The economy, crime and time: An analysis of recorded property crime in England & Wales 1961-2006

International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice

Volumn 40, Issue 3, 2012, Pages 192-210

  Jennings, Will ^a   Farrall, Stephen ^b   Bevan, Shaun ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHAMPTON   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF SHEFFIELD   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF MANNHEIM   (Germany)

Author keywords

Crime; Economy; Inequality; Thatcher; Thatcherism; Unemployment

Indexed keywords

EID: 84864076592     PISSN: 17560616     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijlcj.2012.03.004     Document Type: Article

References (48)

1. Alt James E. Party strategies, world demand, and unemployment in Britain and the United States, 1947-1983. Political Behavior 1985, 7(1):7-36.
2. Alt James E. Political parties, world demand, and unemployment: domestic and international sources of economic activity. American Political Science Review 1985, 79(4):1016-1040.
3. Bagguley P., Mann K. Idle thieving bastards? Scholarly representations of the 'underclass'. Work, Employment and Society 1992, 6(1):113-126.
4. Bartels Larry M. Unequal Democracy 2008, Russell Sage Foundation, New York.
5. Beki Cem, Zeelenberg Kees, Montfort Kees van An analysis of the crime rate in the Netherlands 1950-93. British Journal of Criminology 1999, 39:401-415.
6. Becker Gary S. Crime and punishment: an economic approach. Journal of Political Economy 1968, 76:169-217.
7. Brambor Thomas, Clark William Roberts, Golder Matt Understanding interaction models: improving empirical analyses. Political Analysis 2006, 14:63-82.
8. Cantor David, Land Kenneth C. Unemployment and crime rates in the post-World War II United States: a theoretical and empirical analysis. American Sociological Review 1985, 50:317-332.
9. Cantor David, Land Kenneth C. Exploring possible temporal relationships of unemployment and crime: a comment on Hale and Sabbagh. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 1991, 28(4):400-417.
10. Cantor David., Land Kenneth C. Unemployment and crime rate fluctuations: a comment on Greenberg. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 2001, 17(4):329-342.
11. Chamlin Mitchell B., Grasmick Harold, Bursik Robert J., Cochran John K. Time-aggregation and time-lag in macro-level deterrence research. Criminology 1992, 30:377-395.
12. Chiricos Theodore Rates of crime and unemployment: an analysis of aggregate research evidence. Social Problems 1987, 34(2):187-212.
13. Cohen Lawrence, Felson Marcus Social change and crime rate trends: a routine activity approach. American Sociological Review 1979, 44:588-608.
14. Cohen Lawrence E., Felson Marcus, Land Kenneth C. Property crime rates in the United States: a macrodynamic analysis, 1947-1977; with ex ante forecasts for the mid-1980s. American Journal of Sociology 1980, 86:90-118.
15. Jemma Cook and Steve Cook, 2011. Are US crime rates Really unit root processes? forthcoming in the Journal of Quantitative Criminology.
16. Craine Steve The 'Black Magic Roundabout': cyclical transitions, social exclusion and alternative careers. Youth, the 'underclass' and Social Exclusion 1997, 130-152. Routledge, London. R. MacDonald (Ed.).
17. Farrall Stephen 'Rolling back the State': Mrs Thatcher's criminological legacy. International Journal of the Sociology of Law 2006, 34(4):256-277.
18. Farrall Stephen, Hay Colin 'Not So Tough on Crime?' Why weren't the Thatcher Governments more radical in reforming the criminal justice system?. British Journal of Criminology 2010, 50:550-569.
19. Field Simon Trends in Crime and Their Interpretation: a Study of Recorded Crime in Post-War England and Wales 1990, HMSO, London, Home Office Research Study 119.
20. Freeman John R. Granger causality and the times series analysis of political relationships. American Journal of Political Science 1983, 27(2):327-358.
21. Greenberg David F. Time series analysis of crime rates. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 2001, 17(4):291-327.
22. Granger Clive W.J., Paul Newbold Spurious regressions in econometrics. Journal of Econometrics 1974, 2(2):111-120.
23. Hacker Jacob S., Pierson Paul Winner-Take-All Politics: How Washington Made the Rich Richer-and Turned Its Back on the Middle Class 2010, Simon & Schuster, New York.
24. Hale Chris Crime and business cycle in post-war Britain revisited. British Journal of Criminology 1998, 38(4):681-698.
25. Hale Chris, Sabbagh Dima Testing the relationship between unemployment and crime: a methodological comment and empirical analysis using time series data from England and Wales. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency 1991, 28(4):400-418.
26. Hay Colin., Farrall Stephen Establishing the ontological status of Thatcherism by gauging its 'periodisability': towards a 'cascade theory' of public policy radicalism. British Journal of Politics and International Relations 2011.
27. Hibbs Douglas A. Political parties and macroeconomic policy. American Political Science Review 1977, 71:1467-1487.
28. Hibbs Douglas A. The Political Economy of Industrial Democracies 1987, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.
29. Kavanagh Dennis, Morris Peter Consensus Politics from Attlee to Major 1989, Basil Blackwell, Oxford.
30. Kerr Peter Modern British Politics: From Consensus to Conflict 2001, Routledge, London.
31. Kleck Gary, Chiricos Theodore Unemployment and property crime: a target-specific assessment of opportunity and motivation as mediating factors. Criminology 2002, 40:649-679.
32. Land Kenneth C., McCall Patricia L., Cohen Lawrence E. Structural covariates of homicide rates: are there any invariances across time and social space?. American Journal of Sociology 1990, 95(4):922-963.
33. Levitt Steven D. Alternative strategies for identifying the link between unemployment and crime. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 2001, 17:377-390.
34. Loader Ian Fall of the Platonic Guardians. British Journal of Criminology 2006, 46:561-586.
35. Loader Ian, Sparks Richard For an historical sociology of crime policy in England and Wales since 1968. Critical Review of International Social and Political Philosophy 2004, 7(2):5-32.
36. Marsh David, Rhodes R.A.W. Implementing Thatcherite Policies 1992, Open University Press, Milton Keynes.
37. Mitchell Brian R. International Historical Statistics: Europe, 1750-2000 2003, Palgrave Macmillan, Basingstoke.
38. Moran Michael The British Regulatory State: High Modernism and Hyper Innovation 2003, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
39. Murie Alan Linking housing changes to crime. Social Policy and Administration 1997, 31(5):22-36.
40. Nelson Charles R., Plosser Charles I. Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: some evidence and implications. Journal of Monetary Economics 1982, 10(2):139-162.
41. Newburn Tim Tough on crime: penal policy in England and Wales. Crime and Justice 2007, 425-470.
42. Phillips Peter C.B., Perron Pierre Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika 1988, 75:335-346.
43. Pyle David J., Deadman Derek Crime and the business cycle in post-war Britain. British Journal of Criminology 1994, 34(3):339-357.
44. Rosenfeld Richard, Messner Steven F. The crime drop in comparative perspective: the impact of the economy and imprisonment on American and European burglary rates. British Journal of Sociology 2009, 60(3):445-471.
45. Tarling Roger Unemployment and crime. Home Office Research Bulletin 1982, 14:28-33.
46. Wimmer Andreas, Schiller Nina Glick Methodological nationalism and beyond. Global Networks 2002, 2(4):301-334.
47. Wolpin Kenneth I. An economic analysis of crime and punishment in England and Wales, 1894-1967. The Journal of Political Economy 1978, 86(5):815-840.
48. Wlezien Christopher An Essay on " Combined" time series processes. Electoral Studies 2000, 19(1):77-93.