Industry employment and output projections to 2020

Monthly Labor Review

Volumn 135, Issue 1, 2012, Pages 65-83

  Henderson, Richard ^a  

^a BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS   (United States)

Author keywords

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EID: 84861217631     PISSN: 00981818     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (19)

1. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is generally recognized as the official arbiter of recessions in the United States. The NBER identified the latest recession as starting in December 2007 and ending in June 2009.
2. For more information, visit the NBER website on the Internet at http://www.nber.org.
3. Total employment is the summation of the employment figures among all nonagricultural wage and salary workers; the data are from the BLS Current Employment Statistics survey, and self-employed, unpaid family workers, and agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting workers, which are from the Current Population Survey
4. Nonagricultural wage and salary employment data are from the Current Employment Statistics survey, except for private household employment data, which are from the Current Population Survey. Logging workers are excluded.
5. Throughout this article, unless otherwise noted, output refers to real output in chain-weighted 2005 dollars
6. For more information on the projections for the macroeconomic variables, see Kathryn J. Byun and Christopher Frey, "The U.S. economy to 2020: recovery in uncertain times," this issue, pp. 21-42, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art2full.pdf.
7. For more information on the effects of the most recent recession, see Eleni Theodossiu and Steven F. Hipple, "Unemployment remains high in 2010".
8. John P. Eddlemon, "Payroll employment turns the corner in 2010," Monthly Labor Review, March 2011, pp. 3-22 and 23-32, respectively, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2011/03/home.htm.
9. This set of BLS projections is based on the 2007 North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS). Within this article, sectors generally refer to two-digit NAICS categories, subsectors to three-digit NAICS categories, and industries to either two-, three-, or four-digit NAICS categories.
10. "Projections of the Population by Selected Age Groups and Sex for the United States: 2008 to 2050" (U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Aug. 14, 2008), http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/summarytables.html.
11. "Projections of National Health Expenditures: Methodology and Model Specification" (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Jul. 28, 2011), http://www.cms.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/03_NationalHealthAccountsProjected.asp.
12. For more information on the housing market, see Byun and Frey, "The U.S. economy to 2020: recovery in uncertain times," this issue, pp. 21-42, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art2full.pdf.
13. For more information, see Tabitha M. Bailey and William J. Hussar, "Projections of Education Statistics to 2020" (U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Washington, DC, September 2011).
14. For more information on the projections for the macroeconomic variables, see Byun and Frey, "The U.S. economy to 2020: recovery in uncertain times," this issue, pp. 21-42, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art2full.pdf.
15. For more information, see Bailey and Hussar, "Projections of Education Statistics to 2020.".
16. USDA Agricultural Projections to 2020, Report OCE-2011-1 (Office of the Chief Economist, World Agricultural Outlook Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Interagency Agricultural Projections Committee, Long-term Projections Report).
17. See "Annual Energy Outlook 2011" (U.S. Department of Energy, April 2011), http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo10/gas.html.
18. For more information on the projections for the macroeconomic variables, see Byun and Frey, "The U.S. economy to 2020: recovery in uncertain times," this issue, pp. 21-42, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2012/01/art2full.pdf.
19. For more information, see the employment and output by detailed industry table on the Internet at http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_207.htm.