Debris flow occurrence and meteorological factors in the French Alps: A regional investigation

International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation: Mechanics, Prediction, and Assessment, Proceedings

Volumn , Issue , 2011, Pages 127-134

  Pavlova, Irina ^a   Jomelli, Vincent ^a   Grancher, Delphine ^a   Brunstein, Daniel ^a   Vrac, Mathieu ^b  

^a LABORATOIRE DE GÉOGRAPHIE PHYSIQUE   (France)

^b LABORATOIRE DES SCIENCES DU CLIMAT ET DE L ENVIRONNEMENT   (France)

Author keywords

DF probability; Logit; Meteorological parameters; Regional scale

Indexed keywords

CATCHMENT AREA; DEBRIS FLOWS; FRENCH ALPS; GLOBAL SCALE; LOGISTIC REGRESSIONS; LOGIT; MAJOR FACTORS; METEOROLOGICAL CONDITION; METEOROLOGICAL DATA; METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS; METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS; MULTIVARIATE STATISTICAL APPROACHES; NATURAL HAZARD; PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS; PROBABILITY MODELS; RAINY DAYS; REGIONAL SCALE; WEATHER STATIONS;

CATCHMENTS; DEBRIS; HAZARDS; LOGISTICS; METEOROLOGY; PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS; RUNOFF;

ATMOSPHERIC MOVEMENTS;

EID: 84861622355     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.4408/IJEGE.2011-03.B-015     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (34)

1. BENISTON M., DIAZ H. F. & BRADLEY R. S. (1997) - Climatic change at high elevation sites: an overview. Climatic Change, 36: 233-25.
2. BOHM R., AUER I., BRUNETTI M., MAUGERI M., NANNI T. & SCHONER W. (2001) - Regional temperature variability in the European Alps: 1760-1998 from homogenized instrumental time series. Int. J. Climatol., 21: 1779-1801.
3. CAINE N. (1980) - The rainfall intensity-duration control of shallow landslides and debris-flows. Geografiska Annaler, 62A (1-2): 23-27.
4. CANNON S.H., GRTHER J. E., WILSON R. C., BOWERS J.C. & LABER J. L. (2008) - Storm rainfall conditions for floods and debris flows from recently burned areas in southwestern Colorado and southern California. Geomorphology, 96 (3-4): 250-269.
5. CHRISTENSEN O.B. & CHRISTENSEN J.H. (2004) - Intensification of extreme European summer precipitation in a warmer climate. Glob Planet Change, 44:107-117.
6. DEQUE (2007) - Frequency of precipitation and temperature extremes over France in an anthropogenic scenario: model results and statistical correction according to observed values. Glob Planet Change 57: 16-26.
7. DECAULNE A. & SAEMUNDSSON (2007) - Spatial and temporal diversity for debris-flow meteorological control in subarctic oceanic periglacial environments in Iceland. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 32: 1971-1983.
8. DIAZ H. F. & BRADLEY, R. S. (1997) - Temperature Variations during the Last Century at High Elevation Sites. Clim. Change, 36 (3-4): 253-279.
9. GORSEVSKI P. V., RANDY P. G. & FOLTZ B. (2000) - Spatial Prediction of Landslide Hazard Using Discriminant Analysis and GIS. GIS in the Rockies 2000 Conference and Workshop .Applications for the 21st Century. Denver, Colorado.
10. GUZZETTI F., PERUCCQCCI S., ROSSI M. & STARK C.P. (2007) - Rainfall thresholds for the initiation of landslides in central and southern Europe. Meteorol Atmos Phys, 98: 239-267.
11. HAEBERLI W., RICKENMANN D., ZIMMERMANN M. & ROSSLI U. (1990) - Investigation of 1987 Debris Flows in the Swiss Alps: General Concept and Geophysical Soundings. IAHS Publication, 194: 303-310.
12. HAEBERLI W., GUODONG C., GORBUNOV A. P., & HARRIS S. A. (1993) - Mountain Permafrost and Climatic Change. Permafrost Periglacial Proc. 4 (2): 165-174.
13. HAEBERLI W. & BENISTIN M. (1998) - Climate change and its impacts on glaciers and permafrost in the Alps. Ambio 27: 258-265.
14. HOSMER D. & LEMESHOW S. (2000) - Applied Logistic Regression, 2nd Edition Wiley.
15. HUNGR O., MCDOUGALL S., WISE M. & CULLEN M. (2008) - Magnitude-frequency relationships of debris flows and debris avalanches in relation to slope relief. Geomorphology, 96 (3-4): 355-365.
16. IMHOF M., PIERRENHUMBERT G., HAEBERLI W. & KIENHOLZ H. (2000) - Permafrost investigation in the Schilthorn massif, Bernese Alps, Switzerland. Permafrost and Periglacial Processes 11: 189-206.
17. IVERSON R. M. (1997) - The physics of debris flows. Rev. Geophys., 35 (3): 245-296.
18. JABOB, BOVIS & ODEN (2005) - The significance of channel recharge rates for estimating DF magnitude and frequency. Earth surface processes and landforms, 21: 755-766.
19. JOLLIFFE I.T. (2002) - Principal Component Analysis. 522, Second Edition. Springer, New York.
20. th century in the French Alps. In: Debris flow hazards mitigation. 127-137, Millpress, Rotterdam.
21. JOMELLI V., PECH P., CHOCHILLON C. & BRUNSTEIN D. (2004) - Geomorphic variations of debris flows and recent climatic change in the French Alps. Climatic Change, 64: 77-102.
22. JOMELLI V., BRUNSTEIN D., GRANCHER D. & PECH P. (2007) - Is the response of hill slope debris flows to recent climate change univocal? A case study in the Massif des Ecrins (French Alps). Climate Change, 85: 119-137.
23. JOMELLI V., BRUNSTEIN D., VRAC M., DEQUE M. & GRANCHER D. (2009) - Impacts of future climatic change (2070-2099) on the potential occurrence of debris flows: a case study in the Massif des Ecrins (French Alps). Climate Change DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9616-0.
24. JOHSON A.M.& RODINE J.R. (1984) - Debris flow, in BRUNDSEN, D., & PRIOR, D.B., eds., Slope instability: Chichester, England, John Wiley & Sons. 257-361.
25. PECH P. & JOMELLI V. (2001) - Caractéristiques et rôle du cône apical dans le déclenchement des coulées de débris. Géographie physique et Quaternaire, 55 (1): 47-61.
26. REMAITRE A. (2006) - Morphologie et dynamique des laves torrentielles: Application aux torrents des terres noires du bassin de Barcelonnette. PHD Thesis, 483.
27. REBETEZ M., LUGON R. & BAERISWYL P.A. (1997) - Climatic change and debris flows in high mountain regions: the case study of the Ritigraben torrent (Swiss Alps). Climatic Change 36 (3/4): 371-389.
28. RUPERT M.G., CANNON S.H., GARTNER J.E. MICHAEL J.A. & HELSEL D.R. (2008) - Using logistic regression to predict the probability of dfs in areas burned by wildfires, southern California. 2003-2006: U.S. geological survey open-file report 1370, 9.
29. STOFFEL M. & BENISTON M. (2006) - On the incidence of debris flows from the early Little Ice Age to a future greenhouse climate: a case study from the Swiss Alps. Geophysical Research Letters 33: L16404
30. VAN STEIJN H. (1996) - Debris-flow magnitude-frequency relationships for mountainous regions of Central and Northwest Europe. Geomorphology 15 (3-4): 259-273.
31. WEGMANN M., GUDMUDSSON G. H. & HAEBERLI W. (1998) - Permafrost changes in rock walls and the retreat of Alpine glaciers: A thermal modelling approach. Permafrost Periglac, 9: 23-33.
32. ZIMMERMANN M. (1990) - Debris Flows 1987 in Switzerland: Geomorphological and Meteorological Aspects., Proceedings of two Lausanne Symposi, IAHS Publication, 194: 387-393.
33. ZIMMERMANN M. & HAEBERLI W. (1992) - Climatic Change and Debris Flow Activity in High- Mountain Areas - A Case Study in the Swiss Alps. Greenhouse-Impact on Cold-Climate Ecosystems and Landscapes, Catena Suppl. 22: 59-72.
34. ZIMMERMANN M. (2005) - Analysis and management of debris flow risks at Sörenberg (Switzerland). In: JAKOB M., HUNGR O. (2005, eds.) - Debris-Flow Hazards and Related Phenomena., 615-634, Springer, Berlin