Occupational employment projections to 2020

Monthly Labor Review

Volumn 135, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 84-108

  Brett Lockard, C ^a   Wolf, Michael ^a  

^a BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS   (United States)

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[No Author keywords available]

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EID: 84861217338     PISSN: 00981818     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (16)

1. The 2012-2013 edition of the Occupational Outlook Handbook will be available at http://www.bls.gov/ooh in late March 2012.
2. See Mitra Toossi, "Labor force projections to 2020: a more slowly growing workforce," this issue, pp. 43-64, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art3full.pdf.
3. People 65 years of age or older spent an ave of $4,843 in 2010 on healthcare, compared with $3,157 for all consumers
4. See 2010 data from the Consumer Expenditures Survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, available at ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/ce/standard/2010/age.txt.
5. See Kathryn J. Byun and Christopher Frey, "The U.S. economy in 2020, recovery in uncertain times" this issue, pp. 21-42, http://www. bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art2full.pdf.
6. For more information on the effects of the recession, see Dixie Sommers and James Franklin, "Overview of employment projections to 2020," this issue, pp. 3-20, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art1full.pdf.
7. See Richard Henderson, "Industry employment and output projections to 2020," this issue, pp. 65-83, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art5full.pdf.
8. Recessions are identified by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). According to the NBER, the most recent recession began in December 2007 and ended in June 2009.
9. (See http://www.nber.org/cycles/cyclesmain.html.).
10. This article uses 2006 data to examine effects of the recession because employment projections are published biennially and no comparable data were released for 2007
11. Data for 2006 is derived from the data published in Arlene Dohm and Lynn Shniper, "Occupational employment projections to 2016," Monthly Labor Review, November 2007, but are adjusted to take into account changes in occupational classifications effective with the 2010 Standard Occupational Classification system
12. Wage data used in this article come from the Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/oes/.
13. For a detailed description of the methods used to calculate replacement needs, see the technical documentation accompanying the 2010 to 2020 projections, available at http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_replacements.htm.
14. Total job openings may not equal the sum of projected replacement needs and projected employment change. If employment change for a detailed occupation is negative, job openings due to growth are zero and total job openings equal replacement needs. For summary occupations, including the total of all occupations, job openings due to growth are summed from detailed occupations. If some detailed occupations are declining and others are growing, job openings due to growth will not equal the projected employment change.
15. Table 1.11 on the employment projections page of the BLS website presents data on educational attainment by occupation from the Census Bureau's American Community Survey: http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_111.htm.
16. In particular, see education and training data at http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_education_training_system.htm.