Whatever works: Uncertainty and technological hybrids in medical innovation

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Volumn 79, Issue 5, 2012, Pages 932-948

  Barberá Tomás, David ^a   Consoli, Davide ^a,b  

^a INGENIO CSIC UPV Technical University of Valencia   (Spain)

^b UNIVERSITY OF MANCHESTER   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Hybridization; Implantable medical devices; Medical innovation; Technological evolution; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

ARTIFICIAL DISC; BASIC RESEARCH; HYBRIDIZATION; IMPLANTABLE MEDICAL DEVICES; MEDICAL DEVICES; MEDICAL SCIENCE; OPERATIONAL PRINCIPLES; TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE; TECHNOLOGICAL EVOLUTION; UNCERTAINTY;

INNOVATION; TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING;

BIOMEDICAL EQUIPMENT;

INNOVATION; MEDICINE; TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84860259184     PISSN: 00401625     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.12.009     Document Type: Article

References (92)

1. O'Driscoll G.P., Rizzo M.J. The Economics of Time and Ignorance 1985, Routledge, London.
2. Consoli D., Mina A. An evolutionary perspective on health innovation systems. J. Evol. Econ. 2009, 19(2):297-319.
3. Arthur W.B. Competing technologies. Technical Change and Economic Theory 1988, Pinter, London, pp. G. Dosi, C. Freeman, R. Nelson, G. Silverberg, L. Soete (Eds.).
4. David P.A. Path dependence, its critics and the quest for 'historical economics'. Evolution and Path Dependence in Economic Ideas: Past and Present 2000, Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, England. P. Garrouste, S. Ioannides (Eds.).
5. Castaldi C., Dosi G. The grip of history and the scope for novelty: some results and open questions on path dependence in economic processes. Models, Methodologies, and Metaphors 2006, 99-128. London, Palgrave. A. Wimmer, R. Kössler (Eds.).
6. Nelson R.R. On the uneven evolution of human know-how. Res. Policy 2003, 32:909-922.
7. Simon H.A. The Sciences of the Artificial 1969, MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts.
8. Dosi G., Egidi M. Substantive and procedural uncertainty: an exploration of economic behaviours in changing environments. J. Evol. Econ. 1991, 1(2):145-168.
9. Consoli D., McMeekin A., Metcalfe J.S., Mina A., Ramlogan R. The process of innovation: incentives, behaviour and organization. The Economics of New Health Technologies: Incentives, Organisation and Financing 2009, Oxford University Press. J. Costa-i-Font, C. Courbage, A. McGuire (Eds.).
10. Mokyr J. Induced technical innovation and medical history: an evolutionary approach. J. Evol. Econ. 1998, 8:119-137.
11. Stankiewicz R. The concept of 'Design Space'. Technological Innovation as an Evolutionary Process 2000, 234-245. Cambridge University Press, New York. J. Ziman (Ed.).
12. Dosi G. Technological paradigms and technological trajectories. Res. Policy 1982, 11(3):147-162.
13. Kuhn T.S. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions 1962, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
14. Metcalfe J.S., Mina A., James A. Emergent innovation systems and the development of the intraocular lens. Res. Policy 2005, 34:1283-1304.
15. Mina A., Ramlogan R., Tampubolon G., Metcalfe J.S. Mapping evolutionary trajectories: applications to the growth and transformation of medical knowledge. Res. Policy 2007, 36(5):789-806.
16. D. Consoli, R. Ramlogan. Patterns of organization in the development of medical know-how: the case of glaucoma research. Industrial and Corporate Change (in press).
17. Consoli D., Ramlogan R. Out of sight: problem sequences and epistemic boundaries of medical know-how on glaucoma. J. Evol. Econ. 2008, 18(1):31-56.
18. Merito M., Bonaccorsi A. Co-evolution of physical and social technologies in clinical practice. The case of HIV treatments. Res. Policy 2007, 36(7):1070-1087.
19. Yaqub, O. Knowledge accumulation and the development of poliomyelitis vaccines. STEPS Working Paper, 20.
20. Morlacchi P., Nelson R. How medical practice evolves: learning to treat failing hearts with an implantable device. Res. Policy 2011, 40(4):511-525.
21. Nelson R.R., Buterbaugh K., Perl M., Gelijns A. How medical know-how progresses Res. Policy 2011, 40(10):1339-1344.
22. Gelijns A., Rosenberg N. The dynamics of technological change in medicine. Health Affairs (Summer) 1994, 28-46.
23. Nelson R.R. Factors affecting the power of technological paradigms. Ind. Corp. Chang. 2008, 17(3):485-497.
24. Nightingale P. Technological capabilities, invisible infrastructure and the un-social construction of predictability: the overlooked fixed costs of useful research. Res. Policy 2004, 33(9):1259-1284.
25. Gelijns A.C., Zivin J., Nelson R.R. Uncertainty and technological change in medicine. J. Health Polit. Policy Law 2001, 26:913-924.
26. Constant E. The Origins of the Turbojet Revolution 1980, Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore.
27. Vincenti W. What Engineers Know and How They Know It: Analytical Studies from Aeronautical History 1990, Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore.
28. Popper K. The Logic of Scientific Discovery 1959, Basic Books, New York.
29. Constant E. A model for technological change applied to the turbojet. Revolution. Technology and Culture 1973, 14(4):553-572.
30. The Nature of technological knowledge. Are Models of Scientific Change Relevant? 1984, Reidel, Dordrecht. R. Laudan (Ed.).
31. Vincenti W. The retractable airplane landing gear and the Northrop "anomaly": variation-selection and the shaping of technology. Technol. Cult. 1994, 35(1):1-33.
32. Vincenti W. Real-world variation-selection in the evolution of technological form: historical examples. Technological Innovation as an Evolutionary Process 2000, 174-189. Cambridge University Press, New York. J. Ziman (Ed.).
33. Constant E. Recursive practice and the evolution of technological knowledge. "Technological Innovation as an Evolutionary Process" 219-233 2000, Cambridge University Press, New York. J. Ziman (Ed.).
34. Nelson R.R. Evolutionary social science and universal Darwinism. J. Evol. Econ. 2006, 16:491-510.
35. Chai J. Medical device regulation in the United States and the European Union: a comparative study. Food Drug Law J. 2000, 55(1):57-80.
36. Dijk M., Yarime M. The emergence of hybrid-electric cars: innovation path creation through co-evolution of supply and demand. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 2010, 77(8):1371-1390.
37. Avadikyan A., Llerena P. A real options reasoning approach to hybrid vehicle investments. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 2010, 77(4):649-661.
38. Sahal D. Technological guideposts and innovation avenues. Res. Policy 1985, 14:61-82.
39. Sahal D. Foundations of technometrics. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 1985, 27(1):1-37.
40. Peine A. Technological paradigms and complex technical systems. The case of smart homes. Res. Policy 2008, 37(3):508-529.
41. Pistorius C., Utterback J. Multi-mode interaction among technologies. Res. Policy 1997, 26(1):67-84.
42. Islas J. Getting round the lock-in in electricity generating systems: the example of the gas turbine. Res. Policy 1997, 26:49-66.
43. Geels F.W. Technological Transitions and System Innovations: A Co-evolutionary and Socio-technical Analysis 2005, Edwar Elgar, Cheltenham.
44. Murmann J.P., Frenken K. Toward a systematic framework for research on dominant designs, technological innovations, and industrial change. Res. Policy 2006, 35(7):925-952.
45. Islas J. The gas turbine: a new technological paradigm in electricity generation. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 1999, 60(2):129-148.
46. Bresson C. Technological innovation and long wave theory: two pieces of the puzzle. J. Evol. Econ. 1991, 1:241-272.
47. Weightman G. The industrial revolutionaries. The Creation of the Modern World 1776-1914 2007, Atlantic Books, London.
48. Pérez C. Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages 2002, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, U.K.
49. Dew, N. Inconmmesurate technological paradigms? Quarreling in the RFID industry. Industrial and Corporate Change, 15 (5), 785-210.
50. Stark D. The Sense of Dissonance: Accounts of Worth in Economic Life 2009, Princeton University Press, Princeton and Oxford.
51. Maniadakis A., Gray A. The economic burden of back pain in the UK. Pain 2000, 84:95-103.
52. Duke University Medical Center Economic Impact of Back Pain Substantial. ScienceDaily 2004.
53. Weiner B. Difficult medical problems: on explanatory models and a pragmatic alternative. Med. Hypotheses 2007, 68:474-479.
54. Lieberman I. Disc bulge bubble: spine economics 101. Spine J. 2004, 4(6):609-613.
55. Singh K., Vaccaro A., Albert T. Assessing the potential impact of total disc arthroplasty on surgeon practice patterns in North America. Spine J. 2004, 4(6):S195-S201.
56. Bono C.M., Garfin S.R. History and evolution of disc replacement. Spine J. 2004, 4:145-150.
57. Mulholland R.C. The myth of lumbar instability: the importance of abnormal loading as a cause of low back pain. Eur. Spine J. 2008, 17:619-625.
58. Lee C., Goel V. Artificial disc prosthesis: design concepts and criteria. Spine J. 2004, 4(6):S209-S218.
59. Urbaniak J.R., Bright D.S., Hopkins J.E. Replacement of intervertebral discs in chimpanzees by silicondacron implants: a preliminary report. J. Biomed. Mater. Res. 1973, 7:165-186.
60. Le Huec J.C., Kiaer T., Friesem T. Shock absorption in lumbar disc prosthesis: a preliminary mechanical study. J. Spinal Disord. Tech. 2003, 28:346-351.
61. Dahl M., Rouleau J., Papadopoulos S., Nuckley D., Ching R. Dynamic characteristics of the intact, fused, and prosthetic-replaced cervical disc. J. Biomech. Eng. 2006, 128(6):809-814.
62. Büttner-Janz K. History. The Artificial Disc 2003, 1-10. Springer, Berlin. K. Büttner-Janz, S. Hochschuler, P. McAfee (Eds.).
63. Levinthal D. The slow pace of rapid technological change: gradualism and punctuation in technological change. Ind. Corp. Chang. 1998, 7(2):217-247.
64. Miller D. Orthopaedic product technology during the second part of the twentieth century. The Evolution of Orthopaedic Surgery 2002, Royal Society of Medicine Press, London. L. Klenerman (Ed.).
65. Szpalski M., Gunzburg R., Mayer M. Spine arthroplasty: a historical review. Eur Spine J., Suppl 2002, 2:S65-S84.
66. Mayer H.M. Total disc replacement. J. Bone Joint Surg. 2005, 87:1029-1037.
67. Kurtz S.M. Total disc arthroplasty. Spine Technology Handbook 2006, Academic Press, New York. S.M. Kurtz, A.A. Edidin (Eds.).
68. Mutilescu A. Interview with Dr Vincent Bryan. Argos Spine News 2002, 6:7-11. Oct.
69. Biondo D., Lown D. Beyond total disc. The Future of Spine Surgery, Spine Industry Analysis Series 2004, Viscogliosi Bros LLC, New York.
70. Food and Drug Administration Bryan Disc Approval Letter From, retrieved 21 April 2010. http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/cdrh_docs/pdf6/P060023a.pdf.
71. Enker P., Steffee A., McMillin C., Keppler L., Biscup R., Miller S. Artificial disc replacement. Preliminary report with a 3-year minimum follow-up. Spine 1993, 18(8):1061-1070.
72. Griffith S.L., Shelokov A.P., Shelokov A.P., Buttner-Janz K., LeMaire J.P., Zeegers W.S. A multicenter retrospective study of the clinical results of the LINK SB Charite intervertebral prosthesis: the initial European experience. Spine 1994, 19:1842-1849.
73. Cummins B., Robertson J., Gill S. Surgical experience with an implanted artificial cervical joint. J. Neurosurg. 1998, 88:943-948.
74. Ulrich K. The role of product architecture in the manufacturing firm. Res. Policy 1995, 24:419-441.
75. Arthur W.B. The Nature of Technology 2009, The Free Press, Nueva York.
76. Fraser R.D., Ross E.R., Lowery G.L., Freeman B.J. Lumbar disc replacement. AcroFlex design and results. Spine J. 2004, 4:245S-251S.
77. Pimenta L., Springmuller R., Lee C.K., Oliveira L., Roth S.E., Ogilvie W.F. Clinical performance of an elastomeric lumbar disc replacement: minimum 12months follow-up. SAS Journal 2010, 4:16-25.
78. Naidu S. Summary Minutes of the Orthopaedic and Rehabilitation Devices Panel Meeting. July 17, 2007, Washington DC 2007.
79. Henningfeld C. Executive Interview. July. Orthoknow 2005, 1-3.
80. Hummon N.P., Doreian P. Connectivity in a citation network: the development of DNA theory. Soc. Netw. 1989, 11:39-63.
81. Verspagen B. Mapping technological trajectories as patent citation networks: a study on the history of fuel cell research. Adv. Compl. Syst. 2007, 10(1):93-115.
82. Fontana R., Nuvolari A., Verspagen B. Mapping technological trajectories as patent citation networks. An application to data communication standards. Econ. Innovation New Technol. 2009, 18(4):311-336.
83. A. Martinelli. An emergent paradigm or just another trajectory? Understanding the nature of technological changes using engineering heuristics in telecommunications switching industry, Research Policy (Forthcoming).
84. Barberá D., Jiménez F., Castelló I. Mapping the importance of the real world. The validity of connectivity analysis of patent citations networks. Res. Policy 2011, 40(3):473-486.
85. Hedge D., Mowery D., Graham S. Pioneering inventors or thicket builders: which U.S. firms use continuations in patenting?. Manag. Sci. 2009, 55(7):1214-1226.
86. Utterback J.M. Mastering The Dynamics of Innovation 1996, Harvard University Business School Press, Boston, Massachusetts.
87. Adner R., Snow D. Old technology responses to new technology threats: demand heterogeneity and technology retreats. Ind. Corp. Chang. 2010, 19(5):1655-1675.
88. Rosenberg N. On technological expectations. Econ. J. 1976, 86(343):523-535.
89. Simon H.A. Rational choice and the structure of the environment. Psychol. Rev. 1956, 63(2):129-138.
90. Rosenberg N. Chemical engineering as a general purpose technology. General Purpose Technologies and Economic Growth 1998, MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts. E. Helpman (Ed.).
91. Campbell D.T. Blind variation and selective retention in creative thought as in other knowledge processes. Psychol. Rev. 1960, 67:380-400.
92. Pickstone J.V. Ways of knowing: towards a historical sociology of science, technology and medicine. Br. J. Hist. Sci. 1993, 26:433-458.