-
0033501233
-
Worldwide doublets of large shallow earthquakes
-
Kagan, Y. Y., and D. D. Jackson (1999). Worldwide doublets of large shallow earthquakes, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 89, 1147-1155.
-
(1999)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.89
, pp. 1147-1155
-
-
Kagan, Y.Y.1
Jackson, D.D.2
-
16
-
-
0023488622
-
Random stress and earthquake statistics; time dependence
-
Kagan, Y. Y., and L. Knopoff (1987). Random stress and earthquake statistics; time dependence, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc. 88, 723-731.
-
(1987)
Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc
, vol.88
, pp. 723-731
-
-
Kagan, Y.Y.1
Knopoff, L.2
-
17
-
-
34548109017
-
-
Lindh, A. G. (2003). Long-term e quake forecasts in the San Francisco Bay area: a contrarian perspective (abstract), EOS Trans. AGU 84, no, 46 (Fall Meet. Suppl.), NG41C-69.
-
Lindh, A. G. (2003). Long-term e quake forecasts in the San Francisco Bay area: a contrarian perspective (abstract), EOS Trans. AGU 84, no, 46 (Fall Meet. Suppl.), NG41C-69.
-
-
-
-
18
-
-
0036704671
-
A Brownian Model for Recurrent Earthquakes
-
Matthews, M.V., W. L. Ellsworth, and P. A. Reasenberg (2002). A Brownian Model for Recurrent Earthquakes, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 92, 2233-2250.
-
(2002)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.92
, pp. 2233-2250
-
-
Matthews, M.V.1
Ellsworth, W.L.2
Reasenberg, P.A.3
-
19
-
-
0001540010
-
A generic recurrence interval distribution for earthquake forecasting
-
Nishenko, S. P., and R. Buland (1987). A generic recurrence interval distribution for earthquake forecasting, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am 77, 1382-1399.
-
(1987)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.77
, pp. 1382-1399
-
-
Nishenko, S.P.1
Buland, R.2
-
20
-
-
0002783150
-
Estimating the hazard of rupture using uncertain occurrence times of paleoearthquakes
-
Ogata, Y. (1999) Estimating the hazard of rupture using uncertain occurrence times of paleoearthquakes, J. Geophys. Res. B Solid Earth Planets 104, 17,995-18,014.
-
(1999)
J. Geophys. Res. B Solid Earth Planets
, vol.104
-
-
Ogata, Y.1
-
21
-
-
0025622197
-
Slip partitioning of the Calaveras fault. California, and prospects for future earthquakes
-
Oppenheimer, D. H., W. H. Baku, and A. G. Lindh (1990). Slip partitioning of the Calaveras fault. California, and prospects for future earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res. 95 8483-8498.
-
(1990)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.95
, pp. 8483-8498
-
-
Oppenheimer, D.H.1
Baku, W.H.2
Lindh, A.G.3
-
22
-
-
33750343010
-
Methodologies for earthquake hazard assessment: Model uncertainty and the WGCEP-2002 forecast
-
Page, M. T., and J. M. Carleson (2006). Methodologies for earthquake hazard assessment: model uncertainty and the WGCEP-2002 forecast, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 96, 1624-1633.
-
(2006)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.96
, pp. 1624-1633
-
-
Page, M.T.1
Carleson, J.M.2
-
23
-
-
0037055948
-
Post-1906 stress recovery of the San Andreas fault system calculated from three-dimensional finite element analysis
-
doi 10.1029/2001JB001051
-
Parsons, T. (2002). Post-1906 stress recovery of the San Andreas fault system calculated from three-dimensional finite element analysis, J. Geophys. Res. 107, no. B8, doi 10.1029/2001JB001051.
-
(2002)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.107
, Issue.B8
-
-
Parsons, T.1
-
24
-
-
22944459201
-
Significance of stress transfer in time-dependent earthquake probability calculations
-
doi 10.1029/2004JB003190
-
Parsons, T. (2005). Significance of stress transfer in time-dependent earthquake probability calculations, J. Geophys. Res. 110, 2162, doi 10.1029/2004JB003190.
-
(2005)
J. Geophys. Res
, vol.110
, pp. 2162
-
-
Parsons, T.1
-
25
-
-
0038693811
-
An empirical model for earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region, California, 2002-2031
-
Reasenberg, P. A,, T. C. Hanks, and W. H. Bakun (2003). An empirical model for earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region, California, 2002-2031, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 93, 1-13.
-
(2003)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.93
, pp. 1-13
-
-
Reasenberg, P.A.1
Hanks, T.C.2
Bakun, W.H.3
-
26
-
-
34548113941
-
-
Reid, H. F. (1910). The mechanics of the earthquake, the California earthquake of April 18, 1906: report of the State Earthquake Investigation Commission, publication no. 87, Carnegie Institution of Washington, II, 192 pp.
-
Reid, H. F. (1910). The mechanics of the earthquake, the California earthquake of April 18, 1906: report of the State Earthquake Investigation Commission, publication no. 87, Carnegie Institution of Washington, vol. II, 192 pp.
-
-
-
-
27
-
-
0026302216
-
Criticisms of some forecasts of the National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council
-
Savage, J. C. (1991). Criticisms of some forecasts of the National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am 81, 862-881.
-
(1991)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.81
, pp. 862-881
-
-
Savage, J.C.1
-
28
-
-
0026470093
-
The uncertainty in earthquake conditional probabilities
-
Savage, J. C. (1992). The uncertainty in earthquake conditional probabilities, Geophys. Res. Lett. 19, 709-712.
-
(1992)
Geophys. Res. Lett
, vol.19
, pp. 709-712
-
-
Savage, J.C.1
-
30
-
-
0018914364
-
Time-predictable recurrence model for large earthquakes
-
Shimazaki, K., and T. Nakata (1980). Time-predictable recurrence model for large earthquakes, Geophys. Res. Lett. 7, 279-282.
-
(1980)
Geophys. Res. Lett
, vol.7
, pp. 279-282
-
-
Shimazaki, K.1
Nakata, T.2
-
31
-
-
0031688804
-
M ≥ 6 earthquakes in southern California during the twentieth century: No evidence for a seismicity or moment deficit
-
Stein, R. S., and T. C. Hanks (1998). M ≥ 6 earthquakes in southern California during the twentieth century: no evidence for a seismicity or moment deficit, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 88, 635-652.
-
(1998)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.88
, pp. 635-652
-
-
Stein, R.S.1
Hanks, T.C.2
-
32
-
-
0030797184
-
Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake stress triggering
-
Stein, R. S., A. A. Barka, and J. H. Dieterich (1997). Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake stress triggering, Geophys. J. Int. 128, 594-604.
-
(1997)
Geophys. J. Int
, vol.128
, pp. 594-604
-
-
Stein, R.S.1
Barka, A.A.2
Dieterich, J.H.3
-
33
-
-
0031448697
-
Do historical rates of seismicity in southern California require the occurrence of earthquake magnitudes greater than would be predicted from fault length?
-
Stirling, M. W., and S. G. Wesnousky (1997). Do historical rates of seismicity in southern California require the occurrence of earthquake magnitudes greater than would be predicted from fault length?, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 87, 1662-1666.
-
(1997)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.87
, pp. 1662-1666
-
-
Stirling, M.W.1
Wesnousky, S.G.2
-
34
-
-
33750360236
-
Repeat times of large earthquakes: Implications for earthquake mechanics and long-term prediction
-
Sykes, L. R., and W. Menke (2006). Repeat times of large earthquakes: implications for earthquake mechanics and long-term prediction, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 96, 1569-1596.
-
(2006)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.96
, pp. 1569-1596
-
-
Sykes, L.R.1
Menke, W.2
-
35
-
-
0031709147
-
Re-evaluation of the 1836 "Hayward fault" and the 1838 San Andreas fault earthquakes
-
Toppozada, T. R., and G. Borcherdt (1998). Re-evaluation of the 1836 "Hayward fault" and the 1838 San Andreas fault earthquakes, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 88, 140-159.
-
(1998)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.88
, pp. 140-159
-
-
Toppozada, T.R.1
Borcherdt, G.2
-
36
-
-
18644378219
-
Past and future earthquakes on the San Andreas fault
-
Weldon, R. J., T. E. Fumal, G. P. Biasi, and K. M. Scharer (2005). Past and future earthquakes on the San Andreas fault, Science 308, 966.
-
(2005)
Science
, vol.308
, pp. 966
-
-
Weldon, R.J.1
Fumal, T.E.2
Biasi, G.P.3
Scharer, K.M.4
-
37
-
-
0028555013
-
New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement
-
Wells, D. L., and K. J. Coppersmith (1994). New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 84, 974-1002.
-
(1994)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.84
, pp. 974-1002
-
-
Wells, D.L.1
Coppersmith, K.J.2
-
38
-
-
0043241641
-
Association of earthquakes and faults in the San Francisco Bay Area using Bayesian inference
-
Wesson, R. L., W. H. Bakun, and D. M. Perkins (2003). Association of earthquakes and faults in the San Francisco Bay Area using Bayesian inference, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 93, 1306-1332.
-
(2003)
Bull. Seism. Soc. Am
, vol.93
, pp. 1306-1332
-
-
Wesson, R.L.1
Bakun, W.H.2
Perkins, D.M.3
-
39
-
-
0007669213
-
Probabilities of large earthquakes occurring in California on the San Andreas fault
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities WGCEP
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (1988). Probabilities of large earthquakes occurring in California on the San Andreas fault, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 88-398, p. 62.
-
(1988)
U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept
, vol.88-398
, pp. 62
-
-
-
40
-
-
0025600735
-
Probabilities of large earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay Region, California
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities WGCEP
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (1990). Probabilities of large earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay Region, California, U.S. Geol. Surv. Circular 1053, p. 51.
-
(1990)
U.S. Geol. Surv. Circular
, vol.1053
, pp. 51
-
-
-
41
-
-
0029479524
-
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (D. D. Jackson, K. Aki, C. A. Cornell, J. H. Dieterich, T. L. Henyey, M. Mahdyiar, D. Schwartz, S. N. Ward) (1995). Seismic hazards in southern California: probable earthquakes, 1994-2024, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 85, 379-439.
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (D. D. Jackson, K. Aki, C. A. Cornell, J. H. Dieterich, T. L. Henyey, M. Mahdyiar, D. Schwartz, S. N. Ward) (1995). Seismic hazards in southern California: probable earthquakes, 1994-2024, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 85, 379-439.
-
-
-
-
42
-
-
0003735589
-
Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region: 2000-2030 - a summary of findings
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities WGCEP, last accessed February 2006
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (1999). Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region: 2000-2030 - a summary of findings, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 99-517, 55 http://geopubs.wr.usgs.gov/open-file/of99-517/ (last accessed February 2006).
-
(1999)
U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept
, vol.99-517
, pp. 55
-
-
-
43
-
-
34250742908
-
Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region: 2002-2031
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities WGCEP
-
Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) (2003). Earthquake probabilities in the San Francisco Bay Region: 2002-2031, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 03-214.
-
(2003)
U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept
, pp. 03-214
-
-
|