메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 255, Issue 4, 2012, Pages 696-702

The surgical mortality probability model: Derivation and validation of a simple risk prediction rule for noncardiac surgery

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADULT; ARTICLE; CARDIOVASCULAR RISK; FEMALE; HEALTH CARE QUALITY; HEART DISEASE; HUMAN; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; NONCARDIAC SURGERY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROBABILITY; SURGICAL MORTALITY; SURGICAL TECHNIQUE;

EID: 84858667220     PISSN: 00034932     EISSN: 15281140     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1097/SLA.0b013e31824b45af     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (266)

References (47)
  • 1
    • 0017759609 scopus 로고
    • Multifactorial index of cardiac risk in noncardiac surgical procedures
    • Goldman L, Caldera DL, Nussbaum SR, et al. Multifactorial index of cardiac risk in noncardiac surgical procedures. N Engl J Med. 1977;297:845-850. (Pubitemid 8200494)
    • (1977) New England Journal of Medicine , vol.297 , Issue.16 , pp. 845-850
    • Goldman, L.1    Caldera, D.L.2    Nussbaum, S.R.3
  • 3
    • 74849089632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The revised cardiac risk index delivers what it promised
    • Goldman L. The revised cardiac risk index delivers what it promised. Ann Int Med. 2010;152:57-58.
    • (2010) Ann Int Med , vol.152 , pp. 57-58
    • Goldman, L.1
  • 4
    • 44349168172 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of extended-release metoprolol succinate in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery (POISE trial): A randomised controlled trial
    • Devereaux PJ, Yang H, Yusuf S, et al. Effects of extended-release metoprolol succinate in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery (POISE trial): a randomised controlled trial. Lancet. 2008;371:1839-1847.
    • (2008) Lancet , vol.371 , pp. 1839-1847
    • Devereaux, P.J.1    Yang, H.2    Yusuf, S.3
  • 5
    • 0026064270 scopus 로고
    • POSSUM: A scoring system for surgical audit
    • Copeland GP, Jones D, Walters M. POSSUM: a scoring system for surgical audit. Br J Surg. 1991;78:355-360.
    • (1991) Br J Surg , vol.78 , pp. 355-360
    • Copeland, G.P.1    Jones, D.2    Walters, M.3
  • 6
    • 0031690648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • POSSUM and Portsmouth POSSUM for predicting mortality. Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity
    • Prytherch DR, Whiteley MS, Higgins B, et al. POSSUM and Portsmouth POSSUM for predicting mortality. Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity. Br J Surg. 1998;85:1217-1220.
    • (1998) Br J Surg , vol.85 , pp. 1217-1220
    • Prytherch, D.R.1    Whiteley, M.S.2    Higgins, B.3
  • 7
    • 0036274794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Surgical Risk Scale as an improved tool for risk-adjusted analysis in comparative surgical audit
    • DOI 10.1046/j.1365-2168.2002.02080.x
    • Sutton R, Bann S, Brooks M, et al. The Surgical Risk Scale as an improved tool for risk-adjusted analysis in comparative surgical audit. Br J Surg. 2002;89:763-768. (Pubitemid 34595703)
    • (2002) British Journal of Surgery , vol.89 , Issue.6 , pp. 763-768
    • Sutton, R.1    Bann, S.2    Brooks, M.3    Sarin, S.4
  • 8
    • 35348845700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of different methods of risk stratification in urgent and emergency surgery
    • DOI 10.1002/bjs.5809
    • NearyWD, Prytherch D, Foy C, et al. Comparison of different methods of risk stratification in urgent and emergency surgery. Br J Surg. 2007;94:1300-1305. (Pubitemid 47584782)
    • (2007) British Journal of Surgery , vol.94 , Issue.10 , pp. 1300-1305
    • Neary, W.D.1    Prytherch, D.2    Foy, C.3    Heather, B.P.4    Earnshaw, J.J.5
  • 9
    • 72949110347 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk modelling of outcome after general and trauma surgery (the IRIS score)
    • Liebman B, Strating RP, van Wieringen W, et al. Risk modelling of outcome after general and trauma surgery (the IRIS score). Br J Surg. 2010;97:128-133.
    • (2010) Br J Surg , vol.97 , pp. 128-133
    • Liebman, B.1    Strating, R.P.2    Van Wieringen, W.3
  • 10
    • 70249133736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does surgical quality improve in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program: An evaluation of all participating hospitals
    • Hall BL, Hamilton BH, Richards K, et al. Does surgical quality improve in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program: an evaluation of all participating hospitals. Ann Surg. 2009;250:363-376.
    • (2009) Ann Surg , vol.250 , pp. 363-376
    • Hall, B.L.1    Hamilton, B.H.2    Richards, K.3
  • 11
    • 49849103262 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Does the Surgical Apgar Score measure intraoperative performance?
    • Regenbogen SE, Lancaster RT, Lipsitz SR, et al. Does the Surgical Apgar Score measure intraoperative performance? Ann Surg. 2008;248:320-328.
    • (2008) Ann Surg , vol.248 , pp. 320-328
    • Regenbogen, S.E.1    Lancaster, R.T.2    Lipsitz, S.R.3
  • 12
    • 54049129964 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Blueprint for a new American College of Surgeons: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program
    • Birkmeyer JD, Shahian DM, Dimick JB, et al. Blueprint for a new American College of Surgeons: National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. J Am Coll Surg. 2008;207:777-782.
    • (2008) J Am Coll Surg , vol.207 , pp. 777-782
    • Birkmeyer, J.D.1    Shahian, D.M.2    Dimick, J.B.3
  • 13
    • 38549156755 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of the present-on-admission indicator on hospital quality measurement: Experience with the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) Inpatient Quality Indicators
    • Glance LG, Osler TM,Mukamel DB, et al. Impact of the present-on-admission indicator on hospital quality measurement: experience with the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) Inpatient Quality Indicators. Med Care. 2008;46:112-119.
    • (2008) Med Care , vol.46 , pp. 112-119
    • Glance, L.G.1    Osler, T.M.2    Mukamel, D.B.3
  • 14
    • 0030764817 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing quality using administrative data
    • Iezzoni LI. Assessing quality using administrative data. Annals of Internal Medicine. 1997;127:666-674.
    • (1997) Annals of Internal Medicine , vol.127 , pp. 666-674
    • Iezzoni, L.I.1
  • 16
    • 74849128913 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Systematic review: Prediction of perioperative cardiac complications and mortality by the revised cardiac risk index
    • Ford MK, Beattie WS, Wijeysundera DN. Systematic review: prediction of perioperative cardiac complications and mortality by the revised cardiac risk index. Ann Int Med. 2010;152:26-35.
    • (2010) Ann Int Med , vol.152 , pp. 26-35
    • Ford, M.K.1    Beattie, W.S.2    Wijeysundera, D.N.3
  • 18
    • 33748093549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) risk factors can be used to validate American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification (ASA PS) levels
    • DOI 10.1097/01.sla.0000216508.95556.cc, PII 0000065820060500000009
    • Davenport DL, Bowe EA, Henderson WG, et al. National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) risk factors can be used to validate American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification (ASA PS) levels. Ann Surg. 2006;243:636-641; discussion 641-644. (Pubitemid 44305577)
    • (2006) Annals of Surgery , vol.243 , Issue.5 , pp. 636-641
    • Davenport, D.L.1    Bowe, E.A.2    Henderson, W.G.3    Khuri, S.F.4    Mentzer Jr., R.M.5
  • 19
    • 0000136393 scopus 로고
    • The role of anesthesia in surgical mortality
    • Dripps RD, Lamont A, Eckenhoff JE. The role of anesthesia in surgical mortality. JAMA. 1961;178:261-266.
    • (1961) JAMA , vol.178 , pp. 261-266
    • Dripps, R.D.1    Lamont, A.2    Eckenhoff, J.E.3
  • 20
    • 0014813104 scopus 로고
    • A statistical analysis of the relationship of physical status to postoperative mortality in 68,388 cases
    • Vacanti CJ, VanHouten RJ, Hill RC. A statistical analysis of the relationship of physical status to postoperative mortality in 68,388 cases. Anesth Analg. 1970;49:564-566.
    • (1970) Anesth Analg , vol.49 , pp. 564-566
    • Vacanti, C.J.1    Van Houten, R.J.2    Hill, R.C.3
  • 21
    • 0015837697 scopus 로고
    • Computer analysis of postanesthetic deaths
    • Marx GF, Mateo CV, Orkin LR. Computer analysis of postanesthetic deaths. Anesthesiology. 1973;39:54-58.
    • (1973) Anesthesiology , vol.39 , pp. 54-58
    • Marx, G.F.1    Mateo, C.V.2    Orkin, L.R.3
  • 22
    • 0030055393 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ASA classification and perioperative variables as predictors of postoperative outcome
    • Wolters U, Wolf T, Stutzer H, et al. ASA classification and perioperative variables as predictors of postoperative outcome. Br J Anaesth. 1996;77:217-222. (Pubitemid 26254509)
    • (1996) British Journal of Anaesthesia , vol.77 , Issue.2 , pp. 217-222
    • Wolters, U.1    Wolf, T.2    Stutzer, H.3    Schroder, T.4
  • 23
    • 77949876887 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk adjustment for comparing hospital quality with surgery: How many variables are needed?
    • Dimick JB, Osborne NH, Hall BL, et al. Risk adjustment for comparing hospital quality with surgery: how many variables are needed? J Am Coll Surg. 2010;210:503-508.
    • (2010) J Am Coll Surg , vol.210 , pp. 503-508
    • Dimick, J.B.1    Osborne, N.H.2    Hall, B.L.3
  • 25
    • 2442682859 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Presentation of multivariate data for clinical use: The Framingham Study risk score functions
    • DOI 10.1002/sim.1742
    • Sullivan LM, Massaro JM, D'Agostino RB, Sr. Presentation of multivariate data for clinical use: the Framingham Study risk score functions. Stat Med. 2004;23:1631-1660. (Pubitemid 38660414)
    • (2004) Statistics in Medicine , vol.23 , Issue.10 , pp. 1631-1660
    • Sullivan, L.M.1    Massaro, J.M.2    D'Agostino Sr., R.B.3
  • 26
    • 0004509186 scopus 로고
    • Regression using fractional polynomials of continuous covariates: Parsimonious parametric modeling
    • Royston P, Altman DG. Regression using fractional polynomials of continuous covariates: parsimonious parametric modeling. Applied Statistics. 1994;43:429-467.
    • (1994) Applied Statistics , vol.43 , pp. 429-467
    • Royston, P.1    Altman, D.G.2
  • 27
    • 0000095552 scopus 로고
    • A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity
    • White H. A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica. 1980;48:817-830.
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 817-830
    • White, H.1
  • 29
    • 34548258778 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the calibration of mortality benchmarks in critical care: The Hosmer-Lemeshow test revisited
    • DOI 10.1097/01.CCM.0000275267.64078.B0, PII 0000324620070900000007
    • Kramer AA, Zimmerman JE. Assessing the calibration of mortality benchmarks in critical care: the Hosmer-Lemeshow test revisited. Crit Care Med. 2007;35:2052-2056. (Pubitemid 47326440)
    • (2007) Critical Care Medicine , vol.35 , Issue.9 , pp. 2052-2056
    • Kramer, A.A.1    Zimmerman, J.E.2
  • 30
    • 77949883308 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Informed consent to promote patient-centered care
    • Krumholz HM. Informed consent to promote patient-centered care. J AmMed Assoc. 2010;303:1190-1191.
    • (2010) J Am Med Assoc , vol.303 , pp. 1190-1191
    • Krumholz, H.M.1
  • 33
    • 0001109910 scopus 로고
    • Grading of patients for surgical procedures
    • Saklad M. Grading of patients for surgical procedures. Anesthesiology. 1941;2:281-284.
    • (1941) Anesthesiology , vol.2 , pp. 281-284
    • Saklad, M.1
  • 34
    • 12644258519 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Risk adjustment of the postoperative mortality rate for the comparative assessment of the quality of surgical care: Results of the National Veterans Affairs Surgical Risk Study
    • Khuri SF, Daley J, Henderson W, et al. Risk adjustment of the postoperative mortality rate for the comparative assessment of the quality of surgical care: results of the National Veterans Affairs Surgical Risk Study. J Am Coll Surg. 1997;185:315-327.
    • (1997) J Am Coll Surg , vol.185 , pp. 315-327
    • Khuri, S.F.1    Daley, J.2    Henderson, W.3
  • 36
    • 0018183102 scopus 로고
    • ASA physical status classifications: A study of consistency of ratings
    • Owens WD, Felts JA, Spitznagel EL, Jr. ASA physical status classifications: a study of consistency of ratings. Anesthesiology. 1978;49:239-243. (Pubitemid 9032534)
    • (1978) Anesthesiology , vol.49 , Issue.4 , pp. 239-243
    • Owens, W.D.1    Felts, J.A.2    Spitznagel Jr., E.L.3
  • 37
    • 0030920176 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A survey of the ASA physical status classification: Significant variation in allocation among Finnish anaesthesiologists
    • Ranta S, Hynynen M, Tammisto T. A survey of the ASA physical status classification: significant variation in allocation among Finnish anaesthesiologists. Acta Anaesthesiol Scand. 1997;41:629-632. (Pubitemid 27244563)
    • (1997) Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica , vol.41 , Issue.5 , pp. 629-632
    • Ranta, S.1    Hynynen, M.2    Tammisto, T.3
  • 38
    • 0036796962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The ASA physical status classification: Inter-observer consistency
    • Mak PH, Campbell RC, Irwin MG. The ASA physical status classification: inter-observer consistency. American Society of Anesthesiologists. Anaesth Intensive Care. 2002;30:633-640. (Pubitemid 35189866)
    • (2002) Anaesthesia and Intensive Care , vol.30 , Issue.5 , pp. 633-640
    • Mak, P.H.K.1    Campbell, R.C.H.2    Irwin, M.G.3
  • 39
    • 0023811181 scopus 로고
    • Prediction of outcome of anaesthesia in patients over 40 years: A multifactorial risk index
    • Tiret L, Hatton F, Desmonts JM, et al. Prediction of outcome of anaesthesia in patients over 40 years: a multifactorial risk index. Stat Med. 1988;7:947-954.
    • (1988) Stat Med , vol.7 , pp. 947-954
    • Tiret, L.1    Hatton, F.2    Desmonts, J.M.3
  • 41
    • 58749097614 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Utility of the surgical Apgar score: Validation in 4119 patients
    • discussion 37
    • Regenbogen SE, Ehrenfeld JM, Lipsitz SR, et al. Utility of the surgical Apgar score: validation in 4119 patients. Arch Surg. 2009;144:30-36; discussion 37.
    • (2009) Arch Surg , vol.144 , pp. 30-36
    • Regenbogen, S.E.1    Ehrenfeld, J.M.2    Lipsitz, S.R.3
  • 42
    • 77955919400 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The intraoperative surgical apgar score predicts postdischarge complications after colon and rectal resection
    • Regenbogen SE, Bordeianou L, Hutter MM, et al. The intraoperative Surgical Apgar Score predicts postdischarge complications after colon and rectal resection. Surgery. 2010;148:559-566.
    • (2010) Surgery , vol.148 , pp. 559-566
    • Regenbogen, S.E.1    Bordeianou, L.2    Hutter, M.M.3
  • 43
    • 79952709319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surgical outcome measurement for a global patient population: Validation of the Surgical Apgar Score in 8 countries
    • Haynes AB, Regenbogen SE,Weiser TG, et al. Surgical outcome measurement for a global patient population: validation of the Surgical Apgar Score in 8 countries. Surgery. 2011;149:519-524.
    • (2011) Surgery , vol.149 , pp. 519-524
    • Haynes, A.B.1    Regenbogen, S.E.2    Weiser, T.G.3
  • 45
    • 0030027092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence based medicine: What it is and what it isn't
    • Sackett DL, Rosenberg WM, Gray JA, et al. Evidence based medicine: what it is and what it isn't. BMJ. 1996;312:71-72.
    • (1996) BMJ , vol.312 , pp. 71-72
    • Sackett, D.L.1    Rosenberg, W.M.2    Gray, J.A.3
  • 46
    • 36148936270 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ACC/AHA 2007 Guidelines on perioperative cardiovascular evaluation and care for noncardiac surgery: Executive Summary: A Report of the American College of Cardiology
    • American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Writing Committee to revise the 2002 guidelines on perioperative cardiovascular evaluation for noncardiac surgery): Developed in collaboration with the American Society of echocardiography, American society of nuclear cardiology, heart rhythm society, society of cardiovascular anesthesiologists, society for cardiovascular angiography and interventions, society for vascular medicine and biology, and society for vascular surgery
    • Fleisher LA, Beckman JA, Brown KA, et al. ACC/AHA 2007 Guidelines on Perioperative Cardiovascular Evaluation and Care for Noncardiac Surgery: Executive Summary: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Writing Committee to Revise the 2002 Guidelines on Perioperative Cardiovascular Evaluation for Noncardiac Surgery): Developed in Collaboration With the American Society of Echocardiography, American Society of Nuclear Cardiology, Heart Rhythm Society, Society of Cardiovascular Anesthesiologists, Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions, Society for Vascular Medicine and Biology, and Society for Vascular Surgery. Circulation. 2007;116:1971-1996.
    • (2007) Circulation , vol.116 , pp. 1971-1996
    • Fleisher, L.A.1    Beckman, J.A.2    Brown, K.A.3
  • 47
    • 0031927492 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • As American as apple pie and APACHE. Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation
    • Teres D, Lemeshow S. As American as apple pie and APACHE. Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation. Crit Care Med. 1998;26:1297-1298.
    • (1998) Crit Care Med , vol.26 , pp. 1297-1298
    • Teres, D.1    Lemeshow, S.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.