Framing risk in pandemic influenza policy and control

Global Public Health

Volumn 7, Issue 7, 2012, Pages 717-730

  Seetoh, Theresa ^a,b   Liverani, Marco ^a,b   Coker, Richard ^a,b  

^a MAHIDOL UNIVERSITY   (Thailand)

^b LONDON SCHOOL OF HYGIENE AND TROPICAL MEDICINE   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

pandemic influenza policy; risk; risk assessment; risk management; risk perception

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; AVIAN INFLUENZA; AVIAN INFLUENZA VIRUS; CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK; DECISION MAKING; EMPIRICISM; HEALTH CARE POLICY; HUMAN; INFECTION RISK; INFLUENZA A (H5N1); PANDEMIC INFLUENZA; PERCEPTION; POLITICS; PRIORITY JOURNAL; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK MANAGEMENT; SWINE INFLUENZA; THAILAND; UNITED STATES;

COMMUNICABLE DISEASE CONTROL; DECISION MAKING; HUMANS; INFLUENZA, HUMAN; MODELS, THEORETICAL; POLITICS; PUBLIC POLICY; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTORS; RISK MANAGEMENT;

EID: 84864648597     PISSN: 17441692     EISSN: 17441706     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/17441692.2012.699541     Document Type: Article

References (83)

1. Adams, J. 1995. Risk, London: University College of London.
2. Amsterdamska, O. 2005. Demarcating epidemiology. Science, Technology, Human Values, 30(1): 17-51.
3. Atun, R. and Gurol-Urganci, I., 2005. Health expenditure: an'investment' rather than a cost? Working Paper 05/01 London: International Economics Programme. The Royal Institute of International Affairs, Chatham House.
4. Aveyard, H. 2007. Doing a literature review in health and social care, New York, NY: Open University Press.
5. BBC News, 2005. Bird flu could kill 150m people. Available from: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/4292426.stm [Accessed 10 July 2011].
6. Beck, S., 2009. When politics, and swine flu, infect health. Available from: http://articles.sfgate.com/2009-04-30/opinion/17194235_1_immunization-initiative-immunization-effort-flu-immunization [Accessed 9 August 2011].
7. Bloomberg, 2004. Fears of new crisis: sharp rise in bird flu cases in Thailand. Available from: http://poultry.information.in.th/bird-flu-archive-2004-july.html [Accessed 5 July 2011].
8. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2011. Reconstruction of the 1918 influenza pandemic virus. Available from: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/qa/1918flupandemic.htm [Accessed 10 July 2011].
9. Chan, M., 2006. Pandemic flu-communicating the risks. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 84 1, 1-80.
10. Chompook, P., Sa, J.D., Hanvoravongchai, P., Lertiendumrong, J., and Putthasri, W., 2009. Thailand: health system and pandemic preparedness. Bangkok, Thailand: Communicable Disease Policy Research Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
11. Cohen, D. and Carter, P. 2010. WHO and the pandemic flu 'conspiracies'. British Medical Journal, 340: 2912
12. Collignon, P. 2009. Take a deep breath-swine flu is not that bad. Australias Emergency Nursing Journal, 12: 71-72.
13. Commission of the European Communities, 2000. Communication from the commission on the precautionary principle. Available from: http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/health_consumer/library/pub/pub07_en.pdf [Accessed 6 August 2011].
14. Cooper, H.M. 1982. Scientific guidelines for conducting integrative research reviews. Review of Educational Research, 52(2): 291-302.
15. Crouchy, M., Galai D., and Mark, R., 2006. Risk management-a helicopter view. In: M. Crouhy, D. Galai and R. Mark The essentials of risk management. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 1-36.
16. Cunha, B.A. 2004. Influenza: historical aspects of epidemics and pandemics. Infectious Disease Clinics of North America, 18: 141-155.
17. Doshi, P. 2011. The elusive definition of pandemic influenza. WHO Bulletin, 89: 532-538.
18. Douglas, M. and Wildavsky, A. 1983. Risk and culture, 1st ed, Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.
19. Dowdle, W. 1997. The 1976 experience. The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 176(1): 69-72.
20. Durodié, B. 2004. The limitations of risk management: dealing with disasters. Tidsskriftet Politik, 8(1): 1-21.
21. Durodié, B., 2009. Risk perception and communication. In: S. Rajaratnam NTS-Asia national conference. Singapore: Centre for Non-Traditional Security, 1-6.
22. Eggo, R.M., Cauchemez, S., and Ferguson, N.M., 2011. Spatial dynamics of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England, Wales and the United States. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 8 55, 233-243.
23. Farmer, P. 1996. Social inequalities and emerging infectious diseases. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 2(4): 259-269.
24. Ferguson, N. 2007. Capturing human behaviour. Nature, 446: 733
25. Fidler, D.P. 2005. From international sanitary conventions to global health security: the new international health regulations. Chinese Journal of International Law, 4: 325-392.
26. Fidler, D.P., 2011. Assessing the foreign policy and global health initiative: the meaning of the Oslo process. Briefing Paper, Centre on Global Health Security. London: The Royal Institute of International Affairs, Chatham House.
27. Fineberg, H. 2009. Swine flu of 1976: lessons from the past. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 87: 414-415.
28. Fineberg, H. and Neustadt, R. 1978. The swine flu affair: decision-making on a slippery slope, Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office.
29. Focardi, S. and Jonas, C., 1998. Why manage risk? In: S. Focardi and C. Jonas Risk management: framework, methods, and practice. New Hope, PA: John Wiley and Sons, 1-20.
30. Freudenburg, W.R. 1996. Risky thinking: irrational fears about risk and society. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 545: 44-53.
31. Gerrard, S. and Petts, J., 1998. Isolation or integration? The relationship between risk assessment and risk management. In: R.E. Hester and R.M. Harrison, Risk assessment and risk management. Cambridge: The Royal Society of Chemistry, 1-7.
32. Green, J. and Thorogood, N. 2004. Qualitative methods for health research, London: Sage Publications.
33. Golafshani, N. 2003. Understanding reliability and validity in qualitative research. The Qualitative Report, 8(4): 597-607.
34. Heimer, C.A. 1988. Social structure, psychology, and the estimation of risk. Annual Review of Sociology, 14: 491-519.
35. Hine, D.D. 2010. The 2009 influenza pandemic: an independent review of the UK response to the 2009 influenza pandemic. Pandemic Flu Response Review Team, London: Cabinet Office.
36. Howard-Jones, N. 1975. The scientific background of the international sanitary conferences 1851-1938, Geneva: World Health Organization.
37. Jasanoff, S. 1993. Bridging the two cultures of risk analysis. Risk Analysis, 3(2): 123-129.
38. Kahn, R. 2009. Will avian influenza lead to a human pandemic?. The Journal of the European Medical Writers Association, 18(1): 29-31.
39. Lincoln, Y.S. and Guba, E.G. 1985. Naturalistic inquiry, Bevery Hills, CA: Sage.
40. Lugner, A.K. and Postma, M.J. 2009. Investment decisions in influenza pandemic contigency planning: cost-effectiveness of stockpiling in antiviral drugs. European Journal of Public Health, 19(5): 516-520.
41. Lynn, J. 2010. WHO to review its handling of H1N1 flu pandemic (Reuters). Available from: http://www.reuters.com/article/2010/01/12/us-flu-who-idUSTRE5BL2ZT20100112 [Accessed 6 August 2011].
42. Mansnerus, E., 2010. Silence of evidence in the case of pandemic influenza risk assessment. Discussion Paper No. 6. London: Centre for Analysis of Risk and Regulation. Economic and Social Research Council. London School of Economics and Political Science.
43. Market Research Media, 2011. Global pandemic influenza preparedness market forecast (2010-2015). Available from: http://www.marketresearchmedia.com/2009/04/24/pandemic-influenza-market/ [Accessed 6 August 2011].
44. McMichael, A.J. 1995. The health of persons, populations, and planet: epidemiology comes full circle. Epidemiology and Society, 6(6): 633-636.
45. Menon, K.U. 2008. Risk communications: in search of a pandemic. Annals of Academy Medicine Singapore, 37(6): 525-534.
46. Menon, K.U. 2011. Pigs, people and a pandemic: communication risk in a city-state, Singapore: Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies. S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies.
47. Mintz, A. and Redd, S. 2003. Framing effects in international relations. Synthese, 135(2): 193-213.
48. Monto, A.S., 2004. Pandemic influenza: how to respond. Available from: http://www.idse.net/download/pandemicinfluenza.pdf [Accessed 28 July 2011].
49. Moore, P.G. 1977. The manager's struggle with uncertainty. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 140(2): 129-165.
50. Morens, D.M. and Fauci, A.S. 2007. "The 1918 influenza pandemic: insights for the 21st century". Journal of Infectious Diseases, 195: 1018-1028.
51. Nicita, A., 2007. Avian influenza and poultry trade. World Bank. Available from: http://sitesources.worldbank.org/EXTAVIANFLU/Resources/3124440-1208294299578/AHI_TradeImpact_presentation.ppt [Accessed 28 June 2011].
52. Nicoll, A. and Mckee, M. 2010. Moderate pandemic, not many dead-learning the right lessons in Europe from the 2009 pandemic. European Journal of Public Health, 20(5): 486-489.
53. Olsen, K. and Harvey, M., 2005. Asia-Pacific APEC leaders ready to tackle regional issues: focus shifts to flu fear. Dow Jones Reuters Business Interactive, 18 Nov, 1-2.
54. Palese, P. 2004. Influenza: old and new threats. Nature Medicine Supplement, 10(12): S82-S87.
55. Patton, M.Q. 2002. Qualitative research and evaluation methods, 3rd ed, Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
56. Perrin, A., 2004. Playing chicken with bird flu. TIME. Available from: http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,582473,00.html [Accessed 28 June 2011].
57. Porter, T.M. 1995. Trust in numbers: the pursuit of objectivity in science and public life, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
58. Price-Smith, A. 2009. Contagion and chaos: disease, ecology, and national security in the era of globalization, London: MIT Press.
59. Renn, O. and Rohrmann, B., 2000. The concept of risk. In: O. Renn and B. Rohrmann Cross-cultural risk perception: a survey of empirical studies. Dordrecht: Springer, 13-15.
60. Rip, A. 1986. The mutual dependence of risk research and political context. Science & Technology Studies, 4(3/4): 3-15.
61. Safman, R., 2009. The political economy of avian influenza in Thailand. Working Paper No. 18. Brighton: STEPS Centre.
62. Scoones, I. and Forster, P., 2010. Unpacking the international response to avian influenza: actors, networks and narratives. In: I. Scoones, Avian influenza: science, policy and politics. London: Earthscan, 19-64.
63. Siegel, M., 2006. Bird flu II: panic is the real danger. International Herald Tribune.
64. Spiegel Online International, 2010. Reconstruction of a mass hysteria: the swine flu panic of 2009. Available from: http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,682613,00.html [Accessed 4 July 2011].
65. Stiglitz, J., Sen, A. and Fitoussi, J.-P. 2009. Report by the commission on the measurement of economic performance and social progress, Paris: Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress.
66. Tangwisutijit, N., 2005. Awaiting the scourge. The Nation, 1-3.
67. Taubenberger, J.K. and Morens, D.M. 2006. The 1918 influenza: the mother of all pandemics. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 12(1): 15-22.
68. Tesh, S.N. 1988. Hidden arguments: political ideology and disease prevention policy, New Jersey: Rutgers University Press.
69. The Nation, 2004a. Thaksin's message: 'united and eat chicken'. The Nation, 8 February, pp. 1-2.
70. The Nation, 2004b. The second wave: authorities continue to offer premature reassurances that bird-flu virus has been contained. The Nation, 11 November, pp. 1-2.
71. The Telegraph, 2010. Swine flu: how afraid should we be? Available from: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/swine-flu/5264014/Swine-flu-How-afraid-should-we-be.html [Accessed 5 July 2011].
72. Tiensin, T., Chaitaweesub, P., Songserm, T., Chaisingh, A., Hoonsuwan, W., Buranathai, C., Parakamawongsa, T., Premashthira, S., Amonsin, A., Gilbert, M., Nielen, M. and Stegeman, A. 2005. Highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1, Thailand. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 11: 1661-1672.
73. Tierney, K.J. 1999. Towards a critical sociology of risk. Sociology Forum, 14(2): 215-242.
74. Timpka, T., Eriksson, H., Gursky, E.A., Nyce, J.M., Morin, M., Jenvald, J., Strömgren, M., Holm, E. and Ekberg, J. 2009. Population-based simulations of influenza pandemics: validity and significance for public health policy. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 87(4): 305-311.
75. UK Health Protection Agency, 2011. Risk assessment [online]. Available from: http://www.hpa.org.uk/ProductsServices/ChemicalsPoisons/ChemicalRiskAssessment/RiskAssessment [Accessed 10 July 2011].
76. US Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, 2011. About human health research at the Environmental Protection Agency. Available from: http://www.epa.gov/hhrp/about.html [Accessed 8 August 2011].
77. Vynnycky, E., Trindall, A. and Mangtani, P. 2007. Estimates of the reproduction numbers of Spanish influenza using morbidity data. International Journal of Epidemiology, 36(4): 881-889.
78. Walch, J.P. and Ungson, G.R. 1991. Organisational memory. The Academy of Management Review, 16(1): 57-91.
79. Walt, G. and Gilson, L. 1994. Reforming the health sector in developing countries: the central role of policy analysis. Health Policy and Planning, 9: 353-370.
80. Wildavsky, A. and Dake, K. 1990. Theories of risk perception: who fears what and why?. Journal of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 119(4): 41-60.
81. World Bank, 2008. Evaluating the economic consequences of avian influenza [online]. Available from: http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTAVIANFLU/Resources/EvaluatingAHIeconomics_2008.pdf [Accessed 6 August 2011].
82. WHO, 2006. Epidemiology of WHO-confirmed human cases of avian influenza AH5N1. infection. Weekly Epidemiological Record, 249-260. Available from: http://www.who.int/csr/don/2006_06_30/en/index.html [Accessed 14 August 2011].
83. WHO 2009. World now at the start of 2009 influenza pandemic. Available from: http://who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2009/h1n1_pandemic_phase6_20090611/en/index.html [Accessed 3 August 2011].