Uncertainty in importance measures: Developing the epistemic Risk Achievement Worth

Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management - Proceedings of the European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2011

Volumn , Issue , 2012, Pages 2256-2260

  Borgonovo, E ^a   Smith, C L ^b   Fouladirad, Mitra ^b   Bérenguer, Christophe ^b  

^a BOCCONI UNIVERSITY   (Italy)

^b IDAHO NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ALEATORY UNCERTAINTY; EPISTEMIC UNCERTAINTIES; IMPORTANCE MEASURE; PARALLEL SYSTEM; POINT ESTIMATE; RISK ACHIEVEMENT WORTH; SERIES SYSTEM;

RISK MANAGEMENT; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

RELIABILITY;

EID: 84863038869     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (14)

1. Apostolakis GE. The concept of Probability in Safety Assessment of Technological Systems. Science, 1990; 250:1359-1364.
2. Apostolakis G. A commentary on model uncertainty. 1995, In "Model uncertainty: its characterization and quantification," Center for Reliability Engineering, University of Maryland, Annapolis, MD, USA, October 20-22, 1993.
3. Birnbaum LW., 1969: On the importance of different elements in a multielement system, Multivariate analysis, vol. 2. New York: Academic Press.
4. Borgonovo E. and Apostolakis G.E., 2001: A New Importance Measure for Risk-Informed Decision-Making, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 72 (2), 193-212.
5. Borgonovo E., 2008: "Epistemic uncertainty in the Ranking and Categorization of Probabilistic Safety Assessment Model Elements: Issues and Findings," Risk Analysis, 28 (4), pp. 983-1001.
6. Borgonovo E. and Smith C.L., 2011: "A Study of Interactions in the Risk Assessment of Complex Engineering Systems: An Application to Space PSA," Operations Research, forthcoming.
7. Cheok M.C., Parry G.W. and Sherry R.R., 1998: Use of Importance Measures in Risk-Informed Regulatory Applications, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 60, 213-226.
8. Fussell J., 1975: How to calculate system reliability and safety characteristics, IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 24 (3), 169-174.
9. Kaplan S, and Garrick JB. On the quantitative definition of risk. Risk Analysis, 1981; 1:11-27.
10. Modarres M. and Agarwal M., 1996: "Consideration of Probabilistic uncertainty in Risk-Based Importance Measures," Proceeding PSA '96, Park City, utah, September 29-October 3, 1996, published by the American Nuclear Society, La Grange Park, Illinois.
11. Paté-Cornell ME. Uncertainties in risk analysis: Six levels of treatment. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 1996; 54:95-111.
12. Ramirez-Marquez J.E. and Coit D.W., 2005: Composite Importance Measures for Multi-State Systems with Multi-State Components, IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 54 (3), 517-529.
13. US NRC, 1986: Safety Goals for the Operation of Nuclear Power Plants, US NRC Policy Statement, Federal Register, 51: 30028, 1986.
14. vasseur D. and Llory M., 1999: International survey on PSA figures of merit, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 66, 261-274.