Attribution for decreasing streamflow of the Haihe River basin, northern China: Climate variability or human activities?

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 460-461, Issue , 2012, Pages 117-129

  Bao, Zhenxin ^a,b,c   Zhang, Jianyun ^a,b,c   Wang, Guoqing ^a,b,c   Fu, Guobin ^d   He, Ruimin ^a,b,c   Yan, Xiaolin ^a,b,c   Jin, Junliang ^a,b,c   Liu, Yanli ^a,b,c   Zhang, Aijing ^e  

^a NANJING HYDRAULIC RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (China)

^b STATE KEY LABORATORY OF HYDROLOGY WATER RESOURCES AND HYDRAULIC ENGINEERING   (China)

^c Research Center for Climate Change   (China)

^d CSIRO   (Australia)

^e DALIAN UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (China)

Author keywords

Attribution; Climate variability; Haihe River basin; Human activities; Streamflow decrease

Indexed keywords

ATTRIBUTION; BREAK-POINTS; CLIMATE VARIABILITY; DRIVING FACTORS; HAIHE RIVER; HAIHE RIVER BASIN; HUMAN ACTIVITIES; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLES; MEAN TEMPERATURE; NATURAL PERIOD; NORTHERN CHINA; VARIABLE INFILTRATION CAPACITY MODELS;

CLIMATOLOGY; RIVERS; RUNOFF; STREAM FLOW; WATERSHEDS;

CATCHMENTS;

CALIBRATION; CATCHMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; HUMAN ACTIVITY; HYDROLOGICAL CHANGE; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; INFILTRATION; NATURE-SOCIETY RELATIONS; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); RECONSTRUCTION; RIVER BASIN; STREAMFLOW; TREND ANALYSIS;

CHINA; HAI BASIN;

EID: 84864740795     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.06.054     Document Type: Article

References (58)

1. Abdulla F.A., Lettenmaier D.P., Wood E.F., Smith J.A. Application of a macroscale hydrologic model to estimate the water balance of Arkansas Red River basin. J. Geophys. Res. 1996, 101(D3):7449-7459.
2. Bao Z., Zhang J., Liu J., Wang G., Yan X., Wang X., Zhang L. Sensitivity of hydrological variables to climate change in the Haihe River basin. China Hydrol. Process. 2011, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8348.
3. Berryman D., Bobee B., Cluis D., Haemmerli J. Non-parametric test for trend detection in water quality time series. Water Resour. Bull. 1988, 24:545-556.
4. Beven K.J. Rainfall-Runoff Modeling 2001, John Wiley, Chichester, UK.
5. Chen J.Q., Xia J. Facing the challenge: barriers to sustainable water resources development in China. Hydrol. Sci. J. 1999, 44(4):507-516.
6. Chu J.T., Xia J., Xu C.Y., Li L., Wang Z.G. Spatial and temporal variability of daily precipitation in Haihe River Basin, 1958-2007. J. Geogr. Sci. 2010, 20(2):248-260. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11442-010-0248-0.
7. Cong Z.T., Zhao J.J., Yang D.W., Ni G.H. Understanding the hydrological trends of river basins in China. J. Hydrol. 2010, 388:350-356.
8. Cui B.Y., Cui H.Y. Research of the affect of climate change and human act on the water resources of the Hutuo River basin. Shanxi Hydrotech. 2007, 1:64-66. (in Chinese).
9. Fan J., Yang Y.H., Zhang W.J. A study of changes in runoff resulting from climate and land cover changes in the Yehe Catchment. Agricult. Bureau Sim. 2007, 22(1):175-179. (in Chinese).
10. Franchini M., Pacciani M. Comparative-analysis of several conceptual rainfall runoff models. J. Hydrol. 1991, 122:161-219.
11. Fu G.B., Chen S.L., Liu C.M., Shepard D. Hydro-climatic trends of the Yellow River basin for the last 50 years. Climate Change 2004, 65:149-178.
12. Fu G.B., Charles S.P., Chiew F.H.S. A two-parameter climate elasticity of streamflow index to assess climate change effects on annual streamflow. Water Resour. Res. 2007, 43:W11419. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007WR005890.
13. Gan T.Y. Hydroclimatic trends and possible climatic warming in the Canadian prairies. Water Resour. Res. 1998, 34:3009-3015.
14. Gong D.Y., Shi P.J., Wang J.A. Daily precipitation changes in the semi-arid region over northern China. J. Arid Environ. 2004, 59:771-784.
15. Guo H., Cao Y. Improving accomplishment of Haihe river catchment in 50 years and view in future. Des. Water Resour. Hydroelectr. Eng. 2000, 19(2):1-3. (in Chinese).
16. Haihe River Commission, 2010. http://www.hwcc.gov.cn/pub/hwcc/static/lygk/qxsw.htm.
17. Hao C., Jia Y., Gong J., Peng H. Analysis on characteristics and rules of climate change of Haihe River basin in recent 50 years. J. China Inst. Water Resour. Hydropower Res. 2010, 8(1):39-43. (in Chinese).
18. IPCC Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working groups I, II and III to the Forth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 104 pp.
19. Kendall M.G. Rank Correlation Methods 1975, Charles Griffin, 212 pp. fourth ed.
20. Kezer K., Matsuyama H. Decrease of river runoff in the Lake Balkhash basin in central Asia. Hydrol. Process. 2006, 20(6):1407-1423. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6097.
21. Li L.J., Zhang L., Wang H., Wang J., Yang J.W., Jiang D.J., Li J.Y., Qin D.Y. Assessing the impact of climate variability and human activities on streamflow from the Wuding River basin in China. Hydrol. Process. 2007, 21:3485-3491. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6485.
22. Liang X., Xie Z.H. A new surface runoff parameterization with subgrid-scale soil heterogeneity for land surface models. Adv. Water Resour. 2001, 24:1173-1193.
23. Liang X., Lettenmaier D.P., Wood E.F., Burges S.J. A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for general circulation models. J. Geophys. Res. 1994, 99:14415-14428.
24. Liang X., Wood E.F., Lettenmaier D.P. Surface soil moisture parameterization of the VIC-2L model: evaluation and modification. Global Planet. Change 1996, 13:195-206.
25. Liu C., Wei Z. Agricultural hydrology and water resources in the North China Plain 1989, Science Press, 236 pp (in Chinese).
26. Liu C.M., Xia J. Water problems and hydrological research in the Yellow River and the Huai and Hai River basins of China. Hydrol. Process. 2004, 18:2197-2210.
27. Liu C.M., Yu J.J., Kendy E. Ground water exploitation and its impact on the environment in the North China Plain. Water Int. 2001, 26:265-272.
28. Liu C.Z., Liu Z.Y., Xie Z.H. Study of trends in runoff for the Haihe River basin in recent 50 years. J. Appl. Meteorol. Sci. 2004, 15(4):385-393. (in Chinese).
29. Liu J., Qin D., Wang H. Dualistic water cycle patterns and its evolution in Haihe river basins. Chin. Sci. Bull 2010, 55. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11434-010-0043-4.
30. Lohmann D., Raschke E., Nijssen B., Lettenmaier D.P. Regional scale hydrology: II. Application of the VIC-2L model to the Weser River, Germany. Hydrol. Sci. J. 1998, 43(1):143-158.
31. Ma Z.M., Kang S.Z., Zhang L., Tong L., Su X.L. Analysis of impact of climate variability and human activity on streamflow for a river basin in arid region of northwest China. J. Hydrol. 2008, 352:239-249.
32. Ma H., Yang D.W., Tan S.K., Gao B., Hu Q.F. Impact of climate variability and human activity on streamflow decrease in Miyun Reservoir catchment. J. Hydrol. 2010, 389:317-324.
33. Maidment D.R. Handbook of Hydrology 1993, R.R. Donnelley & Sons Company, USA.
34. Mann H.B. Non-parametric tests against trend. Econometrica 1945, 13:245-259.
35. Ren L.L., Wang M.R., Li C.H., Zhang W. Impacts of human activity on river runoff in the northern area of China. J. Hydrol. 2002, 261:204-217.
36. Sankarasubramanian A., Vogel R.M., Limbrunner J.F. Climate elasticity of streamflow in the United States. Water Resour. Res. 2001, 37:1771-1781.
37. Su F.G., Adam J.C., Bowling L.C., Lettenmaier D.P. Streamflow simulations of the terrestrial Arctic domain. J. Geophys. Res. 2005, 110:D08112. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2004JD005518.
38. Todini E. The ARNO rainfall-runoff model. J. Hydrol. 1996, 175:339-382.
39. Vorosmarty C.J., Green P., Salisbury J., Lammers R.B. Global water resources: vulnerability from climate change and population growth. Science 2000, 289:284-288.
40. Wang, Z., 2002. http://www.chinawater.net.cn/Journal/cwr/200204/04.html.
41. Wang Q., Wang C. Impact of human activity on runoff in Haihe River basin. Haihe Water Resour. 2009, 1:4-6. (in Chinese).
42. Wang G.Q., Zhang J.Y., He R.M. Impacts of environmental change on runoff in Fenhe river basin of the middle Yellow River. Adv. Water Sci. 2006, 17(6):851-858. (in Chinese).
43. Wang G.Q., Zhang J.Y., Liu J.F. Quantize the impact of climate change and human activity on runoff. China Water Resour. 2008, 2:55-58. (in Chinese).
44. Wang G.S., Xia J., Chen J. Quantification of effects of climate variations and human activities on runoff by a monthly water balance model: a case study of the Chaobai River basin in northern China. Water Resour. Res. 2009, 45:W00A11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007WR006768.
45. Wang J.H., Hong Y., Gourley J., Adhikari P., Li L., Su F.G. Quantitative assessment of climate change and human impacts on long-term hydrologic response: a case study in a sub-basin of the Yellow River. China. Int. J. Climatol. 2010, 30:2130-2137. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.2023.
46. Xia J., Zhang L., Liu C.M., Yu J.J. Towards better water security in North China. Water Resour. Manage. 2007, 21:233-247. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-006-9051-1.
47. Yang Y.H., Tian F. Abrupt change of runoff and its major driving factors in Haihe River Catchment, China. J. Hydrol. 2009, 374:373-383.
48. Yao Z.J., Guan Y.P., Gao Y.C. Analysis of distribution regulation of annual runoff and affection of annual runoff by human activity in the Chaobaihe River. Progr. Geogr. 2003, 22:599-606. (in Chinese).
49. Zhang Y. River characteristics and hydrological analysis of Sanggan River. Shanxi Hydrotech. 2003, 1:36-38. (in Chinese).
50. Zhang L., Yuan B. Water resources analysis of Yang River basin. Hebei Hydrol. Electr. Tech. 2004, 4:6-8. (in Chinese).
51. Zhang J.Y., Wang G.Q., et al. Impact of Climate Change on Hydrology and Water Resources 2007, Science Press, Beijing, (in Chinese).
52. Zhang J.Y., Zhang S.L., Wang J.X., Li Y. Study on runoff trends of the six larger basins in China over the past 50 years. Adv. Water Sci. 2007, 18(2):230-234. (in Chinese).
53. Zhang X.P., Zhang L., Zhao J., Rustomji P., Hairsine P. Response of streamflow to changes in climate and land use/cover in the Loess Plateau, China. Water Resour. Res. 2008, 44:W00A07. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007WR006711.
54. Zhao R.J. The Xinanjiang model applied in China. J. Hydrol. 1992, 135:371-381.
55. Zhao R.J., Zhang Y., Fang L., Liu X., Zhang Q. The Xinanjiang model. Hydrol. Forecast. Proc. Oxford Symp., IAHS 1980, 129:351-356.
56. Zhou T.J., Yu R.C. Twentieth-century surfaces air temperature over China and the global simulated by coupled climate models. J. Climate 2006, 19:5843-5858.
57. Zhu, W., 2007. http://env.people.com.cn/GB/35525/5970561.html.
58. Zhu C.M., Lettenmaier D.P. Long-term climate and derived surface hydrology and energy flux data for Mexico: 1925-2004. J. Climate 2007, 20(9):1936-1946.